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Gunman shoots 18 people.

On the self-protection aspect.

Would allowing access to flintlock pistols privide this, but make it hard for mass killings?

I have a semi-auto (three really, but only one at the ready) for the singular reason* I'd consider pulling off a home invasion without a partner incredibly stupid so why should professionals think any differently? So honestly I'd rather not be in a position where I have to say "hey, sorry I put a bullet in your friend. Now if you wouldn't mind giving me a minute to reload I'd really appreciate it."

And the first rule once you've made that terrible decision to take someone else's life to save your own is "three center mass." This is because even policemen who go through tireless training will experience the physical trauma your mind and body go through in that moment of unimaginable fear and adrenaline rush. It's not deer hunting where you aim and wait for your target to walk into your optimum line of fire, you're going through a thousand emotions in a split second. You BETTER have more than one shot.

Oh, and did I mention that unlike in the movies people don't drop dead the second a bullet tears through them? After a person's mortally wounded they can still do a lot of damage.

It's a cute fantasy, but carrying a pea shooter for self-defense is probably more dangerous than carrying a knife. It's just going to really annoy the person you're hoping to protect yourself from.













*OK, so singular is an overstatement. There are a hundred reasons I love my Glock. :cool:
 
Hi
On the self-protection aspect.

Would allowing access to flintlock pistols privide this, but make it hard for mass killings?

What happens when two people start jackassulating? Am I allowed a brace of pistols? A bandoleer? How many pistols am I allowed to have?

What percent of the population do you suspect will commit mass killings in their lifetime? How many will not? How many men will commit rape in their lifetimes? How many will not? How many men will commit murder in their lifetimes? How many will not?

Is it anywhere near fair or reasonable to treat all persons in possession of a penis as if they were imminent rapists and murderers?

How many mass killers just jump up and grab a gun and start killing? Let me answer that for you. None. They all sit around and they plan it. They roll it round in their imaginations as they collect ammunition and magazines, and as they think of where best to do it....

and how no one will ever, EVER forget their names.

How do you suppose that these things are always extended against the weak and undefended?

Anyone that wants to get a firearm can get one... or MAKE one. (It's far easier to make a submachine gun than a semiautomatic pistol. Want a website?) Even in Britain, with it's fairly stringent gun control laws, a kid got a MAC-10 in 24 hours!

If someone decides it's Ok to go around murdering rooms full of school kids, do you think that he or she is going to pay attention to any of the lesser laws, like firearms possession? If so, why do you think that?

Do you expect your released criminals to allow police into their houses without at any time, without notice, and without probable cause? What's your national rate of recidivism? I'm asking because I don't know. Over here. parolees, criminals released from prison but still under police supervision, don't get treated like that.
 
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Hi
... clip ...

Oh, and did I mention that unlike in the movies people don't drop dead the second a bullet tears through them? After a person's mortally wounded they can still do a lot of damage.

... clip ...

Rule #5 of the Gunfight: Anything worth shooting is worth shooting twice.
 
Rule #5 of the Gunfight: Anything worth shooting is worth shooting twice.
At least.
clint.gif
 
Hi
I think the death of a clump of ten people, and the death of ten people spread out more tragic than either on their own.

How does one prevent the other?

I'm sorry, but I can't parse that first sentence.

As for the second, it doesn't prevent it. Neither, apparently, does spending several million pounds sterling on the implementation of a law, and how much every year in enforcement of that law, that appears to have accomplished nothing at all.

Not really, because the guns weren't there. Before Hungerford, I knew one rifle-shooter, who also made and fired black-powder weapons (he had special dispensation to do this). My school CCF had an armoury. Several people had shotguns. Hardly a pervasive gun-culture.

This might seem like an anecdote, but I believe it also reflects the real situation before and after the Dunblane gun-laws.
Your experience seems to mirror others', so I'll go with it.

If the guns weren't there, and the statistics indicate that an effect wasn't there, either, what reason to spend millions of British money-things in support of a law which, by your own admission (in saying, "the guns weren't there," aren't you defending the fact that there's no statistical change?) has done nothing?

I doubt he would have managed to kill 18 people, at the very least many more would have been able to run away, secondly it would be hard work, and thirdly, there would be far more chance of overpowering the person. In the Wolverhampton machette attack, the nursery nurse managed to protect the children, and two men chased the perpetrator away.
The question was specifically about the original post, right? A murder done late at night with the other family members in bed?

But the homicide rate is less than half the US homicide rate.
It ALWAYS was. If your gun control measures haven't cut down you homicide rate, in a nation of fairly level-headed non-murdering people, what chance does it have over here in the wilds of the USA?

I doubt that chemical bombs would cause as many fatalities as guns.
Ever seen the pictures the Kurds have posted about Saddam Husain's use of chemicals on their people? If you're talking about home-made ones, yes, so far they've been weak.

I think it would make the papers as the Tokyo Underground gas attack is still remembered. Ii had 12 fatalities, and sarin is more effective than chlorine. ( I have recently read Robert Graves' autobiography "Goodby to all that" and he described one allied chlorine gas attack during WWI. It wasn't outstandingly successfull. Fiasco might be a better word.)
Yes. It was used outdoors and the wind changed, if I remember correctly. It still scarred a mess of allied soldiers lungs, reducing them to cripples for the rest of their lives (if it's the one we learned about in Chemical Warfare school).

In a closed area, like a closed classroom, for instance, it's very different. It pushes the air away so that every breath you take is pretty much all chlorine.

Chlorine would actually be my last choice, though. I used it as an example of what can be done in about half an hour with no real preplanning.

I would go for a propane or natural gas (available in very large tanks at every farm in the USA) (propane, probably - it has a much better heat signature) fuel-air explosive bomb, myself.

A suicide note left on the YouTube, and I'm famous!

See, again, I used to do this professionally. My job was to STOP the jackassulants from using stuff like fuel-air explosives on people.
It isn't most gun owners, it is the wierdos that are going to commit massacares.
My point exactly. Weirdos don't much give a care about gun control laws, either.

There is a qualitiative difference to killing with a gun and a knife. For certain disturbed individuals, the gun would give them an ability to "play god" that a knife wouldn't. The minimal effort required to quickly kill at a distance could be quite attractive, "oh look, I can point at that person and they are dead". Automatic and semi-automatic weapons are also far more effective at killing than knives. They also require less planning to commit a massacare than bombs.
I'm coming to agree with that. You do know that you can build a submachine gun from plumbing parts, right? you do know that some British kid on the street bought a submachine gun on those same British streets in 24 hours, right?

GUNS DON'T KILL PEOPLE! THOSE LITTLE, HARD, ROUND THINGS THAT COME OUT THE FRONT KILL PEOPLE!!

Anyhow: Should we outlaw clothes that aren't fastened on with bent wires because they make rape easier? Should we outlaw easy-to-access groceries and office supplies because they make shoplifting easier?

"Easier," ain't, "Gonna," and, "Harder," ain't, "Can't."

Less than half the US rate, and little change in gun ownership in my lifetime.
No lessening of overall crime, either,and significant rises after 1997 of violent crimes and homicides. All of a sudden, too, your old people are getting beaten in their homes for stuff like a fish dinner or 40 pounds.

At the same time, the British government spent how much and is spending how much every year for a program whose only apparent goal is to prevent law-abiding people from murdering others and which seems to have had no other measurable effect.

Congratulations. I'm glad it's working out so well for you.
 
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Here is an example of "anarchy" in a British city of 750,000 people:

Police deny 'anarchy' after gun deaths

A senior police officer investigating a double killing in Leeds - the ninth shooting in the city in the last two months - has denied the streets are descending into anarchy.




The bodies of Clifton Bryan, 29, and Denis Wilson, 38, were found in a car in the suburb of Harehills on Monday. Both had been shot.

Four people have been killed in Leeds in the past two months and six others seriously injured.




Home office report:


there were 566 serious or fatal injuries involving guns between March 2006 and April 2007; of those, 59 resulted in deaths
In the more recent period between October 2006 and September 2007 there were 49 gun-related deaths

The guns weren't there, partly for cultural reasons, and partly because the gun control laws already were strict compared to the US.


Originally Posted by jimbob
I think the death of a clump of ten people, and the death of ten people spread out more tragic than either on their own.

How does one prevent the other?
I'm sorry, but I can't parse that first sentence.
I'll try to clarify my point in the first sentence:


Again, why do you think that the death of 10 people in a clump more tragic than 10 people killed, spread all over the country?

I read your point as implying that there was a choice between a mass killing of 10 people, or 10 individual killings.

The lack af availability of firearms in the UK seems to prevent mass killings with guns, individual murders are a different tyope of killing.

The gun-toting wierdo is a differet type of person to the gun-toting criminal, or indeed the gun-owning citizen.

On the subject of gun massacres, the fact that there aren't other types of civilian massacres seems to suggest that the availability of guns and their ease of use enables massacres to take place that otherwise wouldn't.


I'm coming to agree with that. You do know that you can build a submachine gun from plumbing parts, right? you do know that some British kid on the street bought a submachine gun on those same British streets in 24 hours, right?

GUNS DON'T KILL PEOPLE! THOSE LITTLE, HARD, ROUND THINGS THAT COME OUT THE FRONT KILL PEOPLE!!
Ammunition is also hard to get hold of in the UK.

I used to shoot at school, and the empty cartridge cases had to be accounted for, let alone any actual live rounds.

Anyhow: Should we outlaw clothes that aren't fastened on with bent wires because they make rape easier? Should we outlaw easy-to-access groceries and office supplies because they make shoplifting easier?

These are fundamentally different. These might make the potential victim more vulnerable, but it is the potential victim's actions and free choice that affects these examples. Easy access to guns make it easier for the perpetrator.

Easily available ricin would make poisioning easier, however ricin is controlled; why should you not ban easy-to-access groceries and office supplies because they make shoplifting easier?
 
Hi
Here is an example of "anarchy" in a British city of 750,000 people:

... snip ...

The guns weren't there, partly for cultural reasons, and partly because the gun control laws already were strict compared to the US.

Yup. In Indinapolis, Indiana, a city of 800,000, we had 107 murders last year.

It's the wild, wild, west, here, for sure.

However, the 100,000 licensed firearms carriers in the state have a lower overall crime incidence than the general public, and there's been less than 1,000 licenses revoked, and we lose our licenses fairly easily. Indiana holds gun carriers to a somewhat higher standard, and the gun carriers meet that standard or they lose their licenses.

What I'm trying to say is that, over here, almost all crime is committed by criminals. How many of those 566 gun-related serious or fatal injuries involving guns were committed by persons otherwise in compliance with the law?

You guys have always been saner than us. Is it that much of a surprise to see that you're saner about killing each other off?
I'll try to clarify my point in the first sentence:

I read your point as implying that there was a choice between a mass killing of 10 people, or 10 individual killings.

The lack af availability of firearms in the UK seems to prevent mass killings with guns, individual murders are a different tyope of killing.

The gun-toting wierdo is a differet type of person to the gun-toting criminal, or indeed the gun-owning citizen.

On the subject of gun massacres, the fact that there aren't other types of civilian massacres seems to suggest that the availability of guns and their ease of use enables massacres to take place that otherwise wouldn't.
Thanks for the clarification. What I was asking about was the perception of one death being less painful to the families of the bereaved than another death, and if a death on the front page was more tragic than another death that doesn't get off of page 3 and the obituaries.

Before 1965, I could buy rifles with a check through the mail. In 1966, an ex-Marine with a brain tumor and some rifles climbed the Texas Tower and invented a new kind of wrongdoing.

If guns were the problem, why were there no tragedies of that sort before.

When I was in high school (grades 9 through 12), about half of the school were farm kids, driving their parents pickup truck to school. Virtually ALL the trucks had gun racks, and the racks held guns. Most of them were loaded, and ammunition for all of them was under the seat. People carried pistols and revolves in their glove compartments, as well, and everybody, and I mean really everybody carried a knife.

If simple exposure to firearms and knives were causative, why were there so few stabbings and school massacres back before 1969?

You guys have had two mass killings since the crime model was introduced. That gives you a 20 year mean time between occurrences. Your two happened 9 years apart, so I split the difference and project a 15 year mean time between occurrences.

You guys won't know until 2011 if your measures have even slowed it down.

...and on the subject of non-gun massacres: No one's done one successfully yet, so there's no model to copy. Every one of these, "walk into where people are defenseless and shoot them," crimes is a copy of the original model, right?

What can I say. There's probably an American, right now, thinking up some new way to make other people's lives miserable.

Ammunition is also hard to get hold of in the UK.

I used to shoot at school, and the empty cartridge cases had to be accounted for, let alone any actual live rounds.

I've heard about this form of control before. A friend who lived in Africa for some time said that the government of the country where he lived used it with some success. Furthermore, the ammunition is the bit that's fairly hard to make in the whole, "If I can't buy a gun, I'll MAKE one," model.

I'm not sure how it would wash in the States, though. A lot of serious shooters go through 200 rounds a week, so being forced to buy 5 or 10 rounds at a time would definitely be seen as a hardship.
These are fundamentally different. These might make the potential victim more vulnerable, but it is the potential victim's actions and free choice that affects these examples. Easy access to guns make it easier for the perpetrator.

Easily available ricin would make poisioning easier, however ricin is controlled; why should you not ban easy-to-access groceries and office supplies because they make shoplifting easier?
All of these types of crimes have a victim and a perpetrator.
Potential victim more vulnerable = Easier for the Perpetrator
Why do you suppose that your elderly are being targeted by thugs. What happens of the victim's actions and free choice happen to include carrying a handgun?

82,500 crimes PREVENTED over here with handguns.

Even at that, these massacre-minded... animals who simply happen to walk on their hind legs and eat with cutlery... cherry-pick helpless targets. The pick on children and people in, "Gun Free," zones (which means that the law-abiding people in that zone don't have guns: The jackassulants don't CARE about the law and take in guns anyhow).

About stuff being controlled: Recreational pharmaceuticals a controlled, too, right? What success has Britain had, legislating those out of existence? The US has had no success at all. It's pretty obvious to me that a country where drugs are flowing through the borders to supply the desire can not successfully ban illegal guns anyhow.

...and we don't ban easy access to groceries and office supplies because that's not the model we use to sell them. It's all about what your customers (or, say citizens) will stand for.

Depart from the model too much and you're out of business.

I really admire you guys' efforts to make yourselves more civilized. I think you left the bad guys out of the calculation, though, and as they say, the Devil's in the details.
 
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I have found an an analysis on this:

Sloan et al. (1988) compare the crime rates in Seattle and Vancouver, two similar cities in terms of population, climate, income per household, poverty, and unemployment rates. The only significant demographic difference lies in the racial composition of minorities, with more Asians in Vancouver and more Hispanics and blacks in Seattle. Gun regulations are much stricter in Vancouver. In Seattle, handguns may be purchased legally for self-defense in the street or at home. After a 30-day waiting period, a permit can be obtained to carry a gun as a concealed weapon. Handguns need not be registered. In Vancouver, self-defense is not considered a valid or legal reason to carry a gun. Concealed weapons are not permitted. The purchase of a gun requires registration and a restricted-weapons permit. Handguns can be transported in a car, but only if stored in a locked box in the trunk. As a result, an estimated 41 percent of Seattle inhabitants own a gun compared to only 12 percent of Vancouver inhabitants.

The authors find that the two cities essentially experience the same rates of burglary, robbery, homicides, and assaults without a gun. However, in Seattle the rate of assault with a firearm is 7 times higher than in Vancouver, and the rate of homicide with a handgun is 4.8 times higher. The authors conclude that the availability of handguns in Seattle increases the assault and homicide rates with a gun, but does not decrease the crime rates without guns, and that restrictive handgun laws reduce the homicide rate in a community

If a substitution effect exists, the correlations between gun ownership percentages and rates of homicides and suicides by other means than a gun would be significantly negative. They are not (respectively, 0.441 and -0.015, both nonsignificant). The correlation of 0.441, although not significant with this small sample, suggests that the number of homicides by means other than a gun increases with raising levels of gun ownership. Thus, the data do not support the existence of a compensation effect for homicides. Similar conclusions were reached by Duggan (2000).
 
I have found an an analysis on this:

Difference #1: On is in Canada, the other in America.
Difference #2: One is a mecca for run-aways and disenfranchised young people, the other is not.
Difference #3: Meccas for disenfranchised young people are profitable illegal drug use areas. I have no idea what that drug use rate is in Vancouver.

The factor that I'd like to see examined is how many of those murders in the US were committed by recidivists or persons otherwise involved in other felonies at the time of the homicide. If I'm in ur warehowzez steelin' ur munnyz and I bust a cap in someone, it's no longer a robbery but a homicide, right?

Here in the US, the drug trade fuels an awful lot of jackassulation.

About recidivism: This about Indiana homicides from, "The Social Ecology of Murder in Indiana," from http://www.in.gov/
Ninety-two percent of offenders in each sentence type group had a criminal history prior to the committing the instant offense. Most (84% or more) had been arrested at least once as an
adult. More than half had been arrested as a juvenile. The highest proportion of juvenile
arrests was seen among death penalty offenders, followed by life without parole and then
determinate offenders. The opposite trend is true of adult arrests, the highest proportion of
adult arrests were found among determinate offenders, followed by life without parole and death
penalty offenders.

The average number of juvenile and adult arrests combined did not differ significantly by
sentence type group. On average, offenders in each group had been arrested about eight
times, some with only one arrest and others with as many as 43 arrests.

... snip ...

Sixty-two percent of all offenders had been arrested for at least one violent offense (i.e., an
offense against a person) prior to committing the instant offense. Proportionally more death
penalty offenders (72.5%) had a prior arrest for a violent offense than either life without parole
(60.3%) or determinate (59.4%) offenders. Only 27% of all murderers previously had been
arrested for a weapons offense, which were more characteristic of those who had received the
sentence of life without parole.

... snip ...

Table 7-1: The top five reasons for murders committed by offenders in this study were: To
facilitate the commission of another crime (i.e., ‘felony murder,’ 43% of all offenders); to acquire
money or property (non-drug-related; 34% of all offenders); over an intimate or familial situation
(24% of all offenders); to silence someone who witnessed the defendant or a codefendant
during the commission of a crime (21% of all offenders); and hatred, retaliation, animosity, or
revenge (16% of all offenders).

It seems that MOST of the murders were committed by persons that were not allowed to possess firearms in the first place, and at least 43% of them were directly attributable to other criminal jackassulation.

Beside that, Americans are bigger jerks than Canadians, eh?
 
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Hi

Hmmm... it says, "criminal history," and not, "criminal record," so my evaluation about the illegal possession of firearms is not supported by the data.

D'OH! (_8(|)
 
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Apparently the Knights Templar are Back!

Damn. I hit the "New Thread" button. What happened there?
 
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The big question is why the US seems to be more violent then Britain.

Historically, I don't think that was the case.

Anyone have any ideas of crime rates in UK and (eastern US) cities in the mid 19th century?
 
Certainly, it was interesting the way Jerome instantly claimed that the lower life expectancy of US males was entirely due to firearms deaths, when it was pointed out to him in the healthcare thread.

Not something I'd be wanting to boast about, even if it were true.

I don't know about more violent as such. Some posters have even claimed it's more polite (as if the false, scared politeness born of believing that the other person may kill you if you get on his wick is, like, a good thing?). But it certainly seems to manage to make the violence more lethal.

I wonder why that is?

Some posters also claim that the more guns there are, the safer everyone is. So again, one looks at these excess figures in the mortality statistics, and wonders why that should be so.

Rolfe.
 

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