Actually, you should be reading the book. Sturrock states there was quite the argument about what the panel would write and it took much longer than expected. Some of the scientists almost walked out on the first day! In the book "Here be Dragons:the scientific quest for extraterrestrial life", Dr. Eshleman (who was co-chair on the panel) is quoted as saying:
<If you snip out my citations – then I am at liberty to treat yours in kind>
Sound familiar?
Yes indeed it does… it sounds exactly like the formulation a UFO debunker
believes that a serious UFO researcher might apply to UFOs.
Serious UFO researchers on the other hand often go to great lengths to point out to the UFO debunkers that the term UFO means no such thing. Still, the debunkers persist in their erroneous assessments and try to “tar with the same brush” serious researchers and the “lunatic” fringe”. Well, if science and logic were not on your side, what else COULD you do…?
Dr. Holzer stated on a Voice of America broadcast:
(…)
The panel concluded that
(…)
I have stated that I can wheel out academics to refute every one of your statements. We could then go on trading citations until the cows come home, but it would advance the argument precisely nowhere.
I think the major point to note is that you consider ANY point of view that differs from your own to be “biased”. You complain about “conspiracy theories” and how the adherents of such theories must be nuts. Perhaps you should look at your own conspiracy theory in this regard…
Moving away from the mere opinions of academics and on to something of actual substance… (I hope) …
However, you take too great a leap. Exactly how can you eliminate problems with the witness testimony? What if he/she is a good liar? Frank Kaufmann lied to a great number of UFO investigators for over a decade and many believed him. When he died, they discovered he had been lying all along when faced with the evidence in his garage. I can list Ed Walters, Billy Meier, contactees, abductees,etc.etc. All tell a convincing story but after close examination their stories turn out to be false.
I acknowledge that hoaxers and liars are a blight on the face of humanity. They “poison the pool” for serious research. They make the job of sorting the signal from the noise all the more difficult. This is why we need to concentrate on cases with unassailable provenance from reliable sources. I don’t believe even you would contend that the cases represented by Rogue River, White Sands and Tehran would represent hoaxes and lies. You MIGHT contend that for the Father Gill case… but my response to that would be that given his status, location and the number of witnesses involved, this would seem highly implausible as an explanation of the case.
However, not all can be explained this way. I point to Hendry's astute observation that what if the report is simply distorted to the point that no identification can be made? How can one tell what goes on in the human mind at the moment they see something they do not understand? I know you proclaim that this is simple but you have yet to present actual papers and sources of how it is done.
If the report IS “distorted to the point that no identification can be made” then we do as the researchers in the Battelle study did, we simply throw them out as unworthy of examination.
How can one tell what goes on in the human mind at the moment they see something they do not understand ?
Well, first we go through a process of escalating hypotheses. Is it a bird… is it a balloon…is it a plane… is wind blow debris… is it the moon…a star… a planet… a meteor… a satellite…an illusion… am I seeing things… and so on… but once we have exhausted ALL those possibilities, we become surprised and perplexed by the fact that we cannot identify what we are seeing, ONLY then do we consider it a UFO. Then because we are surprised the process from then is also well understood… and I just presented an example of just such a research paper from Scientific American a few posts ago… (
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=learning-by-surprise)
If it can not be identified, it simply remains "unidentified". You can not make the leap to anything else. One can suggest possible solutions. In that case, one has to determine which is more likely. Using the ETH as a solution is the same as using a flying dragon because the evidence for each existence is the same.
Yes, a UFO is a UFO is a UFO…. But why do you persist with the ETH hypothesis? Although it is not an invalid hypothesis - ALL hypotheses are valid unless shown to be implausible based on the evidence – I have contended MANY times that the evidence does NOT necessarily indicate ET.
One point… ETH is as valid as hypothesising BOTH flying dragons AND mundane objects (blimps, planets, etc). EACH either HAS or does NOT have evidential support. We only CONSIDER the “flying dragon” hypothesis to be invalid because we DO have evidence that makes its truth implausible. But this is just the same evidential requirement that would make blimp, planet, etc, implausible also…
Then all UFOs are "unidentified" and we have absolutely no evidence they are aliens. Why are you wasting time here?
I don’t believe I am wasting my time. But that is merely a value judgement on my part and of course I could be wrong. If however you believe you are wasting your time here, then why continue posting?
Yes, Sturrock is biased because he is involved in the subject (he is the president of the Society for Scientific Exploration) and supports the ETH. This is why you have to read what the panel wrote and not what Sturrock wants you to read (for that matter the paper by Hoyt, who apparently could not get her facts correct on this issue).
Ah yes, anyone who disagrees with the great Astrophotographer is automatically “biased”. Hoyt? I think I will have more to say on her research in due course. You may look forward to it?
No. I am not stating "nothing" happened. I am questioning why you feel that these older cases are so appealing when most of the principles are dead. If the evidence was never thoroughly examined in the first place, what good is it?
I think you mean “principals”, but let us not quibble about that. Now are you contending that just because the testimonials have come from people who have since died we should ignore them as evidence? I suggest you (again) take that reasoning to a Holocaust survivor (or the family of a victim) and see how far it gets you.
There are numerous cases of UFO events that were closely examined by UFO proponents only to discover that years later the stories were not as told in the UFO literature (Lakenheath, Trindade Island, Big Sur, Malmstrom, Roswell, etc. etc.). I find it intesting that when UFOlogists are asked to list their best cases, they always go back to the older ones.
You have a
belief that all that is so, but your mere stating of that belief does NOT make it a true belief.