Merged Skeptics vs. Knowers/Believers

It would be more accurate to say that "anecdotes are not proof", but they certainly ARE "evidence".

see this is where you are failing to appreciate what evidence is,
The expression anecdotal evidence has two distinct meanings.

(1) Evidence in the form of an anecdote or hearsay is called anecdotal if there is doubt about its veracity; the evidence itself is considered untrustworthy.

(2) Evidence, which may itself be true and verifiable, used to deduce a conclusion which does not follow from it, usually by generalizing from an insufficient amount of evidence. For example "my grandfather smoked like a chimney and died healthy in a car crash at the age of 99" does not disprove the proposition that "smoking markedly increases the probability of cancer and heart disease at a relatively early age". In this case, the evidence may itself be true, but does not warrant the conclusion.

In both cases the conclusion is unreliable; it may not be untrue, but it doesn't follow from the "evidence
 
see this is where you are failing to appreciate what evidence is,
The expression anecdotal evidence has two distinct meanings.

You understand that "anecdotal" is an adjective, right? A word that 'describes' a noun, which in this case is "evidence"...

My sighting does not come with pictures or video to verify it, but I AM a co-witness, in that I was not alone. So the empirical evidence I garnered WAS verified by another source, even if it was another anecdotal one.

So, my sighting is two pieces of weak/anecdotal "evidence", but it's 'evidence' nonetheless.
 
Because we lack the technology to make it so?

so youre trying to twist out of this by claiming that at some point when we have the technology we will have spaceships made from play doh

have you taken a good hard listen at how ridiculous your statements are in an attempt to justify an unevidenced belief

wake up and smell the coffee
:D
 
You understand that "anecdotal" is an adjective, right? A word that 'describes' a noun, which in this case is "evidence"...

My sighting does not come with pictures or video to verify it, but I AM a co-witness, in that I was not alone. So the empirical evidence I garnered WAS verified by another source, even if it was another anecdotal one.

So, my sighting is two pieces of weak/anecdotal "evidence", but it's 'evidence' nonetheless.

well if you want it to be corroborated them produce your witness, because at the moment I'm quite sure most people here think youre just lying, wouldn't be the first time youve been caught doing it at this forum would it
:rolleyes:
 
So, my sighting is two pieces of weak/anecdotal "evidence", but it's 'evidence' nonetheless.

Sorry, that's not going to be enough to convince the world.

Lots and lots of people have lots of wild ideas that are supported by loads of anecdotal evidence. Psychics, Faeries, Ghosts, Astral Projection, you name it, there's anecdotal evidence to support it. Perhaps one of these events is true, perhaps its yours, perhaps its astral projection. But if we adjust the evidence threshold for plausibility we either take them all or none of them.

Volume of weak non-confirmatory evidence does not correlate to the reality of the theory the provider of the evidence subscribes to either unfortuantly. If that were true every major religion would be more true than UFO alien origin theories and all of the above combined due to centuries and centuries of culturally acceptable dodgy anecdotes of visions, miracles, god speaking to people, government endorsements, more recently videos of people being "healed", videos of "possession", images of "spirits" and "angels" and "demons" etc etc.

Its going to take more than anecdotes and weak non-confirmatory evidence I'm afraid.
 
I find it interesting that "knowers" are equated with "believers" in the thread title. Just pointing that out...
 
When I judge the time is right, I will begin presenting evidence on the “alien” hypothesis. (Now I am NOT saying I endorse that hypothesis and I have consistently denied any logical link between UFOs and “aliens” and I still do).

Right so you've looked in depth at the evidence your going to provide.
And you've decided there is no logical link between it and aliens.

So why are you going to supply the evidence?

We have seen loads of evidence already that doesn't prove the alien hypothesis!
What we want is evidence that proves the alien hypothesis!
 
Right so you've looked in depth at the evidence your going to provide.
And you've decided there is no logical link between it and aliens.

So why are you going to supply the evidence?

We have seen loads of evidence already that doesn't prove the alien hypothesis!
What we want is evidence that proves the alien hypothesis!

All good things come to those who wait...
A good skeptic "knows his enemy" so to speak.
In my humble opinion, the BEST skeptic will be able to argue convincingly that his opponent is actually correct.
If you don't understand your opponents arguments, how can you effectively argue against them?
So soon StevenC... all I ask is a little patience while we argue about the veracity of evidence for UFOs a little more, then... well, we'll see.
 
All good things come to those who wait...
A good skeptic "knows his enemy" so to speak.
In my humble opinion, the BEST skeptic will be able to argue convincingly that his opponent is actually correct.
If you don't understand your opponents arguments, how can you effectively argue against them?
So soon StevenC... all I ask is a little patience while we argue about the veracity of evidence for UFOs a little more, then... well, we'll see.

blah blah blah, if you had any evidence you wouldn't be here talking crapola, youd be in your nearest press office getting paid
:p
heres a prediction for you, you won't ever produce any evidence other than more hubcaps and speculation.
prove me wrong huh
:rolleyes:
 
So essentially there isn't much of a point.
Fair enough, I wish you'd just skipped the dramatic preamble and said that from the start.

If memory serves me correctly you asked me "why" I was intending to post evidence ...the "preamble" was in fact a direct reply to your question.
 
If memory serves me correctly you asked me "why" I was intending to post evidence ...the "preamble" was in fact a direct reply to your question.

It doesn't I'm afraid, the preamble I was referring to was the "When the time is right, evidence for the alien hypothesis will be presented" shtick as if all of this had been leading to this point, which the question was a direct response too. It make it seem like the evidence is going to make some substantive point. If its only for 'sceptic lessons', and I mean no offence, but I'd prefer 'sceptic lessons' from someone who understands the sceptical position.

Anyway I leave you and Marduk to your wacky bickering.
 
(snip) I have NEVER, repeat NEVER claimed UFOs were alien spacecraft.

Hi, Rramjet. I've been loosely following this thread and your ideas about UFO's are interesting to me (though I'm not entirely sure what they are).

So I can better understand where you are coming from, can you please explain to me what you think the UFO's are that you don't think are explainable by known phenomena?

I think the idea of Earth being visited by intelligent beings not of this world/time with advanced craft is fascinating and I would love to see some reliable evidence that would allow me to support the idea.
 
Hello,

Let me say this first: When i say "UFO" i am not talking about yet to be identified objects, but about unidentifiable phenomena. Phenomena, which has been declared as unidentifiable after scientific investigation.​

i must admit that i didn't read the whole thread in all detail (escpecially not all links in it). But i'd like to join this discussion. What i have found in the JREF forums so are in almost all cases two viewpoints of the people:
  • UFOs don't exist. Every case can be explained, if enough data is available
  • UFOs do exist

Often enough, part of the skeptics position are jokes, or to make a fool of those who claim to have seen something that cannot be explained with our understanding of the world. There is absolutely no reason to be so pejorative.

So i really don't understand why a skeptic person not even says "OK, you said you saw a UFO. I don't dismiss the possibility that these are aliens or another foreign intelligence." Where is this third group? In order to adopt an attitude, one should have knowledge about the topic. In this case it means to first have a neutral position and watch what both sides have to say about it.

What we want is evidence that proves the alien hypothesis!
If there would be hard evidence, we wouldn't be discussing it here.
But: There is an extremely huge amount of indirect evidence that only allows the conclusion that a foreign intelligence[1] has visited and is still visiting the planet. What i'm talking about here are not "lights in sky" but (as i said in my first sentences) investigated cases of these encounters. The scientific evidence comes in form of
  • radar images
  • eye-witness accounts
  • physical injuries of humans and animals
  • photographs
  • videos
  • Landing traces
  • electromagnetic effects
  • higher radioactivity
  • other tracks (this is no complete list)

As a scientist, one have to dismiss all photographs and videos that have been shot in the last decade and more because the possibilities of manipulation allows to fake everything that is possible. But what's left are still hundreds of images which has been made by witnesses in the 70s and backwards, which contains objects that have been classified as unidentifiable and proven by graphics specialists to not be fakes.

Regarding the physical injuries, a debunker can say that all these people are hoaxers. Although i would find it hard to find arguments against cases where people claim to have been in contact with objects that landed and afterwards had injuries that clearly show outcome of high radioactivity.

Now, because the astrophysicists and skeptics i talked to absolutely ignored all of this, i can still show hundreds of papers with radar images. Of course there are cases with radar traces that can be dismissed because of some meterological phenomena, but this is not true for every investigated images. What can be found on these images are flight maneuver of objects in all sizes that cannot be made by any human-made object. These are objects with speeds of more than 6.000 mi/h in zigzac course for minutes and the ability to immediately stop (Some of the objects also have been seen parallel by eye-witnesses like pilots). How do you want to explain this?
Sadly, this information is and can only be obtained in cooperation with military ATC as civilian ATC cannot track speeds of more than Mach 4.

If i explicitly dismiss/embezzle all eye-witness accounts which are not close encounters, there are still thousands of examined reports. There are many cases where people say the object(s) landed in front of them and beings alight from this vehicle. How do you want to dismiss these cases?

[1] "Foreign Intelligence" does not have to mean that these beings are from outer space. Illobrand von Ludwiger tells about three big hypotheses of possible explanations which i won't explain in detail here:
  • Extra terrestial hypothesis
  • Time travel hypothesis
  • parallel universe hypothesis
 
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  • UFOs don't exist. Every case can be explained, if enough data is available
  • UFOs do exist

odd that with your first post you have made the same incorrect statement as Rramjet

no sceptic here disputes the existence of UFO's
we all dispute that they are ET spacecraft because there is no evidence
the vast majority of sceptics here would not state that Aliens don't exist either, just that there is no evidence that they do. Its a grey area like schrodingers cats, until someone opens the box and presents the evidence what is the point in endless speculation that proves nothing

its is failure on this point that is being ridiculed because it is essentially a straw man argument based on the preconceived notion that anyone who doesn't believe in Aliens is in denial

which really, is laughable
:D
 
  • radar images
  • eye-witness accounts
  • physical injuries of humans and animals
  • photographs
  • videos
  • Landing traces
  • electromagnetic effects
  • higher radioactivity
  • other tracks (this is no complete list)

Hello, heed, and welcome to the JREF. I am interested in examining reliable evidence for visitation to Earth by foreign intelligences. I consider reliable evidence for VEFI to be that which is extremely difficult to account for without VEFI. Somes questions for you...

What do you think is the best single example of radar evidence? Is this evidence reliable? Does it make technology not of our own the only explanation or could it be explained by faulty readings or natural phenomena?

What do you think is the best single example of landing traces of VEFI?

What do you think is the best single example of an injury to a person or animal by VEFI?

What do you think is the best single example of higher radioactivity caused by VEFI?
 

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