Anybody think there are Aliens (UFO)?

Umm, no, you are again reading things into my statements from the perspective of your own personal bias. That there IS an “abduction phenomenon” is obvious – people report being “abducted”. That’s it. That’s the phenomenon. What we DON’T have is a properly constituted scientific theory as to WHY there is an abduction phenomenon (people reporting they were abducted by “aliens”). Again I reiterate: I draw NO conclusions from the existence of that phenomenon.
We DO have a properly constituted scientific theory as to WHY there is an abduction phenomenon.

I hope it is that “We can draw no conclusions on the evidence as it stands”. I don’t know how to put it any more succinctly. It is something I have repeated in EVERY post. You even cited my first post as an example of something opposite and yet …THERE are the words right there in plain English: “ … there REMAIN cases for which we have NO EXPLANATION” (emphasis added). What more do you want?
You're drawing conclusions, Roger, regardless of what you think you're saying. Why are you so keen to highlight the ones that have no (current) explanation? You're anomaly-hunting. You're choosing to set aside the known explanations in favour of highlighting the unknowns. It makes me wonder WHY you're so interested in pointing out the unknowns. It makes me strongly suspect an ulterior motive.

Of course there are cases for which there is no explanation. Where you and I differ is that I don't consider that detail to be in any way significant. You seem to think it's the most important thing in the universe. Sorry, but NOTHING leads me to believe that these unexplained cases are in any way substantively different from the myriads of other explained cases. Why should they be?

…and “just asking questions”? OMG! If I ask questions it is because I want answers! Are you seriously contending that if I ask a question it is somehow not legitimate? How about trying to ANSWER some of those questions?
We HAVE answered some of those questions. We have been answering those questions ever since (and before) you started posting. It is your lack of acknowledgement of those answers that lead us to believe that you're drawing conclusions that are unwarranted.

I'm going to ignore the rest of your post since it is about skeptics and not about UFOs. I'd rather stay on-topic.
 
Last edited:
I'm going to ignore the rest of your post since it is about skeptics and not about UFOs. I'd rather stay on-topic.

Ha! You ignore the next bit because it is DIRECTLY relevant to UFOs and to the illogic of your position. It does this because represents solid EVIDENCE against your stated position. That is:


Originally Posted by arthwollipot
There is insufficient evidence to conclude that any UFO reports have a nonterrestrial origin. We have no reason to assume that any still-unexplained instances are substantively different from instances that have been explained.

Rramjet:
Have you READ my previous post? THERE is the evidence that proves your contention wrong. A strictly scientific research result that proves you wrong. You people really crack me up​
.


You don't have an answer for that bit do you arthwollipot?
 
You don't have an answer for that bit do you arthwollipot?

he doesnt need one, I already answered it, your previous post contained no evidence that could be taken as a tacit admission that ufos or aliens were a reality, unless you are reading it with that preconceived conclusion

:p
 
Last edited:
Ha! You ignore the next bit because it is DIRECTLY relevant to UFOs and to the illogic of your position. It does this because represents solid EVIDENCE against your stated position. That is:

Originally Posted by arthwollipot
There is insufficient evidence to conclude that any UFO reports have a nonterrestrial origin. We have no reason to assume that any still-unexplained instances are substantively different from instances that have been explained.

Rramjet:
Have you READ my previous post? THERE is the evidence that proves your contention wrong. A strictly scientific research result that proves you wrong. You people really crack me up​
.


You don't have an answer for that bit do you arthwollipot?
What, the one that quotes Blue Book and Hynek, and says that there are a certain number of reports that remain unexplained? I have never denied that. Please pay attention.
 
Originally Posted by arthwollipot
There is insufficient evidence to conclude that any UFO reports have a nonterrestrial origin. We have no reason to assume that any still-unexplained instances are substantively different from instances that have been explained.

Rramjet:
Have you READ my previous post? THERE is the evidence that proves your contention wrong. A strictly scientific research result that proves you wrong. You people really crack me up
seems he is claiming that these unexplained reports prove aliens and ufos are alien craft

did someone say zero credibility ?
ah yes
it was me
:D
 
arthwollipot Stated:

We have no reason to assume that any still-unexplained instances are substantively different from instances that have been explained.

Special report No. 14. concluded:

In all six studied sighting characteristics, the unknowns were different from the knowns at a highly statistically signficant level:

Now who has "zero credibility" Marduk.

Plus you really MUST learn to READ one day Marduk:
I have NEVER claimed UFOs relate to ETS.
In EVERY post I have denied one can draw ANY conclusions from the "Unknowns".

You people keep trying to live up to the "woo" specialist title and you just might find you win it one day! LMAO
 
In all six studied sighting characteristics, the unknowns were different from the knowns at a highly statistically signficant level:

So let me get this straight: There are these UNKNOWN things, but some of them are KNOWN to be statistically different from some KNOWN things.

Cool... :eye-poppi
 
“How do you know that they ARE all man-made?” is an equally legitimate question.

As far as I am aware no-one has ever argued that. Given that we have documented cases of reported UFOs turning out to be the Moon, Venus and various other astronomical objects, it would take a spectacularly stupid person to claim they're all man-made.

I tend to agree, except for “It's just not possible to accurately judge distances, sizes and speeds of some unidentified airborne object,” That is just a fallacy. You should have prefixed it with “Under certain specific conditions…” (which we know and understand)

No I shouldn't. It is generally true that it is not possible to identify the size, distance and speed of an object just by looking at it. There are some specific conditions where it can be possible, although still not at all reliable, but if you think that most people can tell those things just by looking up at something in the sky, you are just plain wrong.

First, people report similar experiences – are they “connected” – the reports in and of themselves might suggest a connection.

They might, yes. But in the case of UFOs they don't. A few reports may well be similar to others, but the majority are not similar to each other, and there are hundreds of different established causes so we know perfectly well that most cases are not connected at all.

Second, I have ALWAYS denied that we could conclude anything by way of explanation about UFOs (Unidentified…), it is others in this forum who try to come up with weird and wonderful explanations, not I.

I don’t miss that point at all. I have stated previously MANY TIMES that I believe we cannot explain ALL UFO reports by way of the mundane. My whole contention has revolves around that point.

This is simply not true. If that's what you were actually arguing you wouldn't be arguing at all. Clearly you think there is something strange about many UFO cases, or you'd just agree with the rest of us that the majority are nothing interesting and that we just don't know in a tiny minority of cases.

Major Fallacy warning! Logic 101. All the crows I have seen are black, therefore all crows are black. That’s one of the most basic of logical errors you have fallen victim to there Cuddles. Sorry…

That's the thing about logical fallacies - they're debating constructs and often don't apply in the real world. If you try to live your life by the standards of logical debate you're not going to get very far. Given evidence only of black crows, the only logical conclusion is that all crows are black until evidence to the contrary is presented. Obviously someone claiming that they are 100% certain crows can only be black would be wrong. But it would be just as stupid to claim that crows can be lots of different colours if you don't have any evidence that that is actually the case.

That's the whole point of skepticism, science and, when it comes down to it, common sense. You come to a conclusion based on the evidence and change it if new evidence comes to light. When it comes to UFOs, there is plenty of evidence pointing to mundane explanations and exactly zero evidence pointing to anything else. Given that, it's really not very sensible to assume that mundane explanations don't apply in the few cases where we don't have enough information to know for sure.

Now you reveal yourself to have not understood my posts at all. I am pointing out the logical fallacies in arguments here.

No, you're not. You're pointing out logical fallacies that exist nowhere other than in your own head. I have never seen anyone claim aliens or paranormal whatsits don't exist. What we say is that there is no evidence that they do exist. If that's all you're trying to say, all your posturing is utterly pointless since you agree entirely with the skeptical position.

UFOs exist. To deny it is to deny the bleeding obvious. But then… there is a whole industry of vested interests built on the “denial” process and its momentum is very hard to sway. All I am asking is that you look with a critical eye and an open mind at the evidence.

Given that no-one has ever denied UFOs exist (except in cases where UFO is used as a direct substitute for "alien spacecraft"), it appears that your entire argument is built around a straw man based entirely on your lack of understanding of what skeptics actually say. For someone who enjoys pointing out logical fallacies so much, you sure do indulge in rather a large pile of them.
 
So let me get this straight: There are these UNKNOWN things, but some of them are KNOWN to be statistically different from some KNOWN things.

Cool... :eye-poppi

yes this is why I found being instructed to learn how to read ironic, some people read but dont understand, which is far far worse
:D
LMFAO
 
In all six studied sighting characteristics, the unknowns were different from the knowns at a highly statistically signficant level:
Interesting. Does it say precisely how they were "different"? Or just that they were different?

'Cause I went to the link you provided (post #69) and tried to download Report 14 (either version) and got "Error 404 - Not found". That seems to be true for every report on that page.
 
Interesting. Does it say precisely how they were "different"? Or just that they were different?

'Cause I went to the link you provided (post #69) and tried to download Report 14 (either version) and got "Error 404 - Not found". That seems to be true for every report on that page.

They've all been abducted... :jaw-dropp
 
Does anybody on this site think/believe/know if there have been ETs that have visited Earth? If not, do you think that all of the reports/photos, etc. have plausible explanations, even the ones that can't be explained due to a lack of data?

To be fair, I will go on record as saying that I think there is a more probable than not possibility that there were or are.


Of course not. We are the only planet in the entire universe with intelligent life. None exist on any other planets.
OF COURSE THEY EXIST. Want to be scared witless? Read , "The Interrupted Journey" by Fuller. They get here using gravity and magnetic energy in some way. Faster than the speed of light. I think they may be waiting for Dec of 2012. Scares me to death.
 
yes this is why I found being instructed to learn how to read ironic, some people read but dont understand, which is far far worse
:D
LMFAO
The KNOWN UFO reports are those that have been found to have enough information contained within them AND are deemed reliable enough to conclude mundane explanations (meteors, stars, airplanes, etc) The UNKNOWN reports are those that have enough information within them AND are deemed reliable enough yet DEFY mundane explanation. There is a whole TWO OTHER categories for those that have neither enough information NOR are not considered to be reliable (“Not enough information” and “excluded from analysis” respectively).

I hope that clears up the confusion in your mind. I won’t be so gauche as to state “Who’s laughing now!” Oh…I just did…oh well…

I stated:
“How do you know that they ARE all man-made?” is an equally legitimate question."

As far as I am aware no-one has ever argued that. Given that we have documented cases of reported UFOs turning out to be the Moon, Venus and various other astronomical objects, it would take a spectacularly stupid person to claim they're all man-made.
Then you are calling atavisms a “spectacularly stupid person”? (Atavisms Quote: How do you know they aren’t all manmade?) I would not go THAT far Cuddles!

The two questions are as LEGITIMATE as each other. My POINT was to SHOW that EACH was EQUALLY ridiculous in nature… got it now?

It is generally true that it is not possible to identify the size, distance and speed of an object just by looking at it. There are some specific conditions where it can be possible …
My point stands then… You have just affirmed you should have added “Under specific conditions…”

…although still not at all reliable, but if you think that most people can tell those things just by looking up at something in the sky, you are just plain wrong.

This is a sweeping generalisation without a shred of evidence in the context!

I stated:
“First, people report similar experiences – are they “connected” – the reports in and of themselves might suggest a connection.”

They might, yes. But in the case of UFOs they don't. A few reports may well be similar to others, but the majority are not similar to each other, and there are hundreds of different established causes so we know perfectly well that most cases are not connected at all.
Oh… were you under some delusion that we were NOT talking about UFOs?

So “meteor” cases aren’t connected to “meteor” cases and “Venus” cases aren’t connected to “Venus” cases, etc for all your “established causes”? Do you people really think about what you post here? YOU CAN”T HAVE IT BOTH WAYS! Either cases are connected in various aspects…or they are not!

I stated
"Second, I have ALWAYS denied that we could conclude anything by way of explanation about UFOs (Unidentified…), it is others in this forum who try to come up with weird and wonderful explanations, not I.

I don’t miss that point at all. I have stated previously MANY TIMES that I believe we cannot explain ALL UFO reports by way of the mundane. My whole contention has revolves around that point. "


QUOTE=Cuddles;5149161]This is simply not true. If that's what you were actually arguing you wouldn't be arguing at all. Clearly you think there is something strange about many UFO cases, or you'd just agree with the rest of us that the majority are nothing interesting and that we just don't know in a tiny minority of cases.[/QUOTE]

OMG… just read slowly through your statement and follow the logical implications… it simply does NOT make sense!

If I was arguing, I would not be arguing?

You people seem to have a peculiar bias about seeing conspiracies in everything. YOU show me ONE post where I have indicated I believe UFOs are NOT interesting…

..and the last half of the last sentence… follow the logic of the whole sentence, it makes NO sense! Ugh!

I stated:
"Major Fallacy warning! Logic 101. All the crows I have seen are black, therefore all crows are black. That’s one of the most basic of logical errors you have fallen victim to there Cuddles. Sorry… "

QUOTE=Cuddles;5149161]That's the thing about logical fallacies - they're debating constructs and often don't apply in the real world.[/QUOTE]

You are a complete antirationalist! Logic does not apply in the real world? I cannot believe what I am reading!

QUOTE=Cuddles;5149161]If you try to live your life by the standards of logical debate you're not going to get very far. Given evidence only of black crows, the only logical conclusion is that all crows are black until evidence to the contrary is presented.[/QUOTE]

I have a white crow!

QUOTE=Cuddles;5149161]Obviously someone claiming that they are 100% certain crows can only be black would be wrong. But it would be just as stupid to claim that crows can be lots of different colours if you don't have any evidence that that is actually the case.[/QUOTE]

I give up… you have no powers of critical thought, logic or rationalism. It is pointless carrying this conversation further with such an illogical person. Bunk!

I challenge any critical thinker to state here and now that Cuddles statements represents their standard of logical and critical thinking in this forum.

Cuddles, come back when you have a rational, thought out position that is pertinent to my points.

Interesting. Does it say precisely how they were "different"? Or just that they were different?
'Cause I went to the link you provided (post #69) and tried to download Report 14 (either version) and got "Error 404 - Not found". That seems to be true for every report on that page.
Arthwollipot, yeah, Astrophotographer found that with a (separate link to another source) the Blue Book Archive as well - but he graciously provided yet another source link (http://www.ufocasebook.com/specialreport14.pdf)
 
Then you are calling atavisms a “spectacularly stupid person”? (Atavisms Quote: How do you know they aren’t all manmade?) I would not go THAT far Cuddles!

No, I said no such thing. Atavisms did not claim that they are all manmade, he asked how you know they are not. Two very different things. If you want to argue, try to pay attention to what other people actually say.

The two questions are as LEGITIMATE as each other. My POINT was to SHOW that EACH was EQUALLY ridiculous in nature… got it now?

I got your point all along, the problem is simply that you're wrong. The two questions are certainly not as ridiculous as each other. Perhaps you should read up on the concept of "burden of proof" to help you understand why not.

My point stands then… You have just affirmed you should have added “Under specific conditions…”

No I didn't. Again, please try paying attention to what has actually been written if you want to argue with it. If I added that to the start of my original statement, I would be saying almost exactly the opposite of what I actually said. There may be some specific conditions under which identification is possible, not some specific conditions where it is not, which is what you are trying to get me to say.

This is a sweeping generalisation without a shred of evidence in the context!

No, it's an established fact that I'm utterly amazed anyone would disagree with. I can't believe anyone who has spent any time researching UFOs would actually make the claim that people can tell the size, speed and distance of an unidentified object just by looking up at it with the naked eye. It's just such a stupid claim I never imagined I'd need to prove it wrong.

Oh… were you under some delusion that we were NOT talking about UFOs?

So “meteor” cases aren’t connected to “meteor” cases and “Venus” cases aren’t connected to “Venus” cases, etc for all your “established causes”? Do you people really think about what you post here? YOU CAN”T HAVE IT BOTH WAYS! Either cases are connected in various aspects…or they are not!

What on Earth are you dribbling on about? Please try to make your posts at least vaguely coherent.

OMG… just read slowly through your statement and follow the logical implications… it simply does NOT make sense!

If I was arguing, I would not be arguing?

That is not what I said. Again, please try addressing what has actually been written instead of what you imagine might have been. What I actually said is that your claim of what you are arguing in favour of and the fact that you are arguing at all are in direct contradiction to each other. Skeptics say that the majority of UFO cases have mundane explanations, and that while we cannot be sure in a minority of cases, there is no reason to assume anything else. You claim to be arguing essentially the same thing, yet you constantly disagree with skeptics, give them abuse and use terms like "you people" to describe them.

Clearly you either are lying about what you actually believe or you fail to understand what anyone else is actually saying to you.

You people seem to have a peculiar bias about seeing conspiracies in everything. YOU show me ONE post where I have indicated I believe UFOs are NOT interesting…

Once again, you would do much better to address what is actually written. I never said that you do not find UFOs interesting. What I actually said was that most people consider the majority of UFOs, which have very obvious and well established mundane causes, are not interesting, and that assuming you are not in fact lying about your argument you should agree with that.

..and the last half of the last sentence… follow the logic of the whole sentence, it makes NO sense! Ugh!

Your failure to understand a simple sentence does not speak well of you.

You are a complete antirationalist! Logic does not apply in the real world? I cannot believe what I am reading!

More to the point, you apparently cannot understand what you are reading.

I have a white crow!

Evidence?

You see, this demonstrates my point perfectly. If there is only evidence of black crows, claiming white crows exist is extremely stupid. If there is evidence that white crows may be possible but no-one has ever seen one, claiming one exists is not stupid but is not supported by the evidence. If someone actually shows a white crow, then claiming only black crows exist is stupid. This really is basic stuff. It's all about the evidence.

I give up… you have no powers of critical thought, logic or rationalism. It is pointless carrying this conversation further with such an illogical person. Bunk!

Given that you are apparently unable to understand a simple explanation of basic rational thought, I'm not sure you're the best person to be calling others illogical.

I challenge any critical thinker to state here and now that Cuddles statements represents their standard of logical and critical thinking in this forum.

OK. Cuddles' statements represent my standard of logical and critical thinking in this forum. Given that my statements are pretty much the basic definition of logical and critical thinking, you're probably going to struggle here.

Cuddles, come back when you have a rational, thought out position that is pertinent to my points.

My rational, thought out position was previously that you simply misunderstood what skepticism actually is. However, I am now forced to revise that and conclude that you have no idea what rational thought, skepticism, or indeed reality, are, and that your reading comprehension is so bad that you are unlikely to ever learn. I should note that that is only because I'm being rather generous, and the more obvious conclusions of trolling or genuine mental problems are not as charitable.
 
Last edited:
UFO reports that have been analysed and declared "solved" typically fall into these explanations, since sufficient evidence exists:
  • Aircraft
  • Human-launched objects like balloons or flares
  • Objects in space like planets, comets, or stars
  • Atmospheric conditions
  • Optical phenomena
  • Mistaken observations
  • Hoaxes
Reports that have not been declared "solved" are likely to fall into these explanations if sufficient evidence is ever found:
  • Aircraft
  • Human-launched objects like balloons or flares
  • Objects in space like planets, comets, or stars
  • Atmospheric conditions
  • Optical phenomena
  • Mistaken observations
  • Hoaxes
Until sufficient evidence is found, they are just "unknown." Nothing more can be determined, since there is insufficient evidence. Inventing a new category that says they are alien craft is nothing but fantasy and wishful thinking. It is not logic and not science.
 
Reports that have not been declared "solved" are likely to fall into these explanations if sufficient evidence is ever found:

I see you went to the Cuddles school of antilogic!

"We have an explanation even for those things we don't have an explanation for."

Breathtaking!
 
Use is made of very powerful magnetic fields, generated by the craft to expand outward into the air surrounding these flying discs, to alternately energize and store a vast amount of electrical energy in one magnetic field, and then to force that vast store of energy back into the center of the craft, by collapsing that field, and with another magnetic field transverse to it, to densify and redirect that vast store of electrical energy out and down through the craft's center - to transform that electrical energy into a propulsive force of great velocity and power.
That both magnetic fields are alternately generated and then collapsed, and that they oppose each other, ensures a continual movement and excitation of electrical energy - and consequently a very visible generation of high energy photons around them. Hence, when these craft are energising their electric fields colored light and white light are given off as the sea of electrons changes in speed and direction.
 
I see you went to the Cuddles school of antilogic!

"We have an explanation even for those things we don't have an explanation for."

Breathtaking!

Wait. So if all the confirmed cases so far point in one direction, we should ignore that and assume that evidence is going to point to some other so far unsupported direction soon?

The flying teapot becomes probable!

My head hurts.
 
Last edited:
I see you went to the Cuddles school of antilogic!

"We have an explanation even for those things we don't have an explanation for."

Breathtaking!

I think the use of the word 'likely' is indicative of it being a speculation rather than a forgone conclusion and I'm sure everyone here accepts the speculation to be the most likely in view of the present evidence.
However, the wonderful thing about science and scepticism is that it has no emotional/spiritual investment in what it believes. This allows it to easily adapt as the evidence comes in.
At the moment, with no proof of alien craft, all the crows are still black.
If conclusive evidence of alien craft is found... then it is but a simple matter to adapt the above list of possibilities to include alien craft too.

It that really sooooooo difficult to understand Rramjet?
 

Back
Top Bottom