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AIDS (hah)

For one, your misinterpretations of my posts in that thread are examples of your lack of objectivity.

Sorry that I misinterpreted your posts.

If I was biased against infant circumcision per se, the evidence from the African trials and you would not have been able to convince me that it was probably a good idea.

My bias is primarily is against the pain and suffering the infant is put through for such a small absolute risk reduction. Can you think of comparable procedures in this respect parents choose for their child?

My secondary bias is that I believe it is wrong to alter another person's body without their consent unless it's necessary to avoid likely harm.

That's the extent of my bias. The first one can be largely overcome by using effective pain relief.
 
We shouldn't hijack this thread, Ivor. I am 100% against unanesthetized circumcisions and have been since the first time I saw the procedure done in 1976.

There are many elective surgical procedures parents consent to for their children. Parents have the position of making medical decisions for their infants.

That is all I am going to say about that topic in this thread. This is the second thread I have seen you carry the circumcision discussion into. And you don't think you are a bit emotional over the subject?
 
HIV positive infants get sick more often. It is a simple as that.
No: Children born to Mothers who tested positive on an antibody test died more often, but to the same conditions as the controls.

Why, for example, were children of mothers with a positive antibodytest more often suffering from malnutrition, if you assume the positive antibodytest equals HIV seropositivity *and* HIV has a strong detrimental effect on the immune system?
Can you see, now, why you are wrong?
I want you to reproduce the fulltext article for me somewhere, so I can study it a bit. So far with the bits you posted it looks a lot less convincing than the mere abstract that was posted by kelly.

By the way, you asked for "evidence" that HIV inhibits/depresses the immune system. I don't even have to show evidence to that effect: I believe it is sufficient to point out the many sources that I have posted, which make nitrite inhalants the prime candidate for causing Kaposi's Sarcoma. The occurrence of which you probably would equal with a "depressed immune system"... (Semantics *is* important in this field)
 
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Umm... just bopping through this thread, and I haven't read everything in its entirety.

Just curious. Has any HIV/AIDS denialist volunteered to be infected with the HIV virus to prove their point?
Indeed yes, Duesberg volunteered to have himself infected with HIV, but nobody's taken him up on that. Its not like it would prove a lot: He is pretty old and with HIV's latency getting bigger every year...

We'd need 1000's of volunteers.
 
Skeptigirl, at least now I understand your bias. You work in the field, you have given out advice to actually sick people, and you have given death sentences to healthy people. If that all would turn out to be wrong, could you live with yourself? Could you live with the parents of the kid you told was "HIV positive" and killed himself afterwards, knocking on your door and asking for an apology? I mean, you even believe yourself HIV is a death sentence, when the data is fairly clear that there is a significant number of people who live happily ever after being HIV positive. You even believe HIV would be an STD, and display problems coping with evidence to the contrary.
 
In the early 1980ies, the AIDS definition was limited to a small number of diseases such as Kaposi's Sarcoma or Fungal Lung infections which are very rare in otherwise healthy humans. Nowadays, things such as Herpes Simplex (!!!!!) are "AIDS defining diseases" according to the CDC.
Well, even if you put a hiv-positive person in a perfectly sterile envrironment that made the worlds most hygienic surgery ward to look like a garbage dump, the person would eventually die beacuse of the body's own bacterii.
We shouldn't hijack this thread, Ivor. I am 100% against unanesthetized circumcisions and have been since the first time I saw the procedure done in 1976.

There are many elective surgical procedures parents consent to for their children. Parents have the position of making medical decisions for their infants.

That is all I am going to say about that topic in this thread. This is the second thread I have seen you carry the circumcision discussion into. And you don't think you are a bit emotional over the subject?
Combatting hiv with circumcisions are conter-productive as people will misinterpret it and think that they are immortal. And presto! More hiv cases. It's like diet soda + extra dressing = getting fatter.
Indeed yes, Duesberg volunteered to have himself infected with HIV, but nobody's taken him up on that. Its not like it would prove a lot: He is pretty old and with HIV's latency getting bigger every year...

We'd need 1000's of volunteers.
You crazy? Check out Africa where you have millions of involunteers. And I doubt that your volunteers would be of any great help. People crazy enough to voluntary be infected with hiv has problably lots of other "flaws" (too deranged to be of any use as they "escapes" after being infected; thinks that dying in cancer is not sophisticated enough; etc) to be of any use. So check out Africa. Perfectly healthy people in ther prime are dying like flies. Need any more proof?
 
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We'd need 1000's of volunteers.

If there were such a study, would you put your money where your life is and step up?

My research into unbiased discussions of Duesberg on HIV, would suggest to me that his theory has been soundly debunked, and indeed, hasn't seriously been examined for the past 12 years because of the overwhelming evidence contrary.

FWIW - as a participant in the Vanguard project http://cfenet.ubc.ca/vanguard/

I find the group of HIV/AIDS naysayers about as compelling as the homeopathic community...
 
Well, even if you put a hiv-positive person in a perfectly sterile envrironment that made the worlds most hygienic surgery ward to look like a garbage dump, the person would eventually die beacuse of the body's own bacterii.
That has never happened. You are speculating here.
You crazy? Check out Africa where you have millions of involunteers. And I doubt that your volunteers would be of any great help. People crazy enough to voluntary be infected with hiv has problably lots of other "flaws" (too deranged to be of any use as they "escapes" after being infected; thinks that dying in cancer is not sophisticated enough; etc) to be of any use. So check out Africa. Perfectly healthy people in ther prime are dying like flies. Need any more proof?
You haven't read most of the thread, have you? Basically the argument is that in africa, "AIDS" is just an umbrella for diseases which happened already a lot before the HIV scare. People die to these diseases because of malnutrition, lack of education, lack of medical supplies, lack of sanitation, well, basically, these people die of poverty-related disease. But its much better if they die of AIDS because then a huge number of people make huge amounts of money off these people dying.
 
If there were such a study, would you put your money where your life is and step up?
I'd ask for Animal testing first. Though that was already done with the result that SIV/HIV is harmless to primates. Just another test, to be *really* sure before we test it on humans.
My research into unbiased discussions of Duesberg on HIV, would suggest to me that his theory has been soundly debunked, and indeed, hasn't seriously been examined for the past 12 years because of the overwhelming evidence contrary.
It would suggest to a lot of naive people, yes. Reality is that he, and other people of his caliber (i.e. Mullis) never have been soundly debunked, instead theyve been bullied, harassed, declared insane and called names. SCIENCY!
FWIW - as a participant in the Vanguard project http://cfenet.ubc.ca/vanguard/
More reason for you to inform yourself.
I find the group of HIV/AIDS naysayers about as compelling as the homeopathic community...
Homeopathy is basically a traditional enemy on these forums, probably due to Randi himself loving to debunk that nonsense. However a lot of "paper-skeptics" here automatically assume that therefore, everything that the medical establishment produces (in terms of studies) is great. The people who studied circumcision know better.
 
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Indeed yes, Duesberg volunteered to have himself infected with HIV, but nobody's taken him up on that.
Duesberg did indeed make this offer about 10 years ago. he quickly withdrew it when someone offere to call his bluff, saying that no-one could guarantee that the HIV preparation he would be given was pure enough by his criteria to mean there was no possible contamination with any other substance.

:chicken:
 
Duesberg did indeed make this offer about 10 years ago. he quickly withdrew it when someone offere to call his bluff, saying that no-one could guarantee that the HIV preparation he would be given was pure enough by his criteria to mean there was no possible contamination with any other substance.

:chicken:
Source? Who would want to let a "stupid old man" infect himself with HIV?
 
We shouldn't hijack this thread, Ivor. I am 100% against unanesthetized circumcisions and have been since the first time I saw the procedure done in 1976.

There are many elective surgical procedures parents consent to for their children. Parents have the position of making medical decisions for their infants.

That is all I am going to say about that topic in this thread. This is the second thread I have seen you carry the circumcision discussion into. And you don't think you are a bit emotional over the subject?
Wait... you're saying, circumcision is ok with anestesia, and that parents have the right to make this "medical" decision for their infants? How ill-informed are you?
 
It would suggest to a lot of naive people, yes. Reality is that he, and other people of his caliber (i.e. Mullis) never have been soundly debunked, instead theyve been bullied, harassed, declared insane and called names. SCIENCY!
More reason for you to inform yourself.

The majority of the scientific community consider that Duesberg's arguments are the result of cherry-picking of scientific data[1] and selectively ignoring evidence in favour of HIV's role in AIDS.[2] There is broad scientific consensus that the Duesberg hypothesis is incorrect, and that HIV is the cause of AIDS.[3][4][5]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duesberg_hypothesis

Good enough for me.

Bottom line - Lets assume for a moment you're right. HIV doesn't cause AIDS. From a sexuality perspective, what is WRONG with recommending safer sexual practices for men and women of all sexual persuasions? Practicing safer sex makes sense - not just because of HIV/AIDS risks, but protection from a wide range of sexually transmitted diseases.

To suggest that there is a broader conspiracy of pharmaceutical firms wanting to pump people full of AZT and related chemicals simply out of profitmongering is to suggest a conspiracy that rivals well... that of 9/11 conspiracy theorists, Roswell nutbars, or moon-landing faker fans.

The core messages of the 'HIV movement' are: Practice safer sex. If you are an I/V drug user, don't share needles. If you work around biological waste materials, protect yourself. These are harmless messages, and if followed, are effective in preventing HIV infection and a wide range of other infections. The sex-negative education approaches used in the mid-90s are done. I believe there is a much more healthful approach (in North America, and especially Canada, anyways) to handling the issue of HIV. The fact that internationally there is so much more to be done, and the criminal actions of numerous African (and Western) countries is what is appalling here.
 
No: Children born to Mothers who tested positive on an antibody test died more often, but to the same conditions as the controls.

Why, for example, were children of mothers with a positive antibodytest more often suffering from malnutrition, if you assume the positive antibodytest equals HIV seropositivity *and* HIV has a strong detrimental effect on the immune system?

No. The children were also HIV positive. And the cause of death was independantly assigned without any knowledge of HIV status of the infant.

I want you to reproduce the fulltext article for me somewhere, so I can study it a bit. So far with the bits you posted it looks a lot less convincing than the mere abstract that was posted by kelly.

I'm afraid I cannot do that. Access to that paper requires a paid subscription, paid for by my university. If I were to reproduce any more of the paper then what I have already done above, it would boarder on copywrite infringement, which is not something I want my university nor JREF to be associated with. You will have to either a) procure a copy of the article yourself, and/or b) take my word for it.

By the way, you asked for "evidence" that HIV inhibits/depresses the immune system. I don't even have to show evidence to that effect: I believe it is sufficient to point out the many sources that I have posted, which make nitrite inhalants the prime candidate for causing Kaposi's Sarcoma. The occurrence of which you probably would equal with a "depressed immune system"... (Semantics *is* important in this field)

Well, I would far prefer actual evidence, but no matter.

Explain africa with your nitrate inhalant hypothesis, given the paper cited.

Remember: HIV positive children show a marked increase in mortality. HIV negative children show a small increase in mortality, when born of HIV positive mothers.
 
Bottom line - Lets assume for a moment you're right. HIV doesn't cause AIDS. From a sexuality perspective, what is WRONG with recommending safer sexual practices for men and women of all sexual persuasions? Practicing safer sex makes sense - not just because of HIV/AIDS risks, but protection from a wide range of sexually transmitted diseases.
Sexually transmitted diseases such as syphillis usually transmit about once per ~3-4 or so unprotected acts. HIV transmits, at the very best, once in 1000-2000 unprotected acts. Hence, Syphillis, which is a grave, disfiguring and debilitating disease, and increasingly resistent to antibiotics, is a much better reason to practice safer sex.

What's wrong with scaring people into doing the "right thing" for the wrong reasons? What's wrong with attacking iraq for its WMDs and Saddam's involvement in the 9/11 Attacks?

What's wrong with pumping 50-60 billion US$ taxpayer money into HIV/AIDS research, without any real result? What's wrong with scaring an entire generation away from sex, using mortal fear, what's wrong with alienating and scaring the **** out of gays?
To suggest that there is a broader conspiracy of pharmaceutical firms wanting to pump people full of AZT and related chemicals simply out of profitmongering is to suggest a conspiracy that rivals well... that of 9/11 conspiracy theorists, Roswell nutbars, or moon-landing faker fans.
Yeah, I guess it's the bestest, most skeptical approach to just believe everything the government agencies and departments say.
The core messages of the 'HIV movement' are: Practice safer sex. If you are an I/V drug user, don't share needles.
The Drug-AIDS hypothesis basically says: "If you do drugs such as Heroin, your health will suffer"
 
No. The children were also HIV positive. And the cause of death was independantly assigned without any knowledge of HIV status of the infant.
How was the HIV status of the children determined? The cause of death was, largely, assigned by the hospitals.
I'm afraid I cannot do that. Access to that paper requires a paid subscription, paid for by my university. If I were to reproduce any more of the paper then what I have already done above, it would boarder on copywrite infringement, which is not something I want my university nor JREF to be associated with. You will have to either a) procure a copy of the article yourself, and/or b) take my word for it.
Time to read the "Fair Use" provisions in the US copyright laws:
Notwithstanding the provisions of sections 106 and 106A, the fair use of a copyrighted work, including such use by reproduction in copies or phonorecords or by any other means specified by that section, for purposes such as criticism, comment, news reporting, teaching (including multiple copies for classroom use), scholarship, or research, is not an infringement of copyright. In determining whether the use made of a work in any particular case is a fair use the factors to be considered shall include—

1. the purpose and character of the use, including whether such use is of a commercial nature or is for nonprofit educational purposes;
2. the nature of the copyrighted work;
3. the amount and substantiality of the portion used in relation to the copyrighted work as a whole; and
4. the effect of the use upon the potential market for or value of the copyrighted work.
Also, you could just make it available on a hidden website and PM me the URL.
Explain africa with your nitrate inhalant hypothesis, given the paper cited.
Africa has nothing to do with nitrate inhalants or other recreational drugs.
The African AIDS epidemic has only one thing in common with the American/European AIDS epidemic - the name. African AIDS is caused by malnutrition, parasitic infection and poor sanitation. There are no risk groups in Africa, like drug addicts and homosexuals. It is for this reason that African AIDS is equally distributed between the sexes. Moreover, practically no African AIDS patients have pneumocystis pneumonia, dementia or Kaposi's sarcoma - the signal diseases of AIDS in the US and Europe. Above all, African AIDS is diagnosed without even attempting an HIV test, which is too expensive for Africa. Thus there is no scientific evidence for the correlation between HIV and African AIDS, only guesses.
African "AIDS" has nothing to do with First-World "AIDS".
 
I'd ask for Animal testing first. Though that was already done with the result that SIV/HIV is harmless to primates. Just another test, to be *really* sure before we test it on humans.
What sort of test did you have in mind?
ETA: As I posted before SIV from african monkeys is not harmless in Asian macaques.
 
I have failed to find a paper supporting your claim, although I have found a multitude of papers investigating measures to protect macaques from SIV-infection or apparent vaccination attempts.

Edit: Oh, here's something
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/sites/entrez?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=9237701&dopt=Citation said:
Chimeric simian-human immunodeficiency viruses (SHIVs) carrying envelope glycoproteins derived from a T cell-macrophage dual-tropic primary isolate (human immunodeficiency virus type 1 [HIV-1] strain DH12) were constructed. When inoculated into macaque monkeys, SHIV(MD14) carrying simian immunodeficiency virus-derived nef established significantly higher virus loads than did SHIV(MD1), which contains the HIV-1 nef gene. Three patterns of CD4 cell depletion were observed in infected monkeys: exponential and irreversible loss to undetectable levels within 10 weeks of infection; marked reduction during acute infection followed by partial recovery and stabilization (lasting from 10 weeks to > 1 year), with a later decline to undetectable levels in some animals; and a transient loss during acute infection. The induced immunodeficiency was accompanied by CD4 cell counts of < 50 cells/microL and was associated with Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia, cytomegalovirus meningoencephalitis, lymphoid depletion, and thymic atrophy.
Unfortunately, no figures about the actual incidence of each pattern, nor any mention of controls in the abstract. Of course, the "SHIV" pathogen was artificially created and inoculated. which raises the question: Would the results look any different with natural (oral, perinatal or even sexual) transmission of a "wild" SIV-Pathogen?
 
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Didn't say KS didn't exist in Africa. Oh, and please: Apparently you call the nitrite inhalants theory "discredited", care to show some material on that?
We have covered this already. One of the reasons that poppers were dismissed as a cause of Kaposi was because the epidemiology made no sense. It failed to explain why in the 1980s the African continent was being swept with an epidemic of the aggressive disseminating form of Kaposi on the back of HIV-induced immune deficiency.

You have failed to explain why this epidemic occured (and this is the 4th time of asking - ETA, actually the 5th - I see Taffer asked you also!).

Your hypothesis (that poppers cause KS) has failed on multiple criteria. A true scientist would accept the hypothesis is incorrect, and move on to a better model. This is exactly what the orthodox scientific community did in the 1980s with Kaposi and the popper theory. It is now 20 years later - they moved on, and found the real cause. Can't you accept this?

Re AZT doses:
That's 2400mg / day. I remember seeing other sources which talked about 7.5mg/kg per 4 hours, which would make the 4-hour-dose 562mg, and thus the daily dose >3300mg. You can send the 1000$ to the "Dabljuh plasma TV and dope fund", wire transfer data is followed up later.
Close, but no cigar. You said 2500mg, remember? Aside from dose ranging studies, have you any evidence (eg Drug SPCs, studies or published papers where these doses were specifically documented) that AZT was used in this way and in this dose?

Re the Concorde study:
This study compared 2 strategies - early AZT high dose monotherapy versus delayed introduction of AZT (when it was clinically needed). The hypothesis was that AZT might help delay progression to clinical illness if given very early in the course of HIV infection. This strategy showed early (6-12 month) benefits, but this benefit faded as viral resistance for AZT was selected. By 3 years (not 14 months as you claim) there was no statistical difference between the 2 groups.

Read again. Over the course of the 14 month experiment, 8% of the Imm (immediate AZT treatment) group died, but only 6% of the Def (deferred AZT in favour of a Placebo)

The study calls the difference "not statistically difference with a confidence interval of 95%", but with a CI of 90%, it is statistically significant.

:D
Thank you for demonstrating how denialists do objective science, and how easy it is for denialists to do wishful thinking.
The results were not significant at the 95% CI. So you say, "Ah, but they might have been significant at the 90% level"!!

Why not go the whole hog, and say absolutely anything you like might be significant, if only it were tested at the 50% CI interval!! :)

The Concorde study provides unambiguous evidence that AZT does not in itself cause AIDS or do significant harm. People on high dose "toxic doses" of AZT fared just as well (or badly if you prefer) as those on placebo.

Denialists like to claim this study shows HIV drugs are useless. In fact the study shows that monotherapy AZT (which is of proven benefit when given to AIDS patients) provides no specific additional benefit to patients if taken early in the course of HIV infection. AZT caused CD4 counts to rise significantly (again, contrary to your claim) although this benefit was lost once resistance to AZT developed.

Remember this study was financed by the patent holders of AZT and was set up with the goal to market AZT to HIV patients who did not have AIDS symptoms yet, so their interpretation with the result is expected to be... lenient.

Completely wrong again. This study was set up by the Medical Research Council in the UK and its counterpart in France, Inserm. It was run totally independently from Glaxo-Wellcome (or GSK as it is now).

Where do you get your information from ? Is it totally derived from HIV denialist web sites (the usual purveyors of this nonsense)?

I suggest you read a little about AZT monotherapy trials. This is a good starting point, and explains Concorde and the other trials.
Among asymptomatic HIV-infected individuals, several placebo-controlled clinical trials suggest that AZT can delay disease progression for 12 to 24 months but ultimately does not increase survival. Significantly, long-term follow-up of persons participating in these trials, although not showing prolonged benefit of AZT, has never indicated that the drug increases disease progression or mortality (reviewed in McLeod and Hammer, 1992; Sande et al., 1993; Volberding and Graham, 1994). The lack of excess AIDS cases and death in the AZT arms of these large trials effectively rebuts the argument that AZT causes AIDS.
 
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