"Direct and circumstantial evidence are two fundamental types of evidence used in legal proceedings. Direct evidence links directly to material facts, such as eyewitness testimony or recordings of a crime, meaning it does not require any inference to establish a connection to the case. For instance, if a witness sees a suspect strike a victim, that testimony is direct evidence of the act. In contrast, circumstantial evidence requires the drawing of inferences to connect it to a material issue. For example, a credit card receipt showing the purchase of a baseball bat might indicate that the suspect bought the weapon, but it does not directly prove that they used it to strike the victim."
link.
Classifying evidence as direct or circumstantial does not necessarily imply anything about the weight of the evidence. "You should consider both kinds of evidence. As a general rule, the law makes no distinction between the weight to be given to either direct or circumstantial evidence
. It is for you to decide how much weight to give to any evidence."
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I addressed comment #713 on page 36 of this thread to you. My comment was a summary of many examples of flawed eyewitness testimony, and citations were given in earlier comments. The problems of the eyewitness testimony in this case include but are not limited to shortness in time that the witness saw Luke, the fact that many of these people were strangers to Luke, and contamination of the identification process. Witness certainty is not a proxy for witness accuracy, as we have discussed several times in this thread.
Re paragraphs 1&2 -- you're telling me things I already know (and what most people know).
Re paragraph 3 -- you make some very valid points. However, we're not talking merely 1 or 2 witnesses who said they were certain it was LM they saw that day between 1655-1820 ... we're talking 7 (ie, Andrina Bryson; LF & RW; the 3 pushbike boys, GE, DH & AH; and the Scottish Executive employee Carol Heatlie)! All 7 of them were sure it was him and 2 of the pushbike boys knew LM personally and confirmed categorically it was him. So, Chris, you think all 7 of them were mistaken? Do you seriously think all 7 seeing him -- and all 7 certain it was him -- was coincidental? I don't think so! Let's look at it yet again: LF & RW were always consistent in saying a boy in a dull green, thigh-length parka with straggly hair was on their left hand side as they drove past him at 1740ish and was leaning against a wooden gate (subsequently replaced with a steel gate a few years after 2003), looking up to no good and looking cheesed off; these 2 women said they were sure it was LM that day after seeing his picture in the Daily Record on 15.08.03 (15.08.03 was the very first day Luke Mitchell's photo was published in the media, and it's very significant that these 2 women recognised him immediately as the boy they had seen that day; no hesitation in identifying him whatsoever, both women saying right away "oh, it's him" once they saw that newspaper photo -- just the same as Andrina Bryson said it was definitely him after seeing the same photo). LF & RW identified LM that day and in court. Forget SL's waffle about the jogger, for that is all it is -- waffle! It holds no weight; it's deflection away from the true facts to try and sow seeds of doubt into those not intimately informed about the case. We move on to the next eye witnesses, the 3 pushbike boys (2 of whom knew LM personally) who saw LM at the entrance to Barondale Cottages at 1755ish; again, these 3 saw him standing alone, and said it was weird he was just standing there by himself. Just like it struck LF & RW as being weird seeing a solitary boy on a busy semi-rural road, the road not ever really being used by pedestrians let alone a young teenage boy leaning against a wooden gate avoiding eye contact with people passing in cars! These 3 boys identified LM that day and in court -- even the boy who didn't know LM (Andrew Holburn); the next witnesses were the couple (Marion O'Sullivan & Derek Hamilton) driving home from Dalkeith who passed the NB Rd at just before 1800. They saw a male who, to them, "looked suspicious", standing at an entrance to a driveway (ie, Barondale Cottages). Now, in court, these 2 said it definitely wasn't LM, but obviously were mistaken. How do we know they were mistaken? For 2 pushbike boys who knew him personally cycled past him at the exact same time as they did and saw him at the exact same location as they did (or minutes either side of their sighting)! The reason they said it wasn't him, we can infer, was because of how much he'd changed from their sighting on 30.06.03 and their court appearance on December 2004 (18 months had elapsed and LM was still developing and going through puberty, and his hair was longer and in a ponytail in court on December 2004); the next witness was Carol Heatlie. This woman saw a lad at Barondale Cottages at 1805ish and, like the other eye witnesses, said he looked "suspicious". CH, because this lad was looking suspicious, slowed her car down to try and get a look at him. Once she did that, he retreated further back into that driveway and tilted his head to the side and looked at the ground, avoiding eye contact with her. CH said the photos in newspapers of the lad and his tv appearance in August/September 2003 looked "very, very like" the lad she had seen on 30.06.03, and when asked in court if she could identify him, she said the lad in the dock between 2 officers looked "similar". She was simply being honest, like Andrina Bryson was, with the 'similar' comment because of how much LM had changed by that point.
So, you see, as I've highlighted in the above paragraph, common sense/Occam's razor tells us that it was Luke Mitchell they all saw; out of the 9 road witnesses, 7 said they were in no doubt it was LM they saw. We know that as 2 boys knew him personally and positively id'd him twice (at the time of the original sighting at 1755ish on 30.06.03, and at their court testimony on 02.12.04). Also, not one of the aforementioned eye witnesses said there was another person on the road that day -- certainly not another lad similar in age to Luke Mitchell and certainly not someone who looked like Luke Mitchell. MO & DH, I think, said they weren't sure initially when the police visited them about their sighting. They only said in court it wasn't him because of how much he'd changed; this is common sense, for it was categorically LM they'd seen, and LM had changed a lot in the 18-month period between their initial sighting and their court appearance (their court testimony has yet to be uploaded to the public domain, so it will be interesting to read that). And then we can apply those 20 juicy adminicles of circumstantial evidence I posted upthread that were used to convict LM and it really all does tie in. Compelling circumstantial evidence that even Donald Findlay couldn't weaken. I should also mention the fact that about a quarter of the transcripts have yet to be uploaded to the public domain (transcripts that I've no doubt contain more damning evidence against LM); that's about another 25-30 court testimonies.
I've already highlighted many times why I think he's guilty. We can start off with a couple of big clues: Jodi was grounded at that point until 1800 (her grounding began in May 2003 for dogging school); Judith unexpectedly lifted her grounding when she arrived home from school on 30.06.03; Jodi texted LM at 1634 to say she was allowed out before 1800; they were going to be meeting after 1800 that night anyway, so she obviously wanted to meet him before this;
is it a coincidence that on the day Jodi wanted to meet with Luke before 1800 a woman uknown to he & Jodi saw a youth she was 'as sure as she could be was him" at 1655 with a girl who fitted Jodi's description at a place they commonly met up, especially as we know for a fact from Allen Ovens's testimony that Jodi left her house in Parkhead Place in Easthouses at 1650 to go and meet him and him only ??