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Merged Is ufology a pseudoscience?

This isn't the right thread to be discussing the evidence in.
Simply post the extraordinary evidence in the correct thread and then provide a link to it here. It is entirely appropriate to discuss in a thread about UFOlogy being a pseudoscience since it doesn't have any evidence.

But I'll tell you right now anyway that I don't have objective physical empirical evidence that can be put to the test under the scientific method. I don't think anyone ( at least in the public domain does ).
Well, never mind then. The falsifiable null hypothesis remains intact.

So if that's the only evidence you find reasonable to believe, then you'll have to keep denying that alien craft exist.
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. And strawman, nobody is denying they exist. The problem is that nobody has shown that they do exist. Remember the null hypothesis.

Which is fine. End of converstaion.

j.r.
Taking your ball and going home?
 
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. And strawman, nobody is denying they exist. The problem is that nobody has shown that they do exist. Remember the null hypothesis.


Extraordinary claims only require extraordinary evidence for extraordinarily biased people, otherwise extraordinary claims only require the same evidence as any other scientifically proven fact. Why? Because science is unbiased. It's neither ordinary or extraordinary, the evidence speaks for itself. Only a biased person would think it needs to be extraordinary to convince him or her.

As for not denying alien craft exist, then what is it you're doing ... reserving judgement pending verification by the scientific method? Personally I'm fine with that. Everyone is entitled to their own view of the world, and I think skepticism is better than some other paradigms, particularly religious ones, mainly because it attempts to focus in on what is true using practical methods that make a lot of sense. I'm not attacking that in any way shape or form. But reserving judgement is a lot different than degenerating into mockery and ridicule and presumptions of intellectual superiority or using skepticism as a tool to try to embarass or humiliate people with different beliefs ... and don't start with the "strawman" rejection, because I'm not saying such tactics are part of genuine skepticism, but I've seen them used in the name of skepticism and I'm saying it's something to be avoided.

j.r.
 
This isn't the right thread to be discussing the evidence in.


Since you don't have any evidence to discuss, it doesn't make much difference, does it?


But I'll tell you right now anyway that I don't have objective physical empirical evidence that can be put to the test under the scientific method.


Go on.


I don't think anyone ( at least in the public domain does ).


That little bracketed bit at the end there is the mark of a True Believer™ you know. Not a good look.


So if that's the only evidence you find reasonable to believe, then you'll have to keep denying that alien craft exist.


Reality denies that alien craft exist. Stamping one's widdle foot and decrying that we're somehow being unfair and narrow-minded by taking sides with reality all the time isn't a very good look either.


Which is fine. End of converstaion.

j.r.


Assuming you mean 'conversation', I'll point out that it actually ended in September 2008 and would have remained forgotten forever had you not resurrected it, so it's not much use getting all pouty about it now.
 
Extraordinary claims only require extraordinary evidence for extraordinarily biased people, otherwise extraordinary claims only require the same evidence as any other scientifically proven fact. Why? Because science is unbiased. It's neither ordinary or extraordinary, the evidence speaks for itself. Only a biased person would think it needs to be extraordinary to convince him or her.
The poster above is incorrect. There is an entire thread where another poster had his handed to him and it was proven that extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. It's only the creduloids who live in the fantasy land based on unfalsifiable anecdotes.

As for not denying alien craft exist, then what is it you're doing ... reserving judgement pending verification by the scientific method? Personally I'm fine with that.
Good, we'll both use the null hypothesis then which is:

"All UFO sightings are of mundane origin"​
and eagerly await the day when it is falsified.

Everyone is entitled to their own view of the world, and I think skepticism is better than some other paradigms, particularly religious ones, mainly because it attempts to focus in on what is true using practical methods that make a lot of sense.
Everyone is not entitled to their own reality or facts.

I'm not attacking that in any way shape or form. But reserving judgement is a lot different than degenerating into mockery and ridicule and presumptions of intellectual superiority or using skepticism as a tool to try to embarass or humiliate people with different beliefs ... and don't start with the "strawman" rejection, because I'm not saying such tactics are part of genuine skepticism, but I've seen them used in the name of skepticism and I'm saying it's something to be avoided.

j.r.
If you could point out where the word "strawman" was inappropriately used, that would be super. It has only been used when you've used a strawman fallacy, as far as I've seen. Maybe you should stop using strawman fallacies?
 
The thing is the study of UFO's could actually be a real serious field. But it isn't because the great majority of so-called researchers are looking for "Aliens".

Simply stated UFO's are simply objects we see flying around that we can't identify. Now if it was just the study of objects in the sky we can't identify then perhaps we would eventually find out about some interesting, albeit rare, atmospheric phenomena. But the vast majority of UFO researchers are looking for "Aliens". On a purely logical basis "Aliens" from other planets are an extremely unlikely explaination for any UFO's as combared to misperception, delusion and freaky weather etc. If UFO researchers were really interested in UFOs they would be interested in collecting data that looked at the actual causes and sources of UFO sightings. Instead they generally look only for "Aliens". THe result is actual UFO's are not found and much interesting work on human perception and perhaps freaky weather isn't done, because the researchers have already identified the UFO's they are looking for as being "Aliens".

Oh and claiming that UFO's are in fact "Aliens" is most definitely an extraordinary claim. The fact that they have supposidly been swarming all over the Earth for 60+ years, landing, everywhere, abducting people and yet have managed to be so incredibly tidy in leaving any trace of themselves puts the onus clearly on those who claim "Aliens!"
 
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This isn't the right thread to be discussing the evidence in. But I'll tell you right now anyway that I don't have objective physical empirical evidence that can be put to the test under the scientific method. I don't think anyone ( at least in the public domain does ). So if that's the only evidence you find reasonable to believe, then you'll have to keep denying that alien craft exist. Which is fine. End of converstaion.

j.r.

Not so fast. You should get your facts straight if you don't want to do pseudoscience.

Your error no.1: This thread is about pseudoscience, critical thinking and UFOlogy. So, its a good place to discuss issues related to evidence, evidence gathering, evidence evaluation, the conclusions built over it and how these conclusions were built among other things. This is where the boundaries between pseudoscience and science are drawn.

Your error no.2: You should have written "I don't have reliable evidence" instead of "I don't have objective physical empirical evidence that can be put to the test under the scientific method".

Your error no.3: Reliable evidence is not necessarily of physical nature (like a flying saucer or an alien); it might as well come as imagery (from a reliable source and preferentially sharp, detailed) for example.

Your error no.4: No skeptic will actually "deny that alien craft exist". The universe is a big place, after all. What we actually say is that there are no reliable pieces of evidence that alien craft are at the root of UFO phenomena. We say there's no good reason to believe alien craft are visiting Earth and causing parts of the UFO phenomena.

Now, the MUFON folks at UFOhunters displayed what they claim to be bonna fide physical evidence of UFOs. You say you don't think such thing is available. So, are they fooling people? Are they mistaken? Are they doing pseudoscience?

Again, what about UFOlogists talking about links between UFOs and energy vortexes, time and faster-than-light travels, magnetic fields, radiation, paralell universes, wormholes, portals, convergent evolution, plasma, holograms, etc.?
Are they doing pseudoscience or just outright fiction or crackpottery?
 
Extraordinary claims only require extraordinary evidence for extraordinarily biased people, otherwise extraordinary claims only require the same evidence as any other scientifically proven fact.


The distinguishing factor that makes extraordinary claims "extraordinary" is that they are not a scientifically-proven fact. They run contrary to what science has revealed to be objectively real.

The existence of extraterrestrials has not been proven. The claim that intelligent ET are visiting Earth is definitely extraordinary. Therefore, extraordinary evidence is required to justify belief in that scenario.

Since anecdotes alone do not constitute evidence (they're more appropriately classified as "claims"), they don't even meet the criteria for conclusively proving something that's already known to be possible, let alone something extraordinary like outer space aliens visiting Earth in flying saucers.
 
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I think anyone who would not consider a flying saucer as being an extraordinary piece of evidence for an extraordinary claim would be an extraordinary person.

ETA- ufology, stop following Rramjet's steps. They are a trail leading to pseudoscience, delusions and hoaxes. Wait! I just described UFOlogy!
 
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The distinguishing factor that makes extraordinary claims "extraordinary" is that they are not a scientifically-proven fact. They run contrary to what science has revealed to be objectively real.

The existence of extraterrestrials has not been proven. The claim that intelligent ET are visiting Earth is definitely extraordinary. Therefore, extraordinary evidence is required to justify belief in that scenario.

Since anecdotes alone do not constitute evidence (they're more appropriately classified as "claims"), they don't even meet the criteria for conclusively proving something that's already known to be possible, let alone something extraordinary like outer space aliens visiting Earth in flying saucers.


Perhaps I should be the one to point out this time that the extraordinary claims requiring extraordinary evidence thread isn't this one ... otherwise if it's going to be invoked here constantly, I have every right to point out that from a scientific perspective, extraordinary claims require the same evidence as anything else. Why? Because science is unbiased and the evidence speaks for itself. Only a biased person would think that the evidence has to be extraordinary before they'll believe it.

j.r.
 
Perhaps I should be the one to point out this time that the extraordinary claims requiring extraordinary evidence thread isn't this one ... otherwise if it's going to be invoked here constantly, I have every right to point out that from a scientific perspective, extraordinary claims require the same evidence as anything else. Why? Because science is unbiased and the evidence speaks for itself. Only a biased person would think that the evidence has to be extraordinary before they'll believe it.

j.r.

The poster above me has no idea what ECREE I suggest he would look at the thread about it then come back when he has finished reading it other wise he will just come out looking like he has no idea what the meaning behind the phrase is.
 
Not so fast. You should get your facts straight if you don't want to do pseudoscience.

Your error no.1: This thread is about pseudoscience, critical thinking and UFOlogy. So, its a good place to discuss issues related to evidence, evidence gathering, evidence evaluation, the conclusions built over it and how these conclusions were built among other things. This is where the boundaries between pseudoscience and science are drawn.

Your error no.2: You should have written "I don't have reliable evidence" instead of "I don't have objective physical empirical evidence that can be put to the test under the scientific method".

Your error no.3: Reliable evidence is not necessarily of physical nature (like a flying saucer or an alien); it might as well come as imagery (from a reliable source and preferentially sharp, detailed) for example.

Your error no.4: No skeptic will actually "deny that alien craft exist". The universe is a big place, after all. What we actually say is that there are no reliable pieces of evidence that alien craft are at the root of UFO phenomena. We say there's no good reason to believe alien craft are visiting Earth and causing parts of the UFO phenomena.

Now, the MUFON folks at UFOhunters displayed what they claim to be bonna fide physical evidence of UFOs. You say you don't think such thing is available. So, are they fooling people? Are they mistaken? Are they doing pseudoscience?

Again, what about UFOlogists talking about links between UFOs and energy vortexes, time and faster-than-light travels, magnetic fields, radiation, paralell universes, wormholes, portals, convergent evolution, plasma, holograms, etc.? Are they doing pseudoscience or just outright fiction or crackpottery?


Regarding Above: "Reliable evidence is not necessarily of physical nature (like a flying saucer or an alien); it might as well come as imagery (from a reliable source and preferentially sharp, detailed) for example."

Apparently the poster above is then less skeptical than I am. I don't think videotaped images prove anything. They are just pictures. Perhaps a live feed of some kind might prove something, but only if it can be shown that the live feed is verifiable by independent civilians. But even then, all it amounts to are images on a monitor of some kind. Pixels of color and luminosity on a matrix. There's no physical proof. However I would be inclined to think it would be reasonable evidence ... but not much more reasonable than an Air Force pilot's account of his pursuit of a flying saucer in broad daylight.

So far as I'm concerned, real material objective physical evidence that can be studied using the scientific method is the best you can get. If you want to start accepting less based on what you think is reasonable, then things aren't so clear-cut anymore. That's the realm I live in constantly with ufology, and it's why, contrary to the skeptical opinion, that I think reliable eye-witnesses are the best evidence we have. Hoaxed videos are so easy to make now that I don't even bother keeping up with them. Also, because we are out of the loop where the military is concerned, we don't have access to unsanitized, unfiltered data, or access to equipment. So we're down to civilian accounts ... everyday people. Their reports are complicated further by the fact that modern technology has become so amazing that it's getting harder and harder to differentiate extraordinary sightings from what we could conceivably have created ourselves. But once in a while you'll get a really good account, and they're worth waiting for.

Regarding what the MUFON and UFO hunter people regard as objective physical evidence. Perhaps they do have something that can be studied empirically, but all that proves it that they have some odd metal fragments. It doesn't prove where they originated. I don't think they can draw the conclusion that it came from an alien craft.

Regarding the supposition that, "No skeptic will actually 'deny that alien craft exist'." I wouldn't be so sure all skeptics won't deny that alien craft exist. Perhaps the poster really means "No true skeptic". In this regard I'm most impressed with Robo's constant insistence on the "null hypothesis". He has stated that from his perspective, UFOs ( alien craft visiting Earth ) could exist, but that their existence still needs to be proven. So he's reserved judgement pending "falsification" of his "null hypothesis". It's not the way I look at the issue, but at least his point of view is logically coherent.

Q: Are Ufologists doing pseudoscience when they are talking about links between UFOs and energy vortexes, time and faster-than-light travels, magnetic fields, radiation, paralell universes, wormholes, portals, convergent evolution, plasma, holograms, etc.?
A: It depends on whether or not they are talking informally with respect to the topics ( like we are now ), or whether they are presenting it as some sort of bona fide science, as in, "It's a scientific fact that UFOs come from a parallel universe." Otherwise it's just talk and I wouldn't call it crackpottery. It's all interesting and we're all entitled to explore topics we find interesting in an informal way without being persecuted, at least to the extent that we aren't hurting anyone else.

j.r.
 
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The poster above me has no idea what ECREE I suggest he would look at the thread about it then come back when he has finished reading it other wise he will just come out looking like he has no idea what the meaning behind the phrase is.


There is no need to read that thread through. I've scanned it and I've looked at the original quote from Sagan. I probably watched the original airing of Cosmos when Sagan made the statement. No more needs to be understood than what I've stated. If science is unbiased, then the evidence is neither ordinary nor extraordinary ... it speaks for itself; and if it isn't accepted, then it's personal bias that is preventing it. There's no more to it than that.

j.r.
 
Your scare quotes aren't fooling anyone. Folks here are familiar with the scientific method.


Not intended as "scare quotes", but to draw attention of those others who aren't as familiar as those here to the specific phrases. Try not to presume I'm being cynical all the time. ( Note: I couldn't resist putting scare quotes around the phrase "scare quotes" )

j.r.
 
There is no need to read that thread through. I've scanned it and I've looked at the original quote from Sagan. I probably watched the original airing of Cosmos when Sagan made the statement. No more needs to be understood than what I've stated. If science is unbiased, then the evidence is neither ordinary nor extraordinary ... it speaks for itself; and if it isn't accepted, then it's personal bias that is preventing it. There's no more to it than that.

j.r.

That's wrong on so many levels. Science isn't unbiased only the best evidence will let an idea to become a hypothesis which in turn became a theory. I somehow don't think it's personal bias that's standing in the way of anecdotal evidence being accepted as evidence of UFOs being alien crafts.

I suggest you read the replies to Rramjets position that evidence is evidence. I find if you have an open mind you may have your position swayed.
 
Perhaps a live feed of some kind might prove something, but only if it can be shown that the live feed is verifiable by independent civilians. But even then, all it amounts to are images on a monitor of some kind. Pixels of color and luminosity on a matrix. There's no physical proof. However I would be inclined to think it would be reasonable evidence ... but not much more reasonable than an Air Force pilot's account of his pursuit of a flying saucer in broad daylight.
Luckily, we had video from one certain military pilot's ufo sighting.
In his testimony, he claimed his plane was followed and at one point overtaken by a fleet of ufos that were dodging behind the clouds.
An anecdote that on it's own would have sounded very 'unexplainable'. Luckily we had the FLIR video evidence and other physical evidence to examine to determine that the highly trained "best of the best" military pilot was simply mistaken in his perception of what he was seeing.
You will be familiar with the event I'm talking about as it's often used around here as an example of the fallibility of the military (not only the pilot, but also the ground staff and high ranking military personnel who reviewed the case before releasing it to the international press (without first eliminating possible mundane explanations).
Everyone repeat after me: Campeche Oil Well Fires.
 
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That's wrong on so many levels. Science isn't unbiased only the best evidence will let an idea to become a hypothesis which in turn became a theory. I somehow don't think it's personal bias that's standing in the way of anecdotal evidence being accepted as evidence of UFOs being alien crafts.

I suggest you read the replies to Rramjets position that evidence is evidence. I find if you have an open mind you may have your position swayed.


I'm constantly amazed at just how far apart people's views really are, even when they think that they are on the same page with everyone else.

j.r.
 
Luckily, we had video from one certain military pilot's ufo sighting.
In his testimony, he claimed his plane was followed and at one point overtaken by a fleet of ufos that were dodging behind the clouds.
An anecdote that on it's own would have sounded very 'unexplainable'. Luckily we had the FLIR video evidence and other physical evidence to examine to determine that the highly trained "best of the best" military pilot was simply mistaken in his perception of what he was seeing.
You will be familiar with the event I'm talking about as it's often used around here as an example of the fallibility of the military (not only the pilot, but also the ground staff and high ranking military personnel who reviewed the case before releasing it to the international press (without first eliminating possible mundane explanations).
Everyone repeat after me: Campeche Oil Well Fires.


But the account Ruppelt describes is just writen off by the skeptics here as unreliable myth? Perhaps the above would have also been written off as myth if the oil fires had not become an explanation. There are also the Washington National Sightings ( 1953 ), The Tehran incident ( September 18th 1976 ), The belgian Air Force Incident (30 March 1990), and several others that are all better discuissed on the evidence thread. As for the mistaken oil well fires, I only ran across it briefly and thought that it was only the infrared camera that had caught the images. Can you please point me to where the pilot reported them as UFOs and what his flying experience was?

j.r.
 
But the account Ruppelt describes is just writen off by the skeptics here as unreliable myth?
It is highly unreliable because it is not only an anecdote, it is a third hand anecdote about an anonymous pilot so no one can even go back to the original source to verify the detail Ruppelt remembered and wrote down.

Perhaps the above would have also been written off as myth if the oil fires had not become an explanation. There are also the Washington National Sightings ( 1953 ), The Tehran incident ( September 18th 1976 ), The belgian Air Force Incident (30 March 1990), and several others that are all better discuissed on the evidence thread.
Well most of them have been discussed in the evidence thread. You'll be surprised to find that the evidence aint all it's cracked up to be by UFOlogists.

As for the mistaken oil well fires, I only ran across it briefly and thought that it was only the infrared camera that had caught the images. Can you please point me to where the pilot reported them as UFOs and what his flying experience was?
He was either giving live commentary on the FLIR video or commentary to ground staff was recorded on the 'black box' and put on the FLIR video when it was released to the international press through renowned hoax promoter Jamie Maussan. At the time I did watch a video that had English subtitles of the pilot's words added, I'll see if I can find it again.

Needless to say that since the Oil Well Fires were almost unanimously agreed upon by everyone who bothered to critically examine the incident (even Capt. Alejandro Franz of the private Mexican UFO research organization Alcione accepted and confirmed this) and as a result the case was immediately dropped like a hot potato by the UFOlogists who until that time were promoting the hell out of it being the smoking gun evidence. So I doubt if the original sensational video is still out there but I'll have a look around today.
 

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