Glad you are back Hokulele.
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There is really only one universal truth: Life isn't fair.
From what I can tell, all religions, including various flavors of New Age belief systems, are responses to this universal truth. Some are attempts to deal with this truth (Buddhism), some are attempts to find work-arounds to this truth (Abrahamic faiths), and some are attempts to deny this (New Age beliefs). The fact is, bad things can happen to good people, and good things can happen to bad people. No amount of free will can change this.
Your whole post reminds me a little of the story of Job in the Bible, and the concepts of justice and compassion which people have been grappling with for thousands of years.
I think that in the story of Job, who was afflicted with all sorts of illnesses and losses, the point is that he still worships his god, because he is aware that the underlying justice that brought him all these afflictions is
ultimately good. I'm not sure how a Buddhist or New Ager would approach Job's problems but the language of astrology is at the root of Kaballah, which is in turn the root of the Abrahamic religions, Judaism, Christianity and Islam (please see this pic of the
Beit Alpha synogogue mosaic
The point with Job, is, I think, that his health afflictions were the working out of conditions that he had a predisposition to, rather like inheriting a gene for cancer, and despite all his self-conscious attempts to live a healthy life, these were just not powerful enough to fight the conditions. I hear the same sort of reasoning from modern medicine; prevention is the best approach to many modern diseases like diabetes, high blood pressure, heart attack, stroke and even cancer, but if we have done all we can to prevent these and we still get them, it is time to pull out the big guns and fight them with drugs and/or surgery.
Just because people get sick doesn't mean that the laws of physics (my idea of "God") are evil, or that there is no justice in the world. And just because there was a man called Hitler and millions of people died in the holocaust also doesn't mean the same. I think I am what is termed a "deist" in that I believe in a god - the laws of physics who
does not interfere with those laws once they are made. I see the evils and misfortunes of this world as human faults, not the fault of the laws of physics.
My husband was very spiritual, but not religious, - a Christian who studied kaballah, until the day he died 5 years ago. I sometimes wonder if he had lived, if he would have been influenced by Dawkins/Hitchens/Harris/Shermer and co. like I have been. He saw kaballah as the esoteric interpretation of the Bible, like I do, and this interpretation gets beyond the silliness of literal interpretations of so called events such as the 6-day creation, Virgin Birth, literal resurrection or magic tricks like turning water in wine. In kaballah, they are all meant to be interpreted psychologically.
At best, one can come to an acceptance of this fact and try to live their life accordingly. This is the whole concept of suffering in Buddhism, and the Eightfold Path is one way to reduce one's suffering by putting this into perspective. It isn't necessarily the best way, but it can work. A slightly less pleasant version of this approach can be seen in the fatalism of Hinduism, in that this life might not be fair, but the next one can be better based on one's actions now.
I cannot speak for Buddhism, but IMO some religious/spiritual ideas continue to change, and rules or commandments set forth in the Bible are re-interpreted for modern times. Unfortunately Islam is very recalcitrant and doesn't apply here, but in Judaism, no one takes the commandment about coveting your neighbors cow literally anymore and I think that Hinduism also has modernized from being fatalistic to becoming more Westernized and psychological. I know that even Vedic astrologers are beginning to soften their predictive stance and at least try to help people deflect their "fate" by offering gems which supposedly absorb the "evil" energy. No matter how woo-ish and scammish this all reeks of, we have to see that they are at least tapping into the same idea of justice/karma-which-can-be-altered that the other esoteric belief systems recognize.
Not quite as realistic, but reasonable if you assume the basic irrational assumption is true, is the idea that one can bargain with the entity responsible for the whole mess. This is the whole concept of a covenant with God that is the root of the Jewish faith that is "improved" by Christianity and Islam. In other words, if I do what this entity wants, although this life may not be fair, things can get better.
The whole concept of a personal God to whom one prays and makes covenants is an idea which is now seen as ridiculous and mere superstition. But it was an idea that
worked for people
at a certain time in human history. The way that an astrologer would explain this is via the ages/aeons - the Arian Age of Moses as leader, the Piscean Age of Jesus and Mohammed as leaders, and the dawning Aquarian Age of science (with Dawkins as leader?!)
What I consider to be New Age beliefs (although most are rooted in older concepts) seem to deny the very fact that life isn't fair. Between assuming it really is fair, and most people just don't see that, or assuming that it would be fair if people would just believe/act/think properly, if fails to address the basic truth. Wishful thinking may be comforting, but it doesn't really fix anything.
"New Age" beliefs seem, to me, to be a mish-mush of watered-down concepts that have sometimes lost their link to any supposed master-principles of consciousness, for example kaballah/Ageless Wisdom. As stated above, this system
does recognize justice as an important principle, counterbalanced by Mercy/Compassion.
So, does this mean that a bleak outlook is the only option? Not at all. Even science can lend a hand to minimize the effects of this universal truth.
Although an individual is extremely limited in how he or she can attempt to compensate for the universal truth in their own lives, it is very possible to address it for others. The person who offers a smile instead of a put-down is helping to make life just a bit more fair to those who are simply having a bad day. The person who volunteers at the local domestic violence center is helping to make life just a bit more fair to those who suffer at the hands of others. The person who devotes their professional career to a search for a cure for a particular type of cancer is helping to make life just a bit more fair to those who fall victim to its ravages and those who love them.
Dawkins and Humanists would say that kindness like this simply evolved because it was of some advantage to the selfish genes of one's species to be nice to one's neighbor. The recipients might meet you again and then you would expect the same treatment from them!
To me, religion and similar belief systems are ultimately purely selfish, and most likely doomed to failure as there is no evidence they can sufficiently and reliably overcome the one universal truth. Only by overcoming the indivdual's selfish tendencies can humankind as a whole reach a real better place.
I agree that religions are doomed to failure, but not because of your assumption that there is no justice on a deeper level. They are doomed because people are just fed up of being told how to think and what to do. People are also not stupid, and they are beginning to interpret the old faiths in the light of science and modern psychology.
I do believe in the concepts of "pay it forward" and "what goes around, comes around". If you were to try and make life just a bit more fair for others, others will be working to make life just a bit more fair for you. And that is what I see as being the best response to the only universal truth.
As mentioned above, the evolutionary view of being nice is all about selfish genes, but I guess that is just a scientific version of going around and coming around.