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OOS Collapse Propagation Model

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Oh. No response. Would it not be better to address questions by those actually willing to consider rational answers ?

Does the ROOSD study *fit in* with your understanding of each Towers' demise ? If so, then in all essence, NIST were wrong to *throw out* the pancake theory, Bazant et al were off-base trying to match a model with column buckling to the real-world event, and anyone who's not prepared to be clear and open about the context of any individual study/paper/theory is going to have to deal with those issues before progression can occur.
 
If you invested a little time in refining the original flawed, non-conspiratorial explanation, you might be able to convince some of the 1202 architectural and engineering professionals who've signed up to Richard Gage's petition.

Do they actually have 1202 on the list?

When I checked back at 1100, there were 996 actual names on the list. Why would they inflate their numbers by 104 people who didn't sign the petition? Hmmm?

do they actually haev 1202, or some number closer to 1050?

Of those 1202, can you point me to any peer reviewed engineering journal article that ANY of them have published which says NIST is wrong? I'd love to read one.
 
No! quite clearly Kong did it.....I have seen pictures of Kong on the twin towers!

Kong was just trying to smash a hush a invisi mothra which did it silently and left no traces behind.

How do you know it was kong? did you see the body? Hmm? the evidence says there was under 3000 bodies... not one was kong.

disinfo shill!!!!!
 
There also seems to be resistance to openly accept that ROOSD (or whatever you wish to call the specific mechanism) is a very good match to observables, and is very probably *correct*. More correct than old descriptors, such as *the pancake theory*, which was fatally flawed by attempting to include the initiation mechanism and the core in its scope.

Since we have seemed to agree on that the sudden collapse of a floor or even large section of floor would be enough to bring the rest of the building down all thats left to argue about its what caused that initial collapse.
If you think it was explosives please show your evidence for this as apparently ROOSD does not require explosives to be the initiation event.
And why suspect explosives if the building collapses EXACTLY as it would after any initiation event? If the collapse is no longer suspicious and there is no evidence of explosives surely that simply closes one chapter of the 911 "truth" story? Yes one could have placed explosives to bring the building down in the same way, but unless you come up with a plausible way they could be planted in exactly the same place as the planes hit and how they could have survived the impact and fires. Finally you have to explain why bother with explosives with when its quite clear impact and fire alone are more than enough to cause them to collapse and any conspiracy worth the name could have worked that out and not taken the risk of adding explosives!
 
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Since we have seemed to agree on that the sudden collapse of a floor or even large section of floor would be enough to bring the rest of the building down all thats left to argue about its what caused that initial collapse.

You forgot about the core.
 
Might be an idea to remind yourself of the NIST position...

I know the collapse theory. It seems to be the 911 TM who don't.

So what method of progressive destruction do you actually support, fdf ?

Progressive collapse.

It's unimaginable that NIST could be wrong, surely ?

No.

Are you going to disagree with NIST, or agree with ROOSD ? ;)

As they are talking about initiation then no to NIST. Disagree with unqualified Major Tom. Yes.
 
Some people ask about initiation and explosives. This is obviously a very important topic, but in the first few pages of this thread some people posted things against the model in the OP that were untrue. Many people have insulted me but nobody has yet been able to admit that some of the earlier posts criticizing the study are untrue.



Sheeples, I am not obsessed with Bazant. I can see what these papers prove and what they do not prove or address. Many people in your forum use his papers as if they are perfect. They do not provide the "proof" many people imagine they do.

..............................................

To make my views on each paper perfectly clear, I am posting a first draft of my review of each paper.

Review of Bazant and Zhou at
http://www.the911forum.freeforums.org/review-of-bazant-and-zhou-t375.html

Review of Bazant and Verdure at
http://www.the911forum.freeforums.org/review-of-bazant-and-verdure-t378.html

Review of Bazant, Le, Greening, Benson at
http://www.the911forum.freeforums.org/review-of-bazant-le-greening-benson-t379.html

Review of BL(BVReply) will be posted soon, but it follows the same line of argument that BV does.


Each review is just a first draft but I think each can already show what the papers actually prove and what they do not prove or address.

Many of these comments will probably not make some of you feel happy, but I believe each of my comments are true or I wouldn't post them. If anyone wishes to challenge any section or comment, please be specific. If anyone needs me to further address specific passages or issues, please ask.
 
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Some people ask about initiation and explosives. This is obviously a very important topic, but in the first few pages of this thread some people posted things against the model in the OP that were untrue. Many people have insulted me but nobody has yet been able to admit that some of the earlier posts criticizing the study are untrue.

And what exactly is wrong with those criticisms?
 
<snip>
To make my views on each paper perfectly clear, I am posting a first draft of my review of each paper.

Review of Bazant and Zhou at
http://www.the911forum.freeforums.org/review-of-bazant-and-zhou-t375.html

Review of Bazant and Verdure at
http://www.the911forum.freeforums.org/review-of-bazant-and-verdure-t378.html

Review of Bazant, Le, Greening, Benson at
http://www.the911forum.freeforums.org/review-of-bazant-le-greening-benson-t379.html

Review of BL(BVReply) will be posted soon, but it follows the same line of argument that BV does.
<snip>

Major Tom still misses the big picture as previously explained, by not dividing the collapses into two phases.
The NIST WTC1,2 reports thoroughly analyze the actual events leading up to the initial collapses. The NIST WTC7 report thoroughly analyzes the actual initial and global collapse. Each report is integrated.

Bazant’s three papers and response to comments thoroughly explains actual global collapse of a building where the impact forces go into the columns and are distributed among them equally. Bazant applies this paradigm as the closest ideal analysis of the global collapse of WTC1,2. His calculations of the collapse times following this paradigm is corroborated by the close match to the actual collapse times of the Towers by multiple seismographs monitoring ground vibration in the general area. Review of Verinage demolitions indicate the validity of the crush down crush up phases of homogenous collapse propagation. The papers are integrated.

Bazant
For our purpose, we may assume that all the impact forces go
into the columns and are distributed among them equally. Unlikely
though such a distribution may be, it is nevertheless the
most optimistic hypothesis to make because the resistance of the
building to the impact is, for such a distribution, the highest. If the
building is found to fail under a uniform distribution of the impact
forces, it would fail under any other distribution.

Bazant’s consistent refinement of the original WTC1,2 paradigm is the subject of another post. I personally don’t have the time now.

Both NIST and Bazant’s papers complement each other as the gravity only explanation of the collapse of all three Towers.

It is a mistake by Major Tom to criticize Bazant for not thoroughly explaining the initial collapses of WTC1,2 and initial and global collapse of WTC7. These were outside his respective scopes of study. See NIST.

The convention among civil/structural engineers is to distinguish between these two phases and as being complementary. Major Tom ignores this by scrambling ice cream and steak, steak a la mode, as it were. This creates the straw man bulk of his criticism.

First Bazant paper (written two days after 9/11/2001)
Major Tom
Because BZ provides no proof of how condition "A" comes to be, it offers no provable explanation for any of the following:
1) The collapse initiation mechanism of WTC 1 or 2 (the "how" of condition "A" for WTC1)
2) Anything concerning the collapse of WTC 7, including:

…It provides a narration of what he believes happened during the collapse initiation sequence, yet states it as fact. It provides no proof for this narration.

Second Bazant paper
Major Tom
Structural engineers do not study the mechanics of falling buildings. This type of study would probably be more familiar to a person with a strong background in mathematics and physics.

1)Major Tom’s lightweight math free analysis reveals a lack of experience in any of these fields. (Structural engineering, mathematics, physics)

"To a truther, having double standards simply means they're better than the average person, because they have twice as many standards."- CI1mh4224rd

2)Wrong- Bazant has a strong background in all three. The literature is replete with structural engineers analyzing the mechanics of falling buildings and structural failures, not mathematicians or physicists.

Major Tom
In the case of CD, planted explosives would be the cause of the "initial trigger". Collapse propagation may be similar for both CD and natural collapse. How can a collapse propagation model be used to "dispel the myth of planted explosives" if propagation is about the same in both cases?
Major Tom
Collapse initiation is the key factor which distinguishes between CD and a natural collapse.

Major Toms’ mistakes throughout all three papers continue similarly.

Major Tom believes CD occurred in NIST's Phase 1, Initial Collapse. Bazant is the wrong venue. The proper venue for Major Tom's CD claims is the NIST report. Analyze that instead.

It is like Major Tom showing up to play at a Bruins-Rangers game dressed in ballet tights. The proper venue for that is Nijinsky’s Le sacre du printemps at Lincoln Center.
 
Even 996 translates to 8 years of failed debunking.

So you have an online petition which claims there are 1100 people who signed it, but when counted only shows 996... what do you call that?

Failed math?
Bad programming?
Faulty data?
LYING?

Nice attempt to spin it..... but when you have an online petition which claims one thing, but has different numbers... it is called lying.

and even out of those 996...how many have managed to put together just one peer reviewed engineering journal article saying NIST is wrong?

It has been 8 years HI. 8 fricking years. Even with your stupidity and poor education, you could have started a university engineering program and have graduated with a Masters of Structural engineering by now. You could have actually DONE something with your life to PROVE it was wrong... but instead you troll internet boards and sign in as sock puppets... how pathetic.
 
Some people ask about initiation and explosives. This is obviously a very important topic, but in the first few pages of this thread some people posted things against the model in the OP that were untrue. Many people have insulted me but nobody has yet been able to admit that some of the earlier posts criticizing the study are untrue.



Sheeples, I am not obsessed with Bazant. I can see what these papers prove and what they do not prove or address. Many people in your forum use his papers as if they are perfect. They do not provide the "proof" many people imagine they do.

..............................................

To make my views on each paper perfectly clear, I am posting a first draft of my review of each paper.

Review of Bazant and Zhou at
http://www.the911forum.freeforums.org/review-of-bazant-and-zhou-t375.html

Review of Bazant and Verdure at
http://www.the911forum.freeforums.org/review-of-bazant-and-verdure-t378.html

Review of Bazant, Le, Greening, Benson at
http://www.the911forum.freeforums.org/review-of-bazant-le-greening-benson-t379.html

Review of BL(BVReply) will be posted soon, but it follows the same line of argument that BV does.


Each review is just a first draft but I think each can already show what the papers actually prove and what they do not prove or address.

Many of these comments will probably not make some of you feel happy, but I believe each of my comments are true or I wouldn't post them. If anyone wishes to challenge any section or comment, please be specific. If anyone needs me to further address specific passages or issues, please ask.

There's no math there.
 
Even 996 translates to 8 years of failed debunking.

I wonder if the numbers supporting other insane claims rise too?

Bigfoot.

Moon landings were a hoax?

Magic bullet?

Etc.

Cuz if they do, then this is proof that insane is incurable, and since the population is growing, then the raw numbers will rise in direct proportion - %age wise - to the increase in raw population numbers.

And of course, since 9/11 twoof is a relatively new insanity when compared to the above examples, it's only logical to expect for them to grow at a faster rate than the other, more "established" tripe.
 
Basquearch writes: "Major Tom still misses the big picture as previously explained, by not dividing the collapses into two phases."

BZ describes 5 stages. From the paper::

"The 110-story towers of the World Trade Center were designed to
withstand as a whole the forces caused by a horizontal impact of
a large commercial aircraft (Appendix I). So why did a total collapse
occur? The cause was the dynamic consequence of the prolonged
heating of the steel columns to very high temperature. The
heating lowered the yield strength and caused viscoplastic (creep)
buckling of the columns of the framed tube along the perimeter of
the tower and of the columns in the building core. The likely
scenario of failure is approximately as follows.
In stage 1 (Fig. 1), the conflagration, caused by the aircraft fuel
spilled into the structure, causes the steel of the columns to be
exposed to sustained temperatures apparently exceeding 800°C.
The heating is probably accelerated by a loss of the protective
thermal insulation of steel during the initial blast. At such temperatures,
structural steel suffers a decrease of yield strength and
exhibits significant viscoplastic deformation (i.e., creep—an increase
of deformation under sustained load). This leads to creep
buckling of columns (Bazant and Cedolin 1991, Sec. 9), which
consequently lose their load carrying capacity (stage 2). Once
more than half of the columns in the critical floor that is heated
most suffer buckling (stage 3), the weight of the upper part of the
structure above this floor can no longer be supported, and so the
upper part starts falling down onto the lower part below the critical
floor, gathering speed until it impacts the lower part. At that
moment, the upper part has acquired an enormous kinetic energy
and a significant downward velocity. The vertical impact of the
mass of the upper part onto the lower part (stage 4) applies enormous
vertical dynamic load on the underlying structure, far exceeding
its load capacity, even though it is not heated. This causes
failure of an underlying multifloor segment of the tower (stage 4),
in which the failure of the connections of the floor-carrying
trusses to the columns is either accompanied or quickly followed
by buckling of the core columns and overall buckling of the
framed tube, with the buckles probably spanning the height of
many floors (stage 5, at right), and the upper part possibly getting
wedged inside an emptied lower part of the framed tube (stage 5,
at left). The buckling is initially plastic but quickly leads to fracture
in the plastic hinges. The part of building lying beneath is
then impacted again by an even larger mass falling with a greater
velocity, and the series of impacts and failures then proceeds all
the way down (stage 5)."

So do I.

Basquearch writes: "Bazant’s three papers and response to comments thoroughly explains actual global collapse of a building where the impact forces go into the columns and are distributed among them equally."

This is false. There are many arguments given in the papers. Only the argument in BZ and later repeated in BLGB in the section titled "Inabsorbable Kinetic Energy" uses such an initial impact.

He also says: "Both NIST and Bazant’s papers complement each other as the gravity only explanation of the collapse of all three Towers."

Bazant offers nothing about collapse initiation in any of his papers except his own personal opinions about what initiated collapse. He discusses many arguments concerning collapse progression, but they cannot be used to distinguish between natural collapse and a CD which exploits structurally weaker seams within a building, such as the OOS regions or a line of bolted column to column connections located along the 98th floor.

From the BLGB review:

"Review of first paragraph:

BLGB: "To explain the collapse, it was proposed (on September 13, 2001; Bazant 2001; Bazant and Zhou 2002) that viscoplastic buckling of heated and overloaded columns caused the top part of tower to fall through the height of at least one story, and then shown that the kinetic energy of the impact on the lower part must have exceeded the energy absorption capacity of the lower part by an order of magnitude."

Dr Bazant gave an unsubstantiated opinion that the early deformation and initial buckling sequence was caused by viscoplastic buckling of heated and overloaded columns in 2001. Only 2 core columns from the WTC1, 2 collapse initiation zones were recovered, so there is no proof that collective viscoplastic buckling of heated and overloaded columns. It is just his opinion but he presents it is fact.


BLGB: "A meticulous investigation of unprecedented scope and detail,
conducted by S. Shyam Sunder’s team at the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST 2005), supports this explanation."

Dr Bazant's opinion (2001) of the cause of WTC1, 2 collapse initiation was "confirmed" in 2005 by "a meticulous investigation of unprecedented scope and detail" conducted by S. Shyam Sunder’s team at the National Institute of Standards and Technology.

Many people believe that Dr Bazant has "proven" that both collapse initiation and collapse progression for WTC1 and 2 were natural. The reality is that Dr Bazant only stated his opinion of what he thinks happened during collapse initiation without any proof. His "proof" is the NIST report on the WTC1, 2 collapse initiation scenarios and the famous sagging floors. This is the final "proof"."


Everything Bazant says about the cause of collapse initiation is his own personal opinion presented as fact. The only supposed "proof" is in the "meticulous investigation of unprecedented scope and detail, conducted by S. Shyam Sunder’s team at the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST 2005).

This "proof" depends on many questionable claims by the NIST. The NIST provides the only known "proof" while Dr Bazant just narrates his opinion.

This "proof" of the cause of inward bowing and the claim that perimeter destabilization caused the collapses will be addressed in an upcoming paper.

So to be very clear concerning collapse initiation: NIST supplies the "proof" while Bazant just narrates his opinion.

Archebasque writes: "Review of Verinage demolitions indicate the validity of the crush down crush up phases of homogenous collapse propagation."

You are clearly making up opinions as you go. Bazant never mentions Verinage style CD. "crush down, then crush up" doesn't actually exist, for WTC1 or in the case of verinage style demolitions. My comment in the review meant that if he had bothered to compare his crush down, crush up assumption with actual demolitions using crushing as a means of destruction like the verinage style demolitions, he would have seen that his assumption is wrong.

From the BV review:

"Conclusions:

The crush down (eq 12) and crush up (eq 17) equations of motion for progressive collapse cannot be applied to WTC1. "Crush down, then crush up" has no application for WTC1 whatsoever. IT also cannot be observed in many Verinage style demolitions, where the top part of a building is intentionally dropped on the bottom part. While "crush up, then crush down" seems mathematically sound, we can find no consistent examples of buildings that behave that way. So why do some people, including Dr Bazant, believe in "crush down, then crush up"? The concept "crush down, then crush up" seems only the brain-child of a mathematical calculation in BV that the author and many of his readers began to take literally. Many people considered the process of "crush-down, then crush-up" to exist and be applicable to WTC1 without any supporting visual evidence. It is clearly not."

"Crush down, then crush up" came from a 1-D mathematical calculation which Dr Bazant believed represented something real. He applies this to WTC1 in 2008.

Many of the posters here probably believe that crush down, then crush up" actually happens with buildings because "Dr Bazant said so".


Basquearch continues: "The literature is replete with structural engineers analyzing the mechanics of falling buildings and structural failures"

Please think about what you are saying. If this is true, why is Bazant introducing these basic crush down and crush up equations in 2008?

Can you cite any equations of motion derived to describe the movement of the crush zone of buildings before 2008? If so, why doesn't Bazant just reference the work already done?


Basquearch writes: "Major Tom believes CD occurred in NIST's Phase 1, Initial Collapse. Bazant is the wrong venue. The proper venue for Major Tom's CD claims is the NIST report. Analyze that instead."

Collapse initiation and early deformation are certainly the most important places to look. I agree with you that the Bazant papers are the wrong place to look. So when Bazant writes in BLGB:

"Previous analysis of progressive collapse showed that gravity alone suffices to explain the overall collapse of the World Trade Center (WTC) towers. However, it remains to be checked whether the recent allegations of controlled demolition have any scientific merit. The present analysis proves that they do not."

you will agree that this is false. Bazant is not the right venue for studying the central CD questions, though he claims his analysis proves CD didn't happen.

Or in BV when he writes:

"However, a theory describing the progressive collapse dynamics
beyond the initial trigger, with the WTC as a paradigm, could
nevertheless be very useful for other purposes, especially for
learning from demolitions. It could also help to clear up misunderstanding
(and thus to dispel the myth of planted explosives)."

You would agree with me that Bazant cannot expel the accusation of planted explosives by describing collapse dynamics beyond the initial trigger as he claims. It is not the place to look.


We seem to agree with each other that Bazant is not the right venue. BLGB cannot possibly be used to determine "whether the recent allegations of controlled demolition have any scientific merit." When he claims to disprove CD in BLGB, he is wrong.
 
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We seem to agree with each other that Bazant is not the right venue. BLGB cannot possibly be used to determine "whether the recent allegations of controlled demolition have any scientific merit." When he claims to disprove CD in BLGB, he is wrong.


Again I ask, so what??? Unless you can show that your theory for the collapse cannot have had been initiated by the impact and fire and/or show evidence of explosives and how they were placed in exactly the right place how it collapsed post initiation is of no matter other than we need to try to design out that in future building.
I think everyone know appreciates that the floor truss design, attachment and fireproofing was flawed and that one should not group all fire escapes in a central core. We know this so what is to be gained from you flogging your particular horse.

If you are convinced you are right then write the paper and present it to an appopriate journal. Stop wasting your time trying to convince us that you are right!
 
Many of these comments will probably not make some of you feel happy, but I believe each of my comments are true or I wouldn't post them. If anyone wishes to challenge any section or comment, please be specific. If anyone needs me to further address specific passages or issues, please ask.

1. Where's the math?

Where do you give any calculations proving.....well.....anything?

2. Where's the physics?

Where do you give any principles of physics proving.....well....anything?


Your papers seem to be a combination of complaining, crying, assuming, and imagining....

Is there some, you know, math and physics in there somewhere?

Math and physics are kinda important to writing something related to engineering.....don't you think?
 
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