Caustic Logic
Illuminator
- Joined
- Apr 24, 2007
- Messages
- 4,494
I don't know, but you're convincing me that the entire Erac thing needs to be looked at more carefully. It's back to the timeline, which I was chewing over in a different thread.
It really does appear to be the Erac printout that is the crucial item of evidence which sent the focus of the case veering towards Libya. I realised this while reading Coleman, who of course has a different perspective because he's writing so early in the case, before everybody started obsessing about the timer fragment.
Convincing, eh? That's cool. Actually a couple things I'm seeing lately make me less sure - possiblle time confusion, etc. - things I don't know - but this idea of the paper being faked still has the strongest pull and I think I'm in its orbit. Timelines are always great to get a usable context. At least until time starts working differently. Below, your timeline with noted corrections - the order changes.
- Up to March 1989, everybody is very excited about the PFLP-GC connection, with arrests being expected and so on.
- Mid-March 1989, the alleged conversation between Thatcher and Bush, agreeing to play down that connection. However, at first there as no alternative theory put forward in its place.
- August 1989, the Frankfurt police finally hand over the Erac printout to the investigating authorities, complete with annotations and supporting documentation to suggest an unidentified bag has come through the system on to PA103A from KM180.
- September 1989, Scottish police visit Malta for the second time, to try to trace the purchaser of the "Made in Malta" items that were identified as probably having been in the bomb suitcase. (Their first visit, in March, was apparently fruitless, as similar items had been supplied to retailers all over Europe, however after the KM180 connection was proposed they went back to concentrate on retailers on Malta itself.)
- Almost immediately, with the help of the Maltese police, they were put in touch with Gauci, who told them about the mystery shopper, and volunteered that he believed the man to have been Libyan.
- January 1990 (I think), the conference where Henderson doesn't reveal the mystery green fragment for general consideration, but mentions it to Marquise, who is quite miffed at the determination of the Scottish cops to "go it alone" on the identification.
- April 1990, the fragment's trip to Germany and the Siemens factory.
- June 1990, Thurman finally gets a gander at it and identifies it in no time flat.
- Late September 1990, the first press reports in a French newspaper allege Libyan involvement.
- December 1990, the Sunday Times and other English papers have shifted their line from Syria to Libya.
Awesome list, this is worth copy-pasting and stuff. On the order change and context, it was the timer thing that seemed to solidify what was being decided and "discovered" over the previous year. It was done with FBI/CIA help (really, oddly tandem) and with French help (Senegal timers). Somehow 'the French' wound up offering media help as well, we see, publicizing the Libya connection is official, mostly based on the Libya-Africa-terror-timer stuff backed by the previous (clothes, printout, Gauci).
So by this reckoning, the Erac printout is far more important that I had realised at first. It led to KM180, which led to Malta, which led to Gauci, who said "filthy Libyan pigs" or something like that. Nevertheless, the investigators still had nothing concrete to link it to Libya at this stage. That was where Giaka came in, and of course the MST-13 fragment.
Nothing concrete? The will to convict was. ETA: Indict, punish, distract, whatever. !!
And to be fair, the Maltese clothes were there - since whenever exactly, and unless the August report is false, this printout was in official hands before Feb 2, so probably done being changed.Leaving aside the evidence of the red-circle photo (suggesting that the timer fragment was in the system in May 1989), this all looks quite neat.
All the initial evidence points to the PFLP-GC. <snip> Iran <snip> "controlled" drugs delivery <snip> release of the Beirut hostages. So we seriously don't want these questions asked.
This is March, OK?
There ample possible reasons to go intosome kind of panic mode - DEA, DIA, CIA, NATO, WTFKWE, might have been tripping over each other to get hold of the baggage records and control them away from whoever else, however else. Most of the history of the Lockerbie debate is based on what did and didn't happen at Frankfurt. And the police either didn't bother investigating there until February, or their earlier visits are unknown, and no one has bothered to explain which of these it is.
Is it at all possible that the Frankfurt and Maltese police were in some way co-opted to provide that chain of evidence that would lead to Gauci and "filthy Libyan pigs"? I would just mention that Frankfurt is in the part of Germany that was under US control post WW2.
Didn't you hear Cannistraro? It was Luqa and Air Malta that were co-opted by Libya, due to a high evil-distance ratio. The US is neither evil nor close to Germany.
Their completely ransacked records at Frankfurt were just, yknow... hey, the paper from the locker says Malta! So Malta's carefully kept papers are all fakes! Where have I heard logic like this? Oh yeah, 9/11 Twoof people. They've got five months to do it. According to Coleman (who isn't necessarily correct, but it's a start), all that was handed over by the Germans was the Erac printout, the handwritten worksheet from station 206, and a typewritten document. All neatly ready-annotated with the inference trail leading to KM180. Caustic Logic, do you think it's possible for the entire damn lot to have been fabricated, or at least the printout?
All is possible. Only the printout do I feel compelled to call a likely fake. I can't say what the timeline really was - five months could be it. It's just so odd that the (supp) destroyed and lost computer data had this disappeared, re-surfaced paper record of just the part they needed.
This allows for a period of concealment and control. As I said earlier, if I were such a villain in this case, I'd want the whole data set, on a tape or however they did it, in my hands and no copy left for anyone else. I'd pay millions, easy. I don't want to libel anyone in particular, but I might want anywhere from one to four inside people, depending. I'd discuss what we wanted with a few respected big-picture-thinking higher ups, leaving the secrecy to them and me. I'd use my airport contacts to help me encode that into something plausible-looking that, coupled with ("verified by") existing records, would create two points, and a line, to Libya. And then use my contacts to seed back the lead we wrote for ourselves into the 3-D world. So I guess Mrs. Erac does pop us as a suspect in this hypothetical scenario.
At any rate, given the influence the US enjoyed in West Germany, the suspicious blank spot over any timely BKA enquiries, the lack of corroboration for the Maltese bag it implies, and presence of strong contradictory clues, one should take pause, considering the weight of the frozen turkey to be perched on this slender sapling. Whether or not one is willing to question the very reality of this record, it would be foolhardy to ignore the blatant and gaping breach of the chain of evidence here. It's like someone took a hacksaw to it. The evidence should have been taken with at least a grain of salt and wasn't.
To their credit, the Scottish judges never seemed totally convinced of the printout's implications, and made show of serious nodding and concerned brow-furrowing over Air Malta's strong stance relative to the mess at Frankfurt they do not draw any unnecessary attention to. It's only in the context of a lot of other questionable stuff that they decide - I can only surmise - that somebody really, really powerful wants them to say guilty.
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