Venom
Philosopher
We could also ask can Democrats concede on immigration?
The conventional wisdom among the American left is making too many concessions makes Democrats look like Republicans without actually gaining Republican support, so Democrats gain little from moderating their stances. I think immigration is a strong exception.
As you may know the Left wasn’t always pro-immigration/amnesty/open borders. Liberals and socialists alike generally opposed immigration since the early 20th century, concerned that an influx of foreign workers would depress wages and they criticized the big business lobby fighting to bring them in. Until fairly recently you could see Democrats like Chuck Schumer and Bernie Sanders using similar language, though by the late 2000s they were both receptive to amnesty for illegals. Chuck Schumer went from refusing to even use the term “undocumented worker” to fighting for amnesty for 11 million of them.
Looking at demographics, the Pew Research Center says about 44 percent of Democratic party voters are nonwhite. The vast majority are not recent immigrants, but a sizeable chunk of Hispanics and Asians are second-generation immigrants. And younger voters lean Democrat.
I think there is an opportunity to steal a good chunk of the populist Right by doing the usual lefty progressive stuff + closed borders and deportations. Democrats could be favored in every election cycle for the next several decades. I’ve always believed that economic anxiety was subordinate to white anxiety in the 2016 presidential election. The Old Left would have exploited the situation immediately.
But is the motivation there today? Will immigrants and their descendants go along with it? I’m not sure they can. I think the leftwing of the Democratic party (Left progressives, DSA, etc) is stuck with a multiracial coalition who may not be all that ideological and not enthusiastic about class conflict. But it’s tough for the ideologues to openly reject them.
The conventional wisdom among the American left is making too many concessions makes Democrats look like Republicans without actually gaining Republican support, so Democrats gain little from moderating their stances. I think immigration is a strong exception.
As you may know the Left wasn’t always pro-immigration/amnesty/open borders. Liberals and socialists alike generally opposed immigration since the early 20th century, concerned that an influx of foreign workers would depress wages and they criticized the big business lobby fighting to bring them in. Until fairly recently you could see Democrats like Chuck Schumer and Bernie Sanders using similar language, though by the late 2000s they were both receptive to amnesty for illegals. Chuck Schumer went from refusing to even use the term “undocumented worker” to fighting for amnesty for 11 million of them.
Looking at demographics, the Pew Research Center says about 44 percent of Democratic party voters are nonwhite. The vast majority are not recent immigrants, but a sizeable chunk of Hispanics and Asians are second-generation immigrants. And younger voters lean Democrat.
I think there is an opportunity to steal a good chunk of the populist Right by doing the usual lefty progressive stuff + closed borders and deportations. Democrats could be favored in every election cycle for the next several decades. I’ve always believed that economic anxiety was subordinate to white anxiety in the 2016 presidential election. The Old Left would have exploited the situation immediately.
But is the motivation there today? Will immigrants and their descendants go along with it? I’m not sure they can. I think the leftwing of the Democratic party (Left progressives, DSA, etc) is stuck with a multiracial coalition who may not be all that ideological and not enthusiastic about class conflict. But it’s tough for the ideologues to openly reject them.