BeAChooser
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Originally Posted by BeAChooser
- From the overcrowding of transportation systems that has resulted (in certain states/cities costing billions).
show me how you figure this
Well, the logic is obvious. Significantly increasing numbers of illegals in an area can cause overcrowding of the transportation network in that area. So you need more highways to carry the people efficiently from one place to another. Or if you don't build those highways/freeways, more time will be wasted by people trying to get from place to place … and that has a significant economic and quality of life cost, too.
Look at the country as a whole. The Pew Hispanic Center estimates that in the 1980s, the illegal population started out increasing at 130,000 a year and was increasing by nearly half a million a year by 1990. Then it increased to 750,000 a year by 1995, and has stayed between 700,000 - 850,000 a year ever since. Based on those estimates, between 1980 and 1990, illegals added about 3 million total to the population and between 1990 and 2000 illegals added another 6 million. And other sources put the number of illegals flowing into the country even higher. For example, Time magazine published an estimate in 2004 that nearly 3 million illegals entered the country that year alone.
Now the population of the US grew between 1980 and 1990 by about 22 million people and between 1990 and 2000 increased by about 33 million. So at least 14% of the increase in the 80's was due to illegals and at least 20% of the increase in the 90's came from illegals (and of course that's not counting the children of illegals born here as legals). And in certain localities, the percent increase was dramatically higher than that.
Look at Los Angeles. It's population in 1980 was 2,970,000. In 1990 it was 3,500,000. That's a 12% growth rate. And in 2000 it was 3,700,000. Now Los Angeles was a major destination for illegals entering the US in the 80s. So of the 3 million that entered the country, the majority of the 500,000 increase in LA population was undoubtedly due to illegals. Likewise, of the 200,000 increase in the 90s, the majority of it was due to illegals.
This has had a profound impact on the LA transportation network. Average rush hour speeds decreased from 26 mph in 1980 to about half that today. The average LA commuter now spends over 70 hours a year in peak hour traffic. There is a cost to that. According to http://www.newgeography.com/content...tion-and-improving-travel-options-los-angeles , "considering the value of wasted time and fuel, TTI estimates the annual cost of traffic congestion in greater Los Angeles at close to $10 billion." Yet LA already has by one of the highest number of lane miles per square mile of any major city in the country.
And here's a whole article on how immigration is affecting traffic congestion: http://www.fairus.org/site/News2?page=NewsArticle&id=16917&security=1601&news_iv_ctrl=1009 . Note that it states the cost of traffic congestion in 2005 was estimated to be $78 billion dollars, up 7 percent from 2004. So I think my statement that congestion of the transportation network caused by illegal immigration is costing a few billions a year is entirely fair and probably on the low side.
And how about the added public utilities infrastructure (sewage, electricity and gas) needed to accomodate all the extra illegals? I didn't mention that before. And illegals are creating congestion not only on our roads, but in our schools, our hospitals, our prisons, our national and state parks, our beaches and other entertainment venues. And look at some of the other direct infrastructure costs not included in that $113 billion estimate.
http://www.wnd.com/?pageId=86243
January 15, 2009
The United States will need $1.6 trillion to repair damage to its infrastructure from a massive influx of immigrants, a new report reveals.
In his report titled, "The Twin Crises: Immigration and Infrastructure," prominent researcher Edwin S. Rubenstein examines 15 categories of infrastructure: airports, border security, bridges, dams and levees, electricity (the power grids), hazardous waste removal, hospitals, mass transit, parks and recreation facilities, ports and navigable waterways, public schools, railroads, roads and highways, solid waste and trash, and water and sewer systems.
Surely of that amount, you would agree that illegals will be responsible for many, many billions every year. Surely.
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- The cost to society from the thousands of murders they commit each year (what's the life of an American citizen worth now days?).
Between 7 - 8 million dollars per person, IIRC based on the Statistical Value of Life calculations.
Oh please. Aren't democrats always saying every life is priceless.
So if we take your "thousands" at face value, then that's between 7 billion and 16 billion dollars.
No need to take my figure at face value.
Representative King concluded that 12 people are murdered a day by illegals in the US. He based his estimate on two GAO reports (http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d05337r.pdf and http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d05646r.pdf ) on the number of incarcerated illegal aliens and the total number of incarcerated prisoners, applying the resulting percentages to the FBI's reported number of crimes in different catergories. Based on that, illegal aliens would be responsible for about 31% of the murders. A figure of 12 per day would total 4380 in a year.
Now I've previously been challenged about the reasonableness of that figure. Well, regarding murders, according to the FBI (http://www.fbi.gov/ucr/05cius/offenses/expanded_information/data/shrtable_03.html ), there were 17,029 offenders *identified* and 5,452 of those offenders were identified as white, while another 4,899 offenders were listed as of unknown race. If those of unknown race also had the same proportion of white/hispanic to blacks as those of known race, that would leave about 7700 white/hispanic offenders … plenty of room for less than 4380 offending illegal aliens (remember, some of these people commit multiple homicides) to have murdered 4380 people that year.
And there are other facts that suggest the estimate of 12 illegal murders a day by illegals might not be inaccurate.
According to Steven Camorata, director of research for the Center for Immigration Studies, in 2004 "roughly 17 percent of the prison population at the federal level" were illegal aliens. That is a huge percentages considering that illegals only account for about 3-6 percent of the total population.
Heather McDonald of the Center for Immigration Studies, in testimony before Congress in 2005, said that about 95% of the outstanding warrants for murder in Los Angeles targeted illegals. According to a DOJ funded study (http://www.cis.org/ImmigrantGangsAnnounce ) in Los Angeles about 60-90% of the notorious MS-13 gang are illegals. And that gang is not just in LA. MS-13 is active in 48 states and according to the same source, in one jurisdiction that was studied, Northern Virginia, some 30 to 40 percent of the gang task force case load involved illegal aliens." And gangs are one of the largest contributors to the murder rate in this country.
So if we accept that illegals kill about 4000 people a year, and used your $7 million per person figure, we're looking at an opportunity cost, just for murders alone of about $30 billion a year to out society. That's not peanuts.
How much wealth is created by illegal immigrant labor?
You already gave us an estimate for that. I'm not even challenging your estimate. What I'm doing is proving that it's but a fraction of the total costs that illegals create for our society.
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- Their connection with drug cartels, gangs and drug smuggling (would our drug and crime problem be anywhere near as serious if illegals weren't so involved in it?).
But wait, homicide rates have clearly gone down since about 1993, and in fact, violent crime and property crime have gone down since the early 90s, while illegal immigration has clearly been accelerating starting about 1993.
But not the proportion of crime due to illegals. That has been increasing, Kevin. For example ...
http://www.urban.org/publications/410366.html
Between 1991 and 1995, how and why has the number of illegal aliens entering the criminal justice system changed?
USSC (BAC - US Sentencing Commission)
- The number of illegal aliens sentenced in federal courts increased by 167 percent , compared with 13 percent for citizens. The number of legal aliens declined by 18 percent over this period.
- The share of defendants in federal courts who were illegal aliens rose from 4 percent to 11 percent while the share who were legal aliens declined from 12 percent to 9 percent.
- The number of illegal aliens sentenced increased for 89 of the 94 federal district courts, for all major offense categories, and for all major country of citizenship groups.
… snip …
- The sharp increase in the number of illegal aliens sentenced is responsible for more than half of the overall increase in the number of defendants sentenced in federal courts and 44 percent in the growth in costs of federal post-sentencing incarceration and supervision.
http://www.newswithviews.com/Kouri/jim62.htm
June 23, 2006
… snip …
after a steady annual reduction in crime, the annual FBI Uniform Crime Report reveals a slow but sure yearly increase in crime, especially violent crime. Some criminologists attribute the rise in crime to illegal aliens who come into the United States with a criminal background.
Even in places like Illinois, illegals make up a sizeable fraction of murderers. For example (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illegal_immigration_to_the_United_States ) , in 2008 "an audit done by agents of Immigration and Customs Enforcement found that 122 of the 637 jail inmates in the Lake County, Illinois jail were of questionable immigration status. … snip … According to Lake County sheriff Mark Curran, illegal immigrants were charged with half of the 14 murders in the county.
How big is the problem?
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/1738432/posts
November 12, 2006
INS/FBI Statistical Report on Undocumented Immigrants
2006 (First Quarter) INS/FBI Statistical Report on Undocumented Immigrants
CRIME STATISTICS
95% of warrants for murder in Los Angeles are for illegal aliens.
83% of warrants for murder in Phoenix are for illegal aliens.
86% of warrants for murder in Albuquerque are for illegal aliens.
75% of those on the most wanted list in Los Angeles, Phoenix and Albuquerque are illegal aliens.
… snip …
53% plus of all investigated burglaries reported in California, New Mexico, Nevada, Arizona and Texas are perpetrated by illegal aliens.
50% plus of all gang members in Los Angeles are illegal aliens from south of the border.
71% plus of all apprehended cars stolen in 2005 in Texas, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada and California were stolen by illegal aliens or “transport coyotes"
47% of cited/stopped drivers in California have no license, no insurance and no registration for the vehicle. Of that 47%, 92% are illegal aliens.
63% of cited/stopped drivers in Arizona have no license, no insurance and no registration for the vehicle. Of that 63%, 97% are illegal aliens
At the end of 2003, over a quarter million illegal aliens were being held in US jails and prisons. The GAO released a report in 2005 (http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d05646r.pdf ) that studied a little over 55,000 illegals who were incarcerated in US facilities in 2003. They found that those 55,000 illegals represented nearly half a million arrests. What would our crime statistics look like if you took illegals out of the picture?
And one more thing for you to consider. There is a correlation (not perfect, but good) between the size of illegal populations and crimes rates in various states. Here were the crime rates (highest is in red and note that Southern California would also be red if you split California in half) in 2002:
http://www.usillegalaliens.com/images2/image018.jpg
And here is a chart of estimated illegal (unauthorized) population as a percent of the total foreign-born population in each state (and again, if California were split in two the Southern part would be dark blue):
http://www.usillegalaliens.com/images2/image020.jpg
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- The cost of the rapes they commit (some estimates put the number of sex offenses caused by this group in the hundreds of thousands each year).
See above, and let's see some statistics.
Deborah Schurman-Kauflin of the Violent Crimes Institute of Atlanta estimated there were about a quarter million illegal immigrant sex offenders in the US between 1999 and 2006, who had an average of four victims EACH. Here's her study and what she concluded:
http://www.drdsk.com/articles.html#Illegals
After conducting a 12 month in-depth study of illegal immigrants who committed sex crimes and murders for the time period of January 1999 through April 2006, it is clear that the U.S. public faces a dangerous threat from sex predators who cross the U.S. borders illegally.
There were 1500 cases analyzed in depth. They included: serial rapes, serial murders, sexual homicides, and child molestation committed by illegal immigrants. Police reports, public records, interviews with police, and media accounts were all included. Offenders were located in 36 states, but it is clear, that the most of the offenders were located in states with the highest numbers of illegal immigrants. California was number one, followed by Texas, Arizona, New Jersey, New York, and Florida.
Based on population numbers of 12,000,000 illegal immigrants and the fact that young males make up more of this population than the general U.S. population, sex offenders in the illegal immigrant group make up a higher percentage. When examining ICE reports and public records, it is consistent to find sex offenders comprising 2% of illegals apprehended. Based on this 2% figure, which is conservative, there are approximately 240,000 illegal immigrant sex offenders in the United States.
This translates to 93 sex offenders and 12 serial sexual offenders coming across U.S. borders illegally per day. The 1500 offenders in this study had a total of 5,999 victims. Each sex offender averaged 4 victims. This places the estimate for victimization numbers around 960,000 for the 88 months examined in this study.
Here's more on that study: http://www.wnd.com/?pageId=36410 .
She found it especially disturbing that in 22 percent of all sex crimes committed by illegal immigrants, victims with physical and mental disabilities were targeted.
So how do you value the cost of that crime, Kevin? To paraphrase a Free Republic poster, how much cheap lawn care or pennies off the cost of a tomato cancel out one brutal rape by an illegal?
Here is one estimate of the cost of sexual assualts in the US overall (back in 1996):
http://www.svfreenyc.org/media/factsheets/fsht_9.pdf
“The National Institute of Justice estimates that rape and other sexual assaults of adults cause an annual minimum loss of 127 billion dollars … snip … This figure makes sexual assault the costliest crime; even higher than murder.” US Department of Justice, Victim Costs and Consequences: A New Look, 1996; Summary by Virginians Aligned Against Sexual Assault
Must be higher now. So how many of those billions can be laid on the door step of illegals? Surely more than just a few billion. Even if the rate of sex crimes by illegals is the same as the populace at large (and some contend it is higher), that would be 6% of that cost … more than $70 billion A YEAR.
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- The cost of the traffic accidents they cause (see http://www.usillegalaliens.com/impac...accidents.html ).
Legalize them!
According to that source, http://www.usillegalaliens.com/impacts_of_illegal_immigration_traffic_accidents.html , 5% of the population on the East Coast is Hispanic, but they are involved in 25% of fatal traffic accidents. What does legalizing them do to change this, Kevin? And how does that magically get them auto insurance? How does that magically change their personalities so they don't drink and drive as much? Again, that source notes that Hispanics have a much higher rate of DUI. How does legalizing (what you think that really means) change that?
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- The disruption they cause to what was once a primarily english speaking culture in terms of its cohesion and values.
Yeah I don't care about that.
Of course you don't. Few liberals do nowadays. What the founders set out to create in this country means nothing to you.
What's the cost?
What do you think is the eventual cost of Balkanizing a country? I assure you, it's more than a few billion. It can even spell the end to that country as history has proven time and again. There will be consequences to what is happening even if you don't want to acknowledge that. There always are.
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- The detrimental impact that non-english speaking students are having on the education system and the progress of other students' learning.
I don't know, that could be a legitimate issue. But I imagine it's at the bottom of your list because it was at the bottom of the barrel.
The order of my list had no significance. And since the future of our country rests with our children (democrats keep pontificating about that when they ask for more and more and more money for teacher unions … which just happen to be amongst the largest contributors to the democratic party), this actually is probably the most serious problem of all. Too bad you don't recognize that. But then liberals have been content with a public education system that only graduates 50% of students in the 50 largest school districts for decades.
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- The money they take out of our economy and send back home (some estimates put that at over $45 billion a year in 2006 alone).
Well, legalize them.
And how will that change the amount of money they send out of the country every year? Or are you planning to let all those dependents they are sending the money to into the country as well? See … that's one of the little dark secrets of the amnesty you people keep pushing.
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And don't forget the long term costs of caring for them in the future when it turns out they have neither the language or other skills necessary to succeed at more than menial jobs in the US. And when we give them amnesty on top of that. As is, we are just beginning to understand how big and unsustainable those costs will be for our own citizens. Imagine also having to take care of millions of what were illegals (thanks to amnesty … and don't think the one democrats now want would be the last) who decide to not learn much english during their lifetimes, because we allow them not to learn, and who as a result basically remain unskilled their entire lives without much in the way of savings. Here's an article on a study done by the Heritage Foundation that concluded each illegal would result in a $100,000 net annual cost to taxpayers: http://www.10news.com/news/9620142/detail.html . As they put it, the US has effectively imported "10 million high school dropouts". And that will mean the future cost of illegals will reach half a trillion dollars a year. That dwarfs any possible positive effect illegals might have on our economy.
Let me ask you this. Would you or any fellow Americans oppose caring for them if they were unskilled and helpless and elderly in Mexico? Personally I mean? Would you help them?
So you don't want to address this problem either. I see.
Tell me Kevin … is the only thing that is important to you, getting as many people into the country as soon as possible that will vote democrat in future elections? Because that is exactly what it looks like from where I'm standing.