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UFOs: The Research, the Evidence

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Ufology

A few days ago, I asked you to give me your opinion of the F-86 chase in Ruppelt's book, pages 1-5. You haven't responded yet. What do you make of it? Any comments?

PD
 
Okay, lets look at it rationally.
1. The AirForce investigated the case.
2. The conclusion they reached was (either) “kite” or “Airplane”.
3. The question MUST be asked: If it was a blimp, then why did they not say it was? Especially if, as you contend, blimps were common in the area… yet there is NO mention of blimps in the area by any of the investigating officers. All I require is a link or reference or anything that will show me that blimps were in fact in the area at that time.
4. The witnesses described speeds of a “jet plane. Does that suggest “blimp” to you?
5. Moreover, two of the five witnesses examine the object through binoculars and both those witnesses were variously described as “responsible” and “reliable”.
6. “Blimp” does not make sense, either rationally or on the evidence.

Ummm...
I don't think ufology has claimed the Air Force investigated his claim. Therefore I presume you're talking about something else. Since there are over thirteen thousand posts in the thread, what are you talking about?

There is a button marked Quote in the lower right hand corner of every post. If you click on that, it will allow you to post a reply, and do two other things: It will quote the person you're replying to, (though not the quotes in that person's post) and it will give a clickable link back to that post, so others will have some vague idea of what you're talking about.
Welcome to the forum.
 
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You say this and yet insist that there can be no other explanation except 'alien spacecraft'. A story isn;t evidence, its a place to start looking for the real evidence. You've simply taken your 40 year old memory, edited in response to criticisms raised here and then decided it's 'infallible.' Unless you are will to start dealing in real evidence I cannot understand why you persist with this thread.


Garrison:

I persist with this thread and reference my own account because I'm interested in UFOs and this is a thread about UFOs. Consequently the topic of UFOs is expected to come up. Why I believe what I do has also been a recurring issue. Seeing a UFO ( alien craft ) is one reason I believe what I do. So I mention it and then the questions and comments always start, so I feel obligated to respond. It's about that simple.
 
I wouldn't worry too much though, love-struck lasses have this problem all the time. :D

And I was always grateful that they did have the problem, at least when I was still running fighter sweeps. But I always did a low key intercept. I would just show them my huge fighter pilot watch and casually lick my eyebrows. That normally caused them to have an attack of the vapours, so I had to remove them to a quiet location to recover. :D
 
Garrison:

I persist with this thread and reference my own account because I'm interested in UFOs and this is a thread about UFOs. Consequently the topic of UFOs is expected to come up. Why I believe what I do has also been a recurring issue. Seeing a UFO ( alien craft ) is one reason I believe what I do. So I mention it and then the questions and comments always start, so I feel obligated to respond. It's about that simple.

This is a thread about research and evidence, many of the comments have been requests that you provide some or simply that you stop your semantic games and get on with it.
 
Okay, lets look at it rationally.
1. The AirForce investigated the case.
2. The conclusion they reached was (either) “kite” or “Airplane”.
3. The question MUST be asked: If it was a blimp, then why did they not say it was? Especially if, as you contend, blimps were common in the area… yet there is NO mention of blimps in the area by any of the investigating officers. All I require is a link or reference or anything that will show me that blimps were in fact in the area at that time.
4. The witnesses described speeds of a “jet plane. Does that suggest “blimp” to you?
5. Moreover, two of the five witnesses examine the object through binoculars and both those witnesses were variously described as “responsible” and “reliable”.
6. “Blimp” does not make sense, either rationally or on the evidence.
Rogue River, done to death.
Look back through this thread and you'll find all the links to proof of the Goodyear blimp being in Portland and surrounding area.
Also an amount of evidence showing the Navy still maintained blimps on the West Coast.
As for the speed of the Jet plane... this has also been covered.
 
Mark Id still like to discuss whatever it was you saw. I still have some unanswered questions. You could be totally, shamelessly making it all up. I dont believe you are (that doesnt mean yr not, just that I DO think you saw what you say you did, and by that I mean no more, no less - ie, not a spaceship/alien, just a moving light)
You were possibly hallucinating, but I think not. Details have been changed throughout the telling, for various reasons, and some questions remain unanswered, or unsatisfactory. You seem very adamant about the basics, and I'll work from there. My questions will be direct, simple, and some may seem a bit irrelevant to you, but they wont for me. It was 37 odd years ago, and Im not going to get hung up or sidetracked by music albums etc. I will also be treat you with respect. All I ask is for you to be rigorously honest, especially when being so may seem like it could hurt yr position, though so far you seem to have been ok here - only the viewing through a window could have come quicker, but you didnt hide it.
I'd like to keep trying to see if I can come up with something, rather than just 'attacking' unreliable memories. But I will need your help.
First up - I need to know if you are one of those indviduals who are 'magnets' for these type of things/ufo sightings, or was this a one off, or are there one or more?
That'll end well.
Someone with apparently zero research skills asking questions of an Alien believer about a 40 year old memory of an unidentified object to see if they can "come up with something"
:rolleyes:
 
Ufology

A few days ago, I asked you to give me your opinion of the F-86 chase in Ruppelt's book, pages 1-5. You haven't responded yet. What do you make of it? Any comments?

PD


Puddle Duck,

Sorry about that, I must have missed it. I have no reason no to believe that Ruppelt has not relayed an actual account of an F-86 pursuit of a UFO during the day. Do I conceed that it is possible that the incident never actually happened? Well I suppose many things in the world are possible. Do I think it's reasonable to believe it never happened? No. Do I think it qualifies as valid scientific evidence that proves UFOs ( alien craft ) are real? No. But it's also important to note the context of the story. Ruppelt reports that this was not an isolated incident.
"The commanding officer of the fighter group, a full colonel and command pilot, believed that UFO's were real. The colonel believed in UFO's because he had a lot of faith in his pilots -- and they had chased UFO's in their F-86's. He had seen UFO's on the scopes of his radar sets, and he knew radar."
Because we know this one report had been destroyed, how many more went unreported or were destroyed, or were directed to another layer of the military. We know that Blue Book was the low level investigative section and in the end was nothing more than a facade. For example, Orders were given that UFO reports affecting national security and reported under JANAP 146 or AFM 55-11 were not to become part of the Blue Book system. Small wonder that the assessment of UFOs based on Blue Book determined that UFOs weren't a threat to national security.
 
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Garrison:

I persist with this thread and reference my own account because I'm interested in UFOs and this is a thread about UFOs. Consequently the topic of UFOs is expected to come up. Why I believe what I do has also been a recurring issue. Seeing a UFO ( alien craft ) is one reason I believe what I do. So I mention it and then the questions and comments always start, so I feel obligated to respond. It's about that simple.

This thread is about the research and evidence for UFOS.
Your story is not evidence. Or research.
Calling UFOS "alien craft" is not evidence.
Your belief is not evidence.
So strictly speaking no it is not on topic, until you stimmy up some evidence.
 
Seeing a UFO ( alien craft ) is one reason I believe what I do.

NO...Bad ology. You can't say "unidentified flying object" and then identify it as an alien spacecraft. You need to stop doing that...it just makes you look STUPID.


There's a real simple "solution", here...if you want to talk about alien spacecraft, then identify them as such and stop using the term "UFO".

...and if you can't do that, you will only prove that this whole "discussion" is a transparent attempt to change the meaning of the words "unidentified flying object".

...and we simply are not going to allow that to happen. :)
 
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And I was always grateful that they did have the problem, at least when I was still running fighter sweeps. But I always did a low key intercept. I would just show them my huge fighter pilot watch and casually lick my eyebrows. That normally caused them to have an attack of the vapours, so I had to remove them to a quiet location to recover. :D
Strange, you never saw Tom Cruise lick his eyebrows in Top Gun. I wonder why they edited that bit out? :D
 
So. Any chance that the discussion can stop being about why the ever changing tale is not good evidence and start discussing how ufos could or should be researched?

Strictly speaking the main misconception seems to be that as many as 10% are not natural or mundane, based on the vage "around 10%" which are not imediately identified. If a full world wide audit was taken from, for example, air traffic control records, you will most likely see much fewer than 10% are not identified, and a very small percentage of those act in any way that could be mistaken for a craft. No evidence that the UFOs are of alien origin will be forthcoming.
 
GeeMack,

I've not sidesteped anything. I directly addressed the issue and made it more precise to avoid the same confusion in the future.


There is much evidence right in this thread to suggest what you call "making it more precise" is a redefined term which actually means "changed your story".

If I were intent on making up some hoax, [...]


A plausible mundane explanation which is supported by much evidence.

[...] I know enough about the topic to have done a much more thorough and sensational job, [...]


There is actually much evidence right here in this thread to suggest that your story telling skills are not up to "a much more thorough and sensational job".

[...] and I wouldn't have brought it here ( of all places ) to be attacked.


A wide variety of the religiously faithful come to the JREF with a variety of motivations. Your argument by excuse making fails again.

It makes no sense to assume I'm being dishonest about such a simple account.


Actually it makes perfect sense, particularly given the demonstrated and oft repeated arguments by dishonest logical fallacies as you've been presenting so far. That combined with the 100% lack of any objective evidence, the changing of stories, the rationalizing contradictions and inconsistencies suggest that making up your story is the best explanation available so far.

At the same time, I understand that nobody has any objective reason to believe the story either. I also have no problem with that. I'm just trying to relay my experience as best as I can because I was asked about it.


This thread is about evidence and research. It's not the place to come tell stories. You might start a thread in the Forum Community section or the History, Literature, and the Arts section to share your works of fiction.

As for your comment on burden of proof. That has nothing to do with the legitimacy of some third party taking my account and changing it substantially to suit their own agenda.


Only one person here has taken your account and changed it substantially to suit their own agenda. His nickname is ufology.

It only has to do with my ability to provide sufficient evidence.


Telling tales is not evidence. If the tales are purportedly true, it's a claim. If they're admittedly false, it's fiction. If they're false but presented as true, they're lies.

I've already admitted that I don't have any scientific evidence and I don't expect anyone to simply take my word for it. So I'm not really making any claim. I'm just relaying my account of what happened. If you want to turn it into a scientific claim for the sake of argument, then I readily conceed to a lack of proof. However simply because there is no proof that my story is true is not proof that it isn't true. It is simply unproven.


There is a Forum Community section on this forum for telling campfire tales and fish stories. There is a History, Literature, and the Arts section for discussing fiction. This is the General Skepticism and The Paranormal section, and this thread is about evidence and research. Clearly your admission above makes your story telling irrelevant to this thread.

Regarding the concept of my sighting being due to "gods messing with my head". What kind of rationale is that? It sounds like the same one the creationists use to explain the dinosaurs. If you want to go that route we can't prove with any certainty anything is real. Your trickster gods hypothesis can be applied to literally everything and as such has no real value. Although it seems that you and the creationists might disagree on that point.


Your story is exactly as well explained by "gods messing with your head" as it is by "alien craft". The amount and quality of evidence for each is the same. The faith that you put into your apparently invented version of reality is exactly the same as others' faith in their gods. Unless there is some material difference, intervention of gods can't be ruled out any more than the other possibilities you admitted are still on the table. You do remember those, don't you?
 
I don't think ufology has claimed the Air Force investigated his claim.


If that is indeed the case, then his sighting cannot rightly be classified as a "UFO" according to his own definition!

In his dishonest and absurd definition of the term "UFO," ufology (J. Randall Murphy, proprietor of the online pseudoscience bookstore "Ufology Society International") has made his position abundantly clear: the object of a sighting cannot be properly classified as a UFO until the case has been properly reported and reviewed by a highly-qualified, super-sciencey team of USAF specialists, and all possible mundane causes have subsequently ruled out.

Of course we all know that it is absolutely impossible for anyone to rule out all mundane causes, but that doesn't stop Mr. J. Randall Murphy sticking to his own nonsensical and impossible definition of "UFO." I'm sure he will nevertheless handwave away this obvious logical incongruity with more pseudoscientific gobbledygook about "official designations" or somesuch, but only the most gullible creduloid would ever fall for that BS.
 
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So. Any chance that the discussion can stop being about why the ever changing tale is not good evidence and start discussing how ufos could or should be researched?

Strictly speaking the main misconception seems to be that as many as 10% are not natural or mundane, based on the vage "around 10%" which are not imediately identified. If a full world wide audit was taken from, for example, air traffic control records, you will most likely see much fewer than 10% are not identified, and a very small percentage of those act in any way that could be mistaken for a craft. No evidence that the UFOs are of alien origin will be forthcoming.


Tomtomkent,

If you just want to weigh in on the issue that there is no scientifically valid and available physical evidence that proves Earth has been host to UFOs ( alien craft ). You'll get no argument from me. The only hard evidence I've heard about comes from the same places as the sighting reports themselves ... books, documents. websites etc. The actual physical material ( if such exists ) has not been made available for public inspection. Videos, photos ... even radar, doesn't really prove anything. I'm not even sure given what we can now create ourselves, that anything short of a mother ship piloted by aliens could serve as proof anyway. That is why the best evidence from my perspective are the eyewitnesses from early accounts, before our own technology became so advanced.

There are still things our craft can't do ( so far as we know ), like do instant high speed accelleration, decelleration, or changes of direction. So I supppose that if we could get some kind of high quality telemetry on such an object, perhaps it would be good solid evidence. The only problem with that is that civilians don't have ready access to the kind of equipment necessary to do the job. I imagine Space Command does, but good luck getting in there. Author Howard Blum claims to have had an inside source who confirmed radar tracking of UFOs, but again these unnamed sources don't really constitute scientific evidence either.

In the end, I realize that I am in an unenviable position with respect to the hard evidence for my belief. But that doesn't change the truth of it and I didn't come here to defend it anyway. I just ended up in that position during discussion. What I came here for was to try to network with skeptics so that I could present a constructively skeptical view of some of the issues on my website. If anything, I thought the skeptics would be glad to help in that regard.
 
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Tauri,

I've never claimed military pilots are invulnerable, only that they deserve greater credibility. Why? Because military pilots have to undergo rigorous training including psychological and physical stress testing. They also have to be able to identify a wider range of aircraft, including foreign military aircraft. They also have a lot more to lose by attempting a hoax. These are all very good reasons to put more trust in a military pilot than other people who merely sport academic credentials, don't have any flying experience at all and have little to lose by creating a hoax.

Have military pilots ever made mistakes in perception?

If you think they have, how do you tell the difference between the times they do and the times they don't make a mistake?
 
So. Any chance that the discussion can stop being about why the ever changing tale is not good evidence and start discussing how ufos could or should be researched?

In the link about searching for meteorites I posted a couple of pages back the scientists involved made a major effort to track down all possible video sources for a sighting reports so they could determine as much information as possible. They went after everything from CCTV to police car dash cams. Given how saturated our world is with cameras I would have though personally this would be a far better approach for UFO hunters than poring over 30/40/50 year old eyewitness statements from which no new information can be gained. Of course I suspect that the abundance of cameras has probably in practice thinned out the 'unknowns' considerably and killed off many a budding sighting.
 
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Tomtomkent,

If you just want to weigh in on the issue that there is no scientifically valid and available physical evidence
Like the thread is about!
that proves Earth has been host to UFOs ( alien craft ).
No, I was talking about establishing what UFOs are. I am no more concerned with alien craft than any other explanation, and considerably less concerned than many that have evidence. Why on earth do you persist on trying to suggest that UFOs must be alien? WHY? If you mean alien craft, say alien craft. If you mean UNIDENTIFIED FLYING OBJECT say UFO.

You'll get no argument from me.
Or evidence it seems.

The only hard evidence I've heard about comes from the same places as the sighting reports themselves ... books, documents. websites etc.
And given the quality of books and websites you have pointed people towards, and your misunderstanding of documentary evidence, or evidence in general, that is going to be a sum total of "none".

The actual physical material ( if such exists ) has not been made available for public inspection.
Wrong, it has not been shown to exist. It is only ASSUMED to exist by people who mistake "secret" for "alien".
Videos, photos ... even radar, doesn't really prove anything.
They can prove a lot. Not a lot of it useful, and certainly not what ufologists claim most of the time. Most often it proves there is no suitable grounds to assume "alien" or anything other than "unidentified". But to claim radar, by which I assume you mean Air Traffic Control records, can prove a lot of useful information. Don't dismiss it because it can't prove what you want to believe.

I'm not even sure given what we can now create ourselves, that anything short of a mother ship piloted by aliens could serve as proof anyway.
No, material evidence to prove a nonterristrial nature would do.

That is why the best evidence from my perspective are the eyewitnesses from early accounts, before our own technology became so advanced.
And in that you are entirely wrong. Eye witness accounts are poor evidence. Eye witness accounts that are more likely to mistake mundane phenomona that had yet to be understood for something more exotic are not more useful. Why not go find the links explaining what good evidence actually is, or stop pretending you have any interest in evidence at all.

There are still things our craft can't do ( so far as we know ), like do instant high speed accelleration, decelleration, or changes of direction. So I supppose that if we could get some kind of high quality telemetry on such an object, perhaps it would be good solid evidence. The only problem with that is that civilians don't have ready access to the kind of equipment necessary to do the job.
So despite Radar not PROVING anything, it would be good evidence? And my word, it is controlled by trained staff working for an airport? What shocking scandalous good sense!

I imagine Space Command does, but good luck getting in there. Author Howard Blum claims to have had an inside source who confirmed radar tracking of UFOs, but again these unnamed sources don't really constitute scientific evidence either.
No, it is dreadful unsubstantiated evidence. For exactly the same reason your story is.

I the end, I realize that I am in an unenviable position with respect to the hard evidence for my belief. But that doesn't change the truth of it
Now "truth" is a sticky subject. Which version of your story are we meant to accept as true? Which changes are "true"? If something needs to be corrected, it can not have been true. By changing the story so often you are making it untrue.

and I didn't come here to defend anyway.
And yet you do. Why bother to keep talking about it if you aren't defending it?
I just ended up in that position during discussion.
So you don't come here to defend your story. You just come here then make the decision to defend it? Hmmmm....


What I came here for was to try to network with skeptics so that I could present a constructively skeptical view of some of the issues on my website. If anything, I thought the skeptics would be glad to help in that regard.

They are. That is why people come here to offer critique. You just stubbornly refuse to listen each time they do so. So what exactly is the point of asking for the sceptical view if you don't intend to listen and argue point blank against the first principles of evidence, the null, and the sceientific method?

Why do you think people bother to correct your misunderstandings if they are not glad to help? Do you think they waste hours here GRUDGINGLY?

If you want their view, listen. If you want to understand the concepts go look into the Scientific Method and Evidence. The sources have been posted here several times. (And don't ask me to go find the link again, I did that already. If you "missed" it, why expect somebody else to trawl through finding it, other than your own laziness?)
 
...we know this one report had been destroyed


We do? How do we know that? How do we even know that such report ever existed in the first place?

Are you proposing we accept a third-hand, unsubstantiated claim as evidence that a nonexistent, unsubstantiated, outrageously extraordinary claim (that US Air Force fighter jets engaged UFOs in a heated dogfight over the US capitol) once existed, and therefore should be accepted as evidence for itself?

:boggled: :boggled: :boggled:


how many more went unreported or were destroyed, or were directed to another layer of the military.


More to the point, what good reason do we have to assume that any such reports ever existed in the first place?

Are we to just take it on wild speculation, based on the mere suggestion of a single guy whom the USAF once employed on payroll to study the UFO reports, who subsequently went on to make a living writing books and giving public lectures on the popular folklore surrounding these stories?


We know that Blue Book was the low level investigative section and in the end was nothing more than a facade.


Yet over all these hundreds of pages of discussion, you've constantly cited Project Blue Book reports as your main source of evidence for all your insistent claims that UFOs are alien spacecraft?!?


:boggled: :boggled: :boggled:


For example, Orders were given that UFO reports affecting national security and reported under JANAP 146 or AFM 55-11 were not to become part of the Blue Book system. Small wonder that the assessment of UFOs based on Blue Book determined that UFOs weren't a threat to national security.


Could it be possible, maybe, that those UFO reports might have been determined to represent probable actual sightings of actual foreign aircraft that do represent a real threat, whereas goofy flying saucer stories can be safely disregarded as misperceptions arising from cultural fads and public hysteria?
 
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