I think it's far more likely that you have misunderstood the report than that a group of highly qualified engineers and scientists have overlooked such an elementary blunder as the one you're accusing them of.
Look at the simulation. It shows fire around column 79 at 5pm. NIST already said in Appendix L that the fires were out ther by 4:45pm and the photograph shows no fire at 4pm.
I have not misunderstood anything. Those are the facts. I have already posted the fire simulation frame at 5pm. The photograph from 4pm and the qoute from NIST Appendix L.
Instead of talking about likelihoods, perhaps you could actually address the evidence.
