I mentioned before that I was open-minded about him running those marathons.
I also dug up some of those blog posts in the thread and posted about them here which I consider to be much better evidence than the articles in the paper. She seems to have found more than I had, particularly with pictures.
I’m more dubious about the hairline fracture from marathon 20 onwards. I can’t say what that would be like because I have never had an injury like that, but most independent sources that I have seen are skeptical to say the least and claim he would be in a lot of pain.
I agree - I thought we were all more or less in agreement that it seems plausible that Arday ran 30 consecutive days of marathon-length distance. They were a PE teacher, after all, one would expect they'd be in great shape and probably participate in a sport on their own time.
It's the implied lie that gets scrutiny - that Arday
competed in 30 marathons in 30 consequtive days (or 35? whatever, I don't think that matters) with the last of them
being on a fractured leg.
You what I could give a pass to? If Arday had claimed that they essentially ran 30 marathons in a row, and by the end of it they had a hairline fracture. That would be entirely plausible, and even seems likely. If that's what Arday actually said in their interviews or book... then I'll give that a pass. But otherwise, nobody cares about the count. It's not the number being run that people take issue with. It's the unspoken implication of competition and the embellishment for sympathy of their injury. If someone gained some degree of media acclaim for doing 5 competitive marathons in a row and the last two of them on a hairline fracture, and then was found to have been dishonest, people would be angry.
Maybe not as many people... but the reason it's fewer people is because 5 is a much more plausible number of marathons. I think most of us would assume that more than half of the PE teachers in the country would be able to do 5 marathons in a row, and while running on a hairline fracture hurts a whole lot... it's still possible to do for a while, especially if someone is very driven and can tolerate the pain. Maybe someone in prime condition would be able to compensate for and tolerate the pain for two races, it seems like it would hurt, but it doesn't seem absurd on its face. So a lot more people would think that the lie was one that was reasonably likely to not raise eyebrows - it's reasonably likely that it's very plausible and not out of the range of reasonable, so it wouldn't really be shocking, just interesting.
So when we find out someone lied about that plausible and reasonably likely thing, we can understand that happening. When the lie is something that seems extraordinarily unlikely to an extent that any reasonable person would be skeptical... well, that's either shamefully embarrassing and a blow to Cambridge's reputation for judgement or Cambridge was to some extent complicit in the events that unfolded which is a blow to Cambdridge's reputation.