davidsmith73
Graduate Poster
- Joined
- Jul 25, 2001
- Messages
- 1,697
This from the abstract of the PEAR paper itself:
"
However, over the course of the program there has been a striking diminution of the anomalous yield that appears to be associated with the participants’ growing attention to, and dependence upon, the progressively more detailed descriptor formats and with the corresponding reduction in the content of the accompanying free-response transcripts."
Translation into English: The more rigorous the detailed analysis, the fewer the RV results.
The descriptor formats and correlated drop in results refer to how they collect their data, not the analysis. When they perform their analysisusing binary, tertiary, distributive etc, they find that the method of analysis does not affect the results. Read the paper carefully and I think you'll eventually see what I mean. It's a tough going paper I know.
For example, on Table 5, the remote viewers record their impressions using the distributive method (10 options per question). PEAR then treat this data as if it were collected using either binary, ternary and various distributive methods. From the table, we can see that data collected and analysed using the distributive method got no results. However, if the significant results of the previous binary experiments (tables 1-3) were due to the analysis method then we would expect to see the same artifactual result when the distributive data is treated in the same way. But this does not happen. How do you account for this?
Followed immediately by this statement:
The possibility that increased emphasis on objective quantification of the phenomenon somehow may have inhibited its inherently subjective expression is explored in several contexts, ranging from contemporary signal processing technologies to ancient divination traditions.
Translation into English: Never mind the actual results, we saw what we wanted to see, so there.
I think their use of the phrase "increased emphasis on objective quantification" is not meant to imply that their data collection methods gradually reduced artifactual subjective bias. They were just using more options on their descriptor sheets.
The basis of the commentary in Skepticreport is that PEAR use such obscurant language to hide the obvious results. And they do so not to hide from scientists, but to maintain tenure and support from their private sponsors. Jobs and money...jobs and money...
I thought one of the main points of the article was that the drop in results were due to progressive removal of subjective bias from their analysis. I do not think the results show that at all. Thats not to say the PEAR RV experiments contain no methodological flaws, cos they cleary do such as inadequate randomisation of targets. I just think it does the sceptical position no good by introducing errors like that in the article because it obscures the real issues. And yes, the language of the PEAR people is, ahem, individual, but I don't see that as a real problem.
