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Ed Israel/US Attacks Iran /Yet Another Country/Iran

Because we used B2's instead of B-52s? I don't get it. Other than the fact that Trump is president, how is this NOT what you wanted, if you've wanted us to bomb Tehran from the start?
Because we just can't bomb a country out of the blue, or in this case, on a whim. Armed conflict should come after a long chain of events wherein we give our adversary a chance to address our grievances, and we have a chance to address theirs. Find common ground, and work from there, But if our adversary doesn't negotiate, or continues hostile activities, we then lay out our threats of military action, seek at least tacit international approval (at least from key allies), and work toward a strike window where everyone has stockpiles of fuel, weapons, goods, etc before going full-tilt boogie on the bad guys.

Trump literally pulled this operation out of his butt.

And it has not been executed according to the long established plans for a conflict with Iran. Trump has no clue about what he's doing, and he is not listening to any objective reports from the Pentagon and CIA about the results thus far.

Killing Iran's leadership = Good.
Degrading their military = Good
Crippling their "nuclear program" = Good

But it's been done wrong, without any justification, and without any thought about the long term political consequences both foreign and domestic. Like Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan this is another case where we win all the battles, but loose in the long term. I mean, how do we get our credibility back? What's the time-frame for regaining trust on the international stage? 10 years? 30 years? A century?
 
none of what Trump has done in Iran matters, good or bad, because in the process, Trump has THRICE pissed away any credibility the US had at negotiations. Because of Trump it will take a long, long time and a lot of effort for the US to regain any trust that it will negotiate in honest faith and intends to keep to its commitments.
Because of this, the US is in no position to negotiate bilaterally anymore, requiring some third party the US can't just ignore as guarantor.

Trump's way of doing things has weaken the US tremendously, diplomatically and militarily.
It has chosen to follow Israel on its path to Pariah Statehood.
 
i see a bit of a pattern where it's always on a weekend. friday he announces good news and the market rallies, it unravels over the weekend, and the market opens way down.

It's an amazing coincidence that within 30 minutes before a positive announcement is made, somebody buys massive contracts on oil.

$760M yesterday.

Pity the MDC is no more - that guy must be psychic.
 
It's an amazing coincidence that within 30 minutes before a positive announcement is made, somebody buys massive contracts on oil.

$760M yesterday.

Pity the MDC is no more - that guy must be psychic.
MDC is chicken feed.

The whole point of making whiplash decisions in this war is to make hundreds of millions of dollars. It is war profiteering the likes of which nobody has ever seen before.
 
Ossoff: On day 10 of the war, the president said the war is “very complete.” Then, day 11: “going to be finished very quickly.” Day 12: “we won.” Day 21: “getting very close.” Day 32: “leaving very soon.” Day 40: “total and complete victory.”

Yesterday, Trump said Iran had opened the strait—except this morning, the strait was closed, and it looks like Iran hit a cargo ship.

Video in link
 
Because we just can't bomb a country out of the blue, or in this case, on a whim. Armed conflict should come after a long chain of events wherein we give our adversary a chance to address our grievances, and we have a chance to address theirs. Find common ground, and work from there, But if our adversary doesn't negotiate, or continues hostile activities, we then lay out our threats of military action, seek at least tacit international approval (at least from key allies), and work toward a strike window where everyone has stockpiles of fuel, weapons, goods, etc before going full-tilt boogie on the bad guys.

Trump literally pulled this operation out of his butt.

And it has not been executed according to the long established plans for a conflict with Iran. Trump has no clue about what he's doing, and he is not listening to any objective reports from the Pentagon and CIA about the results thus far.

Killing Iran's leadership = Good.
Degrading their military = Good
Crippling their "nuclear program" = Good

But it's been done wrong, without any justification, and without any thought about the long term political consequences both foreign and domestic. Like Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan this is another case where we win all the battles, but loose in the long term. I mean, how do we get our credibility back? What's the time-frame for regaining trust on the international stage? 10 years? 30 years? A century?
Following WW2 it was agreed that war had to be either self defence in response to an attack or agreed by the UN. A surprisingly large number of wars have been agreed by the UN. The US failed to attempt to gain international approval or indeed any of its allies other than Israel.
 
none of what Trump has done in Iran matters, good or bad, because in the process, Trump has THRICE pissed away any credibility the US had at negotiations. Because of Trump it will take a long, long time and a lot of effort for the US to regain any trust that it will negotiate in honest faith and intends to keep to its commitments.
Because of this, the US is in no position to negotiate bilaterally anymore, requiring some third party the US can't just ignore as guarantor.

Trump's way of doing things has weaken the US tremendously, diplomatically and militarily.
It has chosen to follow Israel on its path to Pariah Statehood.
Prior to Trump POTUS could make a deal and say it did not matter about senate ratification because succeeding presidents would recognise commitments made by their predecessors, Trump destroyed this. Deals will now need to be ratified by the dysfunctional senate.
 
Because we just can't bomb a country out of the blue,
It wasn't out of the blue. And you wanted to.
Armed conflict should come after a long chain of events wherein we give our adversary a chance to address our grievances, and we have a chance to address theirs.
We gave them a chance to do that. Why does that period have to be long? How long?
Find common ground, and work from there
You didn't want to find common ground, you wanted to bomb Tehran. Until Trump actually did it.
And it has not been executed according to the long established plans for a conflict with Iran.
First off, how would you know? Second, why do we need to stick with "long established plans" instead of new ones?
Trump has no clue about what he's doing
I keep hearing this, but the actual evidence is sparse.
, and he is not listening to any objective reports from the Pentagon and CIA about the results thus far.
Made up bull ◊◊◊◊.
Killing Iran's leadership = Good.
Degrading their military = Good
Crippling their "nuclear program" = Good
Then what's the problem?
But it's been done wrong,
Because you don't like Trump's tweets? Because we didn't give the Iranians fair warning?
without any justification,
You just gave justification. You believed we had justification.
and without any thought about the long term political consequences both foreign and domestic.
I don't think you have a clue about what the long term consequences will be.
Like Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan this is another case where we win all the battles, but loose in the long term.
That's wildly premature.
I mean, how do we get our credibility back?
I don't think you understand where credibility actually comes from. It does not come from being nice or polite or agreeable.
What's the time-frame for regaining trust on the international stage? 10 years? 30 years? A century?
Whose trust do we need?

We have lost some trust in Europe, but Europe is weak and feckless. Their trust is a luxury not a necessity. The Europeans don't understand the trust THEY have lost from us.
 
It wasn't out of the blue. And you wanted to.

We gave them a chance to do that. Why does that period have to be long? How long?

You didn't want to find common ground, you wanted to bomb Tehran. Until Trump actually did it.

First off, how would you know? Second, why do we need to stick with "long established plans" instead of new ones?

I keep hearing this, but the actual evidence is sparse.

Made up bull ◊◊◊◊.

Then what's the problem?

Because you don't like Trump's tweets? Because we didn't give the Iranians fair warning?

You just gave justification. You believed we had justification.

I don't think you have a clue about what the long term consequences will be.

That's wildly premature.

I don't think you understand where credibility actually comes from. It does not come from being nice or polite or agreeable.

Whose trust do we need?

We have lost some trust in Europe, but Europe is weak and feckless. Their trust is a luxury not a necessity. The Europeans don't understand the trust THEY have lost from us.
The simple MAGA mind exposed once again to the world. :dl:
 
Is anyone keeping score?

I have USA +1 for a surprise attack but I've got Iran on 4, I think, so far. One point for every TACO.
 
We have lost some trust in Europe, but Europe is weak and feckless. Their trust is a luxury not a necessity. The Europeans don't understand the trust THEY have lost from us.
And North America, and South America, and Africa, Asia, and Australasia. But hey, we don't need those weak feckless countries. Israel will always be asking for more to continue their genocide have our back, and that's all the international support we need!

As a citizen of one of those weak feckless countries, I wish to thank you for your part in the downfall of America. I've been waiting for this ever since that day in 1963 when a lone nutcase destroyed my trust in America. It's been downhill ever since, but I didn't think I would see the conclusion in my lifetime. Now you have installed a nutcase in power who is bringing the end forward by decades. My hat is off to you sir - it couldn't have been done without you (and others like you). No need to defend your position, stand proud and pat yourself on the back for making the dreams of so many come true!
 
As a citizen of one of those weak feckless countries, I wish to thank you for your part in the downfall of America.
Oh, America isn't about to fall. Not even if you are right about our loss of status. I don't think you comprehend what Pax Americana has done for the world, and what its loss will mean.
 
It wasn't out of the blue. And you wanted to
We ALREADY crippled their nuclear program. They're looking at ten years at best to get back in the game, if they can. And that first series of strikes was also questionable by long established standards of conduct. SOF cannot seize their nuclear material because we've blew their underground facilities away, along with all of the access, and ventilation tunnels. I know this because they would have done that on the first night.

We gave them a chance to do that. Why does that period have to be long? How long?
Here's the thing, we are the United f***ing States of America. We hold, or held all the cards. We keep them talking because we can, and we have allies who work behind the scenes to help us, and help Iran unscrew itself (not any more). Why should we rush? We are supposed to be the good guys. You know, the guys who uphold diplomatic standards, and insist that international laws be observed whenever possible.

Seriously, who Iran compared to the USA? They're just another third-rate Middle Eastern country hiding behind a reputation from two millennia ago. Iran is not the Achaemenid Empire any more. So there's no reason to go hot on them as we have. We've elected a mental midget into power.

You didn't want to find common ground, you wanted to bomb Tehran. Until Trump actually did it.
I will take peaceful resolution over war any time. Wanting to bomb Iran is only relative to their actions at the time. 1979 they held Americans hostage, and thus force would have been justified. but measured. Same is true with their various terrorist acts staged by troglodyte sycophants, but again the retaliation needs to be proportional. And then from 2004 through 2008 when their guys were running IED shops, we would have been 100% justified in ruining Tehran's day.

On the other hand, if Iran decided to change their tune toward the US, and decide to move their country forward in a productive, and peaceful way then that would be fine with me. Iran has much to offer the world, it's a shame its run by a-holes.

First off, how would you know? Second, why do we need to stick with "long established plans" instead of new ones?
If you must know, I met the folks who wrote them. They pointed me toward open-source materials which cover 90% of how we'd do things, AND cover 100% of the caveat of exactly what Iran would do in retaliation. I know it's accurate because Iran seems to have read the same books. And the "new ones"? Pete Hegseth is an alcoholic hack. He can't get promoted past Major because of his incompetence. He bent over for Trump, and went with a frat-bro version of an attack on Iran instead of pulling the plans off the shelf, and taking it step-by-step. Remember Desert Storm? That scenario was laid out in 1981, and frequently updated. The Pentagon has contingency plans for just about every country in the world, friend and foe alike as logistics is our main weapon...so we plan ahead.

I keep hearing this, but the actual evidence is sparse.
The "actual evidence" would be Iran still in control of its destiny, and Trump trying to weasel his way out of this. He's like a guy who craps his pants and goes home to change his shirt.

Made up bul
Nope. Note the CENTCOM press releases. They're not the usual "written by grownups" statements we've received over the past 40 years. More like drunk WWE crapola.

Then what's the problem?
The problem is we have no idea what else we've killed in the way of credibility and trust on the international stage.

It's like this: I call out the school bully, and we meet after school to fight it out. In the process I hit him just right and kill him. In a court of law I can argue self-defense, but morally I'm not murderer. On the other hand, if I ambush the school bully in a supermarket parking lot, and stab him from behind then I am a murderer. Doesn't matter that he's the school bully, and all the awful things he's done pale under my COWARDACE.

This is a simple moral concept, you either grasp it or you can't.

Because you don't like Trump's tweets? Because we didn't give the Iranians fair warning?
We have produced zero evidence to back the case to go to war. Where are the ELINT intercepts? Where are the satellite photos? What about Reaper footage of trucks at specific facilities? Were is the evidence of a threat? Hell, even the Maddox thought it was shooting at something in those stormy seas.

Also, no sane person posts White House policy on social media.

You just gave justification. You believed we had justification
I've given zero justification for this current action nor do I believe this has been justified in any way in its current form.

I don't think you have a clue about what the long term consequences will be.
Nobody does. And that scares the smart people.

That's wildly premature.
Is it? I was 10 when the US withdrew from South Vietnam. We killed millions of NVA and VC, but still had to leave people on the roof of our embassy. Then we somehow not only do the same thing in Afghanistan, but we also found new ways of self-defeat. We're lucky Iraq has always been a basket case.

We ( the USA) have never done anything like this before. Nobody knows how this plays out.

I don't think you understand where credibility actually comes from. It does not come from being nice or polite or agreeable.
It comes from being responsible. It comes from standing behind those values written in our Constitution and Declaration of Independence. I have no problem killing and or dying to defend the ideas in those documents. Trump wiping his ass with them.

Whose trust do we need?

We have lost some trust in Europe, but Europe is weak and feckless. Their trust is a luxury not a necessity. The Europeans don't understand the trust THEY have lost from us.
It's simple ethics. Most countries in Europe are our allies, that's a word that means something to someone with American values. Were is the United States without France? We don't win the revolution without them, thanks to the French we are 100% metric system-free. And England decided we were cool, and we've been tight ever since. All our cool military stuff? You know, the Navy, Delta Force? We got that from them.

And how is Europe feckless? Did you take any history in school? That whole WWII thing did a number on Europe. Then on the heels of the end of that war the Soviets decided to take advantage, and we got the Iron Curtain. So we dealt with 55 years of a divided Europe. Even so, Europe has enjoyed 80 years of peace (Balkans and Ukraine not included). That's a long time. No one in Europe could have said this in 1626, 1726, 1826, or 1926. They're not weak, they just grew up, and learned to get along. But England can still fight with the best of them, and France is capable when they choose to be. Germany is rearming, that could be fun. The Swedish make all the best weapons, which we buy. Belgium makes our machine guns (FN), and we've been using HK-416s (German) for almost 20 years. If Europe is so weak, why doesn't the US Army buy from Colt any more? Why did they shop in Europe?

And Europe hasn't lost trust with anyone in the US who isn't inbred.
 
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Trump is drawing down troops and weapons from Asia in support of the war with Iran, with obvious consequences:

SEOUL, April 19 (Reuters) - North Korea fired multiple ballistic missiles towards the sea off its east coast, South Korea ‌and Japan said on Sunday, marking the latest in a flurry of launches by Pyongyang to accelerate efforts to boost its military capabilities.
The incident marks the North's seventh ballistic missile launch this year and its fourth in April.
"As the U.S. is focused on Iran, the North sees this as a ⁠golden time to upgrade their nuclear power and missile capability,” Lim Eul-chul, a professor at Kyungnam University, said.

As an actual nuclear power, isn't this much more serious than Iran?
 
I don't think you understand where credibility actually comes from. It does not come from being nice or polite or agreeable.
It doesn't matter whether you are the leader of a country or a mob boss, you can build up credibility by following through in your threats and promises, and sticking to agreements you made. Genuine "legitimate business" have an external force binding them, as the agreements are legal contracts. But that is not a factor for either mob bosses or the leaders of many countries. Of course, in countries where the executive is bound by the rule of law, there are legal constraints on breaking of agreements.

It takes time to build up credibility but no time to lose it. This is not a new concept; Machiavelli discussed it, and it permeates gangster films.

You know what else will be affected by a history of breaking agreements? The cost of doing business. If you renege on agreements, I will need compensation for the additional risk of investing in you, again, whether you are a mob boss or the leader of a country. After all if you renege on agreements with other countries, why would I believe you're not going to renege on your government bonds.

Whose trust do we need?

We have lost some trust in Europe, but Europe is weak and feckless. Their trust is a luxury not a necessity. The Europeans don't understand the trust THEY have lost from us.
See above.

There is a difference between reneging on agreement and holding back on supporting a unilateral action taken without consultation that was not covered by any agreement. Europe and North America should be natural allies as most of the interests of the populations align.

Militarily, the USN is struggling to have enough ships , especially frigates - and the FF(X) is not yet a firm design, but equally looks quite under equipped, being a beefed up coastguard cutter, albeit a capable coastguard cutter design.

The UK and Norway are building 13 Type 26 frigates, and 5 type 31 for the UK, with 3 for Poland,

I'll add in Canada here as it is more aligned with Europe on this, so that's another 15 type 26 frigates

Spain is building 3 type 120 AEGIS frigates
Greece is building 3 FDNY HN frigates
France is building 4 FDN frigates

There are also separate German (6 F126 class) and Benelux (7 ASWF) frigate programmes but they are struggling a bit.
Plus 4 Luleå class to be defined and ordered by Sweden

Remember also that it's not just Europe that Trump is alienating but other allies, so we should also talk about Australia and Japan.

So Japan is building 4 Mogami class frigates and 12 updated Mogami class, with Australia is in late stages to build 11 of the updated versions

Australia has also ordered 3 Hunter class frigates, so that's 16 frigates in the Pacific.

Then there's the access to airspace and bases.
 
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It wasn't out of the blue. And you wanted to.

We gave them a chance to do that. Why does that period have to be long? How long?

You didn't want to find common ground, you wanted to bomb Tehran. Until Trump actually did it.

First off, how would you know? Second, why do we need to stick with "long established plans" instead of new ones?

I keep hearing this, but the actual evidence is sparse.

Made up bull ◊◊◊◊.

Then what's the problem?

Because you don't like Trump's tweets? Because we didn't give the Iranians fair warning?

You just gave justification. You believed we had justification.

I don't think you have a clue about what the long term consequences will be.

That's wildly premature.

I don't think you understand where credibility actually comes from. It does not come from being nice or polite or agreeable.

Whose trust do we need?

We have lost some trust in Europe, but Europe is weak and feckless. Their trust is a luxury not a necessity. The Europeans don't understand the trust THEY have lost from us.
I've never really understood the need for diplomacy till I saw Trump at work. It's an art that goes back historically to the dawn of history.
 

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