!Kaggen
Illuminator
- Joined
- Jul 12, 2009
- Messages
- 3,874
Personally, I've never understood the appeal of human cloning. Making babies the old-fashioned way is much more fun.![]()
I wonder if being gay makes ones interest in cloning more likely?
Personally, I've never understood the appeal of human cloning. Making babies the old-fashioned way is much more fun.![]()
[snip]
But either way, we both agree that children will always have value.

What about sexbots?
I'm not following you. If we "take evolution the way we want", then how is that stagnation? And if we have "complete control" of the genetic characteristics of our offspring, why would that imply identical clones?
Personally, I've never understood the appeal of human cloning. Making babies the old-fashioned way is much more fun.![]()
We already have overpopulation and wars and famine. I don't think that "near immortality" will significantly worsen it. Just because a technology is available doesn't mean everyone will have access to it. Life-extending technologies will be the privilege of the rich, while most others will continue to grow old and die as usual. It certainly would give the term "right to life" a whole new meaning, however.
It's true that many people will opt not to have children in the future. We already see that in declining birth rates for modern democracies and the rich in general, but that has more to do with the availability of contraception than any concerns about overpopulation. However, scarcity of something usually increases its value. In a society where children are a rare phenomenon, I expect that people would become obsessed with them. I'm not sure what form that would take. Probably children would grow up in a "Truman Show"-like atmosphere, with the entire community as an audience.
I can definitely see limits on the right to have children (already beginning in China), and frankly it's about time. IMHO just because you have the biological ability to make a baby doesn't mean you are qualified to care for it, or that an overcrowded world should have to accommodate it.
What would you like your baby to look like? Blonde or brunette? Blue-eyed or brown? Short or tall? Lean or fat? and so on. Most people will wind up picking the same thing which could lead to stagnation in the species in that we remove things from the species that we don't want even though that could be something that provides greater diversity in the species.
Those that fail to learn from the past are doomed to repeat it...?
With all due respect, this is sometihng out of speculative fiction, I feel.
We already have life-extending (and expensive) technologies and procedures. While not distributed to the extent that a good Marxist-Leninist would prefer, you can't really say that the masses in countries that have broad healthcare have been cut off, can you?
If a commodity is scarce and becomes desirable and is so easy to acquire it will not be scarce for long. (Making babies ain't all that difficult.)
Already beginning? The one-child policy in China has been there for three decades and it's currently on the cusp of being overturned.
It's certainly speculative, I'll agree with that.
Countries that have broad healthcare, maybe. But in a world where (according to the WHO) only one-third of the world is described as "well-fed", while another third are "starving", it's hard for me to believe that advanced medical procedures are anything like universally available.
I also believe that a technology that promises "near-immortality" will be in a different category altogether, with political, social and most especially economic ramifications that will make it distinct from regular medical care. Remember, your health insurance covers expensive medical procedures like heart surgery on the assumption that most of its policy-holders will not need them, or at least will only need them for short periods at the end of their lives. Immortality, by contrast, will be something that everyone will want/need, and depending on the methodology they might need ongoing treatment virtually forever. You really think your insurer is going to cover that at a price that most people can afford?
Except that making babies will probably be illegal without a permit. (You know, most countries have very stringent restrictions on people entering in virtually every other way. It has long puzzled me that the state has nothing whatsoever to say about those who arrive via the birth canal. IMHO it's only a matter of time...)
Right, but as far as I know China is the only country so far to have even experimented with it. That's what I meant by "beginning".
I honestly don't know, dsm. Never really thought about it. Frankly, I don't think I care too much about looks. I'd be more interested in intelligence, personality, and physical and mental health.
On the other hand, I'm sure that many parents would select for what they regard as a pleasing appearance (and there's nothing wrong with that, within reason). But everyone's tastes are different -- I doubt that most people will wind up picking the same thing. As a matter of fact, if we had "complete control" over genetics, we would have a much wider range of choices, including characteristics that don't even exist in nature. IMHO it would likely lead to much greater diversity.
I don't think there's anything in our past that can teach us any lessons about the Internet. On the other hand, I do think it's foolish to fantasize about "future technology" with ethical implications, when everybody is clearly so clueless regarding the ethical implications of the Internet and how to address them.
My theory is that anybody who claims they are competent to discuss the ethical implications of the "future technology" must necessarily have already mastered the ethical implications of the Internet, and is prepared to demonstrate such mastery.
I don't think there's anything in our past that can teach us any lessons about the Internet. On the other hand, I do think it's foolish to fantasize about "future technology" with ethical implications, when everybody is clearly so clueless regarding the ethical implications of the Internet and how to address them.
My theory is that anybody who claims they are competent to discuss the ethical implications of the "future technology" must necessarily have already mastered the ethical implications of the Internet, and is prepared to demonstrate such mastery.
I already stated that the current tech/procedures are not universally available, but they are far more available than you think. India and China represent a third of the world. There is far from universal health care in those countries, but the standards are rising. With the advent of the middle class, there will be far better health care, and like my friend's father, it'll be very common to find that a laundry wallah is out having his dialysis treatment or a waitress is having her heart valve replaced. (Heck, India and Thailand are now promoting medical tourism. The standards are there, they just need the infrastructure, financing and delivery systems to get them to the people.)
Financing -- aye, there's the rub, eh?
I agree that we're more likely to see incremental improvements to health in the foreseeable future, rather than the "near immortality" suggested earlier in the discussion.
Of course, when you start talking about "memes, not genes", the meaning of children changes completely. Currently, due to the recombination of genes, children are something new. In the future, due to complete control via computers, children are more likely to be clones of us. This could lead to stagnation in the species as we use computers to take evolution the way we want rather than by what is dictated from the environment.
I'm not following you. If we "take evolution the way we want", then how is that stagnation? And if we have "complete control" of the genetic characteristics of our offspring, why would that imply identical clones?
Personally, I've never understood the appeal of human cloning. Making babies the old-fashioned way is much more fun.![]()
Originally Posted by dsm
What would you like your baby to look like? Blonde or brunette? Blue-eyed or brown? Short or tall? Lean or fat? and so on. Most people will wind up picking the same thing which could lead to stagnation in the species in that we remove things from the species that we don't want even though that could be something that provides greater diversity in the species.
I honestly don't know, dsm. Never really thought about it. Frankly, I don't think I care too much about looks. I'd be more interested in intelligence, personality, and physical and mental health.
On the other hand, I'm sure that many parents would select for what they regard as a pleasing appearance (and there's nothing wrong with that, within reason). But everyone's tastes are different -- I doubt that most people will wind up picking the same thing. As a matter of fact, if we had "complete control" over genetics, we would have a much wider range of choices, including characteristics that don't even exist in nature. IMHO it would likely lead to much greater diversity.
"Recombining of genes" a.k.a. natural selection, is not what human species uses to solve problems any more. We use our intelligence -- "recombining of memes" if you wish. Nothing prevents an individual living indefinitely from learning or inventing new ways to deal with problems.The "value" of children is in the evolution of the species and the new ways of solving problems we get thru the recombining of genes. Stop having children and the species stagnates and eventually dies when it can't cope with the ever changing forces of nature. So, the idea of immortality may be highly alluring to us individually, but is it really of value to the species?
I disagree, there will always be the stray mutation that will happen, the sperm that will meet the egg that was never planned. The sex act that was spontaneous, the birth control that failed, the baby surprises. There may be fewer of them, and fewer children in general, but they will still happen. Human instinct will survive, and thrive as long as there are still humans, unless or until we evolve into something else. The fact that fewer children will die before they reach reproductive age means fewer children being born has less impact than it might in ages past.
1) Create weapons of mass destruction so powerful that they may vastly overshadow even the most destructive nuclear weapons currently in existence.
2) Create robot armies that will lead to having to use fewer human soldiers(or perhaps use biotechnology to breed people to be ideal, obedient soldiers or citizens).
3) Super computers using quantum computing/artificial intelligence/self-learning software that allows them to make nearly flawless predictions and trades when playing the financial markets. This could easily lead to markets getting manipulated by super-computers, to serve the interests of those who control these trading computers. This is already happening, but it is still in its early stages.
4) Biotechnology so powerful that there will be cures for almost all diseases, and the human lifespan is doubled or tripled. Eternal youth could eventually be achieved through genetic engineering for those who can afford it.
Super-intelligence could similarly be achieved through genetic and neuro-engineering, in a manner similar to eugenics.
5) Governments using super computers, various forms of advanced surveillance technologies and micro-robots to spy on its citizens.
It's possible that robots the size of mosquitoes or smaller could be used to spy on people the government claims are a "threat".
Beyond this, and perhaps in combination with #2, government leaders could use advanced mind control to make sure no one opposes them.
6) Similar to #2, corporations using biotechnology and/or nanotechnology to create(or alter) ideal, robotic, always obedient employees who never take vacations and always do what they are told.
7) Science and mathematics becoming revolutionized. Will all this quantum computing and artificial intelligence make doing science so much more faster and "easy" that new, paradigm-shifting scientific discoveries will come
Will these discoveries hurt or help religion
Ultimately, this becomes a positive feedback loop with technology - the more science advances, the more technology advances, and the more technology advances, the more science advances, etc.
Time travel
long distance space travel
teleportation
human brain uploading into computers.