UFOs: The Research, the Evidence

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So to recap the thread so far, we have Rramjet who opened the thread with a claim that aliens exist, and he stated with certainty that he would produce evidence to support his claim. So far he hasn't produced a single speck of evidence, not legitimate objective evidence anyway. He has contributed over 500 posts to this thread, and has yet to offer anything other than arguments from incredulity, arguments from ignorance, assorted logical fallacies, and gross misunderstandings about the scientific method, burden of proof, and inequality of hypotheses.

In all his efforts to convince people that he is correct, in this thread with over 2300 total postings to date, he hasn't been able to sway any of the following contributors to agree with him. From what I have been able to see, not one of these people even accepts that he has offered any evidence at all, well, other than the arguments from ignorance, incredulity, and lies I mentioned above. Here are the 75 people who have not found any of Rramjet's arguments to be compelling or his "evidence" to be valid...

  • [*]Access Denied
    [*]Aepervius
    [*]Akhenaten
    [*]Andrew Wiggin
    [*]apathoid
    [*]arthwollipot
    [*]Astrophotographer
    [*]AWPrime
    [*]BabyHeadedMan
    [*]Belz...
    [*]Bikewer
    [*]BlackKat
    [*]Blackwell
    [*]calebprime
    [*]catsmate1
    [*]Caustic Logic
    [*]Correa Neto
    [*]CurtC
    [*]Czarcasm
    [*]David Wong
    [*]De_Bunk
    [*]EHocking
    [*]Ferguson
    [*]Fishstick
    [*]FramerDave
    [*]fromdownunder
    [*]gambling_cruiser
    [*]GeeMack
    [*]Gord_in_Toronto
    [*]GT/CS
    [*]Hindmost
    [*]IXP
    [*]Jack by the hedge
    [*]JCL
    [*]jer_j
    [*]jhunter1163
    [*]Jocce
    [*]Jungle Jim
    [*]kitakaze
    [*]kittynh
    [*]Lanzy
    [*]Laton
    [*]LissaLysikan
    [*]LTC8K6
    [*]makaya325
    [*]Marcus
    [*]Marduk
    [*]MattusMaximus
    [*]Niggle
    [*]Pantaz
    [*]Patricio Elicer
    [*]Paul2
    [*]Pinely
    [*]Pixel42
    [*]Pure_Argent
    [*]riptowtan
    [*]RoboTimbo
    [*]Seismosaurus
    [*]shandyjan
    [*]Sherman Bay
    [*]Sledge
    [*]Spektator
    [*]staunch
    [*]StevenCalder
    [*]Stray Cat
    [*]Tapio
    [*]TjW
    [*]Toke
    [*]Trystero4
    [*]tsig
    [*]Vortigern99
    [*]wollery
    [*]Wolrab
    [*]Yeah_Right
    [*]ynot
Then there are a few people who don't seem to actually disagree with Rramjet, but haven't expressed any particular agreement either. A couple of them have also shown an extreme misunderstanding of simple concepts like burden of proof and what constitutes legitimate evidence. There are 5 in this group...

  • [*]Alley Cat
    [*]jakesteele
    [*]King of the Americas
    [*]leafman91
    [*]SnidelyW
Now if I've made a mistake about where anyone stands on the issue of Rramjet's claim that aliens exist, and whether or not he has actually provided any evidence to support that claim, please feel free to post your correction. I tried to be thorough, but I could be wrong by a name or two.

And Rramjet, after 2300+ postings in this thread, it would be good for you to actually do what you stated at the beginning and start bringing in the evidence to support your claim that aliens exist. It's really looking a lot like you aren't going to be able to do it. And I shouldn't need to remind you that arguments from incredulity, ignorance, and lies aren't going to cut it. You know by now you'll get busted by this crowd of skeptics if that's all you've got. :)
 
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GeeMack has listed me in the correct column. I do not accept Rramjet's arguments or "evidence" (namely, anecdotes and logical fallacies) as persuasive.

Having given up as a futile waste of time any attempt at debate with Rramjet, I'm nevertheless intrigued to review any concrete evidence of "alien" visitation, intelligence and/or beings that he, or anyone, cares to put forward.

Note that anecdotes and eyewitness testimony are not held as reliable, concrete evidence for a variety of reasons, all of which have been explained ad infinitum in the pages of this thread.

Note also that, like others here, in my secret heart I want aliens to exist. My skepticism of their existence here on Earth is not a "faith system" as Rramjet has contended. If I were indeed arguing toward fulfilling some emotional need or presupposed belief, I would be embracing Rramjet's anecdotes rather than rejecting them. The gulf between us is that my standards of evidence are much, much higher than anecdotes and vague photographs, both of which are imminently hoaxable and prone to perceptual distortion.
 
So to recap the thread so far, we have Rramjet who opened the thread with a claim that aliens exist, and he stated with certainty that he would produce evidence to support his claim. So far he hasn't produced a single speck of evidence, not legitimate objective evidence anyway. He has contributed over 500 posts to this thread, and has yet to offer anything other than arguments from incredulity, arguments from ignorance, assorted logical fallacies, and gross misunderstandings about the scientific method, burden of proof, and inequality of hypotheses.

In all his efforts to convince people that he is correct, in this thread with over 2300 total postings to date, he hasn't been able to sway any of the following contributors to agree with him. From what I have been able to see, not one of these people even accepts that he has offered any evidence at all, well, other than the arguments from ignorance, incredulity, and lies I mentioned above. Here are the 75 people who have not found any of Rramjet's arguments to be compelling or his "evidence" to be valid...


  • [*]fromdownunder
Now if I've made a mistake about where anyone stands on the issue of Rramjet's claim that aliens exist, and whether or not he has actually provided any evidence to support that claim, please feel free to post your correction. I tried to be thorough, but I could be wrong by a name or two.

And Rramjet, after 2300+ postings in this thread, it would be good for you to actually do what you stated at the beginning and start bringing in the evidence to support your claim that aliens exist. It's really looking a lot like you aren't going to be able to do it. And I shouldn't need to remind you that arguments from incredulity, ignorance, and lies aren't going to cut it. You know by now you'll get busted by this crowd of skeptics if that's all you've got. :)

Just to confirm, although not a regular poster on this thread, I have followed it since Day One, and am desperately waiting for any evidence you have of aliens (as you define them).

So far all I have seen is the Elvis Hypothesis. If you throw enough Elvis sightings at the wall, he must be still alive. But you have not even done that - all you have is UFO's, therefore aliens. Nothing has stuck to the wall!

Norm
 
I confirm that I stand on the right place.

The "evidence" he has provided so far consists solely on testimonies. His bottom line argument seems to be that not all eyewitnesses can possibly be wrong, therefore aliens exist and are visiting Earth.

Nope, it doesn't convince me.

Witness testimony alone = No

Witness testimony + hard data to assess independantly = Yes
 
Typical 'gish gallop 'wall 'o' text defense snipped.

Whoa. A point by point refutation of cherry picked snippets from a bunch of my posts. I should be awed. I should cower. I should tremble. <chaucer>I should DWELL in the SHADOW of your CORPULENCE!</chaucer>

Of course, you've said the same things to each and every one of my posts before, and all you're succeeding in doing is showing how little you understand the concept of burden of proof. You simply can't go from unknown to alien until you've done two things. First, rule out all mundane explanations for your unknown. You've done that to your own satisfaction only, using only the loosest standards. Second, independently prove the existence of aliens. Otherwise, you can't throw them in as an explanation for an unknown phenomenon, any more than I can call a light in the sky 'glow from floating pyrophoric unicorn farts'. I haven't proved unicorns exist, or that they fart, or that their farts are pyrophoric, so I can't drop that in as an explanation. You seem to understand that one instinctively, while refusing to adhere to that standard.

A
 
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Big snip as what you have to say has been demonstrated to be completely worthless.
Can’t be bothered with the evidence or logical argument? Why does that not surprise me? But I know the REAL reason why you chose not to reply…it is because you have NO answers to the points I made therein.

I stated:
Suggestion noted. Oh, by the way, I notice you have failed to comment on this case.

Brazilian UFO Night (19 May 1986)
(http://www.ufo.com.br/documentos/night/Occurrence Report - Translated.pdf)
(http://www.ufocasebook.com/brazilianairforceadmits.html)
(http://www.allnewsweb.com/page9299893.php)
(http://www.cohenufo.org/BrazilianUFODocumentsReleased.htm)
(http://www.ufodigest.com/news/0909/declassified.php)


I chose not to comment on this case because I see no reason to since it is a highly selective presentation of the event. We are missing some of the most important data associated with the radar, which includes sounding balloon temperature profiles. I talked to a friend of mine in Brazil and he states that many of the officers in the military at the time were very gullible and at least one UFO researcher has indicated the story is way overblown. I could collect this man's information and present it but you would just ignore it. So, I have no interest in wasting my time.
So you are again relying on unfounded assertions to make your point. “A friend of mine in Brazil said…”. Did they indeed...Well, a friend of MINE told be just last night he thought you were very gullible and that your seeming status as an “amateur astronomer” is WAY overblown – but hey, we all have our opinions right…but wait… did I say OPINION? Oh gee, been around JREF too long, where opinion seems to count as fact!

So tell me, when are you going to the scientific community with your theories about UFOs? What papers are you going to write? Exactly how many scientists do you hope to convince with the argument you presented here? I think I can answer that question. You will convince just as many scientists as you have convinced people in this forum. Once again, that is a failure on your part.
I am amusing myself in this forum for the moment. Just because you don’t seem to appreciate that, matters not to me. Besides why do you care so much what I do?

I stated:
Originally Posted by Rramjet
Not at all, for example here:
(http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/worl...ing-alone.html) and here:
(http://www.science-frontiers.com/sf129/sf129p15.htm)
And here:
(http://www.ufoevidence.org/Cases/Cas...ion=Astronomer)
I had to go back and see these ridiculous links.


I had to go back and see these ridiculous links.

The first one is a bogus translation. The real story can be found here:
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2009-09/12/content_8684729.htm

An excerpt:

Ji said he doesn't know why his explanation about a bright spot close to the sun, very likely to be the result of some coronal activity filmed during the total eclipse, was misunderstood.

"Obviously, there have been misunderstandings," Ji says while speaking to China Daily.

Ji says that on Sept 2 he received a call from a journalist who asked him about UFO images taken during the solar eclipse. "I was confused and retorted, 'what UFO?'"

It was not until the journalist referred to the photograph of a bright spot near the sun, posted on the observatory's website as a summary report about Chinese observation of the eclipse, that Ji realized what he was talking about.

The report refers to the bright spot as one of the best examples of Chinese scientists' success in capturing some fresh and clear images for up to 40 minutes of the corona of a solar eclipse.

Ji told the journalist that "people were being organized to study the data, complete the analysis and reveal the scientific results. That will take at least one year to finalize."
But you failed to read the WHOLE report under the original link (including the video) .. oh wait, you can’t understand Chinese… perhaps I’ll translate it into French for you then… No? Into English will have to do then! I cannot get what the presenter is saying. (Actually, truth be told, the report is in Cantonese - which I don’t understand – BUT fortunately the Chinese text provides the translation. So:

The boy in the video is saying he saw what he first took to be an airplane, but then thought the shape was strange. He decided to take some photos (nine in all). He said the object did not deviate from a steady path and the sighting lasted about 3 or 4 minutes. It was only later when he put it onto his computer that he saw how odd the shape really was. He also says that in the photos the object looks black (or dark) but in reality it was lighter coloured. The woman confirms what the boy says.
(http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/wor...e-study-footage-year-hopes-proving-alone.html)

NOT the “Astronomers” object perhaps…just another UFO… what, ANOTHER one…? Is there no end to the madness I here you cry… :)

AND you selectively quote from the link you DO provide. In it Ji stated: "That's false news. I said 'an unidentified object' not 'an unidentified flying object'."

So Ji is not ruling in or ruling out anything (your contention is “ruled out” and you ridicule me for not investigating properly…huh!). Ji’s contention is that the journalist claimed “UFO” when he did not include “flying” in his description! A matter of semantics. NOT a matter of debunking the object itself.

Again you drag a red herring across the path.

So once again, your intellectual curiousity is nil and you just parrotted a UFO story without any background check.

Actually it is YOU who has failed to look at the whole of the evidence – selecting ONLY those bits that seem to support your faith. That is not very scientific of you Astophotographer. ...don’t you wish you could take back your words sometimes…?

For the second link you apparently never read Menzel’s book (so much for doing extensive research), "The world of flying saucers". In that book, Menzel quoted Tombaugh as stating that what he saw that night was not a “craft” but faint shapes/lights that faded in intensity. Tombaugh added that he felt the more probable answer was probably some sort of natural optical phenomenon. Even if it were not an optical illusion of some kind, Tombaugh never stated he saw physical craft/spaceships. Again, it is easy to proclaim something but you really should read more than just what you can find on the internet.
Let’s see then what Tombaugh actually says shall we – and not what some second hand source (without quotes) interprets him as saying:
(http://www.absoluteastronomy.com/topics/Clyde_Tombaugh)

On August 20, 1949, Tombaugh saw several UFOs near Las Cruces, New Mexico. He described them as six to eight rectangular lights, stating:

"I doubt that the phenomenon was any terrestrial reflection, because... nothing of the kind has ever appeared before or since... I was so unprepared for such a strange sight that I was really petrified with astonishment."​

(…)

In 1956 Tombaugh had the following to say about his various sightings:

"I have seen three objects in the last seven years which defied any explanation of known phenomenon, such as Venus, atmospheric optic, meteors or planes. I am a professional, highly skilled, professional astronomer. In addition I have seen three green fireballs which were unusual in behavior from normal green fireballs ... I think that several reputable scientists are being unscientific in refusing to entertain the possibility of extraterrestrial life.”​

Shortly after this in January 1957, in an Associated Press article in the Alamogordo Daily News titled "Celestial Visitors May Be Invading Earth's Atmosphere," Tombaugh was again quoted on his sightings and opinion about them.

"Although our own solar system is believed to support no other life than on Earth, other stars in the galaxy may have hundreds of thousands of habitable worlds. Races on these worlds may have been able to utilize the tremendous amounts of power required to bridge the space between the stars..."​

Tombaugh said he has observed celestial phenomena which he could not explain, but has seen none personally since 1951 or 1952.

"These things, which do appear to be directed, are unlike any other phenomena I ever observed. Their apparent lack of obedience to the ordinary laws of celestial motion gives credence."​

Hmm, gee, who is “not reading” more?

For the third link, we have no identification of the "amateur astronomer" or his qualifications. Was he just a casual sky watcher that claimed to be an amateur astronomer or was he just somebody who liked to look at the stars while walking the dog? This report lacks substance and is inadequate to support your claim.

Yeah, sure, just another UFO, don’t know what would become of us if someone actually started paying attention to the pesky things!

BTW, I don't think anyone is saying that astronomers do not report UFOs. However, they report them in numbers far less than the standard populace (See article by Robert Young in SUNlite 1-3) and the rarely, if ever, report actual craft of unknown origin. Most of their reports have to do with unidentiified lights in the sky.
The “standard poplace”? Oh, look a reference to (ahem…)! How startling! Wonder what possible agenda could be happening here? PS: I would appreciate a link that actually worked…

Oh gee, merely “unidentified lights in the sky”? Strange, you would think that working at NIGHT, as they do, they would have more than that…no, wait…did I say working at night..?

It seems your knowledge about astronomers and UFOs is very limited. You are nothing more than a UFO propoganda parrot. You simply repeat what these websites tell you and don't even look beyond it.
Well, if you provided a link that actually worked I might have a better chance…

The ball is back in your court, burden of proof wise. All of your cases have been refuted.
Opinion as fact again. “Sir, what will it be today? We have a lovely special on at the moment…” Oh, yes, what might that be then. “Oh, it is a really delightful serve of opinion as fact. Ummm…no thanks, I’ve already had my fill….

So what was it about those cases that made you (a scientist) so gullible as to believe they were evidence of aliens?

Well… I guess you really have not read my answers on this have you. I have stated numerous times WHY I understand the evidence points toward “alien”. But why should I repeat it again and again? You would just ignore it again and again. If I feel like it I might (again), but in the meantime, why don’t you review my answer to this question in my numerous posts.
 
Count me among the correctly listed, GeeMack.

Rramjet, do you have a link to the infrared video taken by the Mexican military over Campeche Mexico in 2004? If not, maybe Astrophotographer could provide us one that we could then discuss?
 
GeeMack-count me in as an unimpressed (by Rramjet, that is) lurker.
 
Can’t be bothered with the evidence or logical argument? Why does that not surprise me? But I know the REAL reason why you chose not to reply…it is because you have NO answers to the points I made therein.

I think you're right Rramjet, some of these cases could be aliens. Now all you have to do is provide evidence that the aliens you are referring to have access to a technology that let them perform in the way that eyewitnesses report and that they are within flying distance of Teheran and Brazil. Thank you for your cooperation.

ETA: Oh right, I'm in the correct spot in the list too.
 
GeeMack-count me in as an unimpressed (by Rramjet, that is) lurker.


Thanks for your input, jond. I don't think I had you on the list yet as a participant. Obviously there are other lurkers out there, too. You'd think if there was any legitimate evidence available to show that aliens exist, someone would step in and help Rramjet communicate his position. So far his arguments have been totally lacking in any support for his claim.
 
I'm on the right list. For a while there, I was considering returning to participate directly in this thread rather than just lurking, but I see that Rramjet has resorted to the quote-dump technique, in which he simply spams so much nonsense that it would take anyone two hours to debunk him. So no, I think I'll just watch.
 
@ GeeMack,

You are doing a wonderful job of presenting your case and it is gratifying to see solid evidence of your propounded list coming forth. A self-evident claim is much in keeping with the spirit of the JREF.


I look forward to Rramjet's attempted refutation of our claims to be on the correct lists.
 
I'm on the right list.

I do believe aliens probably exist in several places in the universe. I don't believe it's remotely likely any have ever visited earth. I think the "evidence" to suggest they have done bears a striking resemblance to the Isle of Wight ferry*.

(*For those unfamiliar, the old music hall joke holds that it's brown, it steams and it come out of Cowes backwards.)
 
I mean astrographer has actually educated me and I'm sure other people that might stumble upon this thread. The sad fact for Rramjet is that anyone that googles or comes here to "learn" (we get a lot of fence sitters that pop in) is going to come away learning a lot of interesting facts that totally refute Rramjets dogmatic assertations.

This thread, read by a "fence sitter" will certainly tip them toward rational thought and scare them from the rather "youtube" heavy "evidence". And remember, saying "well do YOU know if they were in a boat, I don't know, you don't know if the boat was rocking" blah de blah, isn't "evidence".

Before we make the leap that "beings are visiting us from other planets" (which is the BIGGEST NEWS mankind has ever had, if true) let's make sure there is really factual evidence of the most rigorous kind. The BIGGEST story EVER, should be checked, double checked, triple checked and then scientists the world over as well as heads of state should get up and say "hey, those green guys with lasers that are killing all our cows, they are real". You won't read about it here first. You'll turn on the tv and every station will be 24 hour "ALIENS ARE REAL!".

People are asking for real evidence because if true, alien visitation isn't a joke or a hobby. It's the most deadly serious thing ever to happen to mankind.
 
If I had posted in this thread, I hope I would have been placed on the Not Convinced list.

That said, as much as I respect GeeMack's efforts here, the list and the constant refrain that Rramjet has not convinced anyone is not convincing. While it may seem self-evident to skeptics that when a lot of skeptics are unconvinced there is little to be convinced of, it will likely mean nothing to believers or some fence-sitters who will see it merely as self-congratulatory group-think.

To reverse it, if you were to go to RaptureReady or PrisonPlanet and present the best arguments in the world, a member of either of those boards could post something equivalent to your list saying you have convinced no one and should therefore reconsider your position.

Just sayin'
 
:/

Garrette makes a good point. Of course, we could always dig through the thread to find the rebuttals to Rramjet's arguments - or maybe the best few posts by EHocking, Vortigern99 and Stray Cat - and re-post them, but that would require quite an investment of time and energy that I'm not sure that I want to make.
 
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