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So what form does the resistance take?

Re: mechanism - this will have to be something many states agree on (splitting up the union). Some states will be more stable than others.
You're misunderstanding the question--by what mechanism does this lead to less imposition?

If a significant portion of the country has accepted an authoritarian account of politics, and it seems to be that they have, letting the parts of the country where these views are most prevalent go off and do their own thing will not likely lead to greater political autonomy. It will lead to the creation of series of authoritarian states.

No I wasn't suggesting the political violence has had an effect on homicide rates, but more than enough to agitate and further divide people. Have you been listening to the news in the last week?
No, must have missed something.

Our political system and economy are already in danger. Neither are going to get better with two sides that cannot work together. It's difficult to sketch out a plausible scenario where things get better and its telling that no one has tried in this thread.
The plausible scenario where things get better is that things get worse until people can't help but notice that things have gotten worse, and then vote against things continuing to get worse.

At some point, we have to resolve these problems with politics or violence (ie, the failure of politics). Peacefully splitting the country up into smaller states is a pipe dream.
 
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You're misunderstanding the question--by what mechanism does this lead to less imposition?

If a significant portion of the country has accepted an authoritarian account of politics, and it seems to be that they have, letting the parts of the country where these views are most prevalent go off and do their own thing will not likely lead to greater political autonomy. It will lead to the creation of series of authoritarian states.


No, must have missed something.


The plausible scenario where things get better is that things get worse until people can't help but notice that things have gotten worse, and then vote against things continuing to get worse.

At some point, we have to resolve these problems with politics or violence (ie, the failure of politics). Peacefully splitting the country up into smaller states is a pipe dream.
mechanism: governing will be more local. It will still not be perfect and there will still be urban-rural tensions - with some significant inter-state disparities. Yes, there likely will be a number of authoritarian states. And some people will be OK with that (likely many in Utah). But there will be a number of states more free from views they find abhorrent.

So you think the US will last forever? Again, there many indications that the US is effectively done as a cohesive unit. And - as I've noted - there are many stressors that will continue to wreak havoc and exacerbate tensions.

Things got worse under Trump 1. People - even more people - voted for him again - so no, that scenario is not terribly plausible. Also politicians lie - people are likely not going to know how to vote to make things better.

With regard to political violence/partisanship/people (particularly the right) not wanting unity - yes you must have missed something in the news this week. That being said, there are many other indications of these things that have been escalating over the last 10-15 years at least.
 
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Yes, there likely will be a number of authoritarian states. And some people will be OK with that (likely many in Utah).
"Some people are ok with authoritarianism" isn't a coherent defense of a path that will lead to authoritarian outcomes.

But there will be a number of states more free from views they find abhorrent.
Small comfort if the authoritarian state next door decides to start murdering your dissident family members or firing missiles over the border.

So you think the US will last forever?
No. What does that have to do with anything?

Things got worse under Trump 1. People - even more people - voted for him again - so no, that scenario is not terribly plausible. Also politicians lie - people are likely not going to know how to vote to make things better.
Things didn't get particularly bad under Trump 1, because he was constrained by the people around him.

And yes, politicians lie, but people do eventually start to notice that they're lying, particularly when they're lying about things that are completely obvious.

With regard to political violence/partisanship/people (particularly the right) not wanting unity - yes you must have missed something in the news this week.
Oh man I had no idea that Trump wasn't a unifier.
 
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"Some people are ok with authoritarianism" isn't a coherent defense of a path that will lead to authoritarian outcomes.
In some cases it likely will lead to authoritarian outcomes, but people in the blue states likely won't care what happens in Utah. Just as the US often doesn't particularly care that there are authoritarian countries

Small comfort if the authoritarian state next door decides to start murdering your dissident family members or firing missiles over the border.
Sure - that may happen - but people won't be thinking about that when they want their state to be independent of our current government and the ICE raids, tariffs, etc.

No. What does that have to do with anything?
It's literally what we're discussing (the possible end of the US). It seems obvious it's getting non-functional. My prediction is it won't last much longer.

Things didn't get particularly bad under Trump 1, because he was constrained by the people around him.
That's true, though you're conveniently overlooking the end of his first administration - or I should say how it almost didn't end. We also knew he tried to influence the first election.
And yes, politicians lie, but people do eventually start to notice that they're lying, particularly when they're lying about things that are completely obvious.
:ROFLMAO: Trump blatantly lies all the time. If people like the overall message, they don't care. Also, as Sam Clemens said "There is no distinctly American criminal class except Congress". Getting rid of parties might help (but they'll go to great lengths to make sure that doesn't happen)

Oh man I had no idea that Trump wasn't a unifier.
It's not just Trump.
 
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In some cases it likely will lead to authoritarian outcomes, but people in the blue states likely won't care what happens in Utah. Just as the US often doesn't particularly care that there are authoritarian countries
The US does care that there are authoritarian countries, particularly when they have nuclear weapons (which at least some of the post-USA states presumably would). We've been trying (and mostly failing) to deal with North Korea for decades. And South Koreans certainly care about it.

Sure - that may happen - but people won't be thinking about that when they want their state to be independent of our current government and the ICE raids, tariffs, etc.
Oh, ok. As long as people aren't thinking about it.

It's literally what we're discussing (the possible end of the US).
This is not the question you asked me.

I'm going to die someday. Doesn't mean I want it to be tomorrow.

That's true, though you're conveniently overlooking the end of his first administration - or I should say how it almost didn't end. We also knew he tried to influence the first election.
I'm not overlooking it at all. It's why we know that this cult of personality is a problem no matter where it exists.

Getting rid of parties might help
Even more of a pipe dream than peacefully splitting up the country.

It's not just Trump.
You don't say.
 
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The US does care that there are authoritarian countries, particularly when they have nuclear weapons (which at least some of the post-USA states presumably would). We've been trying (and mostly failing) to deal with North Korea for decades. And South Koreans certainly care about it.

We care occasionally when we think its in our interests. There are many small countries where we don't care. And note there are fair amount of people who might be in favor of breaking up the US are imminently concerned about this country becoming authoritarian. That group includes people on the right who are against vaccine and other government mandates and see the failed Trump assassination attempts


Oh, ok. As long as people aren't thinking about it.
Not a clever reply. No, people want to get out of what they see as a current bad situation - a hypothetical future bad situation is not going to hold as much weight. Californians love to brag about how big their economy is - I'd bet there will be substantial support there for separating.

To be clear - I think it may happen gradually - starting with states defying this admins orders, making pacts with like-minded states.

This is not the question you asked me.

I'm going to die someday. Doesn't mean I want it to be tomorrow.
Sure, but we're not talking about what we want. I want a national health care program (which should be a no-brainer - but we know that's a non-starter and we know is contributing to the stress here), better gun control laws, a better social safety net (including certainty about social security), immigration reform, minimal differences between states in key laws (e.g. reproductive choice, cannabis use). There's an obvious pattern with those things. To spell it out in nice terms, the country is too culturally diverse to have those things.

I'm not overlooking it at all. It's why we know that this cult of personality is a problem no matter where it exists.
You were overlooking it - you characterized the first admin as not particularly bad. An attempted coup is... pretty bad. Note more people still voted for him after this incident than in the first election (and many believe the 2020 election was stolen). So far nothing as bad as Jan 6 has occurred in the new admin, though it likely will (& the tariffs and erosion of trust by other countries may have worse long-term effects).

Even more of a pipe dream than peacefully splitting up the country.
Agreed - part of why I think the country as a functional unit is doomed - we won't change key things.
 
Apparently the one form the resistance absolutely will not take is assassinating "nazi" mouthpieces. That has to be something else. Nobody in the resistance would ever resist like that.

/s
 
We care occasionally when we think its in our interests. There are many small countries where we don't care.
If they have no resources that we want or are of no strategic importance, sure. But that's not a lot of countries. The US has been historically quite happy to involve itself in the politics of other countries, even when there's not much at stake for us.

The idea that California isn't going to care about an authoritarian Utah or Idaho anymore than we care about Bahrain is implausible. If nothing else, they're inconveniently located nearby.

And note there are fair amount of people who might be in favor of breaking up the US are imminently concerned about this country becoming authoritarian. That group includes people on the right who are against vaccine and other government mandates and see the failed Trump assassination attempts
And most of those people will never have any real power, so it's neither here nor there. Once you're in power, breaking up the country becomes a lot less appealing.

No, people want to get out of what they see as a current bad situation - a hypothetical future bad situation is not going to hold as much weight. Californians love to brag about how big their economy is - I'd bet there will be substantial support there for separating.
You're advocating for something here, so you ought to be considering possible future consequences, even if people don't.

Sure, but we're not talking about what we want.
We are talking about what we want, but more crucially about what is possible without a great deal more violence than we're currently seeing.

You were overlooking it - you characterized the first admin as not particularly bad. An attempted coup is... pretty bad.
It was a keystone koup with no real chance of ever succeeding, because nobody bothered to secure support behind the scenes. Yes, it's pretty bad, but things will get worse once someone vaguely competent decides to organize a coup.

Note more people still voted for him after this incident than in the first election (and many believe the 2020 election was stolen).
That's largely a function of turnout and an unusual election cycle. Harris also got more votes than Clinton did in 2016. Yes, there's still a base of support for Trump, but I don't see any reason to believe it's completely independent of actual outcomes. His much-ballyhooed gains in support among minority voters have already cratered.

Agreed - part of why I think the country as a functional unit is doomed - we won't change key things.
Abolishing political parties isn't just a won't problem. It's a dumb idea that gets perennial play as if it were at all feasible. No democracy in the world has done so--the countries that ban political parties altogether are all authoritarian states. Think about what doing this would actually entail for a democracy.

A much more realistic plan would be electoral reform towards multi-party elections. This would lessen polarization by eliminating many of the incentives for demonization of the "opposition" party, because there isn't just one.

We won't do that, either, because our dumb constitution makes serious electoral reform nearly impossible, but it's a clearly preferable approach. And I suspect that as things continue to get worse, our support for current constitutional arrangements will weaken.
 
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The current conflict is a Class War: urban-rural is a Red Herring by making people sort themselves mentally into groups they don't actually belong to.
 
The Class War has little to do with the 2 Parties, as it has been obvious for a long time that neither Party feels it should represent working class people with little or no assets.
There is effectively no more Middle Class, as the distance to the Superrich is essentially the same for someone just enough income to maintain their status and someone with no income or assets: both live in what is being termed The Precariat : a single incident beyond their control can lead to complete ruin (injury, illness, natural disaster, loss of job etc.).
Meanwhile, there is literally nothing the Superrich can do to mess up their life of excess: their assets gain interest at a rate faster than they can spend, no matter what they buy, and they can afford lawyers to forestall any legal problems indefinitely or just buy a Pardon.

That is the Class Struggle: between those who are the edge of ruin all their lives and those who will never know anything but complete security.
 
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The current conflict is a Class War: urban-rural is a Red Herring by making people sort themselves mentally into groups they don't actually belong to.
I'd say it's a three-sided conflict between urban, rural, and the rich. With the latter winning by playing the other two sides against each other. This isn't unique to the US, and it's certainly not new.
 
There is effectively no more Middle Class, as the distance to the Superrich is essentially the same for someone just enough income to maintain their status and someone with no income or assets: both live in what is being termed The Precariat : a single incident beyond their control can lead to complete ruin (injury, illness, natural disaster, loss of job etc.).
That's an odd way to define the middle class--I'd say I'm in a notably less precarious situation than someone working two jobs who owns little more than their 1997 Nissan Sentra--but two of those are mostly down to lack of universal healthcare, support for which you'll find in one party, and not the other.

There's a lot about the current situation that isn't understandable in terms of the interests of the ultra-wealthy. The recent raid of Hyundai makes very little sense from a plutocrat's perspective--that's just a result of an overly aggressive blood-and-soil revolt against the mere existence of foreignness on our shores. And that's something you're much more likely to find support for in homogenous parts of the country. People in large urban areas grow accustomed to difference, because they pretty much have to. I hear at least five different languages just going about my daily business.

The other problem with this idea--the very wealthy are, as it turns out, kind of a bunch of idiots. Having ◊◊◊◊-you money not only insulates you from adversity, it insulates you from reality, from the intolerable cruelty of being told you're wrong about anything, that you're anything less than the specialest boy in the whole wide world. That's how you end up with billionaires thinking someone like Curtis Yarvin is anything more than a mock-worthy charlatan. It's not just us being manipulated.

The problem of ideology is kind of inescapable.
 
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Not how many, but what kind? What demographic do they belong to?
A percentage that large would likely be a broad cross section, not a niche type? One in four voters are Latino, half of which are Democrats (49%), and the broad trend is as it is nationwide- young and urban people tend to lean Dem. 52%of white cats voted red, and 43% blue. Seems fairly evenly split?

I mean I'm not sure what you are driving at? Arizona is a swing state for a reason.
 
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I'd say it's a three-sided conflict between urban, rural, and the rich. With the latter winning by playing the other two sides against each other. This isn't unique to the US, and it's certainly not new.
This has truth, but the rich are more casually fanning the flames now. The actual divide between the (more) conservative and liberal is very real, and powerhouse.
 
I don't see the rural-urban divide as anything but artificial
That's an odd way to define the middle class--I'd say I'm in a notably less precarious situation than someone working two jobs who owns little more than their 1997 Nissan Sentra--but two of those are mostly down to lack of universal healthcare, support for which you'll find in one party, and not the other.

There's a lot about the current situation that isn't understandable in terms of the interests of the ultra-wealthy. The recent raid of Hyundai makes very little sense from a plutocrat's perspective--that's just a result of an overly aggressive blood-and-soil revolt against the mere existence of foreignness on our shores. And that's something you're much more likely to find support for in homogenous parts of the country. People in large urban areas grow accustomed to difference, because they pretty much have to. I hear at least five different languages just going about my daily business.

The other problem with this idea--the very wealthy are, as it turns out, kind of a bunch of idiots. Having ◊◊◊◊-you money not only insulates you from adversity, it insulates you from reality, from the intolerable cruelty of being told you're wrong about anything, that you're anything less than the specialest boy in the whole wide world. That's how you end up with billionaires thinking someone like Curtis Yarvin is anything more than a mock-worthy charlatan. It's not just us being manipulated.

The problem of ideology is kind of inescapable.
sure, there will be some who are probably going to be okay no matter what, but they have no reason whatsoever to side with the Billionaires over the have-nots - expect for their job and Golf Club Membership depending on not being seen as "too communist": there are very few people today who think they have such strong job security that a wrong post on social media might not see them fired - and as a consequence lose their healthcare.

As I said - this has nothing to do with GOP vs Dems: the vast majority of voters from either side want higher taxes for the rich, stopping monopolies and strong consumer protection. They also want less military spending.

The Political Class has been captured by the rich.
 
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