• Quick note - the problem with Youtube videos not embedding on the forum appears to have been fixed, thanks to ZiprHead. If you do still see problems let me know.

Lieberman by 12

The latest Quinnipiac University poll, conducted between August 10-14, shows Lieberman leads Democrat Ned Lamont, a wealthy businessman with little political experience who has played on anti-war sentiment, by 53 percent to 41 percent among likely voters in November's election. The Republican candidate Alan Schlesinger drew 4 percent, the poll shows.

OK, so just for sake of argument, let's assume that Lieberman and Lamont are even among democrats (I know Lamont won, but let's just make them even), Second, let's assume that Lamont gets NO support from non-democrats. If that is the case, then it means that Lieberman is out-voting Schlessinger by a margin of 12 - 4%, or 75 - 25 for non-democrats.

What does that tell you about Lieberman if he is that popular among the republicans and independents? Sounds like he's not very democrat, to me.

Making the numbers more realistic only increases the lopsidedness of Lieberman over Schlessinger.
 
OK, so just for sake of argument, let's assume that Lieberman and Lamont are even among democrats (I know Lamont won, but let's just make them even), Second, let's assume that Lamont gets NO support from non-democrats. If that is the case, then it means that Lieberman is out-voting Schlessinger by a margin of 12 - 4%, or 75 - 25 for non-democrats.

What does that tell you about Lieberman if he is that popular among the republicans and independents? Sounds like he's not very democrat, to me.

Making the numbers more realistic only increases the lopsidedness of Lieberman over Schlessinger.

erm...it requires a bit of background on Schlessinger.
 
Now that Lamont has the dem nod, he'll revise, ever so slightly, his stance against. It won't be (or seem to be) a flip-flop, he'll just clarify his position a tiny bit...just enough to tighten up the poll numbers.
You mean like this?

When it comes to universal health care for everybody in this country as a basic right, that's a principle of the Democratic Party that Sen. Lieberman has never quite embraced. He's come up with tax incentives for businesses to see if they might be a little more inclined to insure their people. So he generally has not embraced a lot of the Democratic goals and certainly the Democratic methods to achieving where we want to go.
Ned Lamont, interview in The Wall Street Journal, May 13, 2006

[FONT=Verdana, Times]That's why I believe in an employer-based health-care system that covers everyone, and providing tax benefits to small businesses so they can provide insurance without risking bankruptcy.[/FONT]
Ned Lamont, op-ed in The Wall Street Journal, August 16, 2006

Emphases mine. I'm sure there's a difference between tax incentives (= bad!) and tax benefits (= good!).
 
You mean like this?

Ned Lamont, interview in The Wall Street Journal, May 13, 2006

Ned Lamont, op-ed in The Wall Street Journal, August 16, 2006

Emphases mine. I'm sure there's a difference between tax incentives (= bad!) and tax benefits (= good!).
Did you notice that the statements are not at all inconsistent? In the first, he's criticizing Lieberman for Lieberman's lack of committment to universal health care, and willingness to apply tax incentives to encourage voluntary health coverage as a compromise position.

In the second, he's saying that he supports universal health care ("an employer-based health-care system that covers everyone"), and that he favors tax benefits along with the universal system in order to soften the blow to employers.

Where's the inconsistency?
 
James, of COURSE they are not inconsistant. And when he makes his next statement on this issue, it will NOT be inconsistant with the last statement.

Your job is to take his FIRST statement and compare it with his LAST statement.

p.s. don't think that I don't know that both sides do this...it is necessary to win.
 
erm...it requires a bit of background on Schlessinger.

What requires background on Schlessinger?

I just took the poll results and estimated that Lieberman is favored to Schlessinger by more than 3/1 by non-democrats.

Therefore, Lieberman is much more popular than the republican Schlessinger by non-democrats, and that includes republicans.

If Lieberman is a democrat, why do republicans love him so much, even compared to republican candidates?
 
If Lieberman is a democrat, why do republicans love him so much, even compared to republican candidates?

I'm not crazy about Lieberman, but I imagine that at least part of it is that everyone knows the Republican nominee has no chance of winning, and Republican voters view Lieberman as, at least, a lesser evil. They also realize that if they back him, he'll beat Lamont easily.
 
I'm not crazy about Lieberman, but I imagine that at least part of it is that everyone knows the Republican nominee has no chance of winning, and Republican voters view Lieberman as, at least, a lesser evil. They also realize that if they back him, he'll beat Lamont easily.

That's really the key point. Were a Regan running, the numbers would be quite different.
 
2) Leiberman lost on one issue, and one issue alone, the war.
This is the conventional wisdom on the right but I think it is utterly wrong. I'll give you two additional examples where Leiberman and Lamont are wide apart and that are important election issues.

1) Leiberman was a toady for the Cheney enerby policy. Lamont has been adament that the current policy is crap.

2) Leiberman was a toady for the Shrub administration on the Schaivo affair. Lamont has staked out a position that personal decisions are not in the perview of the federal government. This affair is symbolic of how much intrusion by the federal government should be allowed.
 
This is the conventional wisdom on the right but I think it is utterly wrong. I'll give you two additional examples where Leiberman and Lamont are wide apart and that are important election issues.

1) Leiberman was a toady for the Cheney enerby policy. Lamont has been adament that the current policy is crap.

2) Leiberman was a toady for the Shrub administration on the Schaivo affair. Lamont has staked out a position that personal decisions are not in the perview of the federal government. This affair is symbolic of how much intrusion by the federal government should be allowed.

Okay. Let's see how it goes. I mean, really, did these really enter the minds of the Dem-nominators (those that voted)? I think not, except maybe as a very mild supporting factor. I don't live in that state so I don't have the feel that you do.

No, I maintain that if Leiberman had held, or switched to (which he is not prone to do) an anti-war stance, he'd have won the nod very, very easily against Lamont. Just my opinion.

The fact that he did not, would not, even in the face of loss within his party, raised his standing among republicans...and conservatives in general (such as myself), very greatly.

Charactor really is the most important factor to me. I can speak for no other. Keep in mind that I personally belive (right or wrong) that Leiberman is far-far more liberal than Lamont on every single other issue. I think the political swing would end up right, not left, with Lamont's election.

But...alas...I find he has no charactor...or at least less than that of Leiberman (no politician has any real charactor, else they would not be politician.)

I'm trying to look at this from a non-personal view, however. I think my past analysis holds true.

My crystal ball says Leiberman by 3% in the final outcome.
 
Last edited:
I know; the Democrats have a proud history of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory...
Like in the pres/vp contest of 2000?

Speaking of which... Funny how so many of our friends of the rightish persuasion are singing songs of glad tidings for Joey L., considering how he was branded as "Loserman" by pretty much those same charmers back then.
 
I'd be interested in your fleshing out this opinion.

Not much to flesh out. It seems to me that once Clinton left, the Democrats have suffered a critical lack of leadership. Bush was able to win both elections because the Dems put up terrible candidates.

Gore had all the advantages any Presidential candidate could want. He could bask in the glory of all Clinton's accomplishments yet still stay away from the scandal. He was part of the administration that finally balanced that budget and had a dynamite economy on top of that. Too bad he was so damned boring. Just boring enough that the public felt like giving the other side a try…what harm could it do?

Gore could be seen as just bad luck for the Democrats. After all, it wasn’t as though they really had a choice in who to nominate. Besides, he came really close to winning.

Kerry was just the worst choice imaginable. I voted for him, he’s my party, but I hated doing it. In the middle of a war, did the dems really think America would go for some 70’s anti-war hippie? It’s hard to imagine them being that stupid, but they were. The honest truth is in that election, America went for the lesser of two evils as they saw it. By that time they already knew Bush was an idiot, but they knew at least he was an idiot who would fight the WOT, not surrender it.

Two years later the Dems still don’t have any clear message on what they stand for other than we’re not Bushitlerhaliburton!! Now it seems instead of trying to develop a message, they’re turning on their own. Instead of figuring out how to beat the Republicans, they’re conducting purges.
 
Okay. Let's see how it goes. I mean, really, did these really enter the minds of the Dem-nominators (those that voted)? I think not, except maybe as a very mild supporting factor. I don't live in that state so I don't have the feel that you do.
First off, I have no more insight into the minds of Conn Dems than you do, Rob. I was merely reacting to your assertion that, "Leiberman lost on one issue, and one issue alone, the war." (my emphasis) I provided some evidence that this assertion might be false. I cannot assert anything more than that "might".

No, I maintain that if Leiberman had held, or switched to (which he is not prone to do) an anti-war stance, he'd have won the nod very, very easily against Lamont. Just my opinion.
Actually, I agree with you.

The fact that he did not, would not, even in the face of loss within his party, raised his standing among republicans...and conservatives in general (such as myself), very greatly.
I understand what you are saying...that steadfastness in the service of one's position is an admirable quality. That said, I would challenge you (as a representative of conservatives) with these two points:

During the Clinton years, the Rep mantra was "character counts". For example, Michael Reagan (the talk show host) would go on day after day about how you "cannot separate the man from the job" and he was just one of the chorus of those on the right. This was not only in reference to his Lewinski fling, but also (sometimes vehemently) in reference to his supposed drug use.

But then along came Shrub and Cheney...having four DUIs between them and Shrub having four citations for insider trading. Where, Rob, was the "character counts" mantra? Can you justify this sliding scale of "character counts" that seems to depend on whether the person being judged is a friend or foe?

Secondly, sure steadfastness is an admirable quality...but it can also be viewed as stubborn denial of a changing reality. Let's take it as given that Joe's original support for the war was a principled stand. No problem.

But the premises for the war have proven to be false. The execution of the war has proven to be a disaster. The conduct of the war (torture, civilian deaths, etc.) has also proven to be a disaster. At some point, one would hope that your admiration for Joe's steadfastness would morph into a disdain for his refusal to recognize the changed reality. Clearly the Bush administration has also been unwilling to recognize this changed reality. At what point, Rob, does steadfastness become denial?

But...alas...I find he has no charactor...or at least less than that of Leiberman (no politician has any real charactor, else they would not be politician.)
Aw c'mon Rob. "No" politician has any real character? Not the conservative's hero Reagan? That is an awful condemnation of lots of people who are politicians at the local, state and federal levels who are in it on both sides of the aisle because they truly want to improve the lot of us all and who want a better country. That is waaay to broad a brush.

But with respect to Lamont/Lieberman, why would you think Lamont has less character than Lieberman. After all, Lamont should be the absolute darling of the conservatives. He is a successful businessman who created a profitable company and provided jobs for Americans. He innovated at the technoligical edge. He has (I presume) operated within the confines of the law while creating the great American, capitalistic dream career.

So, Rob, on what basis do you assess Lamont's character to be found wanting with respect to that of Lieberman's?

My crystal ball says Leiberman by 3% in the final outcome.
My crystal ball ... is filled with 2% non-fat milk.
 
Last edited:
<snip> ...Now it seems instead of trying to develop a message, they’re turning on their own. Instead of figuring out how to beat the Republicans, they’re conducting purges.
The <snip> contains some interesting points, some of which I agree with. But they are not germane to the issue at hand.

Mycroft, a primary election is exactly for the purpose of determining who the Democratic or Republican candidate will be for the final election. If you think that rejecting the sitting incumbent constitutes a "turning on their own" then why have a primary at all? Based on what you have written, you think the incumbent should automatically get the nod?

Also, why do you use the loaded language "purge". Lieberman did NOT get purged. He is still a Dem. He is just not the party's nominee for the senate seat. How in the world does that constitute a purge?
 
An independent's view:

Who knows how independents will vote. That's why they're independents. But I am an independent, and I'm here to tell you that Lieberman's strategy sticks in my craw. He's an independent through convenience only, jumping to that status when the system he benefited from for two decades didn't give him the results he thought he deserved. Personally I would love it if there were more independent political candidates; I pretty much despise the idea of political parties on principle. But if you're going to be independent, then be independent -- don't be independent when it's useful to you and then go back to being a party member when it comes time to get your committee assignments, as Lieberman has already made clear he would. As an independent, I say: Screw you, you insincere schmuck.

And as for the Democrats, well. Lieberman's already baldly stated that the Democratic voters of his state couldn't have possibly meant not to vote for him, which is why he's graciously going to give them a chance to vote for him again in November. I sincerely doubt, had Lieberman won last night, that he would have been sanguine about Lamont turning around and declaring himself an "independent Democrat," so in addition to being a loser, Lieberman's also a hypocrite, and evidently of the opinion that his incumbency is more important than the processes of the democratic (small d) system. If the Democrats have any brains at all, they will quickly and loudly support Lamont as the legitimate and only Democratic candidate, and politely but firmly work to minimize Lieberman's support among core Democrats. Whether they do this is another matter entirely, as I've said before, I've always been impressed by the ability of the Democrats to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
 
Two years later the Dems still don’t have any clear message on what they stand for other than we’re not Bushitlerhaliburton!! Now it seems instead of trying to develop a message, they’re turning on their own. Instead of figuring out how to beat the Republicans, they’re conducting purges.

Not being BushHitlelhaliburton seems to me like a pretty good message. Bushheitlerhaliburton have made such a mess of things that it is almost an anything but determiniation...which is why stay the course falls flat...when you've driven the car into the tree and it can't go any further, stay the course seems like a pretty bad idea.

By they way, political parties purge....that is the nature of a Political Party. Maybe Leiberman is now a Republican (the White House seems to think it possible) so maybe it is time he outed himself and moved on. But, Lamont got more people who ID themselves as Democrats to vote for him, in the process, that may seem a purge, but Leiberman has no right to either the party nomination or the Senate seat. He has to earn them...and a majority of Democrats, at least, seem to think he should be fired.

In the end, Leiberman may pull it off and win the seat as an "indipendent"...running for it as such is certainly his right...but I hope the new "bi-partisan" Joe will at least articulate why staying the course is a sound policy...I mean, the car is stuck on the tree, the driver is drunk, the passengers are hurt, and the road is about 200 meters behind the accident.
 
Do registered independents automatically (or near enough) pull the lever for the guy who runs as an independent, even though two seconds ago he was a Democrat?

Hard to say. Many registered Republicans and Democrats vote simply for the party line, rather then the candidate, but one would think independents are different.

The whole idea of being an independent voter is not towing the party line.
 
Not being BushHitlelhaliburton seems to me like a pretty good message. Bushheitlerhaliburton have made such a mess of things that it is almost an anything but determiniation...which is why stay the course falls flat...when you've driven the car into the tree and it can't go any further, stay the course seems like a pretty bad idea.

I heard an interesting statement on Chris Matthews the other night. Something like, "The debate about how best to secure our country against terrorism continues..."

Now, this seems like a pretty innocent remark, but if you think about it, there are some serious implications there.

All along, Republicans have been touted, and people have bought, that they are the ones to count on when it comes to our defense against terrorists. But after 6.5 years of a republican administration, and 5 years after Sept 11, we are still debating the best way to secure our country? The only reason we would be debating it is if there were doubts about the effectiveness of the current procedures. IOW, acknowledging that we are debating this issue is a blatent admission that the Republican approach is not working well.

If the Republicans know so well about how to defend the country, then why are we debating their policies 6 years later?
 

Back
Top Bottom