The picture is getting clearer now, and it's exactly what I suspected. There was no deliberate fakery, just people put in a stressful situation that they couldn't get out of, their heads filled with spy stories and feelings of animosity (real and/or imagined) from the Cubans. It wasn't their fault. For all they knew their food could have poisoned, and they could have been subjected to a sonic weapon. They were primed to expect such things, so any symptoms no matter how minor would be interpreted as an attack.
Food tasting slightly off, unusual sounds, odd symptoms with no apparent cause. The reactions are instinctive behavior that could save your life if there really was something threatening it. We can't blame them for acting 'irrationally' under stress. But we can blame 60 years of treating Cuba as an enemy.
That was the explanation that many commentators came up with early on. And it is probably true for the ordinary U.S. embassy employees in Havana, but I am not so sure about the first small group of CIA operatives.
There's yet another podcast: Chris Hayes talks with Jon Lee Anderson and Adam Entous about the 'Havana Syndrome'. What makes it interesting is that we get more information about the first people affected, i.e. the ones who set the whole thing in motion:
Starting in 2016, U.S. diplomats and spies began reporting a wide range of mysterious and debilitating medical symptoms, first in Cuba and then around the world. Doctors who initially treated patients couldn’t come up with a diagnosis and some just called it “The Thing.” Patients said they felt like they were hit by an invisible, directed pressure while stationed on government property, or sometimes standing in their own homes or hotel rooms. The intense health effects, which some have referred to as potentially psychogenic, included high pitched ringing in ears, vertigo, memory loss and brain zaps. The set of medical conditions became known as Havana Syndrome. Why has investigating this been so difficult? Who or what force could be behind all of this? Although the C.I.A. has maintained that it’s unlikely that the cases were caused by foreign adversaries, many questions and doubts remain about the agency’s findings. Award-winning journalists Jon Lee Anderson and Adam Entous explore some of these questions in a new Vice World News 8-part podcast aptly titled “Havana Syndrome.” Anderson and Entous join WITHpod to discuss the events leading up to the first reported Havana Syndrome cases, the global blame game that followed, what technology could be the culprit and more.
The ‘Havana Syndrome’ with Jon Lee Anderson and Adam (Why Is This Happening? The Chris Hayes Podcast, MSNBC/Apple Podcasts, Feb 21, 2022 - 54:21 min.)
Summary: 21:50 -> 30:10: About the first group of people:
New CIA station chief arrives and alleged harassment increases.
A CIA officer felt "excruciating pain" but didn't tell anybody at first. He sees a doctor, and then goes back to the USA for health check.
Meanwhile case officer 'Tony' also experiences a 'syndrome' attack, doesn't want to "show weakness", wants to "power through", but at one point he feels agonizing, unberarable pain, covers his ears, finally goes to a room in the middle of his apartment where the attack stops.
He sees the doctor the next day, who tells him that he, too, has had a similar experience.
A state department security officer says that the same thing happened to him.
It is reported, by 'Tony', I think, to Jeffrey DeLaurentis, senior U.S. diplomat in Havana, to the State Department and to the CIA.
The crickets come back, and 'Tony' feels pressure in the head, discomfort in the ear, severe ear ache like a 'sharpened pencil in the eardrum'. The next day he makes a recording of the sound. He sends a text message to his brother saying that he is being blasted with something like what is used at sea to keep pirates away from ships. (In the article in Science-Based Medicine mentioned in post 1,700, they say that "the auditory sensations from pulsed microwaves are threshold hearing phenomena that requires the subject to be in a quiet room to perceive")
He brings his recording to the New Years party at the U.S. embassy and plays it for other people.
The first CIA officer (I think they referred to him as 'Craig' in the VICE podcast series), the one who reported symptoms to the embassy doctor and then went back to the USA, returns to Havana. He is a smoker, and one day he goes outside the embassy with 'Tony' to smoke. 'Tony' notices that 'Craig's' hand twitches, but this is allegedly the first time they compare notes.
Now, I understand that the spook world is full of secrecy, but all of this is anecdotal, of course, and I have a hard time believing that the case officer 'Tony' has been unaware of the reason for Craig's absence when he was in the USA for his health check.
This appears to be the one argument to support the conclusion in both of the recent podcast series from VICE and Project Brazen. The timeline is not entirely clear, but playing the cricket recording at the New Year's Eve party at the embassy must have been a part of his campaign described by other media, i.e. the thing that made (some of) the other embassy employees believe that the cricket sound was a sure sign that they were being attacked.
Consider that Trump was elected for office on Nov 8, 2016, and it was clear that he intended to roll back Obama's rapprochement: Donald Trump's Threat to Close Door Reopens Old Wounds in Cuba (NYT, Nov 28, 2016)
Is it a coincidence that a small group of people whose mission it is to subvert Cuba's government starts the campaign among embassy employees that is used by Trump as an excuse to do what he always wanted to do? - or at least wanted to do since March 2016 when Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio had taught him that it would be the way to win Florida votes. (Guardian, March 10, 2016).
At the end of the conversation with Entous and Anderson, the reason for thinking that the 'syndrome' was caused by a Russian attack hangs on two things: Pentagon has many secrets, i.e. maybe Pentagon is hiding the smoking gun that they've already found but won't talk about for security reasons. But even Entous and Anderson seem to find it hard to believe that.
But then there are the Russians, and they are also good at keeping secrets. E&A mention
how long it took for the circumstances surrounding Hitler's death to become known. On the other hand, they are also aware that the Russian poison attacks on dissidents abroad were rather clumsy, and yet the Russians are supposed to have been able to keep an attack on the scale of 'Havana Syndrome (Havana, Vienna, Guangzhou, London, Moscow .... ) a secret.
E&A seem much less certain now than they were in the final episode of their podcast series.