Let's calm it down, folks
So I'm back from travel again. I don't see any discussion that truly belongs here as there are numerous other threads treating Mr. Jowenko and so on, but I do see some bickering. You're not all bickering, but several are. I remind you, please keep this respectful. You are all responsible for your own posts, and no one else's. Govern yourselves accordingly.
Regarding the comments of Mr. Jowenko, whom we've discussed here endlessly, who can say why he has the opinion he does? I will accept that he has some expertise in demolition and probably even explosives. I will also accept that he may have been accurately represented in the various videos and transcripts we've seen. I just don't think it makes any difference.
I say this because Mr. Jowenko's comments are not in any way actionable. He's provided no reasoning, no details, no hypothesis. All we have is his opinion, and the only support for this opinion is his profession. This is the classic "argument to authority." There are many other authorities, equally if not better credentialled, who have a totally different opinion. This argument is, therefore, useless.
In my responses, you will note that I did not rely upon his or any other unqualified opinion, but rather discussed physical mechanisms. These can be independently verified. Anyone can challenge my arguments by presenting their own competing arguments also based on physics. These are problems that can be solved. Personal feelings, not so.
Mr. Jowenko's comments would be much more useful had he provided any of the following:
- Any explanation of what about the video he saw convinced him, i.e. features that he believes are proof of explosives
- An explanation of why explosives are the only way to have caused the effect, instead of just one way; without this, he commits an Affirming the Consequent logical fallacy
- Details regarding exactly how explosives could have created this effect, viz. where he feels they were placed, what types and amounts, how detonated, etc.
Unfortunately, we have none. Without this information, we have no way of knowing whether he has a reason at all, or whether he leapt to judgment, has a personal agenda, was deliberately hoaxing the interviewer, etc. And we have no way to follow up. Even if his comments turn out to be true, it hasn't helped our investigation one bit.
Until any way to follow up appears, Mr. Jowenko's comments are totally useless. Fortunately, we have many other sources of information, and as I described on previous pages, these leave no doubt whatsoever that explosives are not needed. There's more to learn from NIST
et al., but the top-level question of explosives or not has no credible challenge that I'm aware of.
Once again, let me invoke the OP:
What critical questions do you have? And as before, I may not be able to answer them, but even clarifying and asking the question will help us find an answer. To wit, we can't start "a new investigation" without these kinds of questions. Let's have them.
Thanks!