So you mean that there is zero probability that Amanda's DNA landed in that areas not during crime but some other time. How do you estimate that probability?
I cannot estimate it in
numeric value, as I am neither a DNA expert nor a statistician. However, I can, as a scientifically literate, educated person, estimate that the likelihood of AK's DNA being in
even one of
exactly those three spots (five, in the whole house) is very small. People do not generally leave their DNA around their house, on every surface. Dead skin cells that exfoliate do not generally have DNA. To get my DNA on my sink, for instance, I would have to rub my fingers on the sink, or wash my hands quite vigorously, and the DNA would probably wash down the drain, unless contained within a drop of blood of someone I had just murdered.
Then, realize that each instance of improbability must be multiplied by each other instance, as statistics tell us (I may not be a statistician, but I have taken both undergrad and graduate level statistics classes). Thus a small, very tiny improbability multiplied by itself 5 times, is almost infinitesimal.
If each instance were, say, one chance in ten-thousand (that's just a rough estimate; it would be much less for Amanda's DNA to be on Filomena's floor); multiplied five times by itself, that gives (10^-4)^5 = 10^-20. That's one chance in 10^20, or one chance in 100 quintillion.
Perhaps you don't like my individual odds. I'd still say it's about 1 in 100 chance. Then (10^-2)^5 is 10^10, or one chance in ten billion.
(Okay, so I
did estimate it in numeric value. So, sue me.

)
Odds not good that Amanda's DNA got there by chance, in other words.
You mean you can't see Amanda's DNA getting onto the knife handle in an innocent way? I can think of a few quite probable ways.
Perhaps. Perhaps not. It was not in an area that I normally rub a knife handle, even when using it -- it was in the little area under the nub where the handle joins the blade. In other words, it was more where someone might press really hard (with their thumb and first finger) as they were stabbing someone.
And I can't think of
any probable way in which Meredith's DNA would get on the blade, unless it was used to murder her.
I didn't neglect it, I thought you stated DNA is sufficient. Do we also need to prove that Amanda staged the crime-scene and locked the door to find her guilty?
You're twisting my words. You asked me under what conditions I would say that DNA was sufficient. Then I stated them, and added all the other evidence that proves them guilty.
This isn't a game. The evidence exists that exists. I didn't make it up, and I take it all into account.
I may have emphasized the DNA evidence in one of my posts, when responding to the stomach/TOD arguments, because I believe it's extremely strong evidence, that contravenes any silly argument about
exactly when the crime took place. That's not the same as saying that only the DNA evidence is important.
Maybe it holds maybe not, but lone wolf scenario holds together and fits the evidence much better. See you later
Yes, the Lone Wolf. The wall-climbing, levitating-over-glass-strewn-window-panes Rudy who held Meredith, sexually abused her, stabbed her with two different knives, and smothered her mouth, all with his Amazing Two Arms. Who locked the door (for no reason) as he was leaving her room, without turning around. Who broke into the house and stole nothing. Who was friends with Amanda (by her own admission).
Yeah, that story. Holds together real well.