Trump's Second Term

It’s interesting that Australia is not planning retaliatory tariffs. Why? Because it would harm Australian citizens. And we are in a position to know. We had large tariff barriers attempting to protect our manufacturing industries for decades. They crippled the country. Since they were largely abolished in the 1980s we have never looked back, being recession free and climbing up the GDP ladder.
Not the right thread for this but any benefit of globalization went strictly to the top end of town and to global corporations. Meanwhile, the average family can no longer afford to buy a home - even if they have 2 incomes.
 
Not the right thread for this but any benefit of globalization went strictly to the top end of town and to global corporations. Meanwhile, the average family can no longer afford to buy a home - even if they have 2 incomes.
We now have a bad case of Dutch disease.


It is good to open up economies to mutually increase wealth but provision has to be made to not over simplify an economy as well.
 
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DOGE Plans to Rebuild SSA Code Base in Months, Risking Benefits and System Collapse


Wired said:
The so-called Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) is starting to put together a team to migrate the Social Security Administration’s (SSA) computer systems entirely off one of its oldest programming languages in a matter of months, potentially putting the integrity of the system—and the benefits on which tens of millions of Americans rely—at risk.

The project is being organized by Elon Musk lieutenant Steve Davis, multiple sources who were not given permission to talk to the media tell WIRED, and aims to migrate all SSA systems off COBOL, one of the first common business-oriented programming languages, and onto a more modern replacement like Java within a scheduled tight timeframe of a few months.

Under any circumstances, a migration of this size and scale would be a massive undertaking, experts tell WIRED, but the expedited deadline runs the risk of obstructing payments to the more than 65 million people in the US currently receiving Social Security benefits.

“Of course, one of the big risks is not underpayment or overpayment per se; [it’s also] not paying someone at all and not knowing about it. The invisible errors and omissions,” an SSA technologist tells WIRED.

The timeline is utter madness. It’s difficult to get even a small, simple system from a known start point to production ready in a few months, let alone one that’s grown organically over decades and likely still runs on IBM mainframes. The core system has 60 million lines of COBOL code. An F-35 apparently has only 25 million (but not in COBOL!)

DOGE is hugely underestimating the complexity and timeline. If they use AI for code translation and generation, they could well end up with a code base no human can understand, and thus any fixes will take a very long time. Not to mention routine maintenance as new rules and regulations come in.

As long as “move fast and break things” Musk is running the show, there won’t be safeguards. Musk himself is apparently a piss-poor programmer, and his preference for hiring younger people with little experience doesn’t bode well for a project of this complexity. I really, really doubt this effort will succeed, especially in the proposed time line. The project as currently described could well collapse under its own weight as the inexperienced programmers struggle with its scope and complexity.

"Efficient," this is not. They'll throw millions of dollars into this and end up with an expensive pile of crap.
 
DOGE Plans to Rebuild SSA Code Base in Months, Risking Benefits and System Collapse




The timeline is utter madness. It’s difficult to get even a small, simple system from a known start point to production ready in a few months, let alone one that’s grown organically over decades and likely still runs on IBM mainframes. The core system has 60 million lines of COBOL code. An F-35 apparently has only 25 million (but not in COBOL!)

DOGE is hugely underestimating the complexity and timeline. If they use AI for code translation and generation, they could well end up with a code base no human can understand, and thus any fixes will take a very long time. Not to mention routine maintenance as new rules and regulations come in.

As long as “move fast and break things” Musk is running the show, there won’t be safeguards. Musk himself is apparently a piss-poor programmer, and his preference for hiring younger people with little experience doesn’t bode well for a project of this complexity. I really, really doubt this effort will succeed, especially in the proposed time line. The project as currently described could well collapse under its own weight as the inexperienced programmers struggle with its scope and complexity.

"Efficient," this is not. They'll throw millions of dollars into this and end up with an expensive pile of crap.
Betting Muskrat's Tiger Team of Cracking Hackers won't be able to read the COBOL source code and understand it. Nor the concepts of how that programming language works.

For a start, it isn't the least bit object-oriented which they would be used to. The programming concepts and code structures would not lend themselves to OO.

Then there would be all the database interfaces. Probably custom designed and potentially written in another programming language as well, each would need to be individually deconstructed and analysed before a replacement was built.

Finally, given the rank and frank lawlessness pervading DOGE, it will probably be an opportunity to simply funnel all the wealth into Musk's and Trump's pockets.
 
DOGE Plans to Rebuild SSA Code Base in Months, Risking Benefits and System Collapse




The timeline is utter madness. It’s difficult to get even a small, simple system from a known start point to production ready in a few months, let alone one that’s grown organically over decades and likely still runs on IBM mainframes. The core system has 60 million lines of COBOL code. An F-35 apparently has only 25 million (but not in COBOL!)

DOGE is hugely underestimating the complexity and timeline. If they use AI for code translation and generation, they could well end up with a code base no human can understand, and thus any fixes will take a very long time. Not to mention routine maintenance as new rules and regulations come in.

As long as “move fast and break things” Musk is running the show, there won’t be safeguards. Musk himself is apparently a piss-poor programmer, and his preference for hiring younger people with little experience doesn’t bode well for a project of this complexity. I really, really doubt this effort will succeed, especially in the proposed time line. The project as currently described could well collapse under its own weight as the inexperienced programmers struggle with its scope and complexity.

"Efficient," this is not. They'll throw millions of dollars into this and end up with an expensive pile of crap.
Oh yes putting a Randbot in charge of social security mechanisms is going to work so well.
 
I am not a fan of the filibuster. It is not, in my opinion, an honest way to win an argument.

Victory by exploitation of procedural loophole is a hollow and shameful victory. I'm not saying that it isn't ever necessary, if it's the only option available, but it leaves a bad taste in the mouth.
This was much more a protest than a filibuster as everything now is assumed to be filibustered and so you need 60 votes to bring anything to a real vote.
 
Betting Muskrat's Tiger Team of Cracking Hackers won't be able to read the COBOL source code and understand it. Nor the concepts of how that programming language works.

For a start, it isn't the least bit object-oriented which they would be used to. The programming concepts and code structures would not lend themselves to OO.

Then there would be all the database interfaces. Probably custom designed and potentially written in another programming language as well, each would need to be individually deconstructed and analysed before a replacement was built.

Finally, given the rank and frank lawlessness pervading DOGE, it will probably be an opportunity to simply funnel all the wealth into Musk's and Trump's pockets.
COBOL is a relatively simple language. It's also no more archaic than C is. For business needs the reason it's still running is because it works and it works reliably. Newer versions have OO tacked on but you can just ignore that.

The problem is the sheer volume of code. It will be multiple programs that perform multiple tasks. It's not one monolith of 60 million lines. Since it is the US government the scale will be huge. There will be multiple interfaces that have to be integrated.
 
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DOGE Plans to Rebuild SSA Code Base in Months, Risking Benefits and System Collapse




The timeline is utter madness. It’s difficult to get even a small, simple system from a known start point to production ready in a few months, let alone one that’s grown organically over decades and likely still runs on IBM mainframes. The core system has 60 million lines of COBOL code. An F-35 apparently has only 25 million (but not in COBOL!)

DOGE is hugely underestimating the complexity and timeline. If they use AI for code translation and generation, they could well end up with a code base no human can understand, and thus any fixes will take a very long time. Not to mention routine maintenance as new rules and regulations come in.

As long as “move fast and break things” Musk is running the show, there won’t be safeguards. Musk himself is apparently a piss-poor programmer, and his preference for hiring younger people with little experience doesn’t bode well for a project of this complexity. I really, really doubt this effort will succeed, especially in the proposed time line. The project as currently described could well collapse under its own weight as the inexperienced programmers struggle with its scope and complexity.

"Efficient," this is not. They'll throw millions of dollars into this and end up with an expensive pile of crap.
I thought Musk knew about rockets because I am not a rocket scientist.
I thought Musk knew about electric cars because I am not an engineer.
I knew Musk was a lying fraud when he talked about software, because I know about that.
Ditto for gamers.
 
DOGE Plans to Rebuild SSA Code Base in Months, Risking Benefits and System Collapse




The timeline is utter madness. It’s difficult to get even a small, simple system from a known start point to production ready in a few months, let alone one that’s grown organically over decades and likely still runs on IBM mainframes. The core system has 60 million lines of COBOL code. An F-35 apparently has only 25 million (but not in COBOL!)

DOGE is hugely underestimating the complexity and timeline. If they use AI for code translation and generation, they could well end up with a code base no human can understand, and thus any fixes will take a very long time. Not to mention routine maintenance as new rules and regulations come in.

As long as “move fast and break things” Musk is running the show, there won’t be safeguards. Musk himself is apparently a piss-poor programmer, and his preference for hiring younger people with little experience doesn’t bode well for a project of this complexity. I really, really doubt this effort will succeed, especially in the proposed time line. The project as currently described could well collapse under its own weight as the inexperienced programmers struggle with its scope and complexity.

"Efficient," this is not. They'll throw millions of dollars into this and end up with an expensive pile of crap.

I know **** all about programming, but how hard can it be to write code that transfers all the funds to an off-shore account and then deletes everything when done?
 

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