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2020 Presidential Election part 2

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Lots of results coming in, Biden has 85 electoral votes so far to Trump's 55.

Fingers crossed for PA.
 
This is just confusing the **** out of me.

Is the ratio popular votes?

And if so what is the electoral current ratio?

And how do you know how many electoral college votes each state has and which even matter by numbers?
 
Predictit's users are giving the edge to Trump in N. Carolina (though Biden is still a favorite to win the election with 68 cents).
 
cullennz said:
This is just confusing the **** out of me.

Is the ratio popular votes?

And if so what is the electoral current ratio?

And how do you know how many electoral college votes each state has and which even matter by numbers?
Click to expand...

Grab a cold beverage, find some expert commentary and watch this thing unfold.
 
Results are starting to come in from TX. Biden has an early lead, but only 13% of districts have been counted.

eta
51-47 to Biden so far, but I don't dare hope too much, I suppose the early votes counted so far are Dem-heavy early votes.
16% of districts have been counted.

eta2
PA results starting to come in, huge lead to Biden, but... 1% of districts counted.
 
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cullennz said:
This is just confusing the **** out of me.

Is the ratio popular votes?

And if so what is the electoral current ratio?

And how do you know how many electoral college votes each state has and which even matter by numbers?
Click to expand...

Each state has as many electoral college votes as it has Senators + House Representatives. Most states are all-or-nothing, they give ALL electoral college votes to whoever gets the most votes in that state. The snake chart on 538 shows how many EC votes each state has, if that helps.
 
Safe-Keeper said:
Lots of results coming in, Biden has 85 electoral votes so far to Trump's 55.

Fingers crossed for PA.
Click to expand...

Meaningless. As I can't (and don't really wish to) keep up with the thread, I shall now go sit in the other room with a glass of red plonk and a bottle of water and read a crappy historical novel on Kindle.

My watching or not watching will make not the slightest difference. Nor will my vote.
 
cullennz said:
This is just confusing the **** out of me.

Is the ratio popular votes?

And if so what is the electoral current ratio?

And how do you know how many electoral college votes each state has and which even matter by numbers?
Click to expand...

Basics: Each state gets electors equal to its total number of representatives plus its two senators for a total of 538 electoral votes. A candidate has to get at least 270 to win.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Electoral_College

Edited to add: Yes, plus three for D.C.
 
I'm not sure why people think it's so complicated. An Electoral College is just plain ol' common sense if you're retarded.
 
Trebuchet said:
Meaningless. As I can't (and don't really wish to) keep up with the thread, I shall now go sit in the other room with a glass of red plonk and a bottle of water and read a crappy historical novel on Kindle.
Click to expand...
Probably a far better decision than following every tiniest scrap of news. But I can't tear my eyes away from the coverage.

Have a nice read, and enjoy your glass of red :) .

Trebuchet said:
My watching or not watching will make not the slightest difference.
Click to expand...
Very true.
 
Apparently Trump is doing strongly among Cuban Americans in Florida.

Looks like Biden can write off any hope of winning Florida. Nate Silver had a post showing that he was doing slightly better among older voters though. The Cuban American thing is mainly a Florida thing, so it might not mean much when it comes to other states.
 
To poke at something quite sigh-worthy -

BREAKING: USPS fails to meet deadline set by U.S. District Judge Emmet Sullivan to sweep facilities and immediately deliver remaining mail ballots. As of this week, USPS said there were some 300,000 ballots that lacked a delivery scan
Click to expand...

Not evenly distributed, either, apparently.

Data recently disclosed as part of ongoing lawsuits against the agency show some alarming delivery rates. On 30 October, the agency reported delivering just 72.8% of ballots on time in the Detroit postal district, according to the Washington Post, which could make a big difference in the election.
Click to expand...
 
So Florida is in the Trump column.

Three to go:

Ohio looking okay so far for Biden with 45% showing.
Georgia uncertain so far
NC war too early
 
Bit odd how all the states polls stop at different times.

Personally think people watching the current results might be influenced.
 
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