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Is U.S. education truly getting worse?

Joined
Sep 3, 2005
Messages
21
I hear all the time that the U.S. public school system has deteriorated, and quality of education is worse now than XX years in the past. I am bombarded by damning anecdotes, and nearly swept away with the sincere and fervent emotions of those assaulting a "broken" system. But before I join the chorus of condemnation, I wish to verify my (and others') assumptions. I don't like singing in falsetto.

Here is what I've been able to find so far, plus my concerns about the quality of data.


U.S. Math scores rank very poorly compared to other industrialized countries.
apa.org/monitor/mar05/scores.html (sorry, still can't link)

Concerns: This study has not existed for a long period of time, so the only thing I can see from it is that we currently rank poorly. I cannot infer decreasing quality unless I am given other data to complete the picture. Also, the difference between U.S. and first place is about 10%. Could a dichotomy between low-performing inner-city schools and standard school districts lower our average scores?


Standardized tests - I wasn't able to find any of these that kept the same standards over the past 30 years. One person I know claims that tests are being dumbed down, teachers protesting any version that reveals them to be incompetent.

Concern: absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. I still need more.


Literacy comparisons are slightly more sophisticated anecdotes, at least when I encounter them. Usually they take an example of 19th century writing and compare it with current classroom creations. The difference is vast.

Concern: Isn't there a selection process for which 19th century letters and other works survive? A Civil War documentary would hardly choose an unintelligible letter over one that is poignant, insightful, and eloquent. I can't be sure that these are fair comparisons - not just their best against our worse.


Anecdotes. Yes, anecdotes. But there are so many of them! I have a friend who tells me of his school's multi-million-dollar football stadium, but molding science textbooks. I hear public school science teachers who complain of $200 budgets. My own mother tells me that she never would have learned of World War II had not her father been involved in it. There are so many stories, seemingly a different dozen from each new person I meet.

Concern: These are still just stories, perhaps modified by time, distance, and retelling. Many of these I hear close to source, but in the end I still have no data, no large-scale facts to make quantified judgments on and from.


Conclusion: I have a collection of impressions and data that doesn't tell the whole story. Is this enough to reasonably conclude a declining school system, or is it merely a tower of leaky buckets? Where do I go from here for hard data?
 
/me quietly waiting for someone to post a "I purposely stumped a cashier at Burger King the other day therefore these kids today don't know math" story....
 
Conclusion: I have a collection of impressions and data that doesn't tell the whole story. Is this enough to reasonably conclude a declining school system, or is it merely a tower of leaky buckets? Where do I go from here for hard data?

Quick answer: no, it's not enough.

Here, for example, are some historical SAT scores. The correlation between columns 1 and 4 (time against math scores) is substantially negative (-0.4394), suggesting that average math scores have in fact decreased over time. At the time time, the correlation between columns 1 and 7 is substantially and even more positive (0.7508). So are students getting worse at math, but better at reading?

Beyond that, these statistics don't tell the whole story. More students are college-bound today, so more students (not just the elite) take the tests. Even if the tests stayed identical, a larger and less elite pool would result in overall lower scores simply because more non-elites would be taking the tests.
 
My opinions are more-or-less in agreement with AsleepAtTheKeyboard's. In addition, I'd like to see more emphasis in education on the "Four R's":

1) Reading. People should have reading and comprehension skills that are at least the equivalent grade of their age minus 5 years, or 12th grade, whichever is less.

2) WRiting. This includes basic grammar, spelling, and punctuation. An adult should be able to write an essay explaining a goal, their plan to achieve that goal, and their motivations for achieving that goal. The next step is resumé writing.

3) ARithmentic. An adult should be able to balance a checkbook, set up a budget, and calculate such things as area, volume, proportion, and compund interest.

4) Reason. This is the tough one. IMHO, most adults* do not know how to reach a valid conclusion that is based on available facts. Basic reasoning skills (link) include, but are not limited to:

a) Storage an Retrieval Skills: Common methods of learning and remembering what's been learned.

b) Matching Skills: Includes categorization, extrapolation, analogical reasoning, evaluation of logic (deduction, induction, and fallacies), and evaluation of validity.

c) Executive Procedures: Common methods of inferring non-explicit information. Includes elaboration, problem solving (determining what the real problem is and the most effecive and efficient solution), and composition.

(* - Includes yours truly, now and then.)
 
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And comparisons should be based on countries with equivalent school systems (proportion of students with low SE, mid SE and high SE backgrounds in the system and
proportional per cap spending on education at a minimum). Comparisons with systems that outspend per cap or reduce low end counts of students can't be accurately used - or not to rate the schools as schools anyway- though the total data certainlyl could be used to show the value the governments/population actually place on education.
 
Actually education is getting better in the USA because more and more parents are sending their children to private school or are homeschooling them. Public school is a disaster. Better than nothing maybe.
 
Cainkane1 said:
Actually education is getting better in the USA because more and more parents are sending their children to private school or are homeschooling them.
You trust parents to do a good job homeschooling? Why?

~~ Paul
 
You trust parents to do a good job homeschooling? Why?

~~ Paul
Because two parents obviously know much more about how to teach and the intricacies of the subject areas than people who are merely trained to teach and degreed in the subject areas.

Not to mention that so many people with special political and religious axes to grind are just waiting to help them do that teaching!!:D:rolleyes::jaw-dropp
 
Actually education is getting better in the USA because more and more parents are sending their children to private school or are homeschooling them. Public school is a disaster. Better than nothing maybe.

Statistically, private schools are no better than public. They just have a biased sample of students with better socioeconomic status.
 
Beyond that, these statistics don't tell the whole story. More students are college-bound today, so more students (not just the elite) take the tests. Even if the tests stayed identical, a larger and less elite pool would result in overall lower scores simply because more non-elites would be taking the tests.

This part needs repeating.

Education is not the same now as it was half a century ago. Even in the past twenty years there have been massive changes in educational culture across the globe. Speaking from my own experience in Australia, retention rates have increased, the need for trade qualifications through RTA (registered training authorities) has arisen, educational pathways through vocational education have diversified... to put it bluntly, it's incredibly naive to just compare the numbers and think education has gone downhill.

Please keep in mind I'm not necessarily commenting on the US system, but rather from my perception of the same thing being said of the Australian one.

Retention numbers are the amongst biggest influences on the statistics. Those who dropped out before to find unskilled labour are now encouraged to remain in school and look to developing skills in a trade or practice. A better indicator of education is to look at changes in overall literacy and numeracy rates, not just figures within an education system, as well as changes in skilled labour.

Athon
 
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Quick answer: no, it's not enough.

Here, for example, are some historical SAT scores. The correlation between columns 1 and 4 (time against math scores) is substantially negative (-0.4394), suggesting that average math scores have in fact decreased over time. At the time time, the correlation between columns 1 and 7 is substantially and even more positive (0.7508). So are students getting worse at math, but better at reading?

Beyond that, these statistics don't tell the whole story. More students are college-bound today, so more students (not just the elite) take the tests. Even if the tests stayed identical, a larger and less elite pool would result in overall lower scores simply because more non-elites would be taking the tests.
Great point. Stanovich, in How to think straight about Psychology made the same point when the Reagan people said that HS teacher's salaries were negatively correlated with SATs, state by state. Low salaries in Miss, higher in CA. Lower SATs in CA than Miss.
But in CA at the time, a huge percentage of HS grad had free access to college, while fewer Miss students had any reason to take SATs or even finish HS.
Selection bias, bad data.
I use this example a lot when explaining that correlation doesn't imply______________.
 
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Athon said:
Retention numbers are the amongst biggest influences on the statistics. Those who dropped out before to find unskilled labour are now encouraged to remain in school and look to developing skills in a trade or practice. A better indicator of education is to look at changes in overall literacy and numeracy rates, not just figures within an education system, as well as changes in skilled labour.
Amen, brother!

A kid used to have a lot of choices in life: work on the family farm; apprentice to a tradesman; take over the family business; finish high school and then get a job; go to college; continue on to grad school; become a laborer; become a domestic; get married and have kids.

Now there shall be only one choice: go to college.

~~ Paul
 
You know, as you improve one issue, other areas might trend downward. You reduce your dropout rate, and you lower your overall average test scores. You get more kids into college, you get lower SAT scores.

My high school pulled a stunt in the opposite direction in order to improve scores: they refused to allow anyone except seniors and hand-picked juniors to take the SAT. Yes, it made it harder for people to get experience taking the test, but it sure made the principal happy to "improve" the average test scores.
 
Amen, brother!

A kid used to have a lot of choices in life: work on the family farm; apprentice to a tradesman; take over the family business; finish high school and then get a job; go to college; continue on to grad school; become a laborer; become a domestic; get married and have kids.

Now there shall be only one choice: go to college.

~~ Paul
In reality when they say go to college it doesn't necessairly get rid of the above. I've known and worked with plenty of people who went to college just to get a tradeskill. It's a great idea too because it beats working at McDonalds.
My high school pulled a stunt in the opposite direction in order to improve scores: they refused to allow anyone except seniors and hand-picked juniors to take the SAT. Yes, it made it harder for people to get experience taking the test, but it sure made the principal happy to "improve" the average test scores.
Well there is those PSATs.
 
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Technoextreme said:
In reality when they say go to college it doesn't necessairly get rid of the above. I've known and worked with plenty of people who went to college just to get a tradeskill. It's a great idea too because it beats working at McDonalds.
No, certainly one goes to college for a purpose. But nevertheless, everyone shall go to college.

~~ Paul
 
We may rank poorly in math compared to other countries, but it doesn't appear to have worsened in the past 30 years:

http://lpadev.learningpt.org/gaplibrary/text/mathscores.php

~~ Paul

Couple of things, 1) this really doesn't go back far enough for the predominant anecdotal commentary, which typically refers to US outstripping academic leadership in the 50's and 60's. and 2) this only refers to US students. The anecdotal evidence could still be accurate even if the US has stayed relatively static, provided foriegn students have made tremendous advances in their accomplishments.
 
No, certainly one goes to college for a purpose. But nevertheless, everyone shall go to college.

~~ Paul
Bad analogy alert. Bad analogy alert. Most people go to college to get a tradeskill,work on the family farm, and do a bunch of those other things you listed. Trust me. I know a few family members who went to college just so they could work on a farm. You really can't learn a tradeskill without going to a college/school.
 
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Technoextreme said:
Bad analogy alert. Bad analogy alert. Most people go to college to get a tradeskill,work on the family farm, and do a bunch of those other things you listed. Trust me. I know a few family members who went to college just so they could work on a farm. You really can't learn a tradeskill without going to a college/school.
What does my comment have to do with any analogy?

Anyhoo, I understand your point, but I disagree. People used to do all sorts of things without going to college, certainly including working on the family farm, in the family business, or learning a trade. Remember apprenticeship?

However, perhaps things have gotten so complex these days that everything requires a college education. If that is the case, then we better expect scores to drop, because not everyone has equal talent when it comes to playing the college game.

~~ Paul
 

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