Who will be the Republican candidate next election

[Cleon]

Huckabee could actually be an interesting candidate depending upon who the politics forces him into bed with. Rather like McCain circa 1998 - 2004 instead of the McCain we got in 2007-2008

You know, I forgot about Huckabee. A Romney-Huckabee ticket could give Obama a run for his money. Romney appeals to the moderates, and Huckabee appeals to the Christian wingnuts and libertarian crowd (with his endorsement of the FairTax).

 

[dudalb]

At this early stage, the winds seem to be blowing from Wasilla.

ANd your evidence for this is......
I predict Palin will not get close to the Nomination. Even among Tea Party members, she is not doing all the well in the polls.

 

[NotJesus]

If Palin does decide to run, I honestly can't imagine her getting through the primaries without self-destructing.

My guess is Romney.

 

[Cicero]

Technically that would be Huckabee in this case.

Technically? Having a TV show doesn't mean what the Huck is next in the GOP line of succession.


Republican presidential candidates line up for 2012 race

"Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, the nominal GOP front-runner"

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/02/21/AR2010022103689.html

 

[The Charnel Expanse]

Technically? Having a TV show doesn't mean what the Huck is next in the GOP line of succession.


Republican presidential candidates line up for 2012 race

"Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, the nominal GOP front-runner"

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/02/21/AR2010022103689.html

Huckabee was the runner-up in the last primary. The GOP tradition of succession means picking the guy who came in 2nd in the previous primary.

 

[ksbluesfan]

If Beck or Palin becomes the next POTUS, I will move out of the country.

 

[hgc]

Huckabee was the runner-up in the last primary. The GOP tradition of succession means picking the guy who came in 2nd in the previous primary.

That's not what it means, though I can't account for what Cicero thinks it means, since he's rarely correct about anything.

The GOP has tended to pick people who are establishment picks or whose "time has come," kind of characters. Bush II was an establishment pick whose time hadn't come, and never would have in a sane world. But Reagan, Bush I, Dole and McCain were definite time-has-comers.

This of course has little value in prediction anyway.

 

[The Charnel Expanse]

That's not what it means, though I can't account for what Cicero thinks it means, since he's rarely correct about anything.

It's what recent history appears to indicate.

 

[Cicero]

Huckabee was the runner-up in the last primary. The GOP tradition of succession means picking the guy who came in 2nd in the previous primary.

Romney finished 2nd in New Hampshire's Republican primary. That is the one that matters.

The last three presidents (Bill Clinton, George W. Bush and Barack Obama) finished second in the New Hampshire Primary before later being elected to the presidency, while the previous 4 before that (excluding Ford, who was not elected) won the New Hampshire Primary.

 

[Cicero]

The GOP has tended to pick people who are establishment picks or whose "time has come," kind of characters. Bush II was an establishment pick whose time hadn't come, and never would have in a sane world. But Reagan, Bush I, Dole and McCain were definite time-has-comers.

You blindly stumbled on it. That is why Romney is the likely GOP nominee.

 

[The Charnel Expanse]

Conventional wisdom would certainly dictate that Romney's "time has come" but again I have to stress that the strength of the TP movement will be the decisive factor in determining the next GOP nominee. Romney is not and never will be TP-approved.

 

[Greg_in_CO]

I'm not sure Romney could ever win over the fundamentalist segment of the Republican party; his Mormonism seems to be a deal-breaker. Not sure that adding Huckabee to the ticket would make Mittens any more electable to the fundie base.

 

[ksbluesfan]

It's hard to say this far in advance. I thought Hillary Clinton was a shoo-in to win her party's nomination until she didn't win it.

 

[hgc]

Conventional wisdom would certainly dictate that Romney's "time has come" but again I have to stress that the strength of the TP movement will be the decisive factor in determining the next GOP nominee. Romney is not and never will be TP-approved.

Tea-baggery will have served its purpose after this November, and will be replaced with the regular GOP party operations that it was standing in for all along. For one thing, it's starting to knock off too many standard-bearers and establishment picks (Bennett, Inglis, Scozzofava, Murkowski, Grayson, Crist, etc). They're going to put that dog back on a leash starting Nov 3. I assume that Dick Armey has wrap-up procedures well planned.

 

[hgc]

It's hard to say this far in advance. I thought Hillary Clinton was a shoo-in to win her party's nomination until she didn't win it.

To be more precise, she was a shoo-in until Obama decided 8 years ahead of time that his time had come. Even though the interest in and energy around Obama was an obvious force right from the early mentioning stages, so many of the Democratic establishment were stuck in Hillary-inevitability mode.

 

[The Charnel Expanse]

Tea-baggery will have served its purpose after this November, and will be replaced with the regular GOP party operations that it was standing in for all along. For one thing, it's starting to knock off too many standard-bearers and establishment picks (Bennett, Inglis, Scozzofava, Murkowski, Grayson, Crist, etc). They're going to put that dog back on a leash starting Nov 3. I assume that Dick Armey has wrap-up procedures well planned.

I'm sure the GOP party apparatus would like to believe that as well. But something tells me that this thing is going to go Frankenstein on them.

 

[Trakar]

You know, I forgot about Huckabee. A Romney-Huckabee ticket could give Obama a run for his money. Romney appeals to the moderates, and Huckabee appeals to the Christian wingnuts and libertarian crowd (with his endorsement of the FairTax).

Obama's biggest problem is going to be that he has alienated a significant portion of his base supporters who are thoroughly disillusioned of his "change" and who are unlikely to even make a showing in 2012.

 

[Cicero]

Tea-baggery will have served its purpose after this November, .

Says someone who is well aqainted with "tea-baggery."

 

[hgc]

Says someone who is well aqainted with "tea-baggery."

Your post count is artificially high.

 

[MattusMaximus]

Conventional wisdom would certainly dictate that Romney's "time has come" but again I have to stress that the strength of the TP movement will be the decisive factor in determining the next GOP nominee. Romney is not and never will be TP-approved.

I agree. Whether or not the GOP retakes the U.S. House, I think the TP folks are going to be a thorn in everyone's side (especially the Republican establishment's) for some time to come. I see them flexing their collective muscle once again in the 2012 GOP primaries.