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Jonbennet Ramsey

... You started the same stuff in the Amanda Knox thread before retreating before real knowledge.
I forgot to address this.

[off topic]You might note that in the Amanda Knox case I took the opposite position, that she was being condemned by a cultural misperception her behavior was abnormal suggesting guilt.

For consistency you may recall I took the position the DNA evidence was absurdly unconvincing. Yet people in the thread were convinced, as they are here, that DNA must be infallible science, after all it's scientific.

I didn't leave that thread because of people with real knowledge. That's just an example of why I quit bothering to post there. The thread became one of argument by intimidation and insults. I saw no benefit in putting up with it.[/sidetrack]
 
Don't be.

Because it's not a straw man.

I made 2 points, altho one was quite vague, I admit.

I was serious about the "just asking questions mode" -- that is, you're discarding the central arc of the narrative in favor of marginalia.

The analysis of the tapes is just one of your marginal points.

Let's be clear, this is an unusual case. If it weren't, it wouldn't still be open, and we wouldn't have a reversal from the DA (which is exceedingly rare).

A certain small percentage of cases are going to defy the norm. To condemn the Ramseys because of that fact -- which is what your argument amounts to, taken as a whole -- is not at all convincing.
First, the reversal from the DA was based on the touch DNA. Here you have a prosecutor, not a scientist, making the same mistake being made in this thread, that is treating the touch DNA as if it were exculpatory. Touch DNA is not anything close to DNA recovered from a clear deposit of body fluid or cells. The amount of DNA we are talking about is equal to the amount found in the spread of microorganisms.

If you swabbed doorknobs and keyboards and faucets, you'd find as much genetic material from microorganisms as we are talking about finding from people here. And it is well known a person can touch a surface, get microorganisms on their hands, then transfer that material to another surface. Healthcare workers have a tremendous problem carrying infection from one patient to another in this very way.

Correlated with other evidence, touch DNA might lead to a conviction. But there is a really big risk of falsely convicting someone, or falsely exonerating someone because people are likely to assume this kind of finding is the same as finding someone's body fluid or hair or skin. The identification is valid. But until it is established how frequently one finds a dozen skin cells on various objects like new underwear or kids' hands, the meaning of touch DNA cannot be treated the same as finding DNA in greater quantities. If people don't recognize that, we are going to see as many false convictions over this as we've seen with false eyewitness identifications.



This was the straw man:
Would you want to be put on the dock for murder based on someone's interpretation of your facial expressions during an interview?
I've not suggested any such thing.
 
Yes, you're correct, but what does that get us?

There's a broad spectrum of behavior when it comes to child abuse, as well as murder. The majority of cases fall within the big lump of the bell curve, but some do not.

Even the best profilers of serial killers, for instance, get the occasional surprise.
You are back to what has been problematic throughout the thread. I'm not taking the Ramsey behavior in isolation. There is their behavior, the interviews, and the evidence. Any of these three things alone are insufficient to draw a conclusion. But together they provide more evidence supporting death from abuse than death from an intruder.
 
And? One cannot just ignore evidence just because there isn't any more DNA to compare it to.

And until you can determine that it doesn't mean something you can't just ignore it.

You did say that the DNA came from her fingernails, but you haven't suggested how the DNA could get under them.
All of these things have been addressed.



I suggest that you tell that to Bradley John Murdoch, or Mijailo Mijailović. In both cases touch DNA analysis was one piece of evidence used to convict those men.
Is there some relevance here to the Ramsey case?



However that still doesn't rule out the possibility that they were touched by someone after they were taken out of the package.
If an eyewitness IDs a person and we know eyewitnesses are very often wrong, do you use the testimony anyway?



I'll accept that the bold quote is a non-sequitur but you're going to tell me how the other two are. The first part is based on your response being a based on a faulty premise and the last one points out that you've stated that I made a demand when in fact I did no such thing.
Well I'm not sure I need to respond to this demand. But perhaps you didn't mean to say "you're going to tell me".

You posted a link to an article noting some people shed more skin cells than others. Unless you had a point related to this discussion, there is no relevance to this discussion.

You claimed there was no evidence of tertiary transfer of human DNA. You failed to support that claim. Then you wanted to discuss tertiary transfer. It was a non sequitur to the issue at hand: the unidentified male DNA found many years after the crime on JBRs nail clippings and stockings (tights) could have easily gotten there if she had touched a dirty surface and pulled up her own pants.



Or you could just ignore those parts and respond to the rest of my post. It's not that hard. If you take a good hard look at this post you'll see that I've responded to some things and not to others for various reasons. However, I'll try to keep your precious sensitivities in mind in future.
I've told you twice now, I'm not going to reply to sarcastic claims I'm not taking enough time here to reply to your very long redundant posts. I'll not respond to this comment.
 
Is there some relevance here to the Ramsey case?

In terms of using touch DNA in court, yes.

If an eyewitness IDs a person and we know eyewitnesses are very often wrong, do you use the testimony anyway?

Depends on the other evidence.

Well I'm not sure I need to respond to this demand. But perhaps you didn't mean to say "you're going to tell me".

No, I did.

You posted a link to an article noting some people shed more skin cells than others. Unless you had a point related to this discussion, there is no relevance to this discussion.

It did actually. I suggest you re-read the part I was responding to when I first mentioned good and poor shedders. I mentioned other factors that influence how much, if any, touch DNA is left at all.

You've been arguing that the DNA could have been left by someone at the factory, or on a doorknob and that DNA made it on to her panties, or under her fingernails and yet an article that discusses a factor is irrelevant?

I guess that makes your FBI article irrelevant as well, since they were analysing touch DNA from those clothes.

You claimed there was no evidence of tertiary transfer of human DNA. You failed to support that claim.

Sorry, how am I supposed to support this claim? You might as well ask me to support the claim that magical miniature unicorns convinced the parents to kill her and told them how to stage the crime scene perfectly.

Then you wanted to discuss tertiary transfer. It was a non sequitur to the issue at hand: the unidentified male DNA found many years after the crime on JBRs nail clippings and stockings (tights) could have easily gotten there if she had touched a dirty surface and pulled up her own pants.

(my underline)

So you bring up tertiary transfer, and then accuse me of making non-sequiturs if I discuss it?
 
I forgot to address this.

[off topic]You might note that in the Amanda Knox case I took the opposite position, that she was being condemned by a cultural misperception her behavior was abnormal suggesting guilt.

You also forgot (and continue to forget) to address this:

Name a single town/city/county/state/region in the US where turning a cartwheel at a police station while being investigated for murder is considered normal behavior.

(Note to others: She will not answer this. Stop laughing. It's impolite.)

Please keep to this topic and save cartwheeling for the other thread.
Replying to this modbox in thread will be off topic  Posted By: Lisa Simpson
 
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You also forgot (and continue to forget) to address this:

Name a single town/city/county/state/region in the US where turning a cartwheel at a police station while being investigated for murder is considered normal behavior.

(Note to others: She will not answer this. Stop laughing. It's impolite.)
Lets stay on topic. This isn't the forum to discuss cartwheels.
 
You also forgot (and continue to forget) to address this:

Name a single town/city/county/state/region in the US where turning a cartwheel at a police station while being investigated for murder is considered normal behavior.

(Note to others: She will not answer this. Stop laughing. It's impolite.)

I'll repeat this again, as it seems to have been lost. There is no such thing as normal behavior in police stations by citizens, witness, claimant, or suspect.

I stand convinced by the physical evidence pointing to the presence of an intruder in the Ramsey home.
 
I'll repeat this again, as it seems to have been lost. There is no such thing as normal behavior in police stations by citizens, witness, claimant, or suspect.

I stand convinced by the physical evidence pointing to the presence of an intruder in the Ramsey home.

Most people don't turn cartwheels. So I would suggest that some behaviors are more normal than others.

But that's neither here nor there. Skeptigirl is going to supply us with a list of US places where cartwheels in a police station is considered normal.
 
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Dunno about that, I never figured out cartwheels but every girl on my block (and some of the boys) knew how. Can't be that unusual.
 
I'll repeat this again, as it seems to have been lost. There is no such thing as normal behavior in police stations by citizens, witness, claimant, or suspect.

I stand convinced by the physical evidence pointing to the presence of an intruder in the Ramsey home.
So a schizophrenic talking to someone who isn't there in a police station is within the range of normal behavior? A psychiatrist could not identify abnormal behavior if it were in a person in a police station?

Do you have a definition for normal and abnormal behavior or is everything, no matter what, normal?


And regarding that physical evidence, does that include the touch DNA or is there enough evidence without it? Because the touch DNA has multiple explanations for how it got there. Are you ignoring that?

Are you ignoring the fibers all over the body including on the tape matching Patsy Ramsey's clothes which she apparently had on the night before?
 
Are you ignoring the fibers all over the body including on the tape matching Patsy Ramsey's clothes which she apparently had on the night before?

She was wearing those clothes when she tucked her daughter into bed? Her clothes shed fibers on her daughter's bedsheets, which rubbed on her daughter's skin and pajamas? It's not unheard of for a parent to climb into bed with a child while tucking them in, to read a bedtime story or just talk to them trying to sleep. There's so many ways for it to be innocent, picking out one way it could be guilty is a little single-minded.

As to schizophrenics, is anything they do considered normal? I challenge the notion that people spending hours in a confined space under stress can behave in any way normally, as though they weren't stressed and were perfectly comfortable.
 
I wouldn't know without re-watching this particular exchange. I'll try to find a video inline. But this is a single point that even if true, is not unexpected. Eyesforlies is a lay person who claims to be good at observing micro-emotions. You agree the nod she observed occurred. If her interpretation is wrong, it doesn't negate her skills (which we only have her claim of, and corroboration that 13,000 people were tested by O'Sullivan), and the evidence and scientific papers supporting the validity of the technique.

It negates her analysis of the Ramseys in this situation, and it reveals a certain amount of confirmation bias.

You need to put the disclaimers of Frank and Ekman into perspective. They are right to discourage people from jumping to quick conclusions about their hypothesis and work. The medical community does the same on a regular basis discouraging people from taking the basics of a diagnosis and assuming they can then go on to diagnose a condition or disease.

There are dozens and dozens of papers on this technique. The observations give tangible information about a person's deceit. It's not just that they are useless observations where no meaning can be assigned to the observations. You are taking Ekman's words of caution out of context.

No, I'm not taking his words out of context. You're missing my point, and his: detecting that the Ramseys are concealing an emotion, in and of itself, is not proof that they are lying about murdering their child. Much as you claim that there are "multiple explanations" for touch DNA being in three different places (including in a blood spot inside of JonBenet's panties), there are multiple explanations for people's behavior, particularly in complex situations.

Multiple observations of two different people demonstrating similar consistent deceit makes you more skeptical? Why?

No, potentially misinterpreting the same actions multiple times makes me skeptical.

You are back to the lay person who is detecting deceit. Her explanations of why her observations detect deceit are not coming from an expert, they are coming from a person with a demonstrated skill detecting deceit.

On the other hand, I doubt many people would tell you the Ramsey's behavior after their child's murder was normal. Just about anyone observing those two would have at least said their behavior was odd. So lay people with little experience in grieving can tell something is amiss.

Except that the circumstances they were put in when their child was murdered were also abnormal, even for parents dealing with a murdered child. They had a child murdered, in their home, and were subsequently the main (and for a long time, only) people accused of the crime.

Then you have people being politically correct saying we don't dare judge any behavior as abnormal because ????? Because no one can possibly know what is normal? Because any behavior, regardless, must be within the range of normal given the severity of the trauma? Or because lots of people judge people on the wrong basis and get it wrong, therefore no one should be expected to have a valid basis to get it right?

Irrelevant. I haven't claimed this.

This is not what medical, nursing, and psycho-social research supports. That research supports the conclusion there is abnormal behavior after a loss or other trauma, it is quantifiable, identifiable and it is teachable.

If it's quantifiable, then quantify it: statistically, how far from the norm was the Ramseys behavior?

So complexity means we can't assess the situation?

No, it means it is much more difficult to assess the situation, and more likely for it to be misinterpreted. The more variables you throw into any situation, the more likely it is that there could be some other explanation for whatever you're seeing.

I'm confident any good, experienced psychologist or nurse would conclude the behavior of these parents was at least outside the range of normal, even considering the entire circumstances, with a high degree of confidence.

Well, at least a few very experienced law enforcement professionals have disagreed. John Douglas, for example, has a pretty solid background in forensic psychology, and has specific experience in dealing with both crime victims and perpetrators.
 
She was wearing those clothes when she tucked her daughter into bed? Her clothes shed fibers on her daughter's bedsheets, which rubbed on her daughter's skin and pajamas? It's not unheard of for a parent to climb into bed with a child while tucking them in, to read a bedtime story or just talk to them trying to sleep. There's so many ways for it to be innocent, picking out one way it could be guilty is a little single-minded.
Here is what the Wiki on the case says about the fibers and the related evidence Patsy never went to bed that night:
Fiber Evidence. Fibers matched to the red sweater Patsy was wearing that night were found in places key to the crime: the paintbrush caddy she kept her art supplies in, the blanket used to wrap JonBenet's body, on the sticky side of the duct tape placed over JonBenet's mouth, and tied into both knots of the ligature used to strangle JonBenet. Patsy denies she ever went near these places wearing that sweater. In the interviews with Boulder prosecutors in August, 2000, prosecutor Bruce Levin summed up the evidence: MR. LEVIN: "I think that is probably fair. Based on the state of the art scientific testing, we believe the fibers from her jacket were found in the paint tray, were found tied into the ligature found on JonBenet's neck, were found on the blanket that she is wrapped in, were found on the duct tape that is found on the mouth, and the question is, can she explain to us how those fibers appeared in those places that are associated with her daughter's death. And I understand you are not going to answer those."
Bed Not Slept In? According to veteran Colorado journalist and former editor-in-chief of The Denver Post Chuck Green, "some investigators say that Patsy Ramsey was wearing the same clothes on the morning of the murder as she wore the previous night, and that her side of the Ramsey bed hadn’t been slept in."

This description does not fit your explanation. It would have been fairly easy to show the fibers were all over JBR's bed, or room, or other places which would have migrated to the places they were found.

The rebuttal to the fiber evidence is that the sweater had black fibers also and those were not found. If your explanation is correct, that rebuttal is moot.

The point is not that the fiber evidence proves Patsy's involvement, the point is you can argue for and against every piece of evidence in the case. I've come to one conclusion, you've come to another.

As to schizophrenics, is anything they do considered normal? I challenge the notion that people spending hours in a confined space under stress can behave in any way normally, as though they weren't stressed and were perfectly comfortable.
So you agree that schizophrenics behave abnormally even in a police station. How about a person with a borderline personality disorder? How about a person who is neurotic?

Where do you draw the line between normal and abnormal? If you are unable to say (as evidenced by your claim it is impossible to say), how do you know someone else cannot make a determination given other expertise? Afterall, your argument is, because you can't tell, it must be true no one can tell. That's a very common fallacy.
 
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Here is what the Wiki on the case says about the fibers and the related evidence Patsy never went to bed that night:

This description does not fit your explanation. It would have been fairly easy to show the fibers were all over JBR's bed, or room, or other places which would have migrated to the places they were found.

The rebuttal to the fiber evidence is that the sweater had black fibers also and those were not found. If your explanation is correct, that rebuttal is moot.

The point is not that the fiber evidence proves Patsy's involvement, the point is you can argue for and against every piece of evidence in the case. I've come to one conclusion, you've come to another.

...are you able to provide links or some other primary source to the quote from Bruce Levin? How about the quote from Chuck Green? I find it surprising that the only links I can find on google are links to your favoured wiki and links to this thread. Thanks.
 
The problem with this stuff about "reading" people and "abnormal" behavior is not its limitations but its usage. It's not evidence. At its very best it can be used as a guide to look at someone more closely in the hopes of finding evidence to follow. Thing is, the Ramseys were already under intense scrutiny, so who cares?

When it comes to detecting "deception" there some to be some leaps of faith. Concealing an emotion is not the same as lying. But let's pretend that there is an indication of lying. What kind of lie? At trials we swear to tell the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth. There's a reason they phrase it that way.

Suppose I am asked what I did last night between 9:00 PM and 10:00 PM. I respond that I went to the movies by myself. I'm being deceptive, and Ginger, with her decades of experience, scopes me out. Fine. What kind of lie?

Did I tell The Truth? I didn't go to the movies. I went to a strip club.

Did I tell the Whole Truth? I went to the movies, but I sneaked out of the theater twice to catch a smoke.

Did I tell Nothing But the Truth? I went to the movies, but not by myself. I had a date.

And that's just within the narrow confines of the witness stand. In the "real world" I know that my best friend sent me a text message during the movie saying he just robbed a liquor store. Personally, I'd feel "deceitful" withholding that information even though technically I was being truthful.

So even if you "know" with 100% reliability that I "lied" about going to the movies by myself, are you really any closer to the truth? Detecting a lie does not mean revealing the truth. Of course, if you can play 20 questions, you might get close.
 
It negates her analysis of the Ramseys in this situation, and it reveals a certain amount of confirmation bias.
Only if you ignore the O'Sullivan research, which you seem to be doing. If one assumes EyesForLies was indeed identified out of 13,000 people as belonging to a group of people skilled at detecting deceit, then you'd be dismissing a skilled person because you found one aspect of an analysis you might be able to argue another conclusion for. Yet you don't claim any expertise, you were unlikely familiar with the technique until this thread, and EyesForLies' observations are consistent with the technique. You are in essence dismissing something you have no expertise in because you find it incredulous someone else could possibly have such expertise.



No, I'm not taking his words out of context. You're missing my point, and his: detecting that the Ramseys are concealing an emotion, in and of itself, is not proof that they are lying about murdering their child. Much as you claim that there are "multiple explanations" for touch DNA being in three different places (including in a blood spot inside of JonBenet's panties), there are multiple explanations for people's behavior, particularly in complex situations.
I have read quite a bit about Frank and Ekman's hypothesis and work. I can tell you with confidence you are taking the words of caution out of context. They are meant to caution dabblers in the technique from jumping to conclusions just as I would caution someone not to think they should diagnose their own illnesses after learning a few basic things about the symptoms.

I recommend you look at Ekman's public demonstrations of the technique. You won't find him drawing vague conclusions about his observations. You will find him repeating his caution to people new to the research. I recommend you read some of the study methodologies. You will find some with more specific outcome measures than, "something was detected but we can't interpret it".


No, potentially misinterpreting the same actions multiple times makes me skeptical.
I can understand you stating you remain skeptical despite the reproducibility of the observations. I cannot understand your claim the reproducibility in interview after interview is evidence of misinterpretation.



Except that the circumstances they were put in when their child was murdered were also abnormal, even for parents dealing with a murdered child. They had a child murdered, in their home, and were subsequently the main (and for a long time, only) people accused of the crime.
This concern has come up again and again along with Silly Green Monkey's claim the range of normal behavior includes any and everything short of severe classic mental illness symptoms.

I repeat my position, there are behaviors indicative of an abusive family dynamic. These behaviors are known, they have been confirmed through years of research, they are taught to nurses and other medical providers and to some police. Learning to assess and diagnose abnormal family dynamics consistent with abusive components is not mysterious, it isn't rocket science, it is possible.

It's easy to overcompensate. In an effort to not falsely accuse someone, it is understandable to take the position one, as an individual, cannot say the behavior of the Ramseys was abnormal. What I caution you to consider, however, is just because one person cannot and should not try to assess certain behaviors, does not mean professionals whose education and experience do provide the skill to make an assessment are incapable of doing so.


Irrelevant. I haven't claimed this.
Yes you have, along with many other people in this thread.

It's not a matter of claiming you have no way of knowing what my education and decades of experience mean. That is understandable. But you and the others in the thread are claiming no one could possibly have the knowledge or experience to diagnose an abusive family dynamic.



If it's quantifiable, then quantify it: statistically, how far from the norm was the Ramseys behavior?
The interviews were consistent with deceit. Both of them exhibited abnormal micro-emotions in every interview. Their behavior was consistently devoid of the emotion one would see after a loss of a child (and one must look well beyond the first days when shock blunts the emotional response), and it was devoid of emotion toward each other. Anger at the police does not explain the behavior. They both had unusual affects with Patsy's being very flat.

Whatever caused the final event likely involved behavior they both knew about regardless if they were both involved in the death. Both of these parents behaved abnormally without one demonstrating fear of the other. So I don't think one sees the classic domineering abusive father. Exactly which scenario of several possibilities occurred, I don't see enough evidence to draw a conclusion.

It wouldn't surprise me if one day Burke doesn't write some tell all book about the real situation within that household.


No, it means it is much more difficult to assess the situation, and more likely for it to be misinterpreted. The more variables you throw into any situation, the more likely it is that there could be some other explanation for whatever you're seeing.
So again, because you see it as difficult, everyone must be equally incapable.



Well, at least a few very experienced law enforcement professionals have disagreed. John Douglas, for example, has a pretty solid background in forensic psychology, and has specific experience in dealing with both crime victims and perpetrators.
I work with police in my practice. One thing I've learned is police work is not nearly as scientific or evidence based as one would hope. A lot of police have no more than high school or technical college degrees and work their way up to detective on the job. Now, there are some police and detectives that do have a wealth of experience and skill. But it is inconsistent. So I haven't put much credence in any single individual person within the Boulder Corrections system including the judges.

Even someone with skills in psychology could have easily been mislead about this touch DNA, and I think just as these guys were convinced until recently that eyewitnesses were almost infallible, I don't think they get it yet about the problems with touch DNA.
 
...are you able to provide links or some other primary source to the quote from Bruce Levin? How about the quote from Chuck Green? I find it surprising that the only links I can find on google are links to your favoured wiki and links to this thread. Thanks.
Green is just a columnist. So I'm not sure what it is you want to see. I think what you want to see are the crime scene photos showing the Ramsey bed:

There's one on this page, right hand side 4th picture down. There's another one somewhere showing the bed itself with only one side disturbed and the other side with the spread fairly straight and pulled up. I'll see if I can find it later.

By posting the Wiki source, I'm not vouching for the validity of everything posted there. Most of the reasons I've cited it is because it summarizes the hypotheses and the pros and cons re each piece of evidence. There's no reason to rebut everyone's claim that [X] proves their conclusion because the rebuttal to every [X] proves it can be found with little effort. I don't see the benefit of cutting and pasting rebuttals when I can just link to the batch of them all in one place.

But about the fiber evidence and Bruce Levin, try this one: 48 hours transcript from 2002
Erin Moriarty: (Voice Over) "With John, prosecutors asked questions mostly about leads he had
uncovered on other suspects, but with Patsy, interrogators were more accusatory, suggesting they
had new evidence, clothing fibers that would tie her directly to the murder."

Bruce Levin: "You were shown photographed wearing a red coat"

Patsy Ramsey: "It's kind of a black and red and gray fleece"

Erin Moriarty: (Voice Over) "Bruce Levin from the Boulder's district attorney's office led the
questioning"

Bruce Levin: "Mrs. Ramsey, I have scientific evidence from forensic scientists that say there are fibers
in the paint tray that match your red jacket."

Erin Moriarty: (Voice Over) "The paint tray is significant because a brush from it, along with some
rope, was used to strangle and sexually abuse JonBenét."

Bruce Levin: To Lin Wood - "We believe the fibers from her jacket were found in the paint tray, were found tied into the ligature found on JonBenét's neck, were found on the blanket that she was wrapped in, were found on the duct tape that was found on the mouth."
To Patsy: "I have no evidence from any scientist that suggests that those fibers are from any source other than your red jacket."

Lin Wood: "Well, come on, what other sources did they test."

Erin Moriarty: (Voice Over) "Patsy's attorney, Lin Wood asked prosecutors to produce the evidence
and when they wouldn't, he refused to let Patsy go on the record. But she did go on the record with
us."

Erin Moriarty to Patsy: "What do you think about these fibers?"

Patsy Ramsey: "After John discovered the body and she was brought to the living room, when I laid
eyes on her; I knelt down and hugged her. But I was, had my whole body on her body. My sweater
fibers or whatever I had on that morning are going to transfer to her clothing."
Of course hugging the body, (if it occurred because the police should have stopped that as soon as John came upstairs but maybe they didn't), doesn't explain the fibers on the tape which John pulled off immediately, or in with the paint brushes which were still downstairs.
 

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