Possible successor to the MDC

I thought when you said MDC, you were talking about the Marquis de Carabas. I was afraid you meant he announced he was leaving or something. Everyone, especially the goats, breathe a sigh of relief.

(whew!)
 
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I have more or less assumed that this project, if it ever gets flying, would be a substitute for the MDC. That is, we would only set it up when the MDC is discontinued in two years.

As I have said before, the importance of the MDC is not if anybody ever applies, but that it is possible for them to apply, and that this fact can be used to rub in the noses of the woos. As long as the MDC exists, I do not really need another challenge.
 
Question, has anyone ever actually sued over the MDC?

RemieV has told me that there are often threats of legal action that lawyers have been involved with, but I am still not sure if anyone has ever actually gone beyond threats.

I have more or less assumed that this project, if it ever gets flying, would be a substitute for the MDC. That is, we would only set it up when the MDC is discontinued in two years.

That's how I see it as well. However, actually organising and setting up something like this wouldn't happen overnight, even for a small challenge, so it's certainly worth thinking about now.

Edited to add: a thought just occured to me: how about if we acted as a clearing house for established challenges, like the IIG's challenge? If they won't object that is. We'll do the legwork of designing protocols, but won't actually have any contract with the challenger. We'll just let them know "yes, we think you're ready" or "no, we don't think you're ready, and here's why". Do you think people would bother asking us for our help, though, if we weren't ponying up any money?

I don't really like this idea, and I can't see the existing challenges going for it either. The whole point of this would be not to lose the publicity that the JREF challenge already has. People know they can come here for a challenge, and if all we do is point them somewhere else, there's no need for anything official to be set up here at all, we can post links to other challenges easily enough already.

I think the idea of a TDC is a really good one. Start small.

I don't think we were planning anything big. However, I don't like the idea of setting a fixed amount. The idea of putting the prize together from donations is that people can give however much they like, when they like. I certainly wouldn't expect to have as much as a thousand dollars at the start, but I would hope that it would be more than that after a few years.

But I will need help administering website things like a message forum (if we want one). I do not have the brainspace to really understand how to make a message board robust and keep it so.

I'm afraid that while I'm an evil henchthing, I have no idea about all the technical bits. There are plenty of people around that do though, so it shouldn't be all that hard to find someone. If the worst comes to the worst, I have several friends who play with computers that I could beg for help.

This is going well beyond my original conception (inspired by Ron Tomkins ;)) of a TDC -- a thousand dollar challenge -- which is perfectly fine, but I want to pitch that original concept one more time.

As I said to Jackalgirl, I don't think we're planning anything bigger. It's just that having a variable donated amount seems a better idea than fixing it at a thousand dollars, which we might not have at the start, and could have more than later.

I think, first, that it’s a mistake to consider this a “possible successor” to the MDC. Without Randi, there is no MDC. Furthermore, I don’t think it’s a good idea to have the forum produce something which is meant to, or accidentally ends up, being “confusable” with the MDC. That’s not fair to Randi, the JREF, or this forum. *wags finger*

As Nucular says, having it associated with the MDC is the whole point. The MDC has built up a lot of publicity over the years, and it would be a shame to see it all go to waste. As I said at the start, there are already many similar challenges around, with more money than we can sensibly hope to offer. The only thing that would set this apart from them would be the JREF.

Second, if you’re not going to have a cool mil, or even ten grand, then a thousand is as good as five. Why raise more than necessary? No one’s put a number on it yet, but my vote is to keep it modest.

But how much is necessary? There are people who would happily do it for nothing. There are people for whom a million isn't enough. I think by just keeping it open to donations instead of having a fixed number, as well as offering a choice of actually doing it for nothing, or for charity, you can cover all the bases. There just doesn't seem a good reason to limit the amount if we don't have to.

Third, even if more people become interested, I’d be surprised if enough folks are able to donate the time and resources to make this a big production. I’m happy to be proven wrong, but my feeling is that we can maximize participation by minimizing our goals. We should really strive to make this a tool for every member of the forum. Everyone has access to logic and reason, not so a tidy stash of Ben Franklins.

Of course. That's why I think the idea of having everything worked out no the forum is such a good idea. Very few people would be needed to look after the money and so on, the vast majority of the work would simply be people working out protocols on the forum, which they do already.

In fact, I’m picturing a standard $10 or $15 donation for everyone, so no one has any more stake or ownership than anyone else.

I don't see why this would be necessary. Firstly, I'm assuming the money would be put aside solely for the prize, as the million is now, so there is no question of anyone owning any stakes in anything. Secondly, why stop people giving however much they like? Some people won't be able to afford $10-15, but might still want to give something. And if someone decides they want to donate another million, why would we want to stop them?

Looking further ahead, having open donations offers the chance for more publicity. No-one will care if we keep saying "Look, we still have $1000", but if every now and then we can say "We now have $5000", "We now have $10,000 and still no-one has claimed it" and so on, it will be a lot more interesting.

In the end, I see this as a kind of glorified bar bet. Someone shows up here, or we meet someone personally who’s claiming powers, and we’ll have the moxy to say, “Fine. We’ve got a grand. Prove it.” It’s a way of forcing someone’s hand, of showing that we take claims seriously enough to put our own money down. And, as everyone knows, money talks. (Usually it tells me how lonely it is in my pocket with so little company, but that’s another story.)

I think that's how we're all looking at it really. However, as Nucular says, being an international forum, and offering a challenge rather than just amking a bet between friends, has to change things a bit. Not only are the legal implications different but, more importantly, the goals are different. A bar bet is irrelevant to pretty much everyone except those involved. The whole point of a challenge is to be seen by as many people as possible, and to try to educate them. While the MDC is seen by many as just a something that sits there so they can argue with woos about why they haven't taken it, I don;t think it can be seen that way by those actually running it.
 
The only thing I'm thinking of is the (eventual) problem that the JREF ran into: having all that money sitting around (essentially) doing nothing. I mean, putting it in a savings account and letting it grow is cool, but what if it gets to be a sizeable amount of money? Do we just leave it like that, or would it be prudent, say, to drain off a bit of money every now and then to go towards funding an endowment we could use to award small grants to critical thinking projects?
 
The other issue is that you can get more money, long term, from investing in such things as the stock market (but not now) and property.

Also where do you get the money to run the organisation? Even if you use volunteers they will have expenses.
 
The only thing I'm thinking of is the (eventual) problem that the JREF ran into: having all that money sitting around (essentially) doing nothing. I mean, putting it in a savings account and letting it grow is cool, but what if it gets to be a sizeable amount of money? Do we just leave it like that, or would it be prudent, say, to drain off a bit of money every now and then to go towards funding an endowment we could use to award small grants to critical thinking projects?

Obviously a good point for discussion. My feeling, though, is to keep things very simple. We're not talking about establishing a new JREF (let's save that for if there's ever a need), simply a new prize fund. And, thinking about some of Cuddles' points above, although we're talking about small amounts of money at present, why begin to limit that? As far as I'm concerned, a small prize is great, and hopefully achieves the modest aims we've talked about on this thread up till now. But if someone wanted to donate a million, or even if the fund reached ten million, I don't see a need to start to drain that off.

I guess I'm thinking that a small prize fund would preclude doing anything else with it, and a large prize fund would be its own publicity.

I do think though that it would be prudent to think very carefully about where all of this could potentially end up, even with the slimmest of chances, since once it was open for donations there would be no scope, legally or ethically, to do anything with the money other than what we've told donors we'd do.

Which also gets me thinking about ending the challenge. We'd have to think through that eventuality before we started anything, since it would be foolish to assume that it would definitely run forever - the JREF presumably had to consult its donors before it decided what to do with the prize money, and our prize fund would likely be from many different people, possibly hundreds. We'd have to write in the possibility of where the money would ultimately end up if someone doesn't win and circumstances change.

What would we do? Donate it to the JREF? Donate it to a humanitarian charity? Maybe even individual refunds would be possible if all donations were taken on PayPal (whilst I suspect that's actually unlikely to be possible, the prospect of eventually getting your money back, possibly in many years, might encourage donations).

The other issue is that you can get more money, long term, from investing in such things as the stock market (but not now) and property.

But presumably then there's the possibility of losing some, or even the lot - better than putting it all on Who'syourdaddy in the 3.30 at Chepstow, but I'm not sure about the risks involved in that sort of enterprise. Do you know about that sort of thing, rjh01?

Also where do you get the money to run the organisation? Even if you use volunteers they will have expenses.

Maybe I'm naïve, but I can't think of any expenses to be incurred by anybody running the challenge. As with the MDC now, all costs involved in testing would be incurred by the applicant - travel costs, equipment, etc. We'd all be working for free, of course, and most communication and publicity would likely be done online. There would inevitably be the odd phonecall or letter which would require stationery and postage, but I'd imagine that within reason people would be happy to cover that themselves on an ad hoc basis - for instance, if I was writing a letter, I'd probably just use my own stationery and stick a stamp on it. If there's a phonecall in this country to be made, I'd make it. Maybe I'm too presumptuous in assuming everyone would be happy to do that, but I really can't think that it would amount to much.
 
Investments. The greater the risk the greater the return. In the stock market you can invest in blue chip stocks. These are reasonably safe. However even large companies, on rare occasions, can go bankrupt. However normally they would pay much better than a savings account. I have invested money in this way.

About the volunteers expenses. I do not expect them to be heavy. However they will exist.

Is it to be a USA only thing?
 
Investments. The greater the risk the greater the return. In the stock market you can invest in blue chip stocks. These are reasonably safe. However even large companies, on rare occasions, can go bankrupt. However normally they would pay much better than a savings account. I have invested money in this way.

Hmmm, I guess it would have to be a group decision whether or not to go in that direction, and would probably again have to be written into whatever donors would see before they invested. The idea scares me a little, but then I defer to people more knowledgable than myself on this.

About the volunteers expenses. I do not expect them to be heavy. However they will exist.

I suppose it's one of those things that's difficult to really know until it's up and running. Perhaps the JREF could supply information on the sorts of costs they've carried relating to the challenge, which would be indicative.

Is it to be a USA only thing?

I'm hoping not. I'm based in the UK, as is Cuddles; I'm not sure about others. However, I would think that the aim would be to make international accessibility as 'doable' as possible, hopefully by enlisting volunteers from the forum who would assist in testing in their own geographical region.
 
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I'd think this is great idea and would be happy to help with volunteering and a donation.

I get the impression that the real problem with the MDC is it's become a pink elephant; the busy JREF employees were spending all their time and effort trying to scrub the MDC elephant white & clean so they could take it on a parade, but have never managed to succeed (albeit for a couple of practices). The possible successor would use the same stable, but have a hoard of volunteer scrubbers happy to donate time and able to take turns without getting worn out.

Hmm, perhaps I needed more coffee before attempting to type something on a Monday morning!
 
The only thing I'm thinking of is the (eventual) problem that the JREF ran into: having all that money sitting around (essentially) doing nothing. I mean, putting it in a savings account and letting it grow is cool, but what if it gets to be a sizeable amount of money? Do we just leave it like that, or would it be prudent, say, to drain off a bit of money every now and then to go towards funding an endowment we could use to award small grants to critical thinking projects?

I think that may be looking a little too far ahead. I don't think we should put a hard limit on a prize because that seems needlessly restrictive, but at the same time I don't think we should get our hopes up too much. I certainly wouldn't expect a prize of more than a couple of thousand at most, to begin with at least. If it looks like getting to a sizeable amount we could look into other options, but I really don't think that's worth worrying about yet.

Investments. The greater the risk the greater the return. In the stock market you can invest in blue chip stocks. These are reasonably safe. However even large companies, on rare occasions, can go bankrupt. However normally they would pay much better than a savings account. I have invested money in this way.

Again, I don't think we're looking at particularly large sums of money. The point of the prize is to sit there as an incentive for people to take the challenge, not to make more money. An easy access savings account should be more than sufficient for that purpose. As above, it ends up with a more sizeable amount, other options would need to be looked at, but these are things that just won't be a problem to begin with.

About the volunteers expenses. I do not expect them to be heavy. However they will exist.

Why? I would hope that people willing to give up an afternoon to test someone would also be willing to fork out a few pounds for a train fare. Other than travel, I don't see what other expenses there could be. The whle point of this would be to mainly organise it on these forums. If that isn't possible, Jackalgirl has offered to donate web space. Small charities, in the UK at least, have no need to get accountants and lawyers involved with running things. Other than possible threats of legal action, which is one of the main things that needs considering, I don't see where any money would be needed at all.

Is it to be a USA only thing?

No. Regardless of where it ends up being based, it has to be an international challenge. The great thing about this forum is that there are people from all over the place. I think we can certainly cover the US, UK and Australia just with foum members, and hopefully we would be able to ask other skeptical organisations to run tests if needed, as the JREF does now.
 
People are asking, why limit the amount of prize money? Here’s a list of reasons to consider:

1. So that it wouldn’t detract from donations to the JREF. I’d hate to see this drawing money away from donations that might otherwise have gone there. (Or to almost any other charity.)

2. Small amounts are believable. One problem with the MDC was people simply disbelieving its existence due in part to its size.

3. It needs little expertise to handle. I.e. no lawyers.

4. If lost through trickery, it could easily be regenerated. Seriously!

5. The problems of accrued interest would be minimal.

6. It might attract applicants actually interested in proving their powers rather than the murkier types with delusions of grandeur. A problem you’ll understand if you’ve followed the MDC.

7. Big money inevitably brings controversy, and not always the good kind. Forumites who participate should be focused on the testing, not the money. It should be about the testing.

8. The MDC was a rigorous set-up that caused headaches all around. I’d like to think of this as a casual set-up which would be more welcoming, and where the stakes weren’t terribly high.

9. In fact, I’d almost like to see it as less of a challenge, and more of an invitation.

10. Why am I numbering all my sentences?

11. If there’s so much interest that a TDC could no longer contain it, perhaps it could branch off into an independent challenge. IOW, keep the smaller static challenge contained within the forum, and produce a larger, dynamic challenge separately. At which point Jackagirl’s kind offer of a website would undoubtedly make a fine launching pad. (Maybe not the best idea, but perhaps worth considering.)

Ultimately, you’d want a lot of money if your interest was primarily in advertising, as it were. That would then raise the question Teek did in the other thread: would the amount of advertising be worth the amount of money tied up for it? Would $10,000 even get the word out? Would $50,000? Would it really be worth socking away so much just to say there was that much there?

Alternatively, if your interest was only in having the challenge at hand, then why keep amassing money (especially charitable donations) that’s not going to be physically spent on anything? This is why I said earlier that one thousand would be as good as five thousand here. And I’m sticking to it, man. I’m sticking to it!

For now.
 
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Alternatively, if your interest was only in having the challenge at hand, then why keep amassing money (especially charitable donations) that’s not going to be physically spent on anything?
A small prize amount will not get the argument through. If you discussing a woo claim with a person who is doubtful, it is an important argument to say that if this was true, the producer could net a million dollar by dollar by proving that this really works. If the prize is only 1000$ one can easily imagine why only a few will think it worth it to go through the testing process. The argument simply loses it's force.

I also think that the million dollar is used better for something like the challenge - if you consider combating woo-woo a worthy task. If you spend the million on films, advertising, and so on, the money will be gone. The beauty of the challenge is that the money will always be there, so it is as if it could be spent over and over again.

In case that somebody actually wins the money, it will be well spent in proving something that will turn our understanding of the world upside down.
 
1. So that it wouldn’t detract from donations to the JREF. I’d hate to see this drawing money away from donations that might otherwise have gone there. (Or to almost any other charity.)

People will give money where they want. If they decide they want to support this rather than something else, why should we stop them?

2. Small amounts are believable. One problem with the MDC was people simply disbelieving its existence due in part to its size.

I'm not convinced that was ever a problem. Certainly that sort of argument was used as an excuse but if it hadn't been, something else would have. The million is easily proved by statements from Goldman-Sachs. The only way this excuse could have any merit is if someone doesn't believe in money, and if that's the case, the million is the least of their problems.

3. It needs little expertise to handle. I.e. no lawyers.

4. If lost through trickery, it could easily be regenerated. Seriously!

5. The problems of accrued interest would be minimal.

All true, but as I said, I really don't think we're going to be dealing with large amounts of money anyway. Certainly not to start with. Maybe it could be worth thinking of putting a cap, or finding something else to do with the money, if we ended up with tens of thousands, but I just don't see that happening.

6. It might attract applicants actually interested in proving their powers rather than the murkier types with delusions of grandeur. A problem you’ll understand if you’ve followed the MDC.

If they're not interested in the money there are plenty of places for them to investigate things seriously. Also, the idea of giving them a choice of not doing it for the money or giving it to charity should solve this.

7. Big money inevitably brings controversy, and not always the good kind. Forumites who participate should be focused on the testing, not the money. It should be about the testing.

Again, I don't think we're looking at big money.

8. The MDC was a rigorous set-up that caused headaches all around. I’d like to think of this as a casual set-up which would be more welcoming, and where the stakes weren’t terribly high.

9. In fact, I’d almost like to see it as less of a challenge, and more of an invitation.

The tests can't be any less rigorous than the MDC. There's no point having a challenge at all if it isn't impossible to win without genuine paranormal powers. Sure, we can be friendlier and less confrontational, but the tests have to be the same whether there's a million or a thousand at stake.

10. Why am I numbering all my sentences?

Poor genetic material?

11. If there’s so much interest that a TDC could no longer contain it, perhaps it could branch off into an independent challenge. IOW, keep the smaller static challenge contained within the forum, and produce a larger, dynamic challenge separately. At which point Jackagirl’s kind offer of a website would undoubtedly make a fine launching pad. (Maybe not the best idea, but perhaps worth considering.)

It's certainly possible but, again, this would end up being just another paranormal challenge among many.

Ultimately, you’d want a lot of money if your interest was primarily in advertising, as it were. That would then raise the question Teek did in the other thread: would the amount of advertising be worth the amount of money tied up for it? Would $10,000 even get the word out? Would $50,000? Would it really be worth socking away so much just to say there was that much there?

As has been pointed out in the various discussions about the MDC, even a million gets you very little advertising. A few thousand is nothing. Maybe a couple of paragraphs in a local paper if you're lucky. The great thing about a prize challenge is that it stays there. Education about skepticsm and critical thinking is something that will always be needed. An advertising campaign, or leaflets, or whatever, will last a short time but will quickly be forgotten, even assuming it makes any difference while it lasts. A challenge lasts as long as you want it to last, with no additional investment needed.

Alternatively, if your interest was only in having the challenge at hand, then why keep amassing money (especially charitable donations) that’s not going to be physically spent on anything? This is why I said earlier that one thousand would be as good as five thousand here. And I’m sticking to it, man. I’m sticking to it!

For now.

Two things. Firstly, a lot of people have found the MDC useful as tool in debates with various believers, and many have said that they themselves were convinced, at least partially, by it. It can certainly be argued that this isn't worth a million, but a few thousand? I think even one person being educated about woo is worth that, and considering the cost of education, that's a bargain. A lot of people are disappointed that they will no longer have this tool available, and if they're willing to give up their own money to make it available, what's the problem?

Secondly, one of the problems with the MDC, and other prizes, is that they're put there by people that most people don't know. The "Put you money where your mouth is" argument is all very well, but the woos can just point out that it's actually someone else's money. By continually accepting donations, we can allow people to respond to this with "I have, why haven't you won it yet?".

I think the most important point is that it's up to people if they donate or not. If they don't think it's worth having, they won't donate and it will remain small. If they think it's worth having a big prize, they will donate more. I just don't see why we should put artifical limits rather than just leaving it open for everyone to decide if they think it's worth their money or not.
 
I just wanted to bump this and make a couple of notes/suggestions:

1) I am standing by to obtain a domain and website, which I will pay for. I will need help administering the thing, but I can definitely say that I will be responsible for the buckage.

2) I've been reading through some of the old MDC threads and I'd like to suggest that if an applicant comes onto our Forum to discuss protocols (in fact, I don't think it's a bad idea to make that a requirement), that those threads be moderated. I say this because often times I've noted that an MDC discussion thread has a high noise-to-signal ratio in the form of people being snarky. Mind you, it's not that I don't think that some applicants actually deserve some snark, but I think it would be a good idea to try to control the threads to keep down the personal attacks. I am not necessarily advocating this for any other section of online message discussion -- just for the thread(s) in which some actual work is being attempted. If that makes sense.

Anyway, if/once we can decide on a name, and you/we think it's a prudent time to do so, I'll get the domain and website started.

For legal purposes, what do we need? Do we need a charter and by-laws?
 
I just wanted to bump this and make a couple of notes/suggestions:

1) I am standing by to obtain a domain and website, which I will pay for. I will need help administering the thing, but I can definitely say that I will be responsible for the buckage.

Thanks again for taking this upon yourself Jackalgirl - I don't really know the costs involved but it's extremely good of you to offer to cover them, whatever they are. I'm happy to help with administration, though I have no technical expertise whatsoever in this field.

2) I've been reading through some of the old MDC threads and I'd like to suggest that if an applicant comes onto our Forum to discuss protocols (in fact, I don't think it's a bad idea to make that a requirement), that those threads be moderated. I say this because often times I've noted that an MDC discussion thread has a high noise-to-signal ratio in the form of people being snarky. Mind you, it's not that I don't think that some applicants actually deserve some snark, but I think it would be a good idea to try to control the threads to keep down the personal attacks. I am not necessarily advocating this for any other section of online message discussion -- just for the thread(s) in which some actual work is being attempted. If that makes sense.

Perfect sense, to me. Many's the discussion that's been derailed around here through snarkiness or proliferation of kittens, recipes and recipes containing kittens; I know I've also been guilty of letting exasperation get the better of me in that respect too. A moderated thread for 'official' protocol discussions would I agree be necessary, and of course an applicant would be free to discuss his claims elsewhere on the forum too, as would everybody else.

Regarding making it a requirement to have a discussion on the forum about protocol, it sounds to me like there would be many reasons to do so. My small note of caution would be that it could potentially make the challenge a little exclusive: those with no or limited internet access (and there are still rare offliners in the world, I've heard) would be unable to be involved in their own protocol discussion. Maybe that should be an issue to be dealt with when it arises.

Anyway, if/once we can decide on a name, and you/we think it's a prudent time to do so, I'll get the domain and website started.

Presumably the earlier we did this, the more it would cost - I'm assuming web domains and sites have recurring costs? Which would mean holding off as long as possible on that, I'd have thought. But in terms of getting the challenge rolling, once proper permission has been gained to ride on the coattails of the MDC, I would imagine the website should be up and running at least six months prior to the demise of the JREF challenge? I guess deciding on a name would be prudent to do more quickly, since we'd have to check it was available.

I also just had the strangely paranoid image of some faction of believers following this discussion and quickly snapping up the domain name of any name we settle on! Maybe I should up my medication...

For legal purposes, what do we need? Do we need a charter and by-laws?

I have no idea... though as discussed above I think it would rely on where the challenge and/or its supporting charity/organisation would be based. Which in turn would be decided by where legal conditions were most favourable for such an organisation, in conjunction with the practicality of where we all are geographically.
 
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Whoops, should have looked here before posting in another thread:

Re the application process, I have mentioned before that I would be willing to write an application management process that would allow applicants to:

1) Sign up
2) Provide details of their abilities
3) Enter a proposed test protocol
4) Upload a statement from a doctor saying they are in a good state of mental health
5) Upload three notarization documents

Then (and ONLY then) would a human have to go and check the details, and pass/fail each section if there was enough information / detail.

The fact is, the above system would filter out 99% of all applicants, as they usually arn't able to do most of the above. There could be a discussion forum to assist applicants having trouble defining their abilities or proposing a protocol.
 
Bump, again.

I haven't been around lately, did I miss anything like a new thread, or did the discussion simply grind to a halt?

Obviously there's still a fair amount of time before the MDC goes, but I am aware that, to put it kindly, our talks are still 'very much at a preliminary stage', unless I've missed it all :)
 
I'm still up for creating an application process management system. Well, as long as it can be in C#. I've gone right off PHP, and I've practically forgotten all my Java.
 

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