wollery
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- Feb 27, 2003
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I have presented them. Others have presented them. Since you continually ignore or dismiss them there's little point in simply reproducing them. Just because you don't like the arguments, or don't agree with them does not mean that they do not exist, and to pretend that they don't exist is simply a ridiculous position to hold.If there were such arguments then of course you would have presented them. That you have not probably means you cannot – and you cannot because they do not exist. Prove me wrong.
This is an unsafe assumption. See the arguments below.If the UFO debunkers are correct in that UFO reports arise primarily from misidentified mundane objects, then there should be no difference between known and unknown categories of reports on defined characteristics (such as speed, shape, colour, etc). After all, if they all arise from the same source, then the described characteristics should be equally epresented/interpreted/misrepresented/misinterpreted across all reports.
No, they state, quite correctly, that assuming your conclusion and then ignoring or dismissing contrary evidence is pseudoscientific. Stating the conclusion you have reached before you explain how you arrived at it is actually standard practice in science. That's the point of the abstract in peer-reviewed papers. If you really had been trained as a scientist and written peer-reviewed papers, as you have claimed before, then you should know that.LOL. According to the debunkers in this thread – leading with your conclusion is pseudoscientific…
Which completely ignores several classes of mundane explanation which would not group together. For instance, hallucination, delusion and hoax. The descriptions of objects and circumstances in each of these cases could very easily be unique, and therefore the statistics would show such cases to be different from any identified cases. It also ignores the possibility of unknown mundane causes, which would not be drawn from the same population, and would always be unidentified.No it does not, it implies that the misidentifications, erroneous observations and inaccuracies should be spread evenly over all reports. That is, when the reports are grouped according to the specified characteristics (shape, speed, etc) then those groupings can be statistically tested to determine if the knowns and the unknowns come from the same population. That is, if all reports arose from the same population we would expect an even distribution between all reports of (for example) the colour white (or a circular shape, etc).
It also ignores a large raft of psychology in which people who misremember things tend to continue altering their story and memories as time passes, and assign events and objects properties that they only imagine they might have had if the object had been what they thought it was. This means that someone who isn't particularly invested in UFOs will imagine that the object they saw was probably a plane, and their memory will be reinforced that it was roughly plane shaped and travelled at jet plane speeds, whereas someone who believes in UFOs will imagine that it was probably more disk shaped and must have been travelling much faster.
You might want to start by reading the Wiki page on Confabulation, and follow some of the links from there.
No, that's not what I am contending at all. What I am contending is that if all UFOs were actually mundane objects then it logically follows that identifiable reports will tend to be more accurate, and unidentifiable ones less accurate, which would be a large contributing factor in making them unidentifiable. It's simple logic to see that the less accurate a report is the less likely it is that the object it describes would be identifiable. That is not to say that ONLY identified reports would be accurate and ONLY unidentified ones would be inaccurate, but there would be a strong tendency towards that. It simply folllows logically from the premise.Oh, so now you are hypothesising that ONLY identified reports will be accurate and ONLY unidentified reports will be inaccurate. Okay then, you will then be able to present the evidence to support that hypothesis? No, I thought not.
If a description of an identifiable object has the same characteristics as an unidentified object then what is preventing the unidentified object from being identified? If it has the same characteristics as an identified object then it should be easy to identify.Ummm…huh? The contention is actually that if all reports arose from the same population then we would expect an even distribution between all reports of (for example) the colour white (or a circular shape, etc).
I think you may find that you may be beginning with a conclusion - and that then is preventing you seeing the underlying logic.
Does this mean that you are going to provide an authoritative reference for you contention that, "there should be no difference between known and unknown categories of reports on defined characteristics (such as speed, shape, colour, etc)"? Or is it something you just pulled out of your rear end?It is standard practice in science to provide authoritative reference sources in support of your contentions.
Read a few websites. Find a ufology website that doesn't argue that case. Find a ufology society that doesn't contend that to be the case.That is a completely unfounded assertion and may be dismissed as such. Define “ufologist” for a start…
That's simply hysterically funny. I was actually making the argument that whether or not someone has a PhD is irrelevant.…and yet you just did mention it and it is completely irrelevant to the argument. The argument was about whether it was necessary for someone to have qualifications before their research could be taken to have a sound scientific basis. You contended that it was necessary. I replied that it was elitist for you to think so - and that what really mattered was the science, not the qualifications of the person conducting it.
Let's just review that little exchange shall we;
I point out that qualifications are irrelevant to the argument.This is why ufologists make such a big deal if someone with a PhD weighs in on their side. We've seen it from you in the last page of posts, you cited a paper "by a PhD", as though that gave it some sort of extra-special status.
(Bolding mine) You accuse me of using my qualification as an argument (without any supporting evidence that I ever have).Oh, so its okay of PhDs (or someone with “qualifications”) to “weigh in” on your side and for you to then use the argument from authority (as you do in reference to yourself) to strengthen your case – but if someone with similar qualifications weighs in on the side of ufology, then ufologists are somehow illegitimately “making a big deal” out of it?
I respond to that accusation by refuting it.I've never used my PhD as an argument. In fact, I rarely mention it. I do occasionally mention that I'm a professional astronomer, where it's relevant.
And then you claim that I brought up the subject of my PhD when it was irrelevant to the argument, despite the fact, as demonstrated above, that you brought it into the argument first. You can't bring up a subject and then claim that my mentioning it, in response to you, is irrelevant to the argument.…and yet you just did mention it and it is completely irrelevant to the argument. The argument was about whether it was necessary for someone to have qualifications before their research could be taken to have a sound scientific basis. You contended that it was necessary. I replied that it was elitist for you to think so - and that what really mattered was the science, not the qualifications of the person conducting it.
You introduced the subject of my PhD. You claimed that I use it as an argument from authority. Are you going to produce some evidence to back up the claim that I use my qualifications as an argument from authority, or is it another of your unfounded assertions that we may dismiss?
No, I note that professional astronomers require years of training, whereas ufologists require no training at all. The result is that astronomers are far less likely to make mistakes or be unscientific in their approach. This is a simple statement of fact. It doesn't mean that ufologists can't perform good research, or that astronomers can't perform bad research. Or do you want to revise your contention that scientists making errors is implausible?..and yet you argue differently:
Except that this isn't the work of a ufologist, but rather a debunking of ufology. If he had produced a paper by a qualified scientist that supported a ufology position then he might have had a point. You can't claim a paper produced by a qualified scientist that debunks a ufologist position demonstrates that ufologists are qualified. That argument makes absolutely no sense!Incorrect. He admitted the research as the production of a PhD in response to the persistent claims that "ufologists" are unqualified to conduct science.
It isn't an argment from authority but a statement of fact. The process of refereeing a paper greatly lessens the probability of it containing bad science. Or do you also want to revise your contention that it is highly improbable for peer-reviewed journals to publish bad science?Oh, so now YOU are returning to the very argument that you just rejected - the argument from authority – the question is, wollery, whether or not the science is sound, not whether it has the weight of “authority” behind it.
Red herring. His contention (which you confirmed in the above paragraph) was that there are qualified ufologists. Since this paper isn't by a ufologist, and actually debunks the ufology position, that argument is moot.That is the beauty of science. One does not have to have one’s arguments supported to recognise good science – or are you contending that science is only good if it supports your own conclusions?
I think everyone can see from the above exchanges that I have made no such contention. In fact, I have argued exactly the opposite. The point of an argument from authority is that it fallaciously claims that an argument is valid merely because it comes from someone with a particular qualification. I have never claimed that, and unless you can show otherwise then I suggest you retract the claim that I have.You contended the argument from authority to dismiss reports from ufologists (an argument you now say you reject – but only sometimes – when it suits you…), I was merely pointing out that the same argument could be applied to the debunkers and their identified as mundane reports…
Again, go read a few ufology websites, most of them are chock full of pseudoscience and credulous belief.I merely noted that you have supplied no evidence that your claim there is actually true - and that claims made without evidence can be dismissed without evidence.
I note that you don't deny the charge. Maybe you can point to a part of your post that I ignored.…coming from one who has just ignored much of what I posted…LOL.
Only in your imagination.He does not have to waste his time – I am doing such an excellent job for him.![]()