UFOs: The Research, the Evidence

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But but but there were lights in the night sky!
And anybody knows lights in the night can only be gods or UFOs or lights!
And so it is shown that someone has seen lights which origin was unknown.
Big deal!:D
 
Yes, I have seeen it both inside and outside and on camera lenses. I have also seen other substances like oil. And notice, I'm not saying it IS droplets. I just made a comment that it looks like that. It's the first thing that came to my mind, not aliens.



That would surely surprise most of the scientists at my university. I can't really see this in a thesis: "Lisa saw me put the blood sample into the centrifuge at approximately 9AM. Everything seemed to work ok when I turned it on but suddenly Lisa says she saw something extraordinary..."



There's something wrong with my tv. The screen sometimes goes black for a few seconds before the pic comes back. I also have a fly in my room that sometimes land on my tv. Three times I've noticed that the tv goes black when the fly lands on it. Should my first assumption be that the fly is causing the problem and that, on the several other occasions the tv blacks out, an invisible fly is causing the problem? Or, when the fly lands and no problem occurs that it's a different species of fly?



You are not answering the question I am asking. It was "where does the author present the arguments that rule out "clutter effects of mild atmospheric refraction that was common in the area."



The answer to a question on the format "how many" is either a number or "I don't know". It is most certainly not 82 lines of text. You are deliberatly trying to obfuscate things here. I wonder why.

It's always the cases they don't tell you about that are the most persuasive.:)
 
Careful - the last time you asked a question with a one word answer, Rr replied with three thousand, one hundred and eighty eight. :D (post #5544, and no, I didn't count them. OpenOffice did.)

Oh crap, my bad. Sorry every1 for the inconvenience... ;)
 
I have read his report and I don't see anyplace where such a track of a radar contact exists. Perhaps you can show me where he describes a radar contact entering the scope display from the edge, approach the plane, and then exit the scope display the way a real radar target would appear. Until you do, then we can safely state that the contacts were random in nature that would disappear and reappear at various places. This is EXACTLY what Startup described in the interview he did on NOVA. He stated they did two orbits to locate a radar contact and not once did they see anything in those orbits.This is EXACTLY the kind of behavior one would expect from contacts produced by AP conditions.
And…
Absolutely prove that these radar contacts and lights were one in the same. You have not done that.

On the northern leg:

“The captain turned on the weather radar in the mapping mode (M. E. L. Co., EL90; vertical fan beam 40 to 150 down; 3 sec sweep cycle; ranges: 20, 50, 150 nm) and immediately picked up a strong target in the direction of the light at a distance of about 18 nm. The pilot and copilot agreed that the size of the radar target (glowing spot) on the screen was about 3 to 5 times larger than one would get for a large boat. Startup’s initial impression was that he was looking at the moon, a slightly squashed moon. Then he realized it couldn’t be the moon, which was far in the west. He described it as a white sphere with a tinge of orange that was slightly flattened at the top and bottom. Guard compared it to a squashed orange. The color was similar to that of a sodium vapor lamp.

About this time Fogarty and Grant came up to the flight deck and they, too, saw the bright lights. Grant said his initial impression was of a white-yellow sphere like a ping pong ball in a dark room and illuminated by a ray of light. Grant, who was standing behind Startup, also had a good look at the radar screen. He said that in his mind there was no doubt that the direction to the radar target, as indicated by well defined angle lines on the radar screen, was the same as the direction to the lights.

(…)

For the next 10 minutes the plane flew in a straight line, continually climbing. According to Startup, who had the best view of the radar screen (which was at his left), the radar target initially moved radially inward (i.e. at a constant angle of about 30o to the right) to a distance on the order of 8 to 10 nm. Startup’s observation indicates that the object was traveling a bit faster than the aircraft. Then it slowly dropped back to the right, finally leaving the radar screen at the limit of its sweep (about 60o to the right).

(…)

During this time Crockett filmed this light using his 100 mm zoom lens.”
(Maccabee, B. (2005) A HISTORY OF THE NEW ZEALAND SIGHTINGS OF DECEMBER 31, 1978)

On the southern leg:

0016 WATCC reports "Target briefly appeared 12:00 to you at 10 miles." Visual confirmed.

0027 WATCC reports "Target is at 12:00 at 3 miles." The captain responded immediately, "Thank you. We pick it up. It's got a flashing light." The captain reported seeing "a couple of very bright blue-white lights, flashing regularly at a rapid rate…”

0031:30 WATCC “reported a target at 3:00 at 4 miles.”

Then:

“Two sweeps of the radar beam later he saw something really surprising. He reported, "There's a strong target right in formation with you. Could be right or left. Your target has doubled in size… The extraordinary condition of a "double size target" (DST) persisted for at least 36 seconds. "

“The cameraman told the reporter about the target flying in formation and the reporter started looking through the right side window for the target. The copilot was also looking and after some seconds he spotted a light which he described as follows: "It was like the fixed navigation lights on a small airplane when one passes you at night. It was much smaller than the really big ones we had seen over Kaikoura. At irregular intervals it appeared to flash, but it didn't flash on and off; it brightened or perhaps twinkled around the edges. When it did this I could see color, a slight tinge of green or perhaps red. It's very difficult describing a small light you see at night.

(…)

During this time the reporter also saw the light and recorded his impression: "I'm looking over towards the right of the aircraft and we have an object confirmed by Wellington radar. It's been following us for quite a while. It's about 4 miles away and it looks like a very faint star, but then it emits a bright white and green light." Unfortunately the light was too far to the right for the cameraman to be able to film it (he would have had to sit in the copilot's seat to do that). The captain was able to briefly see this light which the copilot had spotted. This event was a radar-visual sighting with several witnesses to the light.”


0035 WATCC reports "The target you mentioned, the last one we mentioned, make it 5:00 at 4 miles previously, did you see anything?" The captain responded, "We saw that one. It came up at 4:00, I think, around 4 miles away, " to which WATCC responded, "Roger, that target is still stationary. It's now 6:00 to you at about 15 miles and it's been joined by two other targets." (http://brumac.8k.com/NEW_ZEALAND/RADARUFOS.doc)


Iniitally, you acted as if these radar-visual contacts were rock solid. Now it is not so solid. So basically we are discussing some random radar contacts and possible links to visual light observations. The case gets weaker by the moment.
“At about 0005 (12:05 A.M., local time), the captain and copilot first noticed oddly behaving lights ahead of them near the Kaikoura Coast (…)These lights would appear, project a beam downward toward the sea, and then disappear, only to reappear at some other location. Sometimes there was only one, sometimes none and sometimes several. After several minutes of watching and failing to identify the lights the pilot and copilot began to discuss what they were seeing.

(…)

At about 0012 they decided to contact Wellington Air traffic Control Center radar to find out if there were any aircraft near Kaikoura. (…)Since the copilot was in control of the aircraft on this particular journey, the captain did the communicating with WATCC. "Do you have any targets showing on the Kaikoura Peninsula range?" he asked. The controller at WATCC had been busy with another aircraft landing, but had noticed targets appearing and disappearing in that direction for half an hour or more.”

Also…

“At about 0020:30 the captain asked for permission to make a left hand orbit. (…) …the plane turned left to go around in a circle, which would take about 2 minutes…

(…)

During the turn the air crew and passengers could, of course, see the lights of Wellington and the lights all the way along the coast from the vicinity of Kaikoura to Christhurch and they could see the anomalous lights near Kaikoura…

(…)

During this period of time the WATCC controller noticed targets continuing to appear, remain for one or two sweeps of the radar, and then disappear close to the Kaikoura Coast. However, he did not report these to the airplane. He reported only the targets which were appearing near the airplane, now about 25 miles off the coast. The TV reporter, who was able to watch the skies continually, has stated (8) that he continually saw anomalous lights "over Kaikoura," that is, they appeared to be higher than the lights along the coastline at the town of Kaikoura.”
(http://brumac.8k.com/NEW_ZEALAND/RADARUFOS.doc)


And which one of the hundreds of such contacts are we discussing. Now you seem confused. Is it one, two, five, hundreds? Focus please so we can actually get to the meat and potatoes/cut to the chase. Which contact was the best one?
On the northern leg…well, considering for at least selected portions of the flight there was an object that had concurrent radar/visual/film confirmation, what do you think?

On the southern leg there are two actually. The first:

“By 0027 (point 10) the plane was headed back southward along its original track. WATCC reported "Target is at 12:00 at 3 miles." The captain responded immediately, "Thank you. We pick it up. It's got a flashing light." The captain reported seeing "a couple of very bright blue-white lights, flashing regularly at a rapid rate. They looked like the strobe lights of a Boeing 737..."(Startup and Illingworth, 1980)). At this time he was again looking toward the open ocean. ”
(http://brumac.8k.com/NEW_ZEALAND/RADARUFOS.doc)

“The next images on the film, taken at an unrecorded time after the takeoff from Wellington, are the images of a blue-white light against a black background. In order to document the fact that he was seated in the aircraft at the time of filming the blue-white light, he turned the camera quickly to the left and filmed some of the dim red lights of the meters on the instrument panel. Unfortunately Crockett did not recall, during the interview about a month later, exactly when that blue-white light was filmed, nor did he recall exactly where the camera was pointed at the time, although it was clearly somewhat to the right of straight ahead. The initial appearance of the blue-white light is followed by two other appearances…

(…)

Although it is impossible to prove, it is likely that Crockett filmed the flashing light at 0027. He was aware of the appearance of the blue-white light because he could hear the communications between WATCC and the captain. Therefore it is reasonable to assume that he pointed the camera toward that light and filmed even though he thought he would get nothing because the light was dim.

(…)

However, regardless of whether these blue-white images were made by the flashing light at 0027 or by some other appearance of a blue-white light, the fact is, considering where the plane was at the time, that this film was impossible to obtain from the conventional science point of view because there was nothing near the airplane that could have produced these bright pulses of light. The only lights on the flight deck at this time were dim red meter lights because the captain had turned off all the lights except those that were absolutely necessary for monitoring the performance of the aircraft. There were no internal blue-white lights to be reflected from the windshield glass, nor were there any blue-white lights on the exterior of the aircraft. The only other possible light sources, stars, planets and coastal lights were too dim and too far away to have made images as bright as these three flashes on the film. These images remain unexplained. Thus the probability is high, although one cannot absolutely certain, that the air crew and cameraman saw and recorded on film the appearance of the light that Causer reported to be at 3 miles in front of the aircraft. If true, then this was a radar/visual/photographic sighting. (A radar/visual/photographic sighting did occur about an hour later as the airplane flew northward from Christchurch.)"
(http://brumac.8k.com/ - A HISTORY OF THE NEW ZEALAND SIGHTINGS OF DECEMBER 31, 1978)

The second (the Double Sized Target – beginning at around 0032):

“During the DST event the radar screen arc representing the aircraft return approximately doubled in length. This occurred moments after a target had been at 3:00 at 4 miles. According to the controller and the technician, this expanded arc moved, without distortion or bending, along the screen. It was seen on 4 rotations which means it moved like this for at least 36 seconds.

(…)

Hence, it appears from the above discussion that no satisfactory explanation based on conventional understanding of the radar and atmosphere has yet been proposed for the DST. It must remain an unexplained radar anomaly. Of course, the close temporal and spatial association between the DST and the preceding nearby target and between the DST and the subsequent light at the right side (with a subsequent radar detection at the right) suggests that there was one (or more) real, i.e., radar reflective, object (or objects) capable of high speed travel that was moving along with the airplane, perhaps above, below or behind (or, if two objects, at the left and right) during the DST event.”
(http://brumac.8k.com/NEW_ZEALAND/RADARUFOS.doc)

Actually there were. In Dr. Ireland's article he mentions that several squid boats were in the area:

While the main fleet of thirty boats was fishing 250 km from the incident, records show that at least twenty boats were in transit between fishing grounds that night, and a few others were known to be fishing singly.

(Ireland and Andrews Applied optics 1 December 1979 p. 3890)

Klass also mentions that a squid boat had departed Wellington on December 16th with its destination as Pegasus Bay near Christchurch! (Klass p.242)
I want you to carefully note something here. Ireland and Klass never doubted the radar target was real because in their minds it was a squid boat, which clearly is a real object. So you cannot have it both ways Astrophotographer…a squid boat or an AP… according to you, which IS it?

It is also noted that Klass states a squid boat departed on December 16?! But the sighting occurred on December 30! And as Maccabee notes : “According to Ireland … these locations are reported to the Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries. However, ministry records failed to show any boats in the vicinity of the sighting area.” That puts paid to Klass and Ireland in no uncertain terms!

This is a false statement probably based on being force fed Dr. M's one-sided opinon:

While the main fleet of thirty boats was fishing 250 km from the incident, records show that at least twenty boats were in transit between fishing grounds that night, and a few others were known to be fishing singly.

(Ireland and Andrews Applied optics 1 December 1979 p. 3890)

Ireland and Andrews footnote this comment with the following:

New Zealand Ministry of Agriculture & Fisheries; personal communication (p. 3890)

Are you stating that Ireland and Andrews lied to a scientific journal?
Not necessarily “lied” (your word) but maybe just not provided the whole truth. Given the above noted categorical fact that “…ministry records failed to show any boats in the vicinity of the sighting area” we might ask: WHERE WERE these boats “in transit” of Ireland and Andrew’s? I fact were they anywhere near the vicinity of the sighting… or were they somewhere else altogether!
 
It's always the cases they don't tell you about that are the most persuasive.:)

This is hilarious and confirms the old adage as applied to UFO debunkers:

"Don't bother me with the evidence, my mind is made up."

Only this takes it to unprecedented lows! I actually answered Jocce's post (that you cite) in detail.
That you merely repost his comments, assertions and questions while snipping out all of my answers, simply shows that you have absolutely NO interest in either the evidence or an open and honest debate. Do you really have absolutely NO opinions of your own and are simply content merely to mindlessly repeat others attempts?
 
Do you really have absolutely NO opinions of your own and are simply content merely to mindlessly repeat others attempts?

Comming from someone that never provides any creative analysis of his own but rather paste walls of texts from other sources, this is hilarious. So, did you count the number if radar, visual and radar-visual contacts yet?
 
There is also no way to demonstrate that it wasn't an illusion created by a god to cause some mentally ill high school kid sixty years in the future to make a complete ass of himself on an Internet discussion forum. Yet we have several pieces of evidence to suggest this might be true. Certainly as much as we have evidence to suggest it was aliens.

Care to address that possibility, Rramjet? Or will you choose to remain ignorant?


[*No rebuttal of the "UFOs = gods" hypothesis.*]

[*No rebuttal of the "UFOs = gods" hypothesis.*]


Ignorant.
 
Comming from someone that never provides any creative analysis of his own but rather paste walls of texts from other sources, this is hilarious. So, did you count the number if radar, visual and radar-visual contacts yet?
In the context of this sighting your questions have absolutely no meaning. What possible meaning COULD they have?

How many radar echoes were seen?
This is both unknowable and irrelevant. The WATCC did not report each individual target it acquired – nor could it be reasonable for you to have expected them to do so.

What if the answer were 1 …2 … 10 …100 …1000 …? what would ANY numerical answer “prove” about the case? What possible conclusion COULD be drawn from such a number …any number in this context?

The WATCC witness statements characterised the contacts as “numerous”. If it were a very low number, they would have quantified that number. If it were very high, then they would have remarked on the extraordinary number of events. Neither scenario was apparent. There were numerous radar contacts. That’s all we have.

However, we DO know that there were radar contacts that had visual confirmation and in at least one instance (probably more) - film confirmation as well! The number of these is not particularly significant. What IS significant is that such conjunctions occurred at all! Without such conjunctions the whole thing could be written off as anomalous propogations (APs), lights in the sky, squid boats, etc, etc. But as SOON as we have even a SINGLE radar/visual confirmation, THEN we know there are REAL targets in the sky and THEN we can rule out AP and “lights in the sky and we have to come up with some sort of HARD TARGET explanation (apart from delusion, hoax, etc -however, when we have radar/visual/film confirmation, THEN we can also rule out delusion, misperception, etc.)

What this case therefore demonstrates is that there were REAL objects in the sky that MUST be explained and that these confirmed objects cannot be APs or delusions or misperceptions.

How many lights were seen?
This is both unknowable and irrelevant. The pilots, crew and passengers did not report each individual light they saw – nor could it be reasonable for you to have expected them to do so.

There is a typical UFO debunker “trick” at work here. The UFO debunkers have been claiming long and loud that it would be impossible to tell if a light “moved” from one place to another by “blinking out and reappearing at another location”. HOW, they ask, can you be sure it WAS the same light? Yet here they positively EXPECT us to make the opposite assumption - that it WAS in fact a different light. The light did NOT “blink out”, move, and then “blink on” at another location - it was in fact a “different” light! What they forget is that EACH assumption is unprovable, yet the UFO debunkers want THEIR assumption to be correct… What utter illogical nonsense!

How many of these coincided in time and space?
On the Southbound leg, there was intermittent visual confirmation of radar targets (and probable film evidence of same).
On the northbound leg, there was a continuous radar coverage of a visual light (which also coincided on occasion with film evidence of same).

However, it simply makes no sense to “quantify” continuous coverage by “counting”. When the plane turned, or someone looked away for a moment, do we count each such subjective disappearance/reappearance as a “separate” identification? When a light disappears and then reappears in another location, do we assume it is a different object, or the same one in a new location? There is simply NO way to tell. How DO we then “count” these occurrences? What insight into the phenomenon would we gain by doing so? It makes no sense at all to even attempt to do so. All we can do is report the fact that disappearances/reappearances occurred while noting the time and place and that there was no way to tell if it was the SAME object or a different one.

How many did not coincide in time and space?
What insight into the phenomenon could we gain by answering this question? For THAT is what it is all about, surely - any analysis we conduct MUST be aimed at providing an insight into the phenomenon.

All we DO know is the number that we can confirm as either radar/visual or radar/visual/film. As for the rest, while there may be strong circumstantial evidence to suggest confirmation of radar/visual or radar/visual/film, we must not allow ourselves to fall victim to confirmation bias and we must therefore discount these occurrences as positive identifications either way.

This of course allows for the UFO debunkers to claim anomalous propagation (AP) events. In other words the UFO debunkers USE the fact that it is not possible to confirm (count) the number of coincidences in space and time to put forward the “mundane” hypotheses of AP, or squid boats, etc.

So, what DO we know? We KNOW that there is at LEAST one instance of confirmed radar/visual/film conjunction (northbound leg). We KNOW there were at least a number of radar/visual contacts … but how do you quantify by counting a continuous event? Or even an intermittent event? …and very soon we again bog ourselves down in semantics and definitions of events that suddenly leads to an inextricable morass…

So what DO we KNOW?
Because we have a number of instances of conjunction between radar/visual and at least one radar/visual/film conjunction, we KNOW that there were REAL objects in the sky that night that MUST be explained. THIS is what the UFO debunkers are trying to draw your attention away from – the bottom line – the irrefutable FACT of the matter - that there were REAL objects in the sky that night that MUST be explained!
 
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<snip>


Only this takes it to unprecedented lows! I actually answered Jocce's post (that you cite) in detail. That you merely repost his comments, assertions and questions while snipping out all of my answers, simply shows that you have absolutely NO interest in either the evidence or an open and honest debate. Do you really have absolutely NO opinions of your own and are simply content merely to mindlessly repeat others attempts?
my bolding


No, Rramjet, it shows no such thing.

It shows that your credibilty is destroyed (by yourself). Your arguments are worthless. Your race is run.


Anyway, it was gods. Every single case.

I have it on very good authority, one of which you aren't.
 
So what DO we KNOW?
Because we have a number of instances of conjunction between radar/visual and at least one radar/visual/film conjunction, we KNOW that there were REAL objects in the sky that night that MUST be explained. THIS is what the UFO debunkers are trying to draw your attention away from – the bottom line – the irrefutable FACT of the matter - that there were REAL objects in the sky that night that MUST be explained!


Go on then! Explain them, mustering up all your critical thinking skills, that leads to the conclusion that they are "aliens" and not God(s). I mean this is your "BEST CASE" after all.
 
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I want you to carefully note something here. Ireland and Klass never doubted the radar target was real because in their minds it was a squid boat, which clearly is a real object. So you cannot have it both ways Astrophotographer…a squid boat or an AP… according to you, which IS it?
The two are not mutually exclusive. One thing to be noted about UFO sightings are that they usually combine a number of anomalous conditions to produce the appearance of something 'unexplainable'

It is also noted that Klass states a squid boat departed on December 16?! But the sighting occurred on December 30! And as Maccabee notes : “According to Ireland … these locations are reported to the Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries. However, ministry records failed to show any boats in the vicinity of the sighting area.” That puts paid to Klass and Ireland in no uncertain terms!
And
Not necessarily “lied” (your word) but maybe just not provided the whole truth. Given the above noted categorical fact that “…ministry records failed to show any boats in the vicinity of the sighting area” we might ask: WHERE WERE these boats “in transit” of Ireland and Andrew’s? I fact were they anywhere near the vicinity of the sighting… or were they somewhere else altogether!
The key phrase being "in the vicinity"... would 120 miles be considered "in the vicinity"? and indeed, did anyone look for evidence of squid boats so far away?

PS: I see white and green light and a hint of orange:
squidboat-300x226.jpg
 
How many radar echoes were seen? This is both unknowable and irrelevant.

It's very relevant and it's no big surprise that you fail to see it. It is clear that they saw numerous lights and that numerous radar echos was seeen. If we knew how many we could estimate the probability that it was chance happenings that a light source was on in the general direction of a radar echo rather than radar being confirmed by visual.

The WATCC did not report each individual target it acquired – nor could it be reasonable for you to have expected them to do so.

I agree, so data is insuficient to draw conclusions from.

What if the answer were 1 …2 … 10 …100 …1000 …? what would ANY numerical answer “prove” about the case? What possible conclusion COULD be drawn from such a number …any number in this context?

See above.

The WATCC witness statements characterised the contacts as “numerous”. If it were a very low number, they would have quantified that number. If it were very high, then they would have remarked on the extraordinary number of events. Neither scenario was apparent. There were numerous radar contacts. That’s all we have.

Exactly. And if you have numerous radar contacts and numerous light sources. Does that increase or decrease the chance that some of them happen to coincide in time and relative direction from the plane?

However, we DO know that there were radar contacts that had visual confirmation

No, your standard of confirmation leaves a lot to be desired. There is no way of knowing if the very few "confirmations" are chance happenings or an observation of the same physical object. There is no information about any light sources distance from the plane so all you really have is a few radar echos that coincides with the general direction of an observed light source.

and in at least one instance (probably more) - film confirmation as well!

Are you really really sure that this is an actual 3-way confirmation? As far as I remember even Dr. M. is not 100% certain.

The number of these is not particularly significant. What IS significant is that such conjunctions occurred at all! Without such conjunctions the whole thing could be written off as anomalous propogations (APs), lights in the sky, squid boats, etc, etc. But as SOON as we have even a SINGLE radar/visual confirmation, THEN we know there are REAL targets in the sky and THEN we can rule out AP and “lights in the sky and we have to come up with some sort of HARD TARGET explanation (apart from delusion, hoax, etc -however, when we have radar/visual/film confirmation, THEN we can also rule out delusion, misperception, etc.)

Want me to repeat the analogy with my tv and the fly? What is really interesting is that the majority of the numerous observations (radar as well as visual) had negative confirmation. I.e. radar says "look to your left, there's an object", plane says "can't see anything". And this was on a clear night with excellent visibility. Did they turn invisible?

What this case therefore demonstrates is that there were REAL objects in the sky that MUST be explained and that these confirmed objects cannot be APs or delusions or misperceptions.

You are quite wrong here. See reasons above

How many lights were seen?
This is both unknowable and irrelevant. The pilots, crew and passengers did not report each individual light they saw – nor could it be reasonable for you to have expected them to do so.

But there were many huh? Like the radar returns, many. In other words, a good chance that some would coincide in time and general direction from the plane.

There is a typical UFO debunker “trick” at work here.

Yeah, validating data before trying to draw conclusions is the big secret. Try it, you might like it.

The UFO debunkers have been claiming long and loud that it would be impossible to tell if a light “moved” from one place to another by “blinking out and reappearing at another location”. HOW, they ask, can you be sure it WAS the same light? Yet here they positively EXPECT us to make the opposite assumption - that it WAS in fact a different light. The light did NOT “blink out”, move, and then “blink on” at another location - it was in fact a “different” light! What they forget is that EACH assumption is unprovable, yet the UFO debunkers want THEIR assumption to be correct… What utter illogical nonsense!

Rather than attacking your opposition you should focus on presenting better data.

The rest of your post is addressed as above.
 
Want me to repeat the analogy with my tv and the fly? What is really interesting is that the majority of the numerous observations (radar as well as visual) had negative confirmation. I.e. radar says "look to your left, there's an object", plane says "can't see anything". And this was on a clear night with excellent visibility. Did they turn invisible?


Why, yes. Yes, they did. That's how we know it may have been gods. And only a complete moron who was suggesting aliens might be responsible for this sighting would fail to consider gods as a plausible alternative explanation.
 
During this period of time the WATCC controller noticed targets continuing to appear, remain for one or two sweeps of the radar, and then disappear close to the Kaikoura Coast. However, he did not report these to the airplane. He reported only the targets which were appearing near the airplane, now about 25 miles off the coast. The TV reporter, who was able to watch the skies continually, has stated (8) that he continually saw anomalous lights "over Kaikoura," that is, they appeared to be higher than the lights along the coastline at the town of Kaikoura.”[/I][/INDENT] (http://brumac.8k.com/NEW_ZEALAND/RADARUFOS.doc)

This does not answer the question. These contacts came and went randomly. NONE of these contacts started at the edge of the radar scope at Wellington and performed a track across the scope. We stil left with random contacts coming and going out of thin air.


On the northern leg…well, considering for at least selected portions of the flight there was an object that had concurrent radar/visual/film confirmation, what do you think?

Ireland addresses this in his article. His impression is that it was most likely a single squidboat and he presents a good case for it. I suggest you dig into your piggy bank and purchase it or are you just going to trust Dr. M.'s word on the matter?


“By 0027 (point 10) the plane was headed back southward along its original track. WATCC reported "Target is at 12:00 at 3 miles." The captain responded immediately, "Thank you. We pick it up. It's got a flashing light." The captain reported seeing "a couple of very bright blue-white lights, flashing regularly at a rapid rate. They looked like the strobe lights of a Boeing 737..."(Startup and Illingworth, 1980)). At this time he was again looking toward the open ocean. ”


So, they saw some flashing lights and no actual craft. What happened to this radar target? Where did it go? Did it move west, east, south, or did it just "disappear"? What happened to the flashing light at that point? Did it follow the track? Not much of a contact if you ask me. A light that was lined up with a random contact if you asked me.
It is amazing that you can not summarize things in your own words and simply parrot what Dr. M. writes without even trying to explain it. Are you just too lazy to try or don't you understand what he is writing? I think it is a crime that I use quotes for you when I really should state they are the words of Dr. M.

The second (the Double Sized Target – beginning at around 0032):

According to Klass, the plane was also visible on the Christchurch radar saw no such contact. What does that say? Dr. M. goes into the idea that the radar was not sensitive enough or the UFO was too low. However, if the plane was visible and the UFO was right next to it, it certainly would have been high enough, which is a poor argument. Dr. M. then goes on to attempt to show that AP can not be the cause for this target. One of his centerpieces is a rafractivity profile at Christchurch. That is all well and good but it completely ignores the fact that the radar was in Wellington and the plane was between Wellington and Christchurch. This profile is no good because it does not intersect the radar beam.


I want you to carefully note something here. Ireland and Klass never doubted the radar target was real because in their minds it was a squid boat, which clearly is a real object. So you cannot have it both ways Astrophotographer…a squid boat or an AP… according to you, which IS it?

In this case, the only radar contact comes from the airplane's ground mapping mode radar. There was no radar contact from Christchurch and there was nothing from Wellington. Dr. M states this has a lot to do with the UFO being too low to be seen by either radar. Perhaps the light was on the water, just like a squidboat.

It is also noted that Klass states a squid boat departed on December 16?! But the sighting occurred on December 30! And as Maccabee notes : “According to Ireland … these locations are reported to the Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries. However, ministry records failed to show any boats in the vicinity of the sighting area.” That puts paid to Klass and Ireland in no uncertain terms!

1. So, the boat said it was going to be in Pegasus bay (where the sighting took place btw). There is no indication that it changed location. Can you demonstrate the boat left pegasus bay and went someplace else?

2. Ireland states in his article that boats were enroute between the fleet and shore and several were fishing singly.

In one case you want the pegasus bay boat to disappear/move after two weeks and in another you state that the boats had to stay where they said they were going to be. This paints your argument in a negative light. Keep digging away.

Not necessarily “lied” (your word) but maybe just not provided the whole truth. Given the above noted categorical fact that “…ministry records failed to show any boats in the vicinity of the sighting area” we might ask: WHERE WERE these boats “in transit” of Ireland and Andrew’s? I fact were they anywhere near the vicinity of the sighting… or were they somewhere else altogether!

It was this northbound contact with the plane looping towards it (and then Startup promptly leaving when they got close) that is considered a probable squidboat. That was the whole arguement in the article. The information from Startup indicated they were approaching a relatively stationary target:

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Why, yes. Yes, they did. That's how we know it may have been gods. And only a complete moron who was suggesting aliens might be responsible for this sighting would fail to consider gods as a plausible alternative explanation.


GeeMack 1 Rramjet 0
 
What if the answer were 1 …2 … 10 …100 …1000 …? what would ANY numerical answer “prove” about the case? What possible conclusion COULD be drawn from such a number …any number in this context?

The fact that there were numerous contacts present indicates that AP was dominant that night. From what I have seen from the interviews with the radar operators (on Nova and quoted by Klass), it was common for this to happen.

I am curious as to why nobody but the pilots/TV crew saw these lights as UFOs? Were there any people on shore or at sea that also saw these UFOs zipping around the skies? Why isn't there any confirmation from ground sources? Again, all we have are random contacts where the pilots/TV crew saw some lights in the sky. There is no evidence that these lights represented any "alien" craft.
 
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