UFOs: The Research, the Evidence

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Of course I cannot expect subtly of argument in this forum. I have already stated on a number of occasions that other researchers (and for example KotA) do (does) not hold the same views as I do. There is nothing inconsistent with that and what I am arguing for. I am presenting the evidence to support my own opinions and conclusions on the UFO matter and not anyone elses.

And yet by your weird "scientist" logic, I'm hypocritical if my opinion differs from someone else's. You should take another couple of weeks off to regroup your thoughts again.

So, were you ever able to work it out in your mind how the Campeche incident reflects badly on your anecdotal cases? I can explain it again for you if you need me to.
 
I disagree. I have presented cases which have not convinced diehard “skeptics” such as yourself but you do not speak for all the “viewers” of this thread. Moreover you do NOT speak for the scientific “community” – indeed, you are not a trained scientist. On the other hand I am part of that scientific community and many others beside me DO believe that UFOs NEED to be investigated scientifically. The cases I present are not designed to “convince” anyone. Merely to show that what the die hard skeptics propose - that there IS no good evidence - is misguided.

You claim to be a scientist but you have yet to demonstrate that is true. I speak for the scientific community because their actions speak for them. How many scientific studies have been performed on the UFO phenomena in the past decade? What continuing studies are being done today? What scientists, outside the UFO community, have dropped their current line of work to chase UFOs if they find them so interesting?

In the Tehran case we have the testimony of the avionics technicians stating that they could find nothing wrong with the jet’s avionics. We do not have the actual radar tapes but we DO have the first hand testimony of (at least) one pilot describing that radar contact WAS made… indicating a solid object. We also have the testimony of the tower operator confirming radar contact and we have statements indicating the size of the object deduced from those radar contacts.

And Klass presented the same type of evidence that suggested the aircraft were known to have problems. It is all anecdotal evidence and subject to interpretation and error. It is low quality evidence that does not prove anything.

I have NEVER pretended that I KNOW the “source” of the “mysteries” I present. I merely contend that the evidence SUGGESTS scientific exploration of certain hypotheses might be fruitful. Science always progresses by exploring “mysteries”. Attaching the label “mystery” to a phenomenon (or phenomena) does NOT detract from the fact that it may be worthy of investigation.

Oh yes you have. You have claimed that these cases were going to demonstrate that UFOs exist as some exotic phenomena and then show they are alien spaceships. Are you stating that these are not alien spaceships now? These "mysteries" have numerous possible solutions and not just alien spaceships. However, you continuously dismiss these possible solutions simply because they do not agree with your predetermined scenarios of an exotic object/alien spaceship (whatever you want to call it).
 
"What shape is a blimp when viewed face on? "
Are you contending that the object sighted at Rogue River was on the ground? That is patently a ridiculous assertion. As researchers we MUST work with the data and evidence that pertains to the case. According to the witnesses the object was 5000 feet up and 1 mile or more distant! That means they were viewing it from below and at some angle! No matter HOW you cut it, it means a blimp viewed from this position heading directly toward the observers would present as an elipse!

So, basically what you're saying is that, if we say it was head-on, you say it was from the side, and if we say it was from the side, you say the opposite ?
If you say head on then I assume you mean that the observers were viewing the object “head on”… a blimp “head on” viewed from below presents as an ellipse… (shrugs) what more do you want?

How's your burden-of-proof research going ?
Better than yours, obviously! :)

Your answer didn't answer the question, Ramjet.
The question was “What shape is a blimp when viewed face on?” but of course THAT question has NOTHING to DO with the Rogue River case… unless of course you contend the blimp to be grounded …and even then, given the height of a blimp compared to the height of an observer, the aspect presented to an observer on the ground would be slightly elliptical! NOT circular at all. The ONLY time a blimp would present as precisely circular would be if the observer were at precisely the same height as the central axis extending through the nose cone and patently the observers at rogue River were NOT in that position!

I guess that perspective is not a strong suit of yours Belz?

You ARE aware, of course, that you can draw a circle on a 2-dimensional surface ?
You can draw anything you want to on a flat surface, however, because the surface is two dimensional, representing three dimensional objects on a 2-D surface will ALWAYS be problematic for an observer who is unfamiliar with the perspective supposed to be represented (unless the perspective information is clearly labelled on the drawing – which it is not in the Rogue River drawings). We can only go by the witness statements that the object was CIRCULAR and remained that way throughout the observation – a feat practically impossible for a blimp to have achieved!

No, you answered a question that wasn't asked, supplied your own interpretation of what the question should have been, and answered that instead.
How elliptical exactly would a typical blimp be from the distance and height that the observers describe it as having? And what if they are wrong about the height?

Oh, but of course, they're never wrong, are they.

I refer you to (http://brumac.8k.com/Rogue/RogueRiver2.htm) where I think you will find an appendix has been added that addresses the very issue you raise here.

Ah, so by circular they mean, "circular from one perspective", which I presume was not the only perspective they saw, otherwise how would they know to draw it as a cigar shape? So when they say it was circular the whole time, are they lying? Or did it appear at some time during their observations to have a cigar shape?
At no time did the witnesses describe the object as “cigar shaped” …in fact they were ALL consistent in describing the object as “circular”. I think you are being deliberately obtuse in thinking that the witnesses who drew the object did so with a “cigar” shape in mind. No, they described it as circular (with a flat bottom as well!) and they would have drawn the object accordingly. It is only via the limitations of a 2-D surface that you could even contemplate your assertions and patently they are NOT correct.

I'd laugh, but this is just too sad to laugh at. I don't for a moment say it was a blimp, only that it is possible. You on the other hand distort the facts as far as possible (and sometimes further) to show that it couldn't possibly be a blimp.
I merely contend that, given the witness descriptions, a blimp is absolutely improbable (you forget about “jet” speeds too! A blimp does NOT travel at the speed of a jet!).

You state that the descriptions are consistently that the object was circular, and even argure that the drawings of cigar shaped objects are only so because of perspective. But we have to assume that the observers had that perspective, i.e. they at some point saw the object as cigar shaped.

So either they are lying, or misinterpreting their view, or they are mistaken.
Ah now (finally) you get closer to actuality and the evidence and data in the case. Of course the observers MUST have seen the object as elliptical at some point in their observations.

And here is where the whole sceptical modus operandi reveals itself for what it truly is, a mere semantic device. The sceptical argument is neither sceptical nor scientific. It is in effect anti-rational, using semantics to cloud and obscure, it does not aim to enlighten or to discover new knowledge, just destroy whatever knowledge we might gain. This is a force of evil we are working with here. It is the methodology of the Dark Ages. It is barbaric in its approach… yet the so-called UFO skeptics are totally insensible to the fact! It would be laughable if it did not have such dark consequences for the direction of humanity in the search for knowledge and enlightenment.

Here for example the skeptics have been trying to make me state that a blimp seen head on would be circular, supposing that the witnesses SAW a circular object… when in fact the witnesses actually would have SEEN an ellipse!

The witnesses merely interpreted what they saw as a circle and they did this for a number of sound reasons. Primarily its aspect did not change as it first moved toward, then obliquely to and then away from the observers. A cigar shaped objects (blimps) aspect would have changed markedly under those conditions. The statements of the witnesses using binoculars are telling too:

(Mr. B) "Object's color was silvery and it appeared round in plan view."; (Mr. C) "while it appeared to be oval, it could have been perfectly round in plan section" and (Mr. B again)"Object appeared round and shiny, something like a 50-cent piece, viewed from below and to one side."

The blimp hypothesis runs into more trouble with descriptions of the object as “pancake” shaped with a “flat bottom” (other descriptions like “no sound” and no protuberances” do not help the blimp hypothesis either). Second was the fact that a blimp cannot move at the speeds of a jet plane! More, there is NO evidence for a blimp at rogue River at the time and so coupled with the eyewitness evidence this makes the mere possibility of a blimp fade into utter insignificance.

That it was not daylight.... er... that's it.
But according to your OWN figures it WAS twilight on the first sighting and daylight on the second… so again I ask what’s your point?

See sky pictures on the post I referred to please - 3067 - Thanks
Sky pictures? There ARE no “sky pictures” in that post…

Also, could you shed some light as to the weather conditions on the days of the sightings?
The weather conditions on the first night were of increasing cloud leading to rain and on the second “night”…

“The next evening, about 6 P.M., the same or a similar object reappeared while the sky was still bright, first seen by Annie Laura Borews, a Papuan medical assistant at the hospital.”

And given that Venus was supposedly clearly visible in the sky on that night (Menzel) I presume the sky to be clear.

And you are already wrong. That we don't know what someone saw does not allow you to claim that it must by default have been something we can't explain. The only reason these cases remain inexplicable to you is your refusal to accept any mundane explanation.
WHAT mundane explanation do you have then for the Tehran and father Gill cases?

Cases where you have failed to offer evidence for either hypothesis.
The Tehran case clearly suggests intelligent control and the Father Gill case has humanoid beings waving at the people on the ground! No evidence indeed!

I stated: I have stated from the outset that I am trying to build a coherent body of evidence that inexorably leads toward an “alien” conclusion. Beginning with “mere” UFOs and working through cases, each time “upping the ante” slightly. I believe this is a rational and coherent approach to the topic.

You believe wrongly. Adding supposition to speculation does not result in proof.
You merely stating so does not MAKE it so. If you believe my approach to be flawed and you state so then you must show where and how it is so flawed. Where is the “supposition”? WHERE is the “speculation”. Again just using these throwaway terms does NOT make them correct.

I stated: You may disagree with that approach

Me and everyone else it would seem. Including the scientific community. Is there a reason we should take your approach over one that produces verifiable, repeatable results?
You suppose to speak for “everyone” – “including the scientific community”? Now who is “supposing” and “speculating”. This is typical of the debunker mentality. Accuse me of the very things that YOU DO!

I stated: and you may want to skip directly to the “end game” (probably evidence of “alien artifacts” or some other such “compelling” evidence) but I am determined to stick with my step-by-step approach.

That approach will lead you nowhere. You will never, by this technique, prove your assertions. Nothing plus nothing equals nothing.
My approach is logical and scientific…that you think it is not a good technique does NOT surprise me in the least! If you think that the Tehran and Father Gill cases amount to “nothing” then you are simply burying your head in the sand and denying the evidence in those cases.
 
You really have no idea what you're talking about do you, Rramjet? Please explain how nothing plus nothing equals something? 0+0=1? Do tell. We're waiting.
 
And yet by your weird "scientist" logic, I'm hypocritical if my opinion differs from someone else's. You should take another couple of weeks off to regroup your thoughts again.

So, were you ever able to work it out in your mind how the Campeche incident reflects badly on your anecdotal cases? I can explain it again for you if you need me to.

I have been entirely consistent throughout. If I have not then I urge you to point out WHERE!

...and typical... your totally ignore the relevant part of my argument as pertaining to your own hypocrisy. I asked a question: Do you believe that anecdotal evidence should be allowed in court to convict in a capital crime or not? You stated that it should be allowed and I just want confirmation of that. But of course you will NEVER answer it now because it WILL point to your own hypocritical position. Ha!

I have stated on NUMEROUS occasions that the Cempeche incident was determined to be the result of mistaken identity of oil well fires. In other words researchers determined a reasonable mundane explanation for the case. IF you have ANY mundane explanation for the Tehran of Father Gill cases I would like to hear them and I will assess them on their merits! But of course you HAVE no such explanation do you?
 
Here they are again

Wrong again – see below - note on both occasions, Venus and alignment of other planets at the same time, namely Mars, Uranus and Mercury

Sky 26th June 1959 19:00

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/picture.php?albumid=317&pictureid=1909




Insoaltion 27th June 1959 June 1959 19:00 – Green cross represents insoaltion at time – clearly in the black .

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/picture.php?albumid=317&pictureid=1907

Sky 27th June 1959 18:00

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/picture.php?albumid=317&pictureid=1906

Insoaltion 27th June 1959 18:00 – again green mark shows that is on the cusp out Nautical twilight and certainly not in daylight! – daylight is the light blue area.

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/picture.php?albumid=317&pictureid=1908

Therefore your statement “The times you provide matched with the sighting times mean the UFO WAS initially seen in daylight (especially on the second “night” “ – is wrong!
 
I have been entirely consistent throughout.

the only thing that youve been consistent in is your inability to see the obvious, if what you are imagining your approach to be was anywhere what its like in reality perhaps you can explain why you haven't managed to convince a single fence sitter here that you have provided any evidence for what you claimed you would in the OP
:D
 
I have been entirely consistent throughout. If I have not then I urge you to point out WHERE!

...and typical... your totally ignore the relevant part of my argument as pertaining to your own hypocrisy. I asked a question: Do you believe that anecdotal evidence should be allowed in court to convict in a capital crime or not? You stated that it should be allowed and I just want confirmation of that. But of course you will NEVER answer it now because it WILL point to your own hypocritical position. Ha!

Are you so divorced from reality as to believe that anecdotal evidence is not permitted in court, even in capital cases? Now let's address your actual hyprocisy.

I have stated on NUMEROUS occasions that the Cempeche incident was determined to be the result of mistaken identity of oil well fires.

You continuing to assert it doesn't make it true. Now who is it that is so fond of that saying, hm?

In other words researchers determined a reasonable mundane explanation for the case.

Are you totally discounting the trained military observers' eyewitness testimony and the direct physical evidence of the FLIR video? Your hypocrisy knows no bounds!

IF you have ANY mundane explanation for the Tehran of Father Gill cases I would like to hear them and I will assess them on their merits! But of course you HAVE no such explanation do you?

Of course I don't. It's a UFO. Do you have direct evidence that it's aliens? Are you still sandbagging the direct evidence in this case too?
 
The weather conditions on the first night were of increasing cloud leading to rain and on the second “night”…

“The next evening, about 6 P.M., the same or a similar object reappeared while the sky was still bright, first seen by Annie Laura Borews, a Papuan medical assistant at the hospital.”

And given that Venus was supposedly clearly visible in the sky on that night (Menzel) I presume the sky to be clear.

But from http://www.theozfiles.com/Boianai_Visitants_1959.html - my italics to highlight emotives from this "neutral" site.

As one might expect, Gill's account was dismissed by the RAAF despite its extraordinary nature and the number of witnesses. The senior interviewing officer, Squadron Leader F.A. Lang, concluded:


'Although the Reverend Gill could be regarded as a reliable observer, it is felt that the June/July incidents could have been nothing more than natural phenomena coloured by past events and subconscious influences of UFO enthusiasts. During the period of the report the weather was cloudy and unsettled with light thunder storm. Although it is not possible to draw firm conclusions, an analysis of rough bearings and angles above the horizon does suggest that at least some of the lights observed were the planets Jupiter, Saturn and Mars.
Light refraction, the changing position of the planet relative to the observer and cloud movement would give the impression of size and rapid movement. In addition varying cloud densities could account for the human shapes and their sudden appearance and disappearance'.

Not exactly clear skies then, as well as not being daylight...
 
Puddle Duck…? I assume maths is not your strong point… how did you get to be a pilot…?

Lets look at some basics:

Mach 1 = 767mph
The bogey is 40 nm from takeoff = 46 miles
Your first mistake is assuming they took off from Tehran.

(hint: they didn't)

I assume getting your facts straight before running off at the mouth and insulting somebody who’s obviously much more qualified than you is not your strong point… how did you get to be a scientist…?

I'll be back...
 
Having said that… :)

Here is the scenario. You know that the previous jet in your position lost all avionics. You in turn have now just lost weapons control and communications. Do you invert the jet? If you do, what happens if all your avionics systems go the way of the previous jet? I don’t presume to know the mind of the pilot at the time, but all things considered I would expect the pilot NOT to make any manoeuvre that could place his craft and crew in jeopardy – especially since he ALREADY has avionics going out on him – the thought MUST have crossed his mind that his control indicators also might “die” as they did on the previous jet… Morover, the UFO launched its “missile from a distance of about 25nm… that gives the pilot ample time to weigh up his options. He obviously considered his ultimate manoeuvre the best under the circumstances.
The pilot believes himself already to be in jeopardy. He's trying to extricate himself. His instruments are working. Our resident pilot believes the manoeuvre could safely be done without instruments anyway.

The problem with extrapolating from the available details is that such details are few, vague and ambiguous. What do we know for sure about Jafari's knowledge of why the first plane turned back? What exactly were the problems with Jafari's aircraft? Exactly which weapons controls were involved? Was a panel malfunctioning or was it just inadvertantly switched off? Was the radio dead, or was there just interference on the reception? If it was just garbled, then how unusual was that? Was the intercom dead, or garbled, or unaffected? Did the crew resolve any of the problems themselves and, if so, how?

(These are all rhetorical questions, of course, but if anyone happens to have some new source of information then please jump right in.)

you claim that the “systems failure” (of BOTH aircraft) was some sort of elaborate coverup designed to deflect investigation away from operational incompetence.
I don't think I make any claim whatever about the first aircraft's problems.

The second pilot's problems with weapons control could have been operator error. Puddle Duck has even pointed out a simple error which would have caused the trouble - flicking the switch next to the one the pilot intended. Your emphatic rejection of this possibility seems curious, given that your alternative explanation appears to be that an unknown entity used an unknown technology to produce the same effect from many miles away.
 
the D-21 drone, on its launchpad
twuav_05_05.jpg

http://www.vectorsite.net/twuav_05.html

which is an in flight detachable mach 3 UAV
it has a very interesting effect when its engine starts up, which can be seen here at 0:35
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5w64fyqmLEU&feature=related

its launchpad in this case is the mach 3+ SR71 Blackbird, an aircraft fitted with an electronic counter measures system
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electronic_countermeasures
"designed to trick or deceive radar, sonar, or other detection systems like IR (infrared) and Laser. It may be used both offensively or defensively in any method to deny targeting information to an enemy. The system may make many separate targets appear to the enemy, or make the real target appear to disappear or move about randomly. It is used effectively to protect aircraft from guided missiles"
:D

now that we know that Rogue River was a blimp and that this was a conventional (but secret) American aircraft I am wondering what "best case" rramjets going to pretend is something it isn't next
 
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Hmm.. who to believe...rramjet who has a propensity to make things up, ignore posts that show him wrong, and has poor reading comprehension, or Puddle Duck who has posted things that are very consistent with him being a retired F4 pilot, hasn't gone off on wild speculation, and seems to back up his posts with easily referenced information. Damn, what a dilemma.
 
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