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10 story hole in WTC 7

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Merry Christmas Chris!

I'm amazed by your persistence in this thread.
Merry Christmas to you and yours.

It seems my persistence has had results.

This was my first post on diesel fuel fires:
14th February 2007, 09:01 PM #879
[FONT=&quot]"The risers were in one of the two utility shafts in the west end of the building" [FEMA pg 14]
The SSB supply pipe ran behind a wall [on the 5th floor] that is on the north side of the mechanical room.
ie: a few feet north of the northernmost row of core columns.
[about 100' from the front of the building]
this is the only fuel pipe in the east half of WTC 7

[/FONT] post 1883 pg 48
There was no 'gouge floor 10 to the ground in the middle of WTC 7' as described on pg 18 of the NIST report.

post 1884 pg 48
There were no diesel fuel fires or debris damage in the area of the initiating event.

post 2349 pg 59
The damage to the south west part of WTC 7 did not weaken or have a significant structural effect on the area of the initiating event.


NIST now agrees:

NIST Approach Summary 12 18 07
Page 6:

The working hypothesis is based on an initial local failure caused by normal building fires, not fires from leaking pressurized fuel lines or fuel from day tanks.

No mention of debris damage.
 
Your right, They said that the office contents would be plenty.

Good to see your learning.

Did they?

I would like to see that clear statement written with the "certainty" with which you attribute it?

NIST, to the best of my knowledge, has yet to argue that the WTC7 office furniture fuel sources "would be plenty" sufficient. If so, I'm sure we wouldn't be waiting until July 2008 for them to say so!

Hope to see you do some learning.

MM
 
Did they?

I would like to see that clear statement written with the "certainty" with which you attribute it?

NIST, to the best of my knowledge, has yet to argue that the WTC7 office furniture fuel sources "would be plenty" sufficient. If so, I'm sure we wouldn't be waiting until July 2008 for them to say so!

Hope to see you do some learning.

MM

Recently, Sunder of NIST has said that the fires in WTC7 were "regular office fires" and has ruled out diesel fuel as the source of the fires.

ETA: Just saw your post above saying the same thing.
 
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Did they?

I would like to see that clear statement written with the "certainty" with which you attribute it?

NIST, to the best of my knowledge, has yet to argue that the WTC7 office furniture fuel sources "would be plenty" sufficient. If so, I'm sure we wouldn't be waiting until July 2008 for them to say so!

Hope to see you do some learning.

MM
Why do you care when the report comes out, you won't actually read it.

Are you saying that NIST has not said that fires and damage caused the collapse?

When are you "truthers" going to do some actual research and produce some results. 6 years and nothing is kind of poor.
 
Why do you care when the report comes out, you won't actually read it.

Are you saying that NIST has not said that fires and damage caused the collapse?

When are you "truthers" going to do some actual research and produce some results. 6 years and nothing is kind of poor.
Thar's right. NIST has NOT said that the normal building fires caused the collapse, it's just a "working hypothesis". [set of assumptions]
I have been doing research and found that there is NO evidence to support debris damage or diesel fuel fires in the AIE.

NIST has acknowledged this to be true in the 12 18 07 report.

That's real research and real results.

In case you missed it:

There were NO diesel fuel fires in or near the area of initiating event that led to the implosion of WTC 7.


FEMA 5-28
[emphasis mine]
"Fuel oil was distributed through the 5th floor in a double-wall iron pipe.
A portion of the piping was in close proximity to Truss 1.
However, there is no physical photographic or other evidence to substantiate or refute the discharge of fuel oil from the piping system.

The following is, therefore, a hypothesis based on potential rather than demonstrated fact.
Assume
that the distribution piping system was severed and discharged up to 75 gpm onto the 5th floor in the vicinity of Truss 1."

FEMA 5-29
Although there is no physical evidence available, this hypothesis assumes that it is possible that both the inner and outer pipes were severed


Testimony of Dr. S. Shyam Sunder
Acting Director, Building and Fire Research Laboratory

Page 3 [on page counter]
"One possibility being considered in the NIST working hypothesis....impact......may have resulted in fractures in the fuel piping system..........at the valve box would release fuel under pressure that, if ignited,......."
[pipes would have fractured at the south west generator room where the damage was, not the north east generator room at the opposite end of the building]

Pg 180 [11 on pg counter]
"valve box......near generator #1"

Pg 181
"very near column #79"

i.e. in the NE generator room.

[FEMA 5-14]
The north east generator room was in the NE corner of WTC 7 on the 5th floor.
The supply pipe for the generator room was north of the core area, 90 feet from the south side of the building.
All the other diesel tanks, pumps, supply pipes and generators were in the west half of WTC 7.

[FEMA 5-29]
If the generators were running and the intake/cooling fans were on, the louver vents would be open.

http://img182.imageshack.us/img182/7392/copyofe5asn4.png

If there was a fire in this room, smoke would be pouring out through the cooling air exhaust vents.
If the louvers were closed, a fire would not have sufficient oxygen to burn hot enough to be a factor in the collapse.

The whole thing about fuel oil [diesel] causing Truss 1 to fail is an ASSUMPTION based on nothing!

FEMA 5-31
"Although the total diesel fuel on the premises contained massive potential energy, the best hypothesis has only a low probability of occurrence."

In addition, NIST knew there were no fires in the north east generator room [floor 5].

NIST L-22
From 11:30 a.m. to 2:30 p.m.:
• No diesel smells reported from the exterior, stairwells, or lobby areas
• No signs of fire or smoke were reported below the 6th Floor from the exterior, stairwells or lobby areas


NIST L-26 [sometime after 3]
• The fire on Floor 8 continued to move east on the north face, eventually reaching the northeast corner and moving to the east face.
Around 4:45 p.m.
Floor 12 was burned out by this time.
[no fire on floor 5 reported]

Yet they list it in their summary.

NIST L-51
2. Fires were observed after the collapse of WTC 1. Fires were observed after 2 pm on Floors 7, 8, 9, 11, 12, and 13. Fires were not observed on Floor 5, but this may be due to the lack of windows. The presence of a fuel distribution system and the possibility of damage at the south face from WTC 1 debris impact, indicates that fires may have been present on Floor 5.

The debris impact might have caused a fire in the SW generator room but not the NE generator room.

The possibility of diesel fuel fires in or near the NE generator room had been investigated and there is no evidence to support this hypothesis.

The evidence points the other way.

There was NO probability of diesel fuel fires in that area.


Refrences:
http://www.fema.gov/pdf/library/fema403_ch5.pdf
http://wtc.nist.gov/media/testimony/TestimonySept8_06.pdf
http://wtc.nist.gov/progress_report_june04/appendixl.pdf

********************************************

The damage to the south west part of WTC 7 did not weaken or have a significant effect on the area of the initiating event.


NIST Apx. L pg 36

"If the initiating event was due to damage to the perimeter moment frame, then it would have started along the south or southwest facade."

"Analysis of the global structure indicates that the structure redistributed loads around the severed and damaged areas. Progression of column failure to adjacent columns would have been arrested by the vierendeel of the perimeter moment frame which could span across a sizeable opening due to the strength and stiffness of the frame,"

The report then talks about possible damage to core columns and fires in the area of the initiating event.

pg 37

" I2.1 South facade damaged
> I3.1 Perimeter moment frame redistributes loads around damage
> I4.1 Local failure only"

PG 41

"
If a group of perimeter columns failed, the perimeter framing above this area would have redistributed its loads, due to the redundancy of the moment frame."

pg 42

" Initiating event scenarios from I4.4 to I4.6
> V1.1 Any perimeter column fails
> V2.1 Collapse does not progress vertically"

The report makes no further mention of the damage to the south face.

They site core damage and fires as the possible causes of the initiating event.
 
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Thank you.

You want i should prove a negative now?

I'll rephrase; you have done nothing by way of illustrating or providing evidence that there is a better explanation than a collapse by DD/F.



Observations:
• WTC7 suffered structural damage from WTC1 collapse
• WTC7 was structurally weakened as a result of this damage
• The southwest corner was gouged out from floors 8 to 18
• A large gouge was observed/documented near the center of the south face extending from the roof down to roughly floor 20.
• Additional damage near the center of the south face was reported, the extent of which is unknown due to inconsistent eyewitness accounts and inability of video documentation because of smoke obstruction.

Since you did not respond to these specifically, I assume that you have no problem with their accuracy. (You need not mention that you give them no weight as evidence; its understood.)

• Damage east of center of the south face is unlikely based on available evidence, but cannot be completely ruled out based on the opportunity to observe being obscured by smoke for most of the day

NIST does not claim the debris damage had any effect on the collapse, only that it probably started the fires.
They now say office fires caused the collapse.
http://nasathermalimages.com/images/NIST_NCST_Advisory_Committee_Meeting_12-18-01.mp3

Are they claiming DD had no effect on the collapse? Or on the initiating event? I'm sure you, me, NIST and most everyone on this forum agrees that based on the available evidence, DD in the area of the hypothesized 'initiating event' is unlikely. However, once the initiating event occurred, the debris damage had certainly made the rest of the structure more vulnerable to collapse than it would have been had there been no DD. If you want to make the case that the damaged WTC7 was as strong as an intact WTC7 in its ability to arrest the global collapse that followed the initiating event, I am willing to listen. While I'm no structural engineer, logically, it seems absurd that a heavily damaged building is as strong as an intact building.

• Two elevator cars were reported to have been ejected from their shafts, indicating the possibility of damage to a core column in the area of the initiating event

There are NO elevator shafts in the AIE.
The AIE was columns 79, 80 and 81. Trusses 1 & 2 were on the 6th floor.
A blast big enough to eject 2 elevator cars into the hallway north of the elevator shaft on the 8th floor near column 74, would have destroyed the stairwell and killed Michael Hess and Barry Jenkins.
Therefore, the blast that ejected the elevator cars was further west, nowhere near the AIE.

The NIST report includes columns 76-81 in the AIE, not just 79-81. However, I will revise my assertion appropriately.

• Two elevator cars were reported to have been ejected from their shafts, indicating the possibility of damage to a core column that was adjacent to, but not in, the hypothesized area of the initiating event

• It is possible that additional structural failures/damage occurred inside the building and was not observed

I assume you have no problem with the accuracy of this. (Again, you need not mention that you give them no weight as evidence; its understood.)

• Structural damage in the area of the initiating event is unlikely, based on the available evidence, but, based on the limitations of the available evidence, cannot be ruled out as a possibility.

Yes it can, and has been.
NIST says the IE was due to office fires.

It has not been ruled out. They are not using it as part of their current working IE hypothesis. Admittedly, it is unlikely. However, inferring that they have completely ruled it out as a possibility is incorrect. Not enough evidence was gathered in either direction to definitively state that there was or was not debris damage in the AIE.

• Fires began in WTC7 upon the building being hit by WTC1 debris
• No efforts were conducted to fight fires in WTC7

Again, I assume you have no problem with these.

• Fires were reported by witnesses/firefighters on nearly every floor

At the SW corner

I revise my assertion to 'fires were reported by witnesses/firefighters on nearly every floor, and the greatest number of reports are in regard to the SW corner.'

• Photos/videos verify many (not all) of the eyewitness accounts of fires/fire progression

Assumed to be fine.

• Fires were observed in the area of the initiating event on multiple floors

8, 11, 12 and 13; at different times

Correction by me, 'fires were observed at different times in the AIE on floors 8, 11, 12, and 13.'

• WTC7 stored a large volume of diesel fuel to operate generators in the building
• It is probable that diesel fuel burned in the building, based on comparisons of the volume of fuel missing from the tanks to the amount of fuel found in the soil samples below the rubble
• Based upon the layout of the generator fuel lines, a diesel fuel fire in the area of the initiating event was possible, but the available evidence suggests that it was unlikely

NIST has given up on the diesel fuel fires, it's time you did.

That's not really enough of an argument to make me revise my assertions. NIST has also stated that they've found no evidence in support of a blast/explosives scenario. Is that enough for you to give up on CD?

• Firefighters reported the building to be bulging, leaning, creaking and groaning, and also observed debris falling off the building

Assumed to be accurate.

• Firefighters placed a transit on the building and confirmed the bulging/leaning

Wrong

A guy who works nearby and a fireman, three blocks away thought the building was leaning.
No one at the scene thought WTC 7 was leaning.
Chief Hayden said there was a bulge in the SW corner.
He did not say it was leaning.
NIST did not say it was leaning.
WTC 7 was NOT leaning!

I don't see the point in arguing this one, so I'll just revise my statement to, 'firefighters placed a transit on the building and confirmed the bulging.'

• Senior firefighters on the scene assessed the damage to the building
• Senior firefighters believed that the building’s structural integrity had been compromised and that the building was in danger of collapse (at the time, at least one senior firefighter disagreed with the assessment)
• Senior firefighters established a collapse radius around WTC7 and pulled firefighters outside the possible collapse zone (pulling a number of firefighters away from SAR in the Towers rubble piles)

Their only frame of reference was the Trade Towers that had just claimed the lives of hundreds of their brothers.
None of them had ever seen a high rise building collapse prior to that.
Their actions were prudent given the circumstances but their caution does not equal evidence.

More agreement that the statements are accurate.

• The preponderance of firefighters at GZ on 9/11 have not expressed disagreement with the assessment that WTC7 would collapse
• No firefighters who were at GZ on 9/11 and witnessed the WTC7 collapse have expressed belief that WTC7 collapsed by any means other than DD/F
• Demolition workers began to arrive at GZ by roughly 3PM on 9/11
• No demolition workers who were at GZ on 9/11 and witnessed the WTC7 collapse have expressed belief that WTC7 collapsed by any means other than DD/F
• No witnesses to WTC7 collapsed have reported any characteristics of the event that are not consistent with DD/F

None of that is EVIDENCE.

...and more agreement as to the accuracy of the statements.

• At least one structural engineer has published a report detailing how the observed collapse sequence, theoretically, could have progressed from a single core-column failure
• The report is available online for any experienced structural engineer to either affirm the hypothesis possibility or refute it by showing the errors in either calculations or practical application of principles.

Actually, he did not give any calculations, only speculation.

I will change to, 'the report is available online for any experienced structural engineer to either affirm the hypothesis possibility or refute it by showing the errors in the practical application of principles used to draw the conclusions.'


Looking back, it seems like you and I agree on most of the points, (considering my revisions) and the only things we really can debate are:
1) Whether or not the building was leaning (and who cares, it doesn't matter for any collapse scenario).
2) The difference between something being unlikely and something being impossible, (i.e. diesel fires and debris damage in the AIE)
3) The weight given to the above facts in determining the most likely collapse scenario. (And I think you are giving pretty much all of them a weight of zero.)
 
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No

Whatever

There were fires on floors 8, 11, 12 and 13 in the AIE.

That's all the evidence there is to support the official hypothesis.

Everything else people have listed here is inference not evidence.

You have discounted virtually all of what is known about the collapse of WTC7 as 'not qualifying as evidence' for the DD/F collapse hypothesis, with the exception of the fire timeline in the AIE. Just hypothetically speaking, what would qualify as evidence in this case?
 
Christopher, just looking out for you, as I know you would not want to make definitive assertions without proper foundation, and as such, I've revised the assertions for you.

Merry Christmas to you and yours.

It seems my persistence has had results.

This was my first post on diesel fuel fires:
14th February 2007, 09:01 PM #879
[FONT=&quot]"The risers were in one of the two utility shafts in the west end of the building" [FEMA pg 14]
The SSB supply pipe ran behind a wall [on the 5th floor] that is on the north side of the mechanical room.
ie: a few feet north of the northernmost row of core columns.
[about 100' from the front of the building]
this is the only fuel pipe in the east half of WTC 7

[/FONT] post 1883 pg 48
There was no 'gouge floor 10 to the ground in the middle of WTC 7' as described on pg 18 of the NIST report.

I know you meant, there was no 'gouge floor 10 to the ground in the middle of WTC 7' as described on pg 18 of the NIST report, yet there was definitely damage to the building in that area. Multiple witnesses have described it, yet inconsistencies in reports and lack of photo evidence due to smoke coverage, make it difficult to determine the exact size of the damage area.'

post 1884 pg 48
There were no diesel fuel fires or debris damage in the area of the initiating event.

This should read, 'based on the available evidence, diesel fuel fires or debris damage in the area of the initiating event are unlikely. You should not be making statements of absolute certainty about events in which the certainty cannot possibly be determined.

post 2349 pg 59
The damage to the south west part of WTC 7 did not weaken or have a significant structural effect on the area of the initiating event.

add, ...despite its obvious effect on the overall structural integrity of the building.

NIST now agrees:

NIST Approach Summary 12 18 07
Page 6:

The working hypothesis is based on an initial local failure caused by normal building fires, not fires from leaking pressurized fuel lines or fuel from day tanks.

No mention of debris damage.

Right, they are testing a hypothesis that does not include debris damage and diesel fire in the AIE. You should not infer from that, that they don't believe debris damage and diesel fire did not effect the global collapse that followed the AIE.
 
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<snip>

There were NO diesel fuel fires in or near the area of initiating event that led to the implosion of WTC 7.

It is unlikely. You can even say it was 'highly unlikely' if it makes you feel better. But stating that there were none, when it cannot be proven that there were none, is intellectually dishonest. (And I personally don't think there were any diesel fires in the AIE.) Why do you feel the need to state definitively that these fires were not there, when 'highly unlikely' makes virtually the same argument for you and it is more intellectually honest?

<snip>

The debris impact might have caused a fire in the SW generator room but not the NE generator room.

The possibility of diesel fuel fires in or near the NE generator room had been investigated and there is no evidence to support this hypothesis.

The evidence points the other way.

There was NO probability of diesel fuel fires in that area.

Again, you are weakening the quality of your argument with intellectual dishonesty. Why not say 'low probability' or 'extremely low probability' to give yourself more credibility? Do you understand where terms like 'absolute certainty' and 'absolute impossibility' fit into the world of the physical sciences? They are rarities. While I'm not a scientist, I would bet that those reading this thread would back me up that experimentation almost always results in conclusions that deal in degrees of probability and rarely achieve results that include absolutes. Help me out guys. Do you agree?
 
You have discounted virtually all of what is known about the collapse of WTC7 as 'not qualifying as evidence' for the DD/F collapse hypothesis, with the exception of the fire timeline in the AIE. Just hypothetically speaking, what would qualify as evidence in this case?

Only those items that support his hypothesis.
 
Only those items that support his hypothesis.
You chose to nitpick and babble, at length.

It has been over six years.

Based on all the evidence, NIST has concluded that:

The working hypothesis is based on an initial local failure caused by normal building fires,
not fires from leaking pressurized fuel lines or fuel from day tanks.


It is perfectly clear in this statement that they have ruled out debris damage and diesel fuel fires as contributing factors in the initiating event that LED TO the implosion of WTC7.

Why can't you accept that?
 
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You chose to nitpick and babble, at length.

It has been over six years.

Based on all the evidence, NIST has concluded that:

The working hypothesis is based on an initial local failure caused by normal building fires,
not fires from leaking pressurized fuel lines or fuel from day tanks.


It is perfectly clear in this statement that they have ruled out debris damage and diesel fuel fires as contributing factors in the initiating event that LED TO the implosion of WTC7.

Why can't you accept that?

Since NIST have given a progress report on their WTC 7 investigation I am going to break my silence in this thread.

Personally I have no problem with accepting NIST's latest refinement of the working hypothesis as presented on page 5 in WTC 7 Technical Approach and Status Summary.

But the big question here is if you, Christopher 7, accept the complete working hypothesis as presented by NIST, including the fact that:
[/QUOTE]While NIST has found no evidence of a blast or controlled demolition event, it is evaluating the magnitude of hypothetical blast scenarios that could have led to the structural failure of one or more critical elements.[/QUOTE]

Or are you just cherry picking that bullet point about normal building fires?
 
Ah, so Chris responded to my comment. Ever since he said the diesel pipes couldn't have twisted when I asked him about the concept of a moment arm he's been on ignore.

Chris, what do you mean by, "You chose to nitpick and babble, at length".? Please provide an example.

Oh shoot, sorry, you're on ignore so that won't work. Oh well, go ahead and post the example(s) anyway so the others can see how I nitpick and babble at length.
 
Personally I have no problem with accepting NIST's latest refinement of the working hypothesis as presented on page 5 in WTC 7 Technical Approach and Status Summary.
<subject shift deleted>
are you just cherry picking that bullet point about normal building fires?
Do you understand that the "working hypothesis" is just a set of assumptions that they have not been able to substantiate?

For 7 or 8 months i have been saying that there were no diesel fuel fires in the AIE and the debris damage had no significant structural effect on the AIE.
We debated these issues at length. Few here could accept what the data clearly shows. In November you were still saying that there could have been diesel fuel fires in the AIE despite the FACT that there was no evidence to support that hypothesis.

NIST has now acknowledged that i was right.

They have been analyzing the data for over a year since they started investigating the collapse of WTC7 again.
There was no mention of additional fires in the AIE.
As i have said many times, The fire time line and progression is not going to change.

I have also stated that the fires in the AIE were insufficient to cause a core column weighing over 4 tons per floor to fail.
I have presented evidence to support that statement.

NIST has again postponed the final draft because they still cannot explain how the fires in the AIE could cause a core column to fail.
 
Ah, so Chris responded to my comment. Ever since he said the diesel pipes couldn't have twisted when I asked him about the concept of a moment arm he's been on ignore.

Chris, what do you mean by, "You chose to nitpick and babble, at length".? Please provide an example.

Oh shoot, sorry, you're on ignore so that won't work. Oh well, go ahead and post the example(s) anyway so the others can see how I nitpick and babble at length.
My bad, my apologies. It was GStan nitpicking and babbling.

Your point about diesel pipes is now moot because NIST has stated that "fires from leaking pressurized fuel lines" were not a factor in the initiating event that led to the implosion of WTC7.
 
My bad, my apologies. It was GStan nitpicking and babbling.

Your point about diesel pipes is now moot because NIST has stated that "fires from leaking pressurized fuel lines" were not a factor in the initiating event that led to the implosion of WTC7.

And your totally unsubstantiated point about controlled demolition C7 is also now moot, and have been so since the day WTC 7 collapsed, since NIST has stated repeatedly that:

NIST has seen no evidence that the collapse of WTC 7
was caused by bombs, missiles, or controlled demolition.
NIST April 5, 2005

While NIST has found no evidence of a blast or controlled demolition event, NIST will estimate the magnitudeof hypothetical blast scenarios that could have led to the structural failure of one or more critical elements as a result of blast.
NIST December 14, 2006

􀂉Completed hypothetical blast analysis.
􀂉Completed analysis of 5th floor fire scenarios.
NIST December 18, 2007
Did you see this Christopher7. (For new readers: The 5th floor is the floor where the pressurized diesel fuel fire could have occurred. It is also to be noted that blast scenarios also could be caused by naturally occurring backdraft somewhere in the building)

Based on the above work NIST maintains and narrows the cause of the initiating event in their working hypothesis:
•While NIST has found no evidence of a blast or controlled demolition event, it is evaluating the magnitude of hypothetical blast scenarios that could have led tothe structural failure of one or more critical elements.
•The working hypothesis is based on an initial local failure caused by normal building fires, not fires from leaking pressurized fuel lines or fuel from day tanks.
•This hypothesis may be supported or modified, or new hypotheses may be developed, through the course of the continuing investigation.
NIST December 18, 2007

This is a two way street C7, you can not cherry pick one of NIST's findings while you totally disregard their findings in other areas, that is disregarding without being able to substantiate your reason for doing so in any reasonable manner.
 
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