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2020 Presidential Election part 2

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Captain_Swoop said:
Trump Tweets

All of the recent Biden claimed States will be legally challenged by us for Voter Fraud and State Election Fraud. Plenty of proof - just check out the Media. WE WILL WIN! America First!

STOP THE FRAUD!

Big legal win in Pennsylvania!
Tweets marked by twitter "Some or all of the content shared in this Tweet is disputed and might be misleading about an election or other civic process."
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By the way, this "Big legal win" was that a judge said the GOPrump poll watchers in the spot are being counted are being allowed to stand closer than the 25-50 feet away they alleged they were being forced to stand .

There was no evidence provided to show they were being kept at such a extensive distance. So the judge just stamped OKfine and moved on.

So the big win is "our poll watchers can stand closer now" at best.
 
quadraginta said:
If the events of the last four years ... not to mention the last four weeks, haven't sufficed to do that, then just what do you think the Repugnicans would have to do to reach this tipping point you imagine?

And obstructionism is the least of the perfidities they have sunk to.
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I was thinking more at the margins, such as the rust belt dems that decided to give republicans a shot, or the independant voter that swings both ways. Since we are talking about the Senate, there are purple states that have Republican, Democrat, or one of each Senators. Here in WI we have Tammy Baldwin (D) and Ron Johnson (R). I could see a scenario where either of them gets defeated in there next election.
 
JoeMorgue said:
Updated numbers coming in. Biden has increased his lead to ~12,000 in Nevada.

They'll probably call Nevada for Biden by the end of the day.
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And as bonus if Nevada goes Biden FOX will either have to rescind calling Arizona for him or declare Biden President elect.:)
 
NBC News web site says there are 105,000 outstanding votes in Georgia. This morning, the director of elections in Georgia said there were 60,000 outstanding, and some of those have since been reported.

No way to make meaningful calculations based on this data, so.....it's close.

A few days before the election I voiced fears that the election would be decided based on votes rejected from mail in votes that were rejected because of errors. That may yet come to pass.
 
gregthehammer said:
I was thinking more at the margins, such as the rust belt dems that decided to give republicans a shot, or the independant voter that swings both ways. Since we are talking about the Senate, there are purple states that have Republican, Democrat, or one of each Senators. Here in WI we have Tammy Baldwin (D) and Ron Johnson (R). I could see a scenario where either of them gets defeated in there next election.
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Sure.

So was I.
 
Trebuchet said:
Wow. Come to this thread in the morning and I'm nine pages behind and it's still not decided. I've been actively avoiding watching the news.
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Well once they call NV people will relax and just watch PA and GA.

I gambled a bit on this election, which was a mistake. Not because I think I'll lose, it's just taking an already high anxiety event and adding a bunch of extra anxiety onto it lol
 
I think we've proven that the margins are as margined as margins can be margined at this point. I'm not saying they don't exist, I'm not saying they are small, but seeing as how little has changed between 2016 and 2020 despite... everything I don't think the margins are going to get any bigger.

The game is going to play with the teams as they are now for a while. There are no more free agents.
 
Trebuchet said:
Wow. Come to this thread in the morning and I'm nine pages behind and it's still not decided. I've been actively avoiding watching the news.
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As close as it is, it won't be decided definitively for days yet, if not weeks. We're gonna start the insurrection anyway and figure out what we were fighting for later.
 
Trebuchet said:
Wow. Come to this thread in the morning and I'm nine pages behind and it's still not decided. I've been actively avoiding watching the news.
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I've been watching CNN election coverage since 4pm Tuesday, with a couple of sleep and meal breaks. It's slow and frustrating, but it still looks like Biden will win.
 
Garrison said:
And as bonus if Nevada goes Biden FOX will either have to rescind calling Arizona for him or declare Biden President elect.:)
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Yeah 538 pointed that out. The possibility of FoxNews calling the race for Biden first almost by accident is just so hilarious it almost makes all of this worth it.
 
dirtywick said:
I gambled a bit on this election, which was a mistake. Not because I think I'll lose, it's just taking an already high anxiety event and adding a bunch of extra anxiety onto it lol
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I bet a friend one Guinness tall boy that Trump will lose. I'm not much of a gambler, I guess. I hope to be having a beer with him tomorrow.
 
Democrats are trying to steal the election.

Pennyslvania needs to stop counting.
Arizona needs to keep counting.
Wisconsin needs to start recounting.
 
eerok said:
I bet a friend one Guinness tall boy that Trump will lose. I'm not much of a gambler, I guess. I hope to be having a beer with him tomorrow.
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I didn't think it was going to drag on this long or I wouldn't have bet at all lol pollsters got me pretty good
 
JoeMorgue said:
I want that to be the Trump Presidential Library. Just a nice granite slab that reads "Some or all of this content does not meet the standards of this community" with some benches around it. Maybe a reflecting pool because those are always nice.
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Can we have a little Statue of Liiberty peeing in it to circulate the water? We don't want it getting swampy.
 
All joking aside I would almost support a rule that this shouldn't be happening, that the states just call it when they are done.

I mean I get it the whole life blood of the political newscycle ends with newscasters standing in front of a map telling me how Candidate Johnson is outperforming Candidate Smith in Dishrag County by .000002% more then projections and wow isn't that interesting but... how about we just don't do that and you just tell me who won when you know who won?
 
eerok said:
I bet a friend one Guinness tall boy that Trump will lose. I'm not much of a gambler, I guess. I hope to be having a beer with him tomorrow.
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I think you guys are going to end up splitting that check tomorrow.

Although there will probably be a "more than likely winner" declared by that point, but the recounts can't even begin for a while.
 
I'm scared Trump could still actually win. He's ahead in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia. The counts are close but Biden hasn't pulled ahead yet.

And in Nevada Biden only leads by 12,000 votes which sounds promising but the NYT says a lot of those outstanding votes are absentee and Trump won absentee votes in that state by a very large margin.

NYT Nevada results You may need to refresh the page to update the counts.

On the hopeful side, Biden could win Pennsylvania. There are enough votes left for him to pull ahead. Might be the one thing 538 got right, Penn will be the key state.
 
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