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Amanda Knox guilty - all because of a cartwheel

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It was Stilicho who said, when it was suggested that people might voluntarily submit fingerprints, blood or DNA samples for exclusion purposes:

Nobody in their right mind would volunteer any of those things without a lawyer present.

London John pointed to the Colin Pitchfork case in which 5,000 people did exactly that. I suppose every one of them was "not in his right mind" at the time. :rolleyes:
 
Sorry, Rose, but I do not find Nadeau's book of opinions to be worth much. Just as I don't accept Darkness Descending as a credible source. These are books, written to sell, and thus, as both sides have shown, both are subject to errors/fabrications/"little white lies"/etc.

What I have read does not indicate that Mignini is insane, nor "whacked".

As you have yet to provide solid, credible evidence that he is "whacked", I ask that you refrain from further attacks on Mignini's character and, rather, stick to the evidence involved in the case.

An enemies list Bob? You don't consider that as evidence? And all those wiretaps of reporters and journalists. You believe these things are normal behavior? And the evidence presented in court against him, you don't see anything strange in any of the actions he took?
 
Ok, according to you and Wiki there has only been three miscarriages of justice in Italy since 1969. Quite the jewel indeed.

According to Wiki there have only been three miscarriages of justice in Italy? Really?

Why is that right at the top of that page it says this:

"This is an incomplete list".

It's not even like those words are hidden at the bottom or something. You must have gone out of your way to not notice them and pretend that they weren't there in order to make a (spurious) point. Way to go!
 
You don't think Spezi was involved in Sfarzo's site, really? So innocent :)

The longer you become involved in this case, the more you realise how tangled the web is...and I don't mean this just from discussion on message boards or stuff you read in the odd article or book, but from the contacts you make directly involved in the case. I'm not going to tell any tales...but there is MUCH going on behind the scenes few here are aware of.

Mignini believes Spezi is involved in Sfarzo's site? He's NOT alone ;)

And no, I never disputed Spezi's involvement in Perugia Shock..especially when I know different.

I thought you told me it was West Coast, California, or something along those lines. I recall we had a long discussion about Frank's character and I don't remember Spezi being even mentioned.
 
I've already explicitly explained how it would assist and expedite the investigation.

Regretfully, I've decided that there's something going on here. As a result, I won't be responding to any of your posts, nor following up any of your responses to mine. I'm not going to explain in detail why not.

I've also explained how it wasn't necessary.

I understand...I'm a tough foe to take on. I don't blame you.
 
DNA transfer during strangulation

G. N. Rutty, “An investigation into the transference and survivability of human DNA following simulated manual strangulation with consideration of the problem of third party contamination”
International Journal of Legal Medicine Volume 116, Number 3 / June, 2002
Abstract Amplification was performed on human DNA material transferred during a model of manual strangulation. A total of 29 separate experiments were performed using a single male offender-female victim combination to observe whether DNA was transferred both from the offender’s fingers to the victim’s neck and vice versa and to consider the period of time after the event during which the material could potentially be recovered and amplified. DNA was amplified from either the victim’s neck or the offender’s fingers for at least 10 days after the contact although it is discussed whether this is potentially due to primary contact or a secondary/tertiary transfer event. The study highlights the problem of contamination of the offender’s hands and victim’s neck with third party DNA, the presence of which could have a significant outcome for both the investigating authority and the third party.
http://www.springerlink.com/content/663jw8g003k5e9yc/

This study shows that DNA is transferred from the strangler to the victim. Although a knife attack is different, if the perpetrator(s) restrained the victim using bare hands, DNA should transfer by the same means. The study also produced evidence of secondary or tertiary transfer.

Halides1
 
An enemies list Bob? You don't consider that as evidence? And all those wiretaps of reporters and journalists. You believe these things are normal behavior? And the evidence presented in court against him, you don't see anything strange in any of the actions he took?

Of course it was normal, he was investigating a case, a serious one. Wiretaps are standard in Italy.

Know this...if you're in Italy and you or anyone close to you is connected to a serious crime, your phone is being tapped...and it doesn't matter which zone you are in under the control of which prosecutor. This is 'standard'.

What evidence against him? Let's talk specifics.
 
I thought you told me it was West Coast, California, or something along those lines. I recall we had a long discussion about Frank's character and I don't remember Spezi being even mentioned.

Why would I mention Spezi here in any depth? This is a discussion thread on a public message board...why would the inner workings be raised here, just for a chat?

What I will say, is aside from the accused, the ILE and the defence, he's one of the main players...always has been, from the very beginning. He's the organ grinder behind the monkey that is Douglas Preston.
 
According to Wiki there have only been three miscarriages of justice in Italy? Really?

Why is that right at the top of that page it says this:

"This is an incomplete list".

It's not even like those words are hidden at the bottom or something. You must have gone out of your way to not notice them and pretend that they weren't there in order to make a (spurious) point. Way to go!

It's an incomplete list? Then why refer to it?
 
In every single media report produced by halides1 (and I produced a few extras on my own), the proof of contamination, falsification, or other hanky-panky, the lead paragraph includes details of audit reports that revealed the problem. This is standard in any type of business and forensics laboratories are no different. It took me two minutes to read through and post several examples.

Maybe it's the language barrier, but it seemed very much like you were making claims about audit reports specifically about this lab or even this case. Now it sounds like all you are saying is that you found some stories about audits of other labs, and you presume from those other stories that the lab that carried out these tests is therefore so thoroughly audited that mistakes (or falsification) can be ruled out for now.

Kestrel has previously claimed that there are no audit reports at all--not simply no negative ones--because he says that the Rome crime lab is exempt from audit requirements. Dan O has moreover claimed that the technician who provided the data is not even a real doctor but instead holds a bachelor's degree in the general arts.

I certainly don't want you to dig through the 12,000+ posts to find this but you should be aware that the advocates have made nothing short of outrageous claims against the Italian authorities without a shred of evidence to support them. I just picked a couple of the worst ones.

Has any evidence about audit procedures in the Rome lab been posted at all, or is everyone trying to extrapolate from random news stories about unrelated labs?

Until Fiona posted it, I'd originally thought that people leave all kinds of physical evidence at the scenes of a crime. We had been specifically discussing fingerprint evidence because it seemed odd that there were very few of Amanda's prints even in her own room. You find it unusual that there isn't more physical evidence whereas cases are sometimes solved without any physical evidence. We're accustomed to Columbo or CSI style murder investigations where physical evidence is plentiful.

I'm not arguing that it's absolutely inconceivable that they left no evidence, although the wealth of evidence placing Rudy at the scene stands in distinct contrast to the lack of evidence placing Amanda and Raffaele there. I do think that maybe you are trying to generalise from Generic Murder Scene A to this murder scene where supposedly three people raped someone who the forensic evidence said put up a serious struggle.

According to wikipedia (I paraphrase) they found Rudy Guede's fingerprint left in Kercher's blood, Guede's bloody left-hand print on a pillow found under the victim's back, Guede's DNA on and inside Kercher's body, Guede's DNA on Kercher's shirt and bra (right side and severed strap) mixed with Kercher's blood splatter and more of Guede's DNA on Kercher's handbag (purse). Yet they found nothing to implicate Amanda or Raffaele at all until that fortuitous bit of DNA on a bra clasp that also had three other unidentified people's DNA on it forty-seven days into the investigation.

I am arguing that lack of evidence is lack of evidence.

Then there's the issue of motive. Again, I don't expect you to dig through 12,000 posts but that's been examined over and over again too. There was a group dynamic involved which, as the violence against Meredith escalated, allowed all three to participate with less individual responsibility. There has been some discussion of substance abuse which could have also led to a lowering of inhibitions in the assailants.

I'd recommend reading some murder cases to find out just how few of them have plausible motives and plentiful physical evidence. Reena Virk was murdered either because of a jacket or a note. Joanne Wilson's murderer was convicted without any physical evidence and no murder weapon.

It seems to me that you are arguing that you don't need physical evidence because sometimes there is no physical evidence, and you don't need a motive because sometimes there is no motive.

Lack of evidence is still lack of evidence.

Kevin probably would have let Rudy go for lack of evidence, too. He has extremely high standards of reasonable doubt.

Are you going to retract that accusation, or are we done? This is getting way too lengthy for me to waste my time on people who aren't prepared to be civil and stick to the facts. This accusation is ridiculous, unfounded and offensive.

What is all this obsession with motive? reading you one would think motive is more important then the actual evidence. What's with that? We don't know 'why' they did it, so that means they didn't do it? Courts deal with facts and evidence, not mind reading. In regard to 'reason's, senseless murders happen all the time, having spun out of control for the most petty of reasons. Sometimes the reasons are never known, especially when those involved are all saying they 'didn't do it'. That's life. The establishment of a motive is not a requirement for a conviction.

While all this is true, lack of evidence is lack of evidence and lack of motive is lack of motive. It's perfectly reasonable to think that lack of evidence and lack of motive add up to doubt about someone's guilt.

This is a defensive on the back foot argument. I never claimed it was evidence, I stated they could be responsible for any of the unattributable traces. Those traces are of people, people who could be Amanda and Raffaele, just as easily as of anyone else. It is not correct to describe the room as some 'Bermuda Triangle' where they certainly left no evidence. It can only be stated they left no evidence that can be attributed to them, aside from Raffaele's DNA (along with Amanda's actually) on the clasp, Amanda's footprints on the pillow and partial female barefoot footprints that were certainly not Meredith's (and Rudy Guede's)

It's not a "defensive on the back foot argument". Lack of evidence is lack of evidence.

Also those alleged footprints can't be linked to Amanda Knox, which is a bit of a problem if you are trying to use them as evidence of guilt.

Sorry, this reads like sophistry to me. If you are going to allege wrongdoing, you need to evidence it...it's as simple as that.

You can make up your own rules for this debate, but I'm not obliged to observe them. I'm perfectly happy to believe that falsification or serious error is possible without direct evidence that it actually happened. I believe all sorts of things to be possible every day without having direct evidence they actually happened and I don't see anything wrong with that.

Rudy knew Amanda, Amanda knew Rudy. It's okay, we'll correct you when you get the facts wrong ;)

From what I have read Amanda knew Rudy by sight as someone who lived nearby but not by name. Can you point us to any evidence that Amanda and Rudy knew each other better, preferably evidence that they knew each other well enough to consider hatching rape plots?

Otherwise it seems to me to be massaging the facts to say "Amanda knew Rudy".

Here we go again. Provide an alternative, viable, explanation for them then. If it's plausible, how hard can it be?

The prints are a match for Raffaele and Amanda and were proven to be so in the trial. You can assert and assert, but the house of bricks will still stand :)

Is this the fifth time? Luminol is not a conclusive test for blood. Followup tests did not show the presence of blood. There are lots of things it could have been and you don't know any more than we do what it was or how it got there. It proves nothing either way. Nor are luminol results precise enough to let you say that a given footprint is identical to another footprint.

I'm saying, Amanda and Raffaele have been found guilty because they left footprints in Meredith's blood which forms only a SMALL part of the evidence against them, the WHOLE of which convicted them, in a fair trial. That's what I'm saying. But back to the prints...establishing something as fact isn't just about what you can rule 'in' but also what can can be ruled OUT and since all other candidates for the prints can be ruled out, only blood remains, reinforced by the clear bloody print on the mat, the fact the prints happen to match the two convicted and the fact and the fact that the only viable source...BLOOD, was in rich supply on the night of the murder.

Once again you are asserting factual claims which the evidence simply does not support. You have not ruled out everything other than blood, nor have you demonstrated that the prints match anyone with enough accuracy to prove anything.

You offer no other candidate or explanation because you have none. That makes your argument invalid...and you know it is. Accept the truth...they murdered Meredith, you may not like it bit that's no excuse, that's life!

I think you and Stilicho might need a bit of a time out. I'm prepared to discuss this civilly but it seems that both of you resort to asserting things which simply aren't true and making unfounded personal attacks, and life is too short to deal with a case this complicated unless both sides have a genuine commitment to sticking to the facts and not making things up, either about the evidence or about the other posters in this thread.

As for the print on the mat, from that I draw no firm conclusions of whether Rudy (or anyone else) attempted to clean or not. The trick is is to not only look at each individual piece of evidence, but to put them together to create a whole. This provides a picture, a picture of the crime. Some want to take each piece in isolation and keep them there, ensuring a picture is impossible. This is be design, for the alternative, for them, is unthinkable.

There's a known human tendency to be more impressed by a large number of bad arguments than a small number of good arguments. There are lots and lots of bad arguments for Amanda and Raffaele's guilt, to be sure, but lots and lots of bad arguments don't add up to a good argument.

I don't pretend to be able to know what happened that night, although I do think it's blatantly hypocritical of you to demand detailed reconstructions of luminol evidence from us while making no effort whatsoever to come up with anything resembling a plausible story about how Amanda and Raffaele decided spontaneously to team up with a near-total stranger to rape their housemate. All we have to paper over that huge gap in your narrative is irrelevant nonsense about comic books, knives and whatnot which smell very distinctly of McMarten-style moral panic.

Then we've got the nice big pile of evidence putting Rudy right at the scene of the crime, which I enumerated for you, and the total lack of similar evidence for Amanda and Raffaele who were supposedly right there alongside him struggling with Meredith Kercher. Either those two are incredibly lucky, or they are the greatest DNA cleaner-uppers in history in that they could remove all trace of their own DNA while leaving all of Rudy's, or they just weren't there when it happened.

If you want a plausible narrative, I put it to you that there is none that explains why Amanda and Raffaele would team up with Rudy to rape Meredith in the first place nor any that explains the lack of physical evidence tying them to the murder. I wouldn't say that there's proof of their innocence but I'd certainly say that there was reasonable doubt.
 
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In the US can they simply seize anyone and force them to submit to a DNA test without their consent? Sounds barbaric.

No, it requires voluntary consent or a search warrant, but usually people who live at the scene of a violent crime are willing to help the police any way they can.

There is a third way in the US that is legal, and that is to get the sample from a place where the subject has no reasonable expectation of privacy. There have been cases where the police tailed someone to a restaurant and got their DNA from a utensil and then matched it to a sample from the crime scene. That's how they got the Bike Path Rapist in Buffalo NY.
 
I've already explicitly explained how it would assist and expedite the investigation.

Regretfully, I've decided that there's something going on here. As a result, I won't be responding to any of your posts, nor following up any of your responses to mine. I'm not going to explain in detail why not.


Why not explain what's going on here at the JREF? Are we all in on the conspiracy?
 
And as regards lawyers, of course the police must say that all potential sample-providers have the right to consult their lawyers before proceeding. But I have the right to consult my lawyer before going to the supermarket tomorrow. All those potential sample-providers who DID consult their lawyers would likely be given the advice that they should do so, provided they were provided with written (and enforeceable) safeguards.

Law enforcement doesn't have to provide you with a written statement before you go to the supermarket. They do have to provide you with a written statement including several provisions before administering a DNA test. That includes the option you have to refuse to take it.

And where did you get the idea that a lawyer would likely advise her client to submit to a DNA test? Are you just inventing your position on the fly?
 
G. N. Rutty, “An investigation into the transference and survivability of human DNA following simulated manual strangulation with consideration of the problem of third party contamination”
International Journal of Legal Medicine Volume 116, Number 3 / June, 2002
Abstract Amplification was performed on human DNA material transferred during a model of manual strangulation. A total of 29 separate experiments were performed using a single male offender-female victim combination to observe whether DNA was transferred both from the offender’s fingers to the victim’s neck and vice versa and to consider the period of time after the event during which the material could potentially be recovered and amplified. DNA was amplified from either the victim’s neck or the offender’s fingers for at least 10 days after the contact although it is discussed whether this is potentially due to primary contact or a secondary/tertiary transfer event. The study highlights the problem of contamination of the offender’s hands and victim’s neck with third party DNA, the presence of which could have a significant outcome for both the investigating authority and the third party.
http://www.springerlink.com/content/663jw8g003k5e9yc/

This study shows that DNA is transferred from the strangler to the victim. Although a knife attack is different, if the perpetrator(s) restrained the victim using bare hands, DNA should transfer by the same means. The study also produced evidence of secondary or tertiary transfer.

Halides1

I didn't see Amanda, Italy in your post. Why do you continue to post off topic cases.
 
Maybe it's the language barrier, but it seemed very much like you were making claims about audit reports specifically about this lab or even this case. Now it sounds like all you are saying is that you found some stories about audits of other labs, and you presume from those other stories that the lab that carried out these tests is therefore so thoroughly audited that mistakes (or falsification) can be ruled out for now.
The way I read it is that the mistakes in the other labs were (eventually) established as fact with the help of the auditing that took place at those labs. The problem we're facing here (with this case) is that the defense is pointing at all these other cases and telling us that since contamination did occur in those cases we should accept that it happened here as well. They however fail to follow this up with the appropriate action. And that is by studying the audit trial. And then using those audits to bolster their case.


Has any evidence about audit procedures in the Rome lab been posted at all, or is everyone trying to extrapolate from random news stories about unrelated labs?
I've not seen any evidence about the audit procedures. Neither have I seen evidence that audit procedures are not in place. I default to assuming that audit procedures must have been in place since this is an established crime lab, used in plenty of other cases.
 
You argued that more reference samples would help
I argued that no, they likely wouldn't because the others weren't around during the murder and that it does nothing to change what DNA evidence was found against Amanda/Raffaele

If you think Amanda, Raffaele, and Rudy killed Meredith, how do you know a fourth person wasn't involved - one who left the bloody tissues in the driveway, or a cigarette butt in the ashtray?
 
If you think Amanda, Raffaele, and Rudy killed Meredith, how do you know a fourth person wasn't involved - one who left the bloody tissues in the driveway, or a cigarette butt in the ashtray?


Maybe it was the whole town of Perugia, that is your argument isn't it? That the whole of the town and the country of Italy conspired to put Amanda in jail.
 
It's an incomplete list? Then why refer to it?

I'm surprised that this needs explaining, since as far as I know you're not a simpleton.

In fact, on reflection, I know it doesn't need explaining, you're just arguing for the sake of it now.

When you can't even discuss things rationally, it doesn't make your argument look very good. In fact, it makes you look like a disingenuous troll.
 
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