The sinking of MS Estonia: Case Reopened Part VII

Which was quite uncalled for given I was directly referencing the JAIC Report itself and even helpfully provided the relevant SOLAS chapter. You must admit it was a pretty unkind volley of unpleasant epithets.
It was painfully obvious he was referring to the AI slop that also appears in addition to quotes from the JAIC report.

For no reason, you up and decided he must have been talking about you personally and you’re milking it for all it’s worth trying to play victim.
 
As I recall it's all to do with positioning of the forward bulkhead but as this type of ro-or has been taken off the market it hardly matters…
Replacing visor-type ferries with clamshell-type ferries doesn’t change what JAIC wrote. You claimed the JAIC recommended the bridge and the bow be moved closer together. You have cited the part where they talk about the conning position. But you have neither substantiated nor withdrawn the statement you attribute to JAIC.
 
Cool, now calculate the windspeed combined with the ship's speed, and weight combined with the calculations with the kinetic energy generated by the bow plunging into troughs of various depth. What your diagram shows is the ship's speed and the wind, not wave-height, nor wave energy (not all waves are created equal).

The key factor here was wave action combined with excessive sailing speed for the conditions, and well beyond the ship's design specifications. The other key factor, as Andy Ross stated, is the speed at which Estonia continues to sail after the visor is gone. The rest of that diagram illustrates not just the wind power (not speed), combined with the CURRENT (another factor you ignore). Just look at how fast Estonia drifts backward after losing power. The illustration you posted and misquote just confirms how bad the seas were that night.

The JAIC Report has this to say in Chapter 13.3 Action on the Bridge:

Nothing indicates that the officers realised that the bow was fully open, although it must have been obvious that the situation was very serious, and that the survival of the vessel was threatened.
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Simulations carried out by the Commission show that a quick reduction of speed and change of heading would have significantly reduced the rate of water ingress. The safest condition for the vessel with the bow open would have been lying beam on to the waves at zero speed. It has also been established that turning the vessel to starboard would not have endangered her stability. The wind pressure would have increased the list by only a few degrees. Thus turning the vessel, with the bow fully open, towards the wind and the high waves was not the best action. On the other hand it must be kept in mind that from the officers' point of view turning the vessel to starboard away from the wind would have exposed the port side to the full force of wind and waves and would have further increased the list and the roll. In this light the decision to turn the vessel to port and into the wind is understandable.
We have no idea how Captain Andresson lost control and I guess they simply had to improvise as best they could.
 
Wow, that's some shed load of anger! If I said I meant knots, I meant knots. And when I said m/s, I meant m/s.
I sense no anger. I see someone with a plausible hypothesis for your ever-changing story of where your cryptic figures came from. You tell us to read them off the diagram but then admit it has to be inferred from information on the diagram because it’s not actually there verbatim.

If you devoted half the effort into learning how ships and investigations worked that you put into your various ploys for victimhood, this thread would be far less tedious.
 
Let's take a step back and remember what started this whole bow-visor-visibility-from-the-bridge excursion: Vixen was suggesting that some bad operators had opened the bow deliberately to dump out contraband. Somebody pointed out that opening the bow visor high enough to do that *would* have been visible from the bridge. Vixen introduced the current topic in an attempt to rebut that point, yet it doesn't.

The failure sequence didn't entail the visor ever being knocked all the way up to its fully open position. Attempting to argue that the bridge wouldn't notice a fully, mechanically opened bow visor because they didn't notice the waves pushing it up to some degree after the locks failed is an equivocation.

It is or was the theory of persons involved in the investigation that cargo was ejected via the stern car ramp. I haven't seen any reports of any official connected directly to the disaster claiming the front car ramp was opened, although there were anecdotes from passengers and crew saying the Atlantic bolt had to be physically hammered home. The visibility thing arises from ferries similar to Estonia also having the bow visor rising open but that the guys on the bridge in the other vessels cited (for example, Diana II) saw it because they had they correct conning visibility range or angle. The JAIC findings are that it was not visible from where Estonia's conning was.
 
The visibility thing arises from ferries similar to Estonia also having the bow visor rising open but that the guys on the bridge in the other vessels cited (for example, Diana II) saw it because they had they correct conning visibility range or angle. The JAIC findings are that it was not visible from where Estonia's conning was.
But it was still visible from other places on the bridge, so still defeats the truck jettison theory. How other ships are arranged is irrelevant.
 
It is or was the theory of persons involved in the investigation that cargo was ejected via the stern car ramp. I haven't seen any reports of any official connected directly to the disaster claiming the front car ramp was opened,

You have speculated, in post #3355 of this thread and elsewhere, that the bow visor and car ramp could have been opened by person(s) unknown to discard contraband. You have endeavored to keep that speculation in play, in part by suggesting that it could have been done without anyone on the bridge noticing.

That there are also other speculations involving the stern car ramp does nothing to obviate or rehabilitate this.
 
Look you said the word "greasy" in a post about what Vixen said, therefore if Vixen whines enough she can spin out page after page of her claiming you were calling her greasy and that therefore you're a racist, which is the real goal here.
Yes, and at this point I'm done with being nice and colouring inside the lines. I'm done with fact checking the errors and misrepresentations and evasions in Vixen's posts, I'm done with carefully phrasing my responses to criticise Vixen's posts, not Vixen herself.

Vixen is a liar. A brazen, unapologetic liar. Vixen is crap at research. Vixen is not clever, Vixen is an arrogant twat who has no ◊◊◊◊◊◊◊ idea what she is talking about.

See you all when I'm allowed back.
 
I sense no anger. I see someone with a plausible hypothesis for your ever-changing story of where your cryptic figures came from. You tell us to read them off the diagram but then admit it has to be inferred from information on the diagram because it’s not actually there verbatim.

If you devoted half the effort into learning how ships and investigations worked that you put into your various ploys for victimhood, this thread would be far less tedious.
No, we were discussing how bad the storm was. I mentioned I had travelled from Stockholm to Turku in the middle of January overnight with no problem, so there is nothing special about the end of September (and the water is deepest just NW of Gottland, and the stretch between Åland Islands and Stockholm can go up to >300). Compare and contrast to the relatively shallow waters near where Estonia sank (35m - 125m) plus, the Gulf of Finland midstream is quite deep. So having mentioned the January ferry journey, I stated the wind speed on 27.9.1994 was sou'westerly at 18 m/s. 18 knots. Later, another poster claimed not to understand so I produced a diagram (from the JAIC Report) illustrating wind direction and speed at m/s and the speed of the vessel where the bow visor fell off, which showed 'S = 14'. It is unfortunate the JAIC diagram didn't show where Estonia reached its maximum speed as witnessed by AMBER and the nearby Silja Europa. So we then had dozens of posts from people claiming they couldn't see the word 'S = 18', on the JAIC diagram, so therefore, I was a some kind of an airhead/bimbo and also a liar for denying I had supposedly - according to the detractors - confused 18 knots for 18 m/s. Given I went to some lengths to explain it several times, plus I am a fully qualified chartered accountant who works with numbers every working day, uses kilometres here, in this country, as default, and has a mathematical sciences degree, there really is zero chance I could mistake 18 m/s windspeed for 18 knots boat speed. Having stated wind speed 18 m/s, there is zero chance I would bother to calculate the mph equivalent, as the person I was responding to already knows what 18 m/s windspeed means. However, person no. 2, claimed they just couldn't understand the difference between 18 m/s windspeed and 18 knots, and a whole load of people claiming I really thought 18 m/s = 18 knots. So yes, I do think it was hazing and not a genuine belief, given the background and my explanations.
 
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Yes, and at this point I'm done with being nice and colouring inside the lines. I'm done with fact checking the errors and misrepresentations and evasions in Vixen's posts, I'm done with carefully phrasing my responses to criticise Vixen's posts, not Vixen herself.

Vixen is a liar. A brazen, unapologetic liar. Vixen is crap at research. Vixen is not clever, Vixen is an arrogant twat who has no ◊◊◊◊◊◊◊ idea what she is talking about.

See you all when I'm allowed back.
There's no need to go.
 
No, we were discussing how bad the storm was. I mentioned I had travelled from Stockholm to Turku in the middle of January overnight with no problem, so there is nothing special about the end of September (and the water is deepest just NW of Gottland, and the stretch between Åland Islands and Stockholm can go up to <300). Compare and contrast to the relatively shallow waters near where Estonia sank (35m - 125m) plus, the Gulf of Finland midstream is quite deep. So having mentioned the January ferry journey, I stated the wind speed on 27.9.1994 was sou'westerly at 18 m/s. 18 knots. Later, another poster claimed not to understand so I produced a diagram (from the JAIC Report illustrating wind direction and speed at m/s and the speed of the vessel where the bow visor fell off), which showed 'S = 14'. It is unfortunate the JAIC diagram didn't show where Estonia reached its maximum speed as witnessed by AMBER and the nearby Silja Europa. So we then had dozens of posts from people claiming they couldn't see the word 'S = 18', on the JAIC diagram, so therefore, I was a some kind of an airhead/bimbo and also a liar for denying I had supposedly - according to the detractors - confused 18 knots for 18 m/s. Given I went to some lengths to explain it several times, plus I am a fully qualified chartered accountant who works with numbers every working day, uses kilometres herein this country as default, and has a mathematical sciences degree, there really is zero chance I could mistake 18 m/s windspeed for 18 knots boat speed. Having stated wind speed 18 m/s, there is zero chance I would bother to calculate the mph equivalent, as the person I was responding to already knows what 18 m/s windspeed means. However, person no. 2, claimed they just couldn't understand the difference between 18 m/s windspeed and 18 knots, and a whole load of people claiming I really thought 18 m/s = 18 knots. So yes, I do think it was hazing and not a genuine belief, given the background and my explanations.
What did the "18 knots" refer to, why was it mentioned without explanation immediately after "18 m/s", and how did it not occur to a triple-niner like yourself that this might invite the understanding that you were equating the two expressions?
 
What did the "18 knots" refer to, why was it mentioned without explanation immediately after "18 m/s", and how did it not occur to a triple-niner like yourself that this might invite the understanding that you were equating the two expressions?
We had already been talking about the storm conditions and Capt Mäkelä saying it was not unusual for a September storm. Someone having said it was a terribly stormy night and the boat was going too fast. Using the word knots obviously referred to boat speed. Having clarified exactly that, and even providing the JAIC's diagram showing wind direction and speed plus knots of the boat, I was subjected to hazing anyway.
 
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We had already been talking about the storm conditions and Capt Mäkelä saying it was not unusual for a September storm. Someone having said it was a terribly stormy night and the boat was going too fast. Using the word knots obviously referred to boat speed. Having clarified exactly that, and even providing the JAIC's diagram showing wind direction and speed plus knots of the boat, I was subjected to hazing anyway.
None of that answers any of my three questions. Would you like to try again?
 
None of that answers any of my three questions. Would you like to try again?
As I said, 18 m/s refers to wind speed, i.e., metres per second and 18 knots refers to the presumed maximum speed of Estonia that night (actually, 18.5 knots). What is it you do not understand? ETA to your question #3, I assumed it was common knowledge that knots in the context of Estonia in a storm refers to speed of the boat.
 
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I am not going to get into identity politics but I do think 'greasy' is a dodgy word to use about people as it has all kinds of connotations to do with sleaziness and repulsiveness.
It's not identity politics. He made the comment that a specific argument you made was greasy in that it was slippery as he later clarified. You are taking umbrage over nothing just so you can pretend to be victimised and it's sad.

I don't think Junkshop was being 'racist' or 'xenophobic'
Yet you directly asked him if he was referring to you being foreign, which is an implicit accusation that you thought he might have been.

but I don't think it was reasonable for him to make those comments either, given I was directly quoting from the JAIC Report and there was nothing criminal, stealth-like or slippery about it at all. People should explain what they disagree with instead of trying to dream up cutting putdowns.

He did. Your pretending to be victimised is just as pathetically transparent as all your other attempts at gaslighting.
 
As I said, 18 m/s refers to wind speed, i.e., metres per second and 18 knots refers to the presumed maximum speed of Estonia that night (actually, 18.5). What is it you do not understand?
Fair enough. Those are answers to my questions (the first two, anyway), then, thank you. Are they correct or satisfactory ones? I will leave that as an exercise for the reader.
 
[...] (and the water is deepest just NW of Gottland,[...]

It's spelled Gotland, and Landsortsdjupet is normally referenced from Landsort, since that is closer than Gotland.

[...]and the stretch between Åland Islands and Stockholm can go up to >300). Compare and contrast to the relatively shallow waters near where Estonia sank (35m - 125m) plus, the Gulf of Finland midstream is quite deep. [...]
Why would deeper water be more scary? It's shallow water that you need to be careful around. And don't forget that fetch is a factor.
 

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