Edited by Agatha:
Edited to remove reference to material sent to AAH
I'm not worried about Boudicca (or anyone) in particular so much as I'm interested in upcoming policy proposals and what they mean for all concerned. Now that self-i.d. is the law in California (for example) what is the downside, if any?
Thank you for trying to tug this thread back towards a proper debate. And one which seeks to discuss this issue within the framework of both mainstream medical classification and current legislation.
As I see it, those who are *arguing* (ish) that self-ID and access to women-only spaces by transwomen is going to create an armageddon of rape and other related crimes - whether by genuine self-ID transwomen, or by cismen who are masquerading as transwomen....... are arguing about something for which there's currently pretty much zero supporting evidence.
As far as I'm concerned,
of course the safety of ciswomen in women-only spaces should be a high priority. And that's why I'd say that in those countries where the combo of self-ID and transgender rights protections are in the statute book, governments and regulators have a duty of care to provide all reasonable safeguards - e.g. multiple panic buttons in places such as women's changing rooms in sportscentres, very careful monitoring in women's refuges, cctv recordings which can only ever be accessed if a crime is alleged (so that a) these recordings can be used in evidence, and b) the presence of the cameras can act as a deterrent), and so on.
And, once those reasonable safeguards are in place, there should be a sustained period of monitoring and feedback loops. Nobody yet knows whether there truly
would be many instances of criminal acts by cis- or transmen in women-only spaces. But if the evidence
does show these sorts of crimes starting to occur, then it would be incumbent upon legislators to either increase/improve safeguarding measures for ciswomen, or (if that doesn't work) consider altering or reversing certain laws.
There's one scenario which I think will never happen: I don't think there'll ever be a time when a) there is anything more than a tiny number of sex crimes being committed by males against ciswomen in women-only spaces, where b) legislators sit back and say
"oh well, there's nothing we can really do about that: it's fundamentally important that we allow self-ID transwomen to access women-only spaces, irrespective of any negative outcomes that result".
In other words, I believe that if anything more than a tiny number of sex crimes are being committed by males (whether by genuine self-ID transwomen or by cismen masquerating as transwomen) in women-only spaces, governments and legislators will - quite rightly - have no choice but to act in order to protect ciswomen in these scenarios.
But..... these sorts of things
must be primarily evidence-based. I don't think there's yet any evidence suggesting that this is a problem (and there are already many jurisdictions where self-ID transwomen - and therefore also cismen masquerading as self-ID transwomen - can access women-only spaces), but it will need careful and constant monitoring as transgender rights protection is legislated more and more. If the actual evidence shows that there is a problem in this respect, then things will absolutely have to change one way or the other.