Effectiveness of Torture

In KSM's case, we knew with high probability that he was a very bad terrorist who'd already been involved in a plot leading to the death of thousands of Americans.

He was notorious, and quite open about it. Al Qaeda has never been shy; self-promotion seems to be one of their main motivations.

We knew with high probability that KSM was a leader in their organization and hence would, with high probability, know details about some of the ongoing or planned plots and even know the names of some of the terrorists involved in them.

As a leader he'd have no need to know details. He wouldn't know what names the people on the ground were using, locations of safe-houses and drops, bank account numbers.

We knew with high probability that having such information would allow us to foil those plots and perhaps capture those terrorists.

There would be a very low probability that he would have such information.

We knew with high probability that KSM would know the names of other terrorists in his organization and know many other details about the way al-Qaeda was structured and operated.

That he'd know. But then so does everybody. It's very loosely structured and operates on an ad-hoc basis. Mostly it's a franchise (and these days hardly even that).

We knew with high probability that knowing that information would also be quite helpful in defeating al-Qaeda

His insights into personalities and inter-personal dynamics would indeed be helpful. You're not going to torture that sort of stuff out of anybody. You have to play the individual skilfully.

We also knew that conventional interrogation techniques were not working with KSM. He was clearly resistant to them. Even after a week or two of conventional methods being used, he had not revealed any information about ongoing plots or the names of single terrorist. He hadn't told interrogators anything that he didn't think they already knew. When asked what the ongoing plots were, he is reported to have replied: "Soon you will know."

Of course he did. He's playing the part of a sinister powerful terrorist and revelling in it. He didn't know a damn' thing.

(Heck, and I thought I was gonna get me an ear ... :mad:)

The moment he's picked up everything he knows about current operations is automatically regared as blown. Two weeks later he knows nothing.

We also knew with some degree of certainty that waterboarding would be able to break his resistance to talking in a time frame more consistent with the urgency of our need to know what he knew. We knew this because we routinely used waterboarding in training our own special forces. We knew what it could do.

It can make people cry "Uncle". That's what we know from the special forces experience.

What did KSM cry? What arrests followed, what materials were recovered, what plots were revealed?

Let's imagine KSM cries "I'll tell you!" (metaphorically) and then says, for instance, that there's going to be a copy-cat of 9/11 launched on Los Angeles. Does that mean this is true? Obviously not. It may be a distraction. This guy's a sinister terrorist mastermind, remember. What are you going to do?

Waterboard him again, I guess. If he breaks and admits the target is really Chicago then you can stop.

Or not. Whatever. You can't trust anything a terrorist mastermind says.

And that's what we knew. Now go ahead you two ... tell us how that information makes enhanced interrogation methods unnecessary. :D

Perhaps you could tell us how it might be useful?
 
Maybe I'm just trying to be more morally clear, more morally superior, than you.
Your moral clarity is so shining, it's completely blinding you.

But I can't help but notice you didn't answer the question. Would you torture (e.g. flay, pull out the teeth, electrocute the penis, etc.) a man if there is an uncertain possibility it could save thousands of lives? Yes or no?

Tell us, would you inflict permanent pain on one evil man who with 100% certainty was involved in a plot that with 100% certainty was going to kill a million people, if there was a 100% certainty that doing so would save those million lives? I wouldn't hesitate. Would you?
100% certainty that he'd talk and 100% certainty that his intel would save lives? Sure I would. But now we're talking about a world where magic is real, mind-reading is real. Such a world does not exist. Would you come back to reality now please, instead of asking goofy hypotheticals? The scenario you propose is so utterly silly, even the most exaggerated moments of 24 or movies don't have them.
 
Maybe I'm just trying to be more morally clear, more morally superior, than you.

Tell us, would you inflict permanent pain on one evil man who with 100% certainty was involved in a plot that with 100% certainty was going to kill a million people, if there was a 100% certainty that doing so would save those million lives? I wouldn't hesitate. Would you?
So, are you now fully embracing the pro-torture position? Will you now call it by its proper name, "torture"?

eta: Alternatively, it seems that there is a point where something is holding you back from hurting VERY BAD PEOPLE even though it might save millions upon millions of innocent lives. What is it that is holding you back?
 
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As a leader he'd have no need to know details. He wouldn't know what names the people on the ground were using, locations of safe-houses and drops, bank account numbers.

But he would quite likely know about the existance of the plots and know the top tier in a given plot's leadership. Osama even met directly with some the 9/11 hijackers (we have video of that). Al-Zarqawi certainly knew the names and general plans for the failed chemical bomb attack in Jordan. In fact, one reason it may have failed is that al-Zarqawi wasn't able to properly monitor the plot's execution (because he was too busy running from US forces). So don't simply discount the assertion that with high probability KSM knew information we vitally needed to know about ongoing plots and the terrorists involved in them.

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We knew with high probability that having such information would allow us to foil those plots and perhaps capture those terrorists.

There would be a very low probability that he would have such information.

On the contrary. Knowing that a plot even exists and knowing it's target is the single most important datum needed to defeat it. And knowing who the top terrorists are running the specific plot is probably next most important. So KSM did have, with high probability, information that would allow us to foil the plots. And the CIA reported that he did disclose the existance of previously unknown plots, the names of terrorists involved in them, and that information helped foil the plots.

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We knew with high probability that KSM would know the names of other terrorists in his organization and know many other details about the way al-Qaeda was structured and operated.

That he'd know. But then so does everybody.

Not true. Most al-qaeda wouldn't be nearly as informed about the way that al-Qaeda is structured and operates. It's called compartmentalization. It's called just being smarter than the average al-Qaeda member. It's why capturing the guy at the top is ALWAYS important. And the CIA has stated that what was learned about the organization from KSM has saved many lives.

It's very loosely structured and operates on an ad-hoc basis. Mostly it's a franchise (and these days hardly even that).

Not as loose as you think. For example, al-Qaeda kept detailed "employment" records and had the equivalent of employee handbooks. And we aren't talking about al-Qaeda these days but the way it was back in 2004.

His insights into personalities and inter-personal dynamics would indeed be helpful. You're not going to torture that sort of stuff out of anybody. You have to play the individual skilfully.

That's your claim. The CIA says something different. So the only way to resolve this is to have Obama release the records of the interrogations needed to do that ... or have some form of very impartial jury do it. Will you join me in calling for that? :D

When asked what the ongoing plots were, he is reported to have replied: "Soon you will know."

Of course he did. He's playing the part of a sinister powerful terrorist and revelling in it. He didn't know a damn' thing.

Except that's not what top CIA and other intel officials say, or what the *facts* reported by various sources say. Like I said, the verdict is still out. You aren't in a position to claim with any certainty that "he didn't know a damn' thing". :D

The moment he's picked up everything he knows about current operations is automatically regared as blown. Two weeks later he knows nothing.

Except the CIA says that's wrong. In fact, the CIA stated that information learned by enhanced interrogation even stopped a large terrorist attack in Britian only days before it would have occurred. Had we waited for conventional interrogation methods (taking the terrorist to lunch at Denny's?) to work it's magic, it seems likely that particular attack would have succeeded. With the loss of many lives.

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We also knew with some degree of certainty that waterboarding would be able to break his resistance to talking in a time frame more consistent with the urgency of our need to know what he knew. We knew this because we routinely used waterboarding in training our own special forces. We knew what it could do.

It can make people cry "Uncle". That's what we know from the special forces experience.

We knew a great deal more than that. And you know it.

What did KSM cry? What arrests followed, what materials were recovered, what plots were revealed?

Well at this point only Obama knows for sure. We have two sides saying publically quite different things. Both potentially politically motivated. So the only way to resolve this is for Obama to release the interrogation and followup reports or convene a truly independent jury to look at the data and tell the public. But given past experience with the latter, I think I'd prefer to have them simply release the reports (perhaps heaviy redacted to hide any still useful information or ongoing threat concerns). Now won't you join me in that demand ... are you hiding from really finding out? :)
 
100% certainty that he'd talk and 100% certainty that his intel would save lives? Sure I would. But now we're talking about a world where magic is real, mind-reading is real.

Ok, how about if there is a 99% certainty in all those things? You still going to try and save that million lives or let them with very high certainty all die because you won't hurt even ONE evil man?
 
Notice folks, that Upchurch didn't even try to answer the question I posed him. Apparently, even if he had 100% certainty in all things related to the scenario, he still couldn't bring himself to hurt one evil person to save a million lives. In short, he values the well being of that evil person (someone who with 100% uncertainty was already involved in a mega-murder) over the lives of a million innocent people. I rest my case. Such is the insanity of the left. :rolleyes:
 
But he would quite likely know about the existance of the plots and know the top tier in a given plot's leadership. Osama even met directly with some the 9/11 hijackers (we have video of that). Al-Zarqawi certainly knew the names and general plans for the failed chemical bomb attack in Jordan. In fact, one reason it may have failed is that al-Zarqawi wasn't able to properly monitor the plot's execution (because he was too busy running from US forces).

Or maybe it was just something he pulled out of his diaper and offered to the animals toruturing him to make them stop. I would still just as soon put the torturers up[ against the wall as I would KSM because they blew a chance to get some actually usefull intel.


Except the CIA says that's wrong. In fact, the CIA stated that information learned by enhanced interrogation even stopped a large terrorist attack in Britian only days before it would have occurred.

They can say it all they want, but the slimebags can't prove it.


We knew a great deal more than that. And you know it.

Those of us who know anything about small-cell operations think you know a lot of garbage that just isn't true.


Now won't you join me in that demand ... are you hiding from really finding out? :)

That is a definite "Not just no , but **** NO!"
 
So if Upchurch had all knowledge, he still wouldn't torture a person? Why should he have to torture a person if he knew all the answers already?
 
Ok, how about if there is a 99% certainty in all those things? You still going to try and save that million lives or let them with very high certainty all die because you won't hurt even ONE evil man?

How could I have such certainty? And as others pointed out, if I'm already that certain of everything, why would I need torture to extract information?

You still haven't answered the question. So we know now that 100% certainty that the tortured man will talk (AND reveal useful intel) is good enough for you. 99% is also good. How about 75%? 50%? 30%? 5%? What's your threshold, BAC?


Allow me to play your game:

"BeAChooser would violently torture anyone if he thought it could be useful, even if there's no evidence that it actually would be useful. If he thinks it might work, it's all fair game. He really gets a kick out of torturing people - bonus points if they're evil. I rest my case. Such is the insanity of the right. :rolleyes:"
 
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So if Upchurch had all knowledge, he still wouldn't torture a person? Why should he have to torture a person if he knew all the answers already?

See how the desperation sets in, folks, when faced with a very simple hypothetical that reveals their belief in moral equivalence between mass murder and even temporary pain or discomfort of one evil person? These are the people now running our government. Scary. :D
 
How could I have such certainty?

But say you do? Under that situation would you make the attempt to save those million lives or just condemn them to death even though there would have been a very, very, very high probability of saving them? I don't see why this is a hard question to answer ... if you have ANY moral clarity. The more ambiguious situations come much later. So again, is a 1% chance of inducing pain and not saving the million lives too much uncertainty for you or not? :)
 
But he would quite likely know about the existance of the plots and know the top tier in a given plot's leadership. Osama even met directly with some the 9/11 hijackers (we have video of that).

That doesn't mean bin Laden knew details of the plot. He laid on hands to bless the enterprise, for his own self-glorification. It's all about him remember. The playboy terrorist.

Al-Zarqawi certainly knew the names and general plans for the failed chemical bomb attack in Jordan. In fact, one reason it may have failed is that al-Zarqawi wasn't able to properly monitor the plot's execution (because he was too busy running from US forces).

Zarqawi was nothing to do with Al Qaeda, and I don't share your certainty about the "failed chemical attack". Do you believe everything you're told by security services?

Zarqawi took on the Al Qaeda name in return for a bunch of Saudi money. So let's not get sidetracked.

So don't simply discount the assertion that with high probability KSM knew information we vitally needed to know about ongoing plots and the terrorists involved in them.

I'll concede a very low probability that he might have a name or two, but terrorists tend to use lots of names.

On the contrary. Knowing that a plot even exists and knowing it's target is the single most important datum needed to defeat it. And knowing who the top terrorists are running the specific plot is probably next most important. So KSM did have, with high probability, information that would allow us to foil the plots.

Even if he had information on plots-in-progress it would be useless after a couple of weeks. Anything he knew when he was picked up would automatically by regarded as blown.

And the CIA reported that he did disclose the existance of previously unknown plots, the names of terrorists involved in them, and that information helped foil the plots.

They would say that, wouldn't they?

Not true. Most al-qaeda wouldn't be nearly as informed about the way that al-Qaeda is structured and operates.

Of course they would. Al Qaeda's structure is all part of its rationale.

It's called compartmentalization.

If by that you mean what I think you mean, it's called a cell-structure. The idea goes back to the 19thCE (at least) but there are always people who justify their existence by inventing new names for old things.

It's called just being smarter than the average al-Qaeda member.

But then you might mean something else entirely.

What's clever about torture?

It's why capturing the guy at the top is ALWAYS important.

Cell-structure means that there are no critical nodes. Not even the top guy (who's still out there down a hole, apparently).

And the CIA has stated that what was learned about the organization from KSM has saved many lives.

Well they would say that, wouldn't they?

Not as loose as you think. For example, al-Qaeda kept detailed "employment" records and had the equivalent of employee handbooks. And we aren't talking about al-Qaeda these days but the way it was back in 2004.

If the CIA has those records why did they need to torture people for names? Of couse they might only be known from reputation.

That's your claim. The CIA says something different. So the only way to resolve this is to have Obama release the records of the interrogations needed to do that ... or have some form of very impartial jury do it. Will you join me in calling for that? :D

They will come out sooner or later (unless they're destroyed, which will send its own message). It'll be interesting to see what the CIA's attitude is. At the moment they can claim anything, as can Cheney, and claim justification by the absence of attacks since 9/11. The actual tapes would get us past a lot of speculation.

Nobody's got anything to hide anymore. This was all years ago.

Except that's not what top CIA and other intel officials say, or what the *facts* reported by various sources say. Like I said, the verdict is still out. You aren't in a position to claim with any certainty that "he didn't know a damn' thing". :D

History will bear me out. Some things are just bleedin' obvious.

It took Al Qaeda years to pull off 9/11, and they used up all their assets in the process. It brought a *****-storm down on them like they'd never imagined and they've been running from hole to hole ever since. Frickin' playboy terrorists. The only audience they impress are US Americans.

Except the CIA says that's wrong. In fact, the CIA stated that information learned by enhanced interrogation even stopped a large terrorist attack in Britian only days before it would have occurred.

Well there's a thing. Do we have anything more to go on than their word?

Had we waited for conventional interrogation methods (taking the terrorist to lunch at Denny's?) to work it's magic, it seems likely that particular attack would have succeeded. With the loss of many lives.

It doesn't seem likely to me. I'm a sceptic, particularly when it comes to self-serving unsupported statements by security services about things that didn't happen.

We knew a great deal more than that. And you know it.

No I don't. I don't even know what "breaking" means for the special forces subjects. Did they press an "Uncle" button to make it stop? Or did they have to give up some supremely embarrassing incident from their youth? What exactly were they broken into?

Well at this point only Obama knows for sure. We have two sides saying publically quite different things. Both potentially politically motivated. So the only way to resolve this is for Obama to release the interrogation and followup reports or convene a truly independent jury to look at the data and tell the public. But given past experience with the latter, I think I'd prefer to have them simply release the reports (perhaps heaviy redacted to hide any still useful information or ongoing threat concerns). Now won't you join me in that demand ... are you hiding from really finding out? :)

Let's see the tapes. I'm all in favour. Who isn't?

The CIA should demand their release. The CIA's credibility - nay, their honour - has been impugned (not least by the likes of me). They should be able to point to more than unsupported reports from "sources".

I'm particularly interested in the way they saved the UK from something awful. Or didn't. Only the tapes will tell.
 
See how the desperation sets in, folks, when faced with a very simple hypothetical that reveals their belief in moral equivalence between mass murder and even temporary pain or discomfort of one evil person? These are the people now running our government. Scary. :D

Who are these folks you're talking to? Also, your hypothetical is as absurd as asking "would you rape a baby to save the lives of millions of people?" I'm glad the torture-advocates are no longer in power. The same people who started a war that has cost countless lives, both civilian and US military.
 
Or maybe it was just something he pulled out of his diaper and offered to the animals toruturing him to make them stop.

I could get the Pope to deny Christ given the tools.

How can you trust what you're told under duress? You can't, obviously. Does anybody outside the Vatican believe that the Knights Templar were plotting with Jews and Saracens to bring down Christendom? OK, some probably do, but it does take all sorts ...

"What was Saddam's role in 9/11?"

"That heathen is not numbered amongst the Sons of Heaven!"

Glug glug glug gasp

"What was Saddam's ..."

"It was all his idea!"

"There, that wasn't so hard was it?"

I would still just as soon put the torturers up against the wall as I would KSM because they blew a chance to get some actually usefull intel.

You have to take it to the top. Which evacuated the moral high-ground with some alacrity. Eagerly.

They can say it all they want, but the slimebags can't prove it.

Free the tapes! All of them! Let's rob Obama of that evil weapon called innuendo.

Those of us who know anything about small-cell operations think you know a lot of garbage that just isn't true.

Some of us know (about revolutionary cell-structure, for instance) and others believe (anything security services say, for instance).

That is a definite "Not just no , but **** NO!"

YES! Let's see the tapes. The people want to know. The vicarious pleasure some will get from them is no argument for censorship. The internet is rife with wank-material anyway.

It was done in the name of the people. The people are entitled to watch.
 
Everything is "scary" when your only path to power is fear.

Cheney's still pressing the "fear" button every chance he gets. I think people have more immediate concerns these days.

I'm old enough to remember the existential panic that kicked in when Clinton was elected (Bill, that is). Talk about anti-climax. No 9/11, no major wars, no banking crisis, no recession, no invasion by Cuba. Just the dot-con giggle and one blowjob. In eight years. Such a disappointment.
 
So then putting a harmless caterpillar in a cell with a terrorist isn't torture after all? Glad we've cleared that up. And that sort of rules out considering panties on a prisoner's head as torture, too. :D
The pain can be physical of mental. But you already knew that because you've been told over and over.

Your argumentation style seems to be to wait a while and repeat the same stupid and already disproven illogical nonsense out for another go around.



Do you know prior to 2005, the legal definition of torture in this country said that only procedures that could result in "organ failure, impairment of bodily functions, or even death" constituted torture punishable by law?
Nope. That's not true.

The Convention Against Torture was signed by the U.S. in 1988 and ratified in 1994. At that moment it was US Law.

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Well do you have a definition for "severe". Something that can be quantified in absolute terms? Maybe my "some" is your "severe" ... (:D).
The courts have no problem dealing with words like "severe" or "inappropriate" or "reasonable" and the like.

And I don't think your "some" is the same as my "severe". I think you're purposely trying to describe torture as something trivial compared with some great benefit (that you magically know is waiting for you when you make the decision to commit torture). The reason I say this is because not long ago in virtually the same sentence you referred to it as "a little pain" or even "a little discomfort", which by definition would not be torture. Since torture is what we're talking about, the most honest thing would be for you to use the correct term. If not, at least use a term that fits the definition, such as "severe pain".

Nope, I think you're just trying your best to spin torture as something trivial.
 
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Notice folks, that Upchurch didn't even try to answer the question I posed him. Apparently, even if he had 100% certainty in all things related to the scenario, he still couldn't bring himself to hurt one evil person to save a million lives. In short, he values the well being of that evil person (someone who with 100% uncertainty was already involved in a mega-murder) over the lives of a million innocent people. I rest my case. Such is the insanity of the left. :rolleyes:

I reject that it's possible to know there is a 99% certainty that torturing someone will give you information that will save lives.

The thing about not know is that you don't know.

Changing your hypothetical from 100% certainty to 99% that torturing someone will save lives does not make your hypothetical any more acceptable.

At the point you decide to commit the crime of torture you don't know whether you'll get a good result. Assigning a number you pull out of thin air is not a valid way of making an unknown into something known.
 

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