Is GM finished?

Now that GM is recording billions of dollars in losses is the union prepared to give the money back? Do the workers likewise claim that their labor helped put GM where it is now, a complete basket case?

Or does labor only claim credit when the times are good and deny any responsibility when times are bad?

They created a working middle class, a strong US economy and safety in the workplace. Society on the whole has benefitted from the labour unions. It saddens me how quickly forget things like this. It happened to the farmers and now its happening to the blue collar.
 
GM and Ford are the market.
HAHAHA, if they viewed reality like that no wonder they are near bankruptcy.

Because the manufacturing sector built this economy. The banks have ruined it. Banks aren't going to revitalize the economy, manufacturing will.
Only if they make something worth a damn for a good price.
 
Ford and GM created the whole automotive sector, world wide.
You might want to take some history lessons. There were car manufactures in most countries before they expanded into them.

And even in the best of light (that being post WWII, when most other factories were destroyed) they merely 'were' the sector.
 
You might want to take some history lessons. There were car manufactures in most countries before they expanded into them.

Please do tell, who was mass producing cars on an assembly line with line workers before Olds and Ford, creating the market we are talking about.

Take some reading lessons. This has nothing to do with the expansion, I very clearly stated "creation".
 
Please do tell, who was mass producing cars on an assembly line with line workers before Olds and Ford, creating the market we are talking about.

Take some reading lessons. This has nothing to do with the expansion, I very clearly stated "creation".
If you had said: "Ford pioneered mass production of cheap cars. " Then you would have been right, but you didn't.

The sector (the automobile industry) existed even before that, that it had a different target group is irrelevant.
 
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And you might want to take writing lessons.

If you had said: "Ford pioneered mass production of cheap cars. " Then you would have been right, but you didn't.

The sector (the automobile industry) existed even before that, that it had a different target group is irrelevant.


No, I think you came in late and didn't read the preceding posts. Further, this relates to Ford's creating a class of people who could afford to buy the product they produced, revolutionizing industry.

Lastly, it was Olds who pioneered the mass production of cheap cars, having patented the assembly line process almost 10 years before Ford. Ford improved upon it, but that isn't a pioneering effort now is it ;)
 
Creating ones own clients is just a smart business move, most companies were limited to the 'company store' tactic.


But that isn't the same things as making a sector. And how is this relevant today?
 
Creating ones own clients is just a smart business move, most companies were limited to the 'company store' tactic.


But that isn't the same things as making a sector. And how is this relevant today?

Dave said the Big 3 were paying above market wages for labour. The Big 3 are (well were, if there even is a market anymore:)) the market.

The majority rule applies here. If you want to make an arguement that the rest of the manufacturers we paying "below" market go ahead. Even that is in question, as workers at Toyota and Honda make almost the same wages as the Big 3. (I've sited this in previous posts here)

The term "sector" was being used kind of loosely here. I think it was being used to include all the automotive manufacturing related industry, not just the Big 3. This includes suppliers and distribution etc.

In any event, the whole thing goes back to GM and Ford in NA. We're not talking about what Indonesian workers make or what Mercedes did in the 1880's.
 
They created a working middle class, a strong US economy and safety in the workplace. Society on the whole has benefitted from the labour unions. It saddens me how quickly forget things like this. It happened to the farmers and now its happening to the blue collar.
It's not forgotten. It's just that at some point they overreached.
 
No, it only seems that way from Michigan and Ontario.
And maybe California and Ohio.
And New York. And Washington.
And maybe Pennsylvania.
But that's it.
Until next month.

"While California, Florida, Nevada, Arizona and Michigan continue to dominate the delinquency numbers, some of the sharpest increases we saw last quarter in loans 90 days or more delinquent were in Louisiana, New York, Georgia, Texas and Mississippi, signs of the spreading impact of the recession," Jay Brinkmann - Mortgage Bankers Association

Stuff like this abounds. It's the whole country :) Take a look at the average debt per American and the average debt per autoworker and I don't think you say any one group over reached. Maybe not, they don't give you that data. I suppose you could draw it from the foreclosure data, besides Michigan, what's everbody else's excuse?
 
Dave said the Big 3 were paying above market wages for labour. The Big 3 are (well were, if there even is a market anymore:)) the market.

The majority rule applies here. If you want to make an arguement that the rest of the manufacturers we paying "below" market go ahead. Even that is in question, as workers at Toyota and Honda make almost the same wages as the Big 3. (I've sited this in previous posts here)

The term "sector" was being used kind of loosely here. I think it was being used to include all the automotive manufacturing related industry, not just the Big 3. This includes suppliers and distribution etc.

In any event, the whole thing goes back to GM and Ford in NA. We're not talking about what Indonesian workers make or what Mercedes did in the 1880's.

When I said market wage, I meant the general wage for a semi-skilled worker and didn't mean to limit it to the automobile sector.

You have touched on the situation that led to the problems that Detroit and the automobile manufacturers find themselves in. For a moment in time the big three automobile makers and their unions thought that they had a quasi monopoly on automobile production. The unions could threaten one manufacturer with destruction if they didn't cooperate. Of course it was a kind of mutual destruction threat so there were limits on how far the union could go. But once an agreement was in place with one manufacturer it was fairly simple for the union to move on and pressure the remaining manufacturers to comply or die. This paradigm drove automobile sector wages well above market wages and left tens of thousand unemployed in its wake.

But the paradigm worked well enough for awhile for both the manufacturers and the unions. Manufacturers didn't have competition from lower labor cost manufacturers and so only needed to worry about the reduction in size of the market that the higher automobile prices caused by the higher union wages created.

But this paradigm and the failure to recognize that the Detroit automakers monopoly was an illusion would eventually lead to the near collapse of the Detroit automakers. First all that happened was Detroit lost some opportunities for overseas sales. Then the Detroit automakers began to outsource and automate more to defend against the union demands, But that wasn't enough and foreign automakers began to gain market share in the US. Still the union and the automakers didn't adjust their strategy even as the strategy provided a fertile nursery for the competition that would eventually overwhelm them.

Finally, thanks largely to management and union leaders who chose to ignore all evidence to the contrary the Detroit manufacturers and the union continued with the old paradigm, thus enabling foreign competitors to build factories all over the US and out compete the Detroit automakers first on price and then on quality and features.

Along the way other paradigms were modified that also went unheeded. Automobiles became more reliable and lasted longer. So not only was Detroit losing market share to other competitors the whole pie of American automobile sales was declining on a per capita basis.

So now we are where we are. What to do about it? I doubt that the US market will ever return to a large enough volume to fully utilize the installed base of car manufacturing facilities. Should the US limit the foreign manufacturer's market share in the US to save the American car companies? Should the US enter into giant trade wars to save the American car companies? I think the consequences of either one of those paths would be completely disastrous to the US economy.

Some people think that throwing money at Detroit is going to fix the problem. I think Bush already tried that. Three times really, once with the disastrous and corruptly driven SUV/truck tax subsidies. Then again with a bunch of money to finance the transition to greener vehicles and then finally with the Bush bailout.

And the end result is that GM is back with its hand out.

It seems likely to me that there is enough of GM capital left that a viable company can rise again from the ashes. But the problem right now is that GM doesn't own or control that capital and if a stable, profitable company can rise again GM needs to get relief from its various encumbrances so that it can compete.

I think a wholesale change in top management is probably important also. The old airlines that competed with bribes and cronyism for air routes in the days of the CAB for the most part never successfully transitioned to successful companies after the end of the CAB protectionism. If GM is going to beat the odds new people with skills and drive to compete in a new paradigm are probably required.
 
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When I said market wage, I meant the general wage for a semi-skilled worker and didn't mean to limit it to the automobile sector.

You have touched on the situation that led to the problems that Detroit and the automobile manufacturers find themselves in. For a moment in time the big three automobile makers and their unions thought that they had a quasi monopoly on automobile production. The unions could threaten one manufacturer with destruction if they didn't cooperate. Of course it was a kind of mutual destruction threat so there were limits on how far the union could go. But once an agreement was in place with one manufacturer it was fairly simple for the union to move on and pressure the remaining manufacturers to comply or die. This paradigm drove automobile sector wages well above market wages and left tens of thousand unemployed in its wake.

But the paradigm worked well enough for awhile for both the manufacturers and the unions. Manufacturers didn't have competition from lower labor cost manufacturers and so only needed to worry about the reduction in size of the market that the higher automobile prices caused by the higher union wages created.

But this paradigm and the failure to recognize that the Detroit automakers monopoly was an illusion would eventually lead to the near collapse of the Detroit automakers. First all that happened was Detroit lost some opportunities for overseas sales. Then the Detroit automakers began to outsource and automate more to defend against the union demands, But that wasn't enough and foreign automakers began to gain market share in the US. Still the union and the automakers didn't adjust their strategy even as the strategy provided a fertile nursery for the competition that would eventually overwhelm them.

Finally, thanks largely to management and union leaders who chose to ignore all evidence to the contrary the Detroit manufacturers and the union continued with the old paradigm, thus enabling foreign competitors to build factories all over the US and out compete the Detroit automakers first on price and then on quality and features.

Along the way other paradigms were modified that also went unheeded. Automobiles became more reliable and lasted longer. So not only was Detroit losing market share to other competitors the whole pie of American automobile sales was declining on a per capita basis.

So now we are where we are. What to do about it? I doubt that the US market will ever return to a large enough volume to fully utilize the installed base of car manufacturing facilities. Should the US limit the foreign manufacturer's market share in the US to save the American car companies? Should the US enter into giant trade wars to save the American car companies? I think the consequences of either one of those paths would be completely disastrous to the US economy.

Some people think that throwing money at Detroit is going to fix the problem. I think Bush already tried that. Three times really, once with the disastrous and corruptly driven SUV/truck tax subsidies. Then again with a bunch of money to finance the transition to greener vehicles and then finally with the Bush bailout.

And the end result is that GM is back with its hand out.

It seems likely to me that there is enough of GM capital left that a viable company can rise again from the ashes. But the problem right now is that GM doesn't own or control that capital and if a stable, profitable company can rise again GM needs to get relief from its various encumbrances so that it can compete.

I think a wholesale change in top management is probably important also. The old airlines that competed with bribes and cronyism for air routes in the days of the CAB for the most part never successfully transitioned to successful companies after the end of the CAB protectionism. If GM is going to beat the odds new people with skills and drive to compete in a new paradigm are probably required.

Well I agree with most of what you've said here. As for the market wage I'm not sure I agree. I see your point, but I've never really been able to say "Well you do this so you get paid this much, and you do this, so you get this much"

The only real problem I have is establishing this "Screw things up, declare bankruptcy and wash the slate clean" attitude. It doesn't inspire worker confidence knowing the company can just up and leave as soon as they have a bad year. Again, I see your point and I can appreciate it, but something about it just doesn't seem right. I'll mull it over and get back to you :) Good post though.
 
Three times really, once with the disastrous and corruptly driven SUV/truck tax subsidies.
Oh please, not that crap again. The tax break was only for vehicles weighing IIRC over 6,000 lbs, and was aimed at farmers, constructiuon companies, and other professions in which large trucks were needed for business. Your average SUV or pickup truck didn't come close to 6,000 lbs and didn't qualify. The first Hummer did IIRC and all of a sudden the myth was spawned that Bush is the reason SUVs were popular. It's BS, because 99% of SUVs didn't qualify for the tax break nor were they meant to. That tax break had nothing to do with the popularity of SUVs and light trucks, because they didn't qualify for them.
 
Oh please, not that crap again. The tax break was only for vehicles weighing IIRC over 6,000 lbs, and was aimed at farmers, constructiuon companies, and other professions in which large trucks were needed for business. Your average SUV or pickup truck didn't come close to 6,000 lbs and didn't qualify. The first Hummer did IIRC and all of a sudden the myth was spawned that Bush is the reason SUVs were popular. It's BS, because 99% of SUVs didn't qualify for the tax break nor were they meant to. That tax break had nothing to do with the popularity of SUVs and light trucks, because they didn't qualify for them.

I was a little surprised that Wildcat would have been the person to write this. Perhaps Wildcat believes that freemarket manipulation has negative unintended consequences only when Democrats do it?

For a second let's assume his premise was correct that the congress wasn't a bunch of cynical slimeballs that crafted a piece of legislation to aid special interest groups that were bribing them to do what they knew wasn't in the national interest.

Then they were stupid. If you want to help farmers or whomever why help them by subsidizing a particular item that they require? Is it somehow better to subsidize the trucks farmer's drive than their combines or their water pumps or their tractors or their whatevers? Not in any useful way that I can see. And then why are you generating specialized subsidies for farmers instead of dentists or bridge builders or actors or whomever? Worst of all why are they subsidizing farmers to buy a particular kind of vehicle that may not be the best fit for their needs. If you want to help farmers give them money and let them figure out how to spend it best.

But in fact the congress is pretty much a bunch of cynical slimeballs and rewarding the special interests that were bribing them and harming the national interest was actually what they intended. Of course, lots of people jumped on the bandwagon and bought unnecessarily large vehicles because of the tax subsidies and just as congress had intended some of the special interests that had most successfully bribed them received the rewards including in a disproportionate way the Detroit automakers. Here's a little linky that calls into question Wildcat's assertion that only disserving farmers and construction companies were given incentives to buy unnescessarily large vehicles:
http://www.prestigeok.com/tax_code_179.htm
and a little commentary on the issue:
http://jeromekahn123.tripod.com/parwho/id8.html

OK, but this was really off the topic. And it sounds like Wildcat is OK with at least the idea that the Bush administration (with the assistance of congress) threw money at GM at least twice and they're still coming back for more. I guess an agreement on two out of three is a kind of agreement and I can live with that.

ETA: Another link just in case people were going to ridicule me for the tripod link:
http://www.usatoday.com/money/autos/2002-12-18-suv-tax-break_x.htm

Well, I don't suppose this is going to help all that much. I'll probably get even more ridicule for a USA Today link.
 
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Things seem to be moving along rather quickly right now.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090331/ap_on_bi_ge/gm_henderson

A new CEO. A realization by the government that the unions and the bond holders aren't going to agree to anything without a bankruptcy or at least the serious threat of one. A decision by the Obama administration to actually do something to help create a viable GM instead of a pit to throw money in. A realistic appraisal of Chrysler's nonexistent chances. A decision to not only get rid of Waggoner but most of the GM board that led GM into this mess. And a realistic appraisal of the value of the Volt by the political party which one might have expected to be the one where environmental enthusiasm over ruled common sense.

So what was the purpose of the Bush Detroit bailout? Once again, we are left to ponder whether Bush was just bizarrely inept or he was just corrupt.

Interestingly, the theory that nobody would buy a car from a company in bankruptcy has been shown to be moot since it looks like people aren't all that enthused about buying a car from a company on the federal dole either.
 

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