moodstream
Critical Thinker
- Joined
- Oct 8, 2010
- Messages
- 417
This is a specious argument on two counts. Firstly, burglars check people are not in the property (clearly without the possibility of being right 100% of the time) and then they effect the entry. This line of argument that Rudy would have chosen the overlooked and much more difficult climb just on the very small chance that his initial check-out was wrong loses on the balance of probabilities that in doing so he risked being seen and risked breaking his neck. Secondly, why do you think a rock is necessary to break in via the balcony? This whole idea of tossing a rock up onto the balcony is just daft. If you were going to use a rock, which is not what most burglars do, you only need a small one, not the large one used to apparently chuck through the window from a couple of metres away at Filomena's window. Most burglars will use something like the tap hammer that was confiscated off Rudy previously or they will stick a jacketed elbow through the glass. Again, in opening the shutters to the balcony door, a burglar would have had an opportunity to look into the property and see if anyone was in. But tossing a rock up onto the balcony? Doesn't make any sense.
You appear to be something of a burglary aficionado. Still, Guede is his own man, with his own reasoning skills. The question is, is it reasonable to say that Guede could have gained access via Filomena's window? Was it really so arduous a choice that Guede would have had to contemplate his own mortality, as you suggest? You seem to compare entry into the cottage with mountain climbing strategies, are these true analogies? Could there be other considerations for the size of the rock, and so forth.