Iowa Straw Poll Prediction Contest

[Mister Agenda]

GOP
McCain
Romney
Giuliani
Paul
Thompson

Dem
Obama
Clinton
Edwards
Richardson
Biden

 

[MaGZ]

Republicans:
1. Romney
2. Huckabee
3. Paul
4. McCain
5. Thompson

Democrats:
1. Edwards
2. Obama
3. Clinton
4. Richardson
5. Biden

 

[Richard Masters]

Please clarify your predicted finish for Ron Paul. Tied with Huckabee?

Actually, I was predicting Ron Paul in 4th place. But I thought I was breaking some thread rules by assigning him a number.

 

[Puppycow]

Actually, I was predicting Ron Paul in 4th place. But I thought I was breaking some thread rules by assigning him a number.

Huh?

 

[leftysergeant]

The Clinton lead is razor-thin at this point, and the third-tier candidates have started naming who would be their second choice so that their supporters would have some guidance if they do not hit the 15% mark. Last I heard, they were divided mostly between Edwards and Obama.

The figures giving Clinton the lead may arise from a sample including Republicans making trouble.

 

[WildCat]

It's Ron Paul's big day! Just think, in 24 hours all other candidates will concede to the unstoppable internet and money-raising force that is Ron Paul! 100 internet polls can't be wrong!

All hail Ron Paul!

 

[timhau]

It's Ron Paul's big day! Just think, in 24 hours all other candidates will concede to the unstoppable internet and money-raising force that is Ron Paul! 100 internet polls can't be wrong!

All hail Ron Paul!

For some reason, this post reminds me of The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie.

All hail Plankton.

 

[Brainster]

I will consider entries closed on this contest at noon Eastern time.

 

[Dr Adequate]

Can Wikipedia play?

In a prediction of the May 10, 2008 events in Wyoming, RAPTOR JESUS has taken Iowa. This is not an unprecedented prediction — it is fact. RAPTOR JESUS will be the next president of the United States.

 

[Tsukasa Buddha]

And CBS just interrupted CSI for Huckabee first and then Romney, and Obama leading Clinton.

 

[UserGoogol]

Obama is leading Clinton, but since it's 35% Obama, 31% Clinton, 31% Edwards at the moment with 2% going to Richardson and 1% to Biden (64% of districts reporting) it's a largely meaningless lead. (Although since I like Obama, I'm glad he's nominally winning tonight.)

ETA: Hmm... as the polls finish up, Obama seems to be pulling a bit further ahead with closer to 37:30:30

 

[steverino]

It's looking bad for the beeyatch.

 

[Brainster]

Preliminary results from CNN, pending confirmation of the exact positions of Thompson/McCain and Edwards/Clinton:

Republicans:
1. Huckabee
2. Romney
3. Thompson
4. McCain
5. Paul

Democrats:
1. Obama
2. Edwards
3. Clinton
4. Richardson
5. Biden

70 Points (if these results hold): AndyAndy, Firestone, Faithless, Puppycow.
60 Points (ditto): Mister Agenda, Lefty Sergeant
55 Points (ditto): Brainster, In My Spare Time
50 Points (see above): Richard Masters, Old Tiger Cub, Zen Fountain
45 Points (Yep): TShaitanaku, Steverino

Please feel free to correct me.

 

[WildCat]

I predict that Ron Paul supporters will claim the NWO fixed the Iowa caucas!

 

[Puppycow]

Yep. Except for Huckabee's victory, the ones I got wrong were by a razor-thin margin though.

 

[Richard Masters]

I predict that Ron Paul supporters will claim the NWO fixed the Iowa caucas!

I claim Huckabee got the evangelical vote. Nothing to do with your NWO.

 

[rtalman]

I claim Huckabee got the evangelical vote. Nothing to do with your NWO.

Ron Paul's % of evangelical vote: 10
Ron Paul's % of non-evangelical vote: 11

Source: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21228177

Remove the evangelical vote, Romney wins, Ron Paul still finishes a distant fifth.

 

[Richard Masters]

Ron Paul's % of evangelical vote: 10
Ron Paul's % of non-evangelical vote: 11

Source: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21228177

Remove the evangelical vote, Romney wins, Ron Paul still finishes a distant fifth.

You are right. But still, nothing to do with WildCat's NWO.

 

[Tsukasa Buddha]

Ron Paul's % of evangelical vote: 10
Ron Paul's % of non-evangelical vote: 11

Source: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21228177

Remove the evangelical vote, Romney wins, Ron Paul still finishes a distant fifth.

Race
Category % Total Giuliani Huckabee Hunter McCain Paul Romney Thompson
White 99 3 33 0 13 10 25 14
Black 0 - - - - - - -
Other 1 - - - - - - -

LOL, Paul in all all-way tie for most Black vote .

 

[Richard Masters]

LOL, Paul in all all-way tie for most Black vote .

LOL.