Meadmaker
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Vinson says that the uninsured don't cost the system anything, ...
He said that? That deserves a
.Vinson says that the uninsured don't cost the system anything, ...
.Vinson says that the uninsured don't cost the system anything, but of course, that's not true.
Second, and perhaps more significantly, under Lopez the causal link between what is being regulated and its effect on interstate commerce cannot be attenuated and require a court “to pile inference upon inference,” which is, in my view, exactly what would be required to uphold the individual mandate. For example, in contrast to individuals who grow and consume marijuana or wheat (even in extremely small amounts), the mere status of being without health insurance, in and of itself, has absolutely no impact whatsoever on interstate commerce (not “slight,” “trivial,” or “indirect,” but no impact whatsoever) --- at least not any more so than the status of being without any particular good or service. If impact on interstate commerce were to be expressed and calculated mathematically, the status of being uninsured would necessarily be represented by zero. Of course, any other figure multiplied by zero is also zero. Consequently, the impact must be zero, and of no effect on interstate commerce. The uninsured can only be said to have a substantial effect on interstate commerce in the manner as described by the defendants: (i) if they get sick or injured; (ii) if they are still uninsured at that specific point in time; (iii) if they seek medical care for that sickness or injury; (iv) if they are unable to pay for the medical care received; and (v) if they are unable or unwilling to make payment arrangements directly with the health care provider, or with assistance of family, friends, and charitable groups, and the costs are thereafter shifted to others. In my view, this is the sort of piling “inference upon inference” rejected in Lopez and subsequently described in Morrison as “unworkable if we are to maintain the Constitution’s enumeration of powers.”
I do not mean to suggest that these inferences are illogical or unreasonable to draw. As did the majority in Lopez and Morrison, I do not dispute or question their underlying existence. Indeed, while $43 billion in uncompensated care from 2008 was only 2% of national health care expenditures for that year, it is clearly a large amount of money; and it demonstrates that a number of the uninsured are taking the five sequential steps. And when they do, Congress plainly has the power to regulate them at that time (or even at the time that they initially seek medical care), a fact with which the plaintiffs agree. But, to cast the net wide enough to reach everyone in the present, with the expectation that they will (or could) take those steps in the future, goes beyond the existing “outer limits” of the Commerce Clause and would, I believe, require inferential leaps of the sort rejected in Lopez.
What is it about an individual mandate that makes that specific form of regulation taboo?
Sorry to pile on like this, but I think these are pretty important points:
However, all we have to prove is that we know for sure that in aggregate the uninsured will in fact cost the system tens of billions of dollars (which must be accounted for in advance).
What is it about an individual mandate that makes that specific form of regulation taboo?
The mere fact that one does not opt for health insurance does not cost the system anything absent these other features.
Just so we don't lose the specific focus of this thread I want to bring it back to the main point which, to my mind, hasn't been addressed.
Let us suppose, for the sake of argument, that everyone agreed broccoli purchase was a very important part of our lives. Everyone recognized that when putting together family and corporate budgets, ensuring broccoli availability was a very high priority, but one that many families were having difficulty achieving.
In that case, I think everyone would agree that the heart of the matter was that broccoli consumption was a very significant aspect of interstate commerce and surely something that Congress could regulate. However, the argument goes that while Congress has the power to regulate commerce in broccoli, that regulation cannot take the form of mandating the purchase of broccoli.
What is it about an individual mandate that makes that specific form of regulation taboo?
Again, I don't think it's at all necessary or even a good idea to use such tenuous hypotheticals to answer the question.
Does the Commerce Clause allow Congress to mandate that you purchase a Premiun Membership to billoreilly.com?
actually it's not.
"The Congress shall have Power To regulate Commerce"
Commerce = transactions (sales and purchases) having the objective of supplying commodities.
A lot of people have been saying that if they can mandate health insurance, they can mandate broccoli.
That's what Vinson says, but it's not true.
The mere fact that there are tens of millions of people lacking minimum essential coverage is a current cost to the system. Even if an individual never requires mandated care that he can't afford to pay, in aggregate, this is a cost to the system which has to be accounted for. The non-zero risk that anyone lacking minimum essential coverage has of requiring care he can't afford is a cost to the system.
The "mere fact of being uninsured" argument would only work if those people could somehow opt out of healthcare altogether. Since there is a federal law requiring car to be given regardless of the person's ability to pay (as well as the legal notion of implied consent to treatment given by unconscious people at, for example, the scene of a traffic accident) means that there is no such thing, really, as the "mere fact that one does not opt for health insurance" without "these other features".
It's an arbitrary and irrational splitting off. I could as logically just count the benefit and not the cost of any economic activity and claim that the mere fact that I don't wish to pay the cost means there is no cost.
This is not piling inference upon inference as was the argument that construed the possession of a gun as having a significant effect on interstate commerce. This is much closer to the facts of the case of Wickard than to the facts of the case in Lopez.
Again, it's a real cost that is part of the budget of every hospital in the U.S.
Memberships to billoreilly.com are interstate commerce, so Congress can regulate the purchase of those memberships. It is within the scope of those things which Congress can consider.
An actual law that specifically required a premium membership to billoreilly.com would probably run afoul of other constitutional prohibitions, but the fact that there was a mandate would not be the stumbling block.
Thank goodness you are here to clear up decades of confusion. If it were simple, the issue would have been solved a long time ago.
It seems like the only argument is that a "mandate to purchase" is beyond the powers of Congress.
For the life of me I don't see why. As TW noted, a specific mandate to purchase broccoli might be viewed somewhat differently than a specific mandate to purchase health insurance, but the idea that any "mandate to purchase" is inherently unconstitutional strikes me as somewhat bizarre.
Yikes!
Wow--I totally missed that one. If deepatrax's formula were right, Wickard v. Filburn would have been decided differently.
The case law clearly says that Congress has the authority to regulate any activity that has a significant effect on interstate commerce and not just "transactions".
Where did that transactions-only idea even come from?
Broccoli is one of the very very few vegetables I'd be happy to eat.