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Sweden's liberal pandemic strategy questioned as Stockholm death toll mounts

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It's not so unbelievable. How much sense does it make to declare a highly contagious and globally endemic virus "eliminated", in the context of a tyrannical closed-border strategy that is utterly unsustainable in perpetuity?


What makes a (more or less) closed border "tyrannical"? Can you do away with the hyperbole for the argument's sake? And who wants to sustain it "in perpetuity"? Nobody I've heard of.

It makes zero sense. Because the moment the borders open, the virus will ravage New Zealand, and they will, having resided in an "island bubble", have no antibodies.


So your solution is to let the virus ravage NZ now rather than later when it can no longer ravage anything because people will have been vaccinated against it. That sounds really tempting!

The virus will rage on there like it has in Sweden, with more or less the same direct consequences, while NZ has suffered from all of the indirect economic/social consequences from the hysterical (and tyrannical) response from the beginning and until the end.


What exactly are these economic/social consequences from a hysterical (and tyrannical) response you are talking about? Tell us more about them! And tell us how they are worse than Sweden's economic/social consequences from letting the virus rage!
NZ is on the verge of having eliminated the virus again, which means that they have done it twice. And there is no reason to assume that they won't be able to do it a third and a fourth time, too. You are the one who claims that it is inevitable that it will rage and ravage NZ the way it did Sweden, but you fail to notice that NZ has already proven you wrong twice!
It is as ridiculous as when Anders Tegnell declared that what NZ had done was "impossible" when they eliminated the virus the first time.

At some point the hapless NZ politicians will have to make the Hobson's choice and "let it rip", when it becomes clear to all that the costs of total quarantine for a virus with a .6% kill rate is asinine.


NZ politicians will have to do nothing of the kind while Swedish politicians will still be dreaming of their coveted natural herd immunity that will for ever be just behind the horizon only to disappear when they have deluded themselves and their citizens into thinking that they have arrived.
 
The quality of life here is ******* great. You wouldn't believe how ******* great it is. I'm self-employed. And when we went into lockdown the government I qualified for the (self-employed version of) the wage subsidy. That meant my business was able to stay alive while the country came to a halt. We've been out of Level 4 since April. No social distancing, no masks required now, no limits on crowd sizes, life is back to pre-covid normal for me and most other New Zealanders. And business is booming.

I appreciate the anecdote, but how do you explain this:

‘We felt we had beaten it’: New Zealand’s race to eliminate the coronavirus again

Where exactly do you live? Do all New Zealander's have your glowing opinion of Ardern? Can anyone else from NZ or AU weigh in here?

So don't worry about my quality of life. How is yours right now?

I live in Fernandina Beach, Florida. Life is pretty good. I play poker at a large poker room in Jacksonville, and I also enjoy playing blackjack on a casino cruise out of Brunswick, Georgia. Masks are required at the poker room, and they spray down and clean chairs and table sections of players as they leave. On the cruise in Georgia, they have a considerably more liberal approach as masks are not required (and barely worn) by patrons, and are required for employees. Just last night I noticed several people hacking and coughing, probably sick from Covid. One of them, a dealer, is a friend of mine, and I had no reservations talking with him at close distance since I'd had the virus in June, and then cleared it with vitamins. I have absolutely no fear of the virus at all, I just have to deal with the consequences of paranoid, irrational people.

The only thing stopping me leaving New Zealand is the fact that most of the rest of the world haven't really got a handle on Covid-19. The thought of leaving here and travelling to a Covid-infested hellhole like the United States of America hold little appeal. There are more people with Covid from the Whitehouse Cluster than the entirety of New Zealand.

Since Covid is mostly a sad joke (the response to which has been anything but funny), I have to take your comment about "covid infested hellhole" about as seriously as you take my comment about New Zealand being tyrannical.

And as a New Zealand citizen I have the right of return to New Zealand as well. I would have to go through 14 days in Managed Isolation: but our Managed Isolation Facilities are all high-end hotels, so that wouldn't be the worst thing. And staying in Managed Isolation would be doing my part to keep the country safe. So not a problem at all.

As far as I know, there are still travel bans to New Zealand for foreigners, correct me if I'm wrong. I would be pretty upset if I had to spend two weeks of my life in a Covid prison upon returning to my country. Perhaps we have dramatically different values.

Fortunately New Zealand has lost zero jobs to hysteria.

We have lost jobs due to the fact that the world is currently at the start of a global pandemic: but New Zealand isn't alone with that. And the last quarterly unemployment figures were much better than expected.

https://www.stats.govt.nz/indicators/unemployment-rate

4.0%: down .2% from the last quarter, much lower than forecast (6-8%) and pretty much matched the figure from the same time last year. Compared to Australia (7.4) and the US (11.1) I think we have much less to worry about than much of the rest of the world.

The US labor participation rate is only about 63%, which means our 11.1% unemployment statistic is a government fabrication. I don't know whether NZ's is any more credible.

Jacinda Ardern is going to win the next election in a landslide. Because the thing that the elimination strategy has given us is hope. We haven't lost thousands of people to the virus. We don't have thousands more that will have to live with debilitating illness for the rest of their lives. Where do you get this idea that we have no hope here?



LOL.

https://twitter.com/search?q=#nzhellhole&src=typed_query

New Zealand is quite the tyrannical hell hole LOL.

Here is the Covid-19 Stringency Index. It measure the degree of school closures,
workplace closures, and travel bans in place, I've compared New Zealand to Australia, India, the UK, the US and Sweden.

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/...01-22..latest&country=IND~NZL~GBR~USA~AUS~SWE

Can you see where we currently measure on the index? We are significantly lower than "the land of the free and the home of the brave" the United States of America. We are lower than the UK. We are even lower than the "bastion' of freedom that inspired this thread, Sweden.

There seems to be a hysteria that New Zealand is a tyrannical hellhole. The reality couldn't be further from this.

With all due respect, New Zealand is a tiny island, with a tiny population. The United States is a massive country with a 330M population, and massive, mostly porous borders. It's completely unreasonable to compare disease intervention strategies between the two countries, as it is for many countries, for a variety of different reasons as have been listed on this thread. Here is a "lol" worthy BBC article about when New Zealand became Covid free, the first time, dated July 10th:

How did New Zealand become Covid-19 free?

Note that on Feb 2nd, Ardern initiated a blanket travel ban for all foreigners, along with the 14 day mandatory quarantine for nationals. Just a few days earlier on Jan 31st, US president Trump had already initiated the Chinese travel ban, a step which was condemned by his presidential rival Joe Biden as "xenophobic". Clearly, by Ardern's standards it was not even close to xenophobic enough! I am neither a Trump nor Biden supporter nor will I be voting in the next election, but this clearly illustrates the hypocrisy in criticism for Trump's, and more appropriately the USA's national policy re: Covid-19. If only we all resided all small island nations with would be dictators and populations of only ~4.8 million. How does New Zealand compare to North Korea, where Kim Jung Un executes suspected Covid-19 carriers summarily? Sometimes, you just have to kill people in order to save them, I guess.
Which ones do you think we should be using?

As I mentioned before, I think we should be using quality-of-life-years, instead of mortality statistics. I think it's important to understand the aggregate costs of both the virus itself, and the polices made in response.

Well that's the thing. I'm not really a fan of genocide.

Many of them aren't knocking on death's door. And even if they were it would be criminal to expose them to a global pandemic for almost zero material gain. 1 in 5 Maori and Pacific people (among 45-64 year olds) have diabetes compared to 1 in 20 NZ Europeans. If Covid were to be let loose here it would disproportionately target those communities, almost all of them of working age and almost none of them "at death's door."

Would it be criminal, in your estimation, to weld people into their homes, as the Chinese did in Wuhan, or execute people, as in North Korea? Can you name a cost that is too great to bear in order to save these people? How about $50k NZD per citizen. Maybe $100k NZD? What response would you consider "inappropriate"? Remember, you live on a tiny island, so what works there probably isn't appropriate or will work everywhere else.

We can actually test this. As we've already discussed: the virus did manage to get in again recently. It spread in the community for a number of days before it was detected.

What didn't happen was the virus ravaged the country. Because that isn't how any of this works. There isn't a country in the world that is close to herd immunity. We've just witnessed the Whitehouse Cluster and we can see how fast it has spread and its spreading not for a lack of antibodies, but because the Whitehouse has not instituted any pandemic controls. Not enough testing and the wrong type of testing. No masks. No mandatory self-isolation for 14 days. No contact tracing. No deep cleaning. The Whitehouse Cluster is a cluster-****.

The Whitehouse isn't and won't be a *********** because the disease is more of a joke than it is catastrophic. It's killed only one-sixth of the people in the US in 2020 than died of cancer and heart disease combined, and it's projected to kill no more than about one-forth of that number by year's end (roughly 300,000 people in the US). A tragedy, to be certain, but far from the end of the world. I'm sure it will get even worse by the time this is over, but it still doesn't justify the hysteria.

The virus will ravage a country that doesn't have an appropriate pandemic response. "Hoping for enough antibodies" is not an appropriate pandemic response. In New Zealand we had the ability to substantially ramp up testing, tracing and isolation overnight and I'd take that response over "antibodies" any day to keep New Zealand safe.

Planning to keep a blanket travel ban on foreigners in perpetuity? We shall see how that works. I value your anecdote and I believe you when you say you appreciate NZ's Covid strategy, I'm just not entirely convinced you speak for all, or even most NZ'ers.

For the record: Tippit appears to be in favour of killing 29,000 New Zealanders for no apparent material benefit. Is that because you enjoy watching people die, or is there another reason you would like to share with us?

In truth, I am more interested in watching people live freely. Death is inevitable for all of us. Living in fear is not.
 
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What makes a (more or less) closed border "tyrannical"? Can you do away with the hyperbole for the argument's sake? And who wants to sustain it "in perpetuity"? Nobody I've heard of.

I'm saying that declaring an endemic virus "eliminated" in the context of a closed border (which is ultimately unsustainable) is ridiculous.

So your solution is to let the virus ravage NZ now rather than later when it can no longer ravage anything because people will have been vaccinated against it. That sounds really tempting!

I'm not arrogant enough to truly criticize NZ's policy, because due to the totality of factors, maybe it's working for them and will prove fantastic once an efficacious vaccine is produced. It's their business, and only they can tell. It's perhaps too early even for them to judge. The long term economic and social consequences of a national border closing have not arrived yet.

What exactly are these economic/social consequences from a hysterical (and tyrannical) response you are talking about? Tell us more about them! And tell us how they are worse than Sweden's economic/social consequences from letting the virus rage!

NZ is on the verge of having eliminated the virus again, which means that they have done it twice. And there is no reason to assume that they won't be able to do it a third and a fourth time, too. You are the one who claims that it is inevitable that it will rage and ravage NZ the way it did Sweden, but you fail to notice that NZ has already proven you wrong twice!
It is as ridiculous as when Anders Tegnell declared that what NZ had done was "impossible" when they eliminated the virus the first time.

As I alluded to earlier, I'm not impressed, given their island status, and draconian ban. Do you think the NZ strategy would be "successful" in a country like the US with nearly 10,000,000 km2?

NZ politicians will have to do nothing of the kind while Swedish politicians will still be dreaming of their coveted natural herd immunity that will for ever be just behind the horizon only to disappear when they have deluded themselves and their citizens into thinking that they have arrived.

Lets judge them when everyone gets fed up and the travel bans are rescinded, and the virus is re-introduced constantly. The government apparently can't even quarantine properly, which was the reason for the 2nd "elimination"!
 
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...you asked about "quality of life." If you knew anything about what was happening here you would know that my anecdote is not an uncommon one.

And congrats on finding an article from a couple of months ago! You sure have great skills with the google. But what is it exactly do you want me to explain?

Where exactly do you live? Do all New Zealander's have your glowing opinion of Ardern? Can anyone else from NZ or AU weigh in here?

For your information Australia is not the same country as New Zealand. Australians are welcome to weigh in if they like of course, but their opinions matter as much as my opinion of Donald Trump or Boris Johnson.

And Ardern completely trounces the opposition.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opini...and_general_election#Preferred_Prime_Minister

I live in Fernandina Beach, Florida. Life is pretty good. I play poker at a large poker room in Jacksonville, and I also enjoy playing blackjack on a casino cruise out of Brunswick, Georgia. Masks are required at the poker room, and they spray down and clean chairs and table sections of players as they leave. On the cruise in Georgia, they have a considerably more liberal approach as masks are not required (and barely worn) by patrons, and are required for employees. Just last night I noticed several people hacking and coughing, probably sick from Covid. One of them, a dealer, is a friend of mine, and I had no reservations talking with him at close distance since I'd had the virus in June, and then cleared it with vitamins. I have absolutely no fear of the virus at all, I just have to deal with the consequences of paranoid, irrational people.

Sounds much more tyrannical than here.

Since Covid is mostly a sad joke (the response to which has been anything but funny), I have to take your comment about "covid infested hellhole" about as seriously as you take my comment about New Zealand being tyrannical.

Over 200,000 Americans are dead due to Covid. The President of the United States is in hospital and many senior members of the administration are out of action all because of a "sad joke."

That doesn't appear to be a joke to me.

As far as I know, there are still travel bans to New Zealand for foreigners,

I answered your original question as asked.

correct me if I'm wrong. I would be pretty upset if I had to spend two weeks of my life in a Covid prison upon returning to my country.

A hotel room with room service isn't a prison.


Perhaps we have dramatically different values.

That appears to be the case!!!

The US labor participation rate is only about 63%, which means our 11.1% unemployment statistic is a government fabrication.

LOL.

I don't know whether NZ's is any more credible.

its as credible as its always been.

With all due respect, New Zealand is a tiny island, with a tiny population. The United States is a massive country with a 330M population, and massive, mostly porous borders. It's completely unreasonable to compare disease intervention strategies between the two countries, as it is for many countries, for a variety of different reasons as have been listed on this thread.

It is a completely reasonable thing to do. Covid was here and if we had adopted the same policies as America then yes, thousands of people would have died. It is unreasonable to believe that widespread use of masks, ramping up of a nationwide testing and tracing regime along with widespread distribution of PPE and needed equipment wouldn't have made a substantial change to the death toll in America.

Here is a "lol" worthy BBC article about when New Zealand became Covid free, the first time, dated July 10th:

How did New Zealand become Covid-19 free?

Note that on Feb 2nd, Ardern initiated a blanket travel ban for all foreigners, along with the 14 day mandatory quarantine for nationals. Just a few days earlier on Jan 31st, US president Trump had already initiated the Chinese travel ban, a step which was condemned by his presidential rival Joe Biden as "xenophobic". Clearly, by Ardern's standards it was not even close to xenophobic enough!

I really don't give a **** what Joe Biden said. Why do you think that petty partisan politics in America should dictate what we decide to do here?


I am neither a Trump nor Biden supporter nor will I be voting in the next election, but this clearly illustrates the hypocrisy in criticism for Trump's, and more appropriately the USA's national policy re: Covid-19.

A single statement by a private citizen doesn't "clearly illustrate hypocrisy." This is ridiculous both-sideism. Trump's travel ban was ineffective, badly planned and caused more problems than it solved.


If only we all resided all small island nations with would be dictators and populations of only ~4.8 million.

If only we resided in one of the powerful nations in the world, home of 621 billionaires, that spends over 600 billion on its military budget, that put a man on the moon, that has the resources to do almost anything it wanted too. What better place to wait out a global pandemic?

How does New Zealand compare to North Korea, where Kim Jung Un executes suspected Covid-19 carriers summarily? Sometimes, you just have to kill people in order to save them, I guess.

How do we compare?

Pretty ******* well actually.

As I mentioned before, I think we should be using quality-of-life-years, instead of mortality statistics. I think it's important to understand the aggregate costs of both the virus itself, and the polices made in response.

You can do as you wish.


Would it be criminal, in your estimation, to weld people into their homes, as the Chinese did in Wuhan, or execute people, as in North Korea?

I'm perfectly happy with what we are doing here in New Zealand thanks. You are welcome to criticize those regimes as you wish.

Can you name a cost that is too great to bear in order to save these people?

Not really. I'm not into playing dumb hypotheticals that mean nothing in reality.

How about $50k NZD per citizen. Maybe $100k NZD? What response would you consider "inappropriate"?

What would I consider inappropriate? Allowing 29,000 people to die.

Remember, you live on a tiny island, so what works there probably isn't appropriate or will work everywhere else.

The protocol of test-trace-isolation isn't reliant on being a tiny island and has been used for decades in combating infectious viruses and disease.

The Whitehouse isn't and won't be a *********** because the disease is more of a joke than it is catastrophic.

Its already a cluster-****. The president is in hospital. The Whitehouse is an infectious epicentre and still hasn't been deep cleaned. No proper contact tracing efforts. Many have had to self-isolate. This is having a significant impact.

It's killed only one-sixth of the people in the US in 2020 than died of cancer and heart disease combined, and it's projected to kill no more than about one-forth of that number by year's end (roughly 300,000 people in the US).

Your consistent efforts to make Covid-19 sound like it isn't as bad as it really is is noted.

A tragedy, to be certain, but far from the end of the world. I'm sure it will get even worse by the time this is over, but it still doesn't justify the hysteria.

There isn't any hysteria.

Planning to keep a blanket travel ban on foreigners in perpetuity? We shall see how that works.

That isn't the plan.

I value your anecdote and I believe you when you say you appreciate NZ's Covid strategy, I'm just not entirely convinced you speak for all, or even most NZ'ers.

You've been wrong many times in this thread. It should come as no surprise that you are wrong, yet again.

https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/he...ation-strategy-over-less-restrictive-response

(For those that don't want to click the link, it goes to an article titled "Kiwis overwhelmingly back elimination strategy over less restrictive response")

In truth, I am more interested in watching people live freely. Death is inevitable for all of us. Living in fear is not.

No comment on the stringency index then? the index that shows New Zealanders are living more freely than in Sweden, Australia and the United States? No comment on that we are not, in fact, living in fear?
 
I'm saying that declaring an endemic virus "eliminated" in the context of a closed border (which is ultimately unsustainable) is ridiculous.

...as has been cited multiple times in this thread, elimination has a clear epidemiological definition and New Zealand met that definition so its the quibble over the use of the word that is ridiculous, not the actual strategy.

As I alluded to earlier, I'm not impressed, given their island status, and draconian ban. Do you think the NZ strategy would be "successful" in a country like the US with nearly 10,000,000 km2?

The borders aren't the problem in the US. The Whitehouse Cluster didn't happen because of a failure at the border. Elimination isn't an approach I would use in the United States. But that doesn't mean there aren't lessons the US could learn from here.

Lets judge them when everyone gets fed up and the travel bans are rescinded, and the virus is re-introduced constantly.

Anytime most of us start to get a big "fed up" with our restrictions, we only have to look at what is happening in the rest of the world to be reminded that, no, it really isn't that bad here at all.

The government apparently can't even quarantine properly, which was the reason for the 2nd "elimination"!

The government has made it plainly clear from the outset that resurgence can happen any time, that quarantine isn't full-proof, and sometimes **** happens.

And we don't know if it was a failure of quarantine that resulted in the Americold cluster. There was no epidemiological or genomic link to any cases in managed isolation, to any of the workers at the borders, or to any old cases. So I really don't think you are the best person to judge whether or not our government can even "quarantine properly" when you don't really know the basics of the thing you are talking about.
 
A Swedish doctor disagrees with the mathematician Tom Britton:


The corona numbers for the Stockholm Region are probably due to an ”actual increase” in the number of cases, says the doctor of infectious disease prevention Maria Rotzén Östlund.
– It’s a little crowded in the city, I can tell you. People don’t keep a distance of two meters, she tells Svenska Dagbladet.
Doctor of infectious disease prevention: An ”actual increase”

She doesn't say that the number of actual cases is as high as in April, May and June, but she does say that the number of new cases is rising.

Just passing thru.

Caught this yesterday from ZDoggMD youtube.



Says a few good things about Sweden @ 6:49, although it's mostly about superspreading based on this Atlantic article (https://zdoggmd.com/superspreaders/) which I have yet to read. Not sure if I buy all of it but I thought you might be interested.

You might remember ZDoggMD from his review of Plandemic.

 
LATEST UPDATE. according to WHO Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19),
Data last updated: 2020/10/4, 3:38pm CEST

Newly reported cases in the last 24 hours:

U.S. 49,465
Australia 8
Sweden 0
Denmark 370
New Zealand 5

Pay particular attention to the numbers in both Australia and New Zealand, keeping in mind that the population of Australia is 25 million while that of NZ is only 5 milliion.

Although Sweden seems to have maintained its “eliminated” status, New Zealand on the other hand is experiencing a rush of new cases of the virus and has (as clearly noted by the increase of cases) failed in "eliminating" the virus for a 5th time. :eek: Or is it only the 4th time? Never mind. It’s all irrelevant actually because the statistics are being fiddled with on a daily basis. Yet the human species of animal so much WANTS to believe something. Oh look! Sweden and New Zealand have beat the virus! while other are saying, Neither Sweden nor New Zealand has ever had a day of 0 transmissions since the pandemic hit. Never!

In an effort to facilitate trust in the numbers some have gone so far as to redefine vocabulary. “Eliminate” doesn’t mean “elimination” any longer. It now only means a temporary absence within a tiny circumference. Anyway, these above are the latest statistics and they prove or disprove just about everything you WANT to believe. :)
 
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Although Sweden seems to have maintained its “eliminated” status,


Sweden never seemed to have eliminated the virus. Not even Tegnell&Giesecke were ever this deluded or dishonest.

New Zealand on the other hand is experiencing a rush of new cases of the virus and has (as clearly noted by the increase of cases) failed in "eliminating" the virus for a 5th time. :eek: Or is it only the 4th time?


And New Zealand isn't "experiencing a rush of new cases":

There is one new confirmed case of COVID-19 to report from managed isolation in New Zealand today and no new confirmed cases in the community.
The person who has tested positive arrived from Hong Kong on 1 October and returned a positive test as part of routine testing at around day 3. They have been transferred to the Auckland quarantine facility.
Our total number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 is 1,499, which is the number we report to the World Health Organization.
Two previously reported cases are now considered to have recovered, meaning our total number of active cases is 40.
Of these active cases, 34 are imported cases in MIQ facilities, and six are community cases.
1 new case of COVID-19 (health.govt.nz, [hilte]Oct. 5[/hilite], 2020)


Where's the rush?!

Never mind. It’s all irrelevant actually because the statistics are being fiddled with on a daily basis.


CC seems to think that because he is fiddling on a daily basis, it proves something about the rest of the world.
No, the statistics are not really fiddled with by anybody but you, and I have to defend Sweden against your accusations: It was made very clear by the National Health Agency that they wouldn't make any coronavirus data public on weekends, and a few days ago, they told us that, due to difficulties with getting the numbers in on Mondays, they would now only present the new numbers Tuesday to Friday.
It would help if WHO presented the Swedish statistics Saturday to Monday as, 'No new data today,' but that also has nothing to do with fiddling.

Yet the human species of animal so much WANTS to believe something.


CC's posts are proof positive of that. He doesn't recognize the many ways that other members of the race succeed in overcoming that desire, sometimes by means of agreed-upon procedures and protocols: random sampling, double or triple-blinding, or peer reviewing, for instance.

Oh look! Sweden and New Zealand have beat the virus! while other are saying, Neither Sweden nor New Zealand has ever had a day of 0 transmissions since the pandemic hit. Never!


Nobody but CC says that Sweden has beat the virus. Nobody but CC thinks that Sweden is going to eliminate the virus until there is a vaccine, and the leading Swedish epidemiologists claim that Sweden as well as the rest of the world will never eliminate the virus, but this belief serves a purpose: to justify the Swedish herd-immunity strategy.
New Zealand had months of 0 transmission since the virus was eliminated the first time. CC's obvious lie: "Never!" also serves a purpose: to justify his conspiracy theory that everybody else also fiddles with the data.

In an effort to facilitate trust in the numbers some have gone so far as to redefine vocabulary. “Eliminate” doesn’t mean “elimination” any longer. It now only means a temporary absence within a tiny circumference. Anyway, these above are the latest statistics and they prove or disprove just about everything you WANT to believe. :)


And again, CC shows us how he manipulates the latest statistics to mean what he wants them to believe, which he takes as proof that everybody else is doing the same thing: 'I lie, so everybody is a liar.'
 
Sunday:
Coronavirus - countries (Worldometers, Oct. 4, 2020)
Deaths per million (Total deaths) New cases Serious/Critical
Sweden: 583 (5,895) 752* 22** *according to SVT.se ** according to SVT.se No new numbers reported Saturday, Sunday and Monday.
Denmark: 113 (658) 378 33 Four deaths!!!
Finland: 62 (345) 147 4
Norway: 51 (275) 95 3
Iceland: 29 (10) 49 3
Iceland has 634 active cases, Faroe Islands 39, New Zealand 41.
The Faroe Islands have 143 in quarantine, 1 hospitalized.
 
Thank you! It always makes an otherwise tedious discussion bearable when my opponent comes up with references to prove me right! :)

Hopefully I can put an end to this "eliminate" nonsense. According to google:
e·lim·i·nate
/əˈliməˌnāt/

verb
verb: eliminate; 3rd person present: eliminates; past tense: eliminated; past participle: eliminated; gerund or present participle: eliminating
completely remove or get rid of (something).
"a policy that would eliminate inflation"

Clearly, context matters here, and we need to qualify exactly where the virus has (presumably) been eliminated, which is apparently New Zealand. Accepting the premise, it's logically possible that New Zealand eliminated the virus (from New Zealand). It's also logically possible that New Zealand either failed at testing, or had the virus re-introduced from abroad from other returning and contagious New Zealanders, and then "eliminated" it, again (from New Zealand).

So now that that is settled, lets examine the question of whether it is meaningful that some tiny nation surrounded by water with a national population that is half that of any world class city, and undergoing an unsustainable travel ban into perpetuity (with the hopes of holding out for a vaccine, obviously) has eliminated the virus (from New Zealand).

I submit that it doesn't mean a damn thing. Am I supposed to be impressed? And what if, not unlike every other coronavirus in history, it turns out that there won't be any successful vaccine. When do they open the airport to foreigners, and stop jailing their own returning citizens for two weeks? And when that happens, with no antibodies or natural immunity, what if they suffer all of the actual viral consequences that virtually every other country has had to suffer, on top of the lockdowns, quarantines, and shuttering of the country? Will it have even remotely have been worth it? Not even close.

New Zealand is engaged in a gambit that I predict will ultimately fail.
 
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...can somebody translate this for me? It doesn't appear to be english (just a bunch of words mish-mashed together), and it doesn't appear to make any sense, and it doesn't seem to relate to anything we've said in this thread. Thanks in advance.


Apparently, Sweden eliminates the virus several times a week when it doesn't report any data? :boggled:


No me, neither
 
Hopefully I can put an end to this "eliminate" nonsense. According to google:


Clearly, context matters here, and we need to qualify exactly where the virus has (presumably) been eliminated, which is apparently New Zealand. Accepting the premise, it's logically possible that New Zealand eliminated the virus (from New Zealand). It's also logically possible that New Zealand either failed at testing, or had the virus re-introduced from abroad from other returning and contagious New Zealanders, and then "eliminated" it, again (from New Zealand).

So now that that is settled, lets examine the question of whether it is meaningful that some tiny nation surrounded by water with a national population that is half that of any world class city, and undergoing an unsustainable travel ban into perpetuity (with the hopes of holding out for a vaccine, obviously) has eliminated the virus (from New Zealand).

I submit that it doesn't mean a damn thing. Am I supposed to be impressed? And what if, not unlike every other coronavirus in history, it turns out that there won't be any successful vaccine. When do they open the airport to foreigners, and stop jailing their own returning citizens for two weeks? And when that happens, with no antibodies or natural immunity, what if they suffer all of the actual viral consequences that virtually every other country has had to suffer, on top of the lockdowns, quarantines, and shuttering of the country? Will it have even remotely have been worth it? Not even close.

New Zealand is engaged in a gambit that I predict will ultimately fail.


OK, What about Taiwan? Or South Korea? Or Vietnam?

Only one is an island. All are more densely populated than Sweden.

I've made a graph of total deaths per 100k of population for the Scandinavian countries, the US, Israel, and South Korea.

Screenshot 2020-10-05 081739.jpg
 
Hopefully I can put an end to this "eliminate" nonsense.


No, I'm afraid you can't. I already finished off CC's "eliminate" nonsense in post 2243:

CC desperately needs to be right about something, since he has so far been proven wrong about the coronavirus and Sweden's liberal pandemic strategy, but he only manages to make it apparent that he doesn't know that it is a good idea to look a word up in a dictionary before beginning to pontificate about its meaning.

verb
verb: eliminate; 3rd person present: eliminates; past tense: eliminated; past participle: eliminated; gerund or present participle: eliminating
1.
completely remove or get rid of (something).
"a policy that would eliminate inflation"Similar: remove, get rid of, abolish, put an end to, do away with, banish, end, stop, terminate, eradicate, destroy, annihilate, stamp out, obliterate, wipe out, extinguish, quash, finish off, give something the chop, knock something on the head
2.
expel (waste matter) from the body.
"this diet claims to eliminate toxins from the body"


I guess, Google will have to correct its dictionary to satisfy CC since "a policy that would eliminate inflation" obviously wouldn't eliminate it for all eternity and in every country in the world. If it had been entirely eliminated only to reappear five years later, CC would be telling the people responsible for the first elimination that they never eliminated it at all.


And you are much too late with this one, too:

New Zealand is engaged in a gambit that I predict will ultimately fail.


Anders Tegnell already predicted that New Zealand's 'gambit' couldn't be done. It's the reason why he declared that it was "impossible" when NZ succeeded the first time!
 
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Apparently, Sweden eliminates the virus several times a week when it doesn't report any data? :boggled:


No me, neither

Yes, that’s the way I read it too. Sweden has “eliminated” the virus dozens of times. What idiots the rest of the world are....;)
 
Hopefully I can put an end to this "eliminate" nonsense. According to google:

Clearly, context matters here, and we need to qualify exactly where the virus has (presumably) been eliminated, which is apparently New Zealand. Accepting the premise, it's logically possible that New Zealand eliminated the virus (from New Zealand). It's also logically possible that New Zealand either failed at testing, or had the virus re-introduced from abroad from other returning and contagious New Zealanders, and then "eliminated" it, again (from New Zealand).

...LOL.

Context does matter. Which means we should be looking at the epidemiological definition, not the standard dictionary definition.

Vaccine Safety Basics said:
Elimination:

Reduction to zero (or a very low defined target rate) of new cases of an infectious disease in a defined geographical area as a result of deliberate efforts; continued measures to prevent re-establishment of transmission are required. refers to the reduction to zero (or a very low defined target rate) of new cases in a defined geographical area.

https://vaccine-safety-training.org...o the complete,in a defined geographical area.

Elimination is applied to a defined geographical area. it doesn't have to reduce to zero, you can eliminate and have a very low defined rate. And you can eliminate and have a resurgence, which is what happened in August.

So now that that is settled,

LOL.

lets examine the question of whether it is meaningful that some tiny nation surrounded by water with a national population that is half that of any world class city, and undergoing an unsustainable travel ban into perpetuity (with the hopes of holding out for a vaccine, obviously) has eliminated the virus (from New Zealand).

I submit that it doesn't mean a damn thing. Am I supposed to be impressed? And what if, not unlike every other coronavirus in history, it turns out that there won't be any successful vaccine. When do they open the airport to foreigners, and stop jailing their own returning citizens for two weeks? And when that happens, with no antibodies or natural immunity, what if they suffer all of the actual viral consequences that virtually every other country has had to suffer, on top of the lockdowns, quarantines, and shuttering of the country? Will it have even remotely have been worth it? Not even close.

...the pivot from " YOU NEED TO SACRIFICE 29,000 (not 30,000, we must be accurate here) LIVES TO THE ALTER OF THE COVID GODS OR YOUR ECONOMY WILL DIEEEE!!!" to "Well it looks like both your economy is doing as well as it could and you did that without losing many lives, but you are an island so its easy and YOU DON'T MATTER ANY MORE" really is a sight to behold.

I'm glad it doesn't mean a damn thing to you, hopefully you will forget New Zealand exists and will never speak of us again. The less notice the world takes of us the better.

New Zealand is engaged in a gambit that I predict will ultimately fail.

We have a saying here in New Zealand.

'Yeah, nah'.

https://www.nzherald.co.nz/lifestyle/news/article.cfm?c_id=6&objectid=12274560
 
OK, What about Taiwan? Or South Korea? Or Vietnam?

Only one is an island. All are more densely populated than Sweden.

I've made a graph of total deaths per 100k of population for the Scandinavian countries, the US, Israel, and South Korea.

View attachment 43188


Don't forget the island of Mongolia. :)
(The population density is even lower than in Sweden, though.)

Worldometers: Reported Cases and Deaths by Country, Territory, or Conveyance
Total Cases: 314
New Cases: 1
Total Deaths: 0
New Deaths: 0
Total Recovered: 307
Active Cases: 7
Serious, Critical: 1
Total cases/1M pop: 95
Deaths 1M pop: 0
Total Tests: 73,671
Tests/1M pop: 22,371

Arcade22 came up with the island argument back in April. It wasn't any better back then, but at least it was new.
 
...the pivot from " YOU NEED TO SACRIFICE 29,000 (not 30,000, we must be accurate here) LIVES TO THE ALTER OF THE COVID GODS OR YOUR ECONOMY WILL DIEEEE!!!" to "Well it looks like both your economy is doing as well as it could and you did that without losing many lives, but you are an island so its easy and YOU DON'T MATTER ANY MORE" really is a sight to behold.


All his arguments for trying to achieve herd-immunity have been shot down, so they can't be his actual reason for being partisan to the Swedish strategy. I wonder why he is so fond of it.
 
All his arguments for trying to achieve herd-immunity have been shot down, so they can't be his actual reason for being partisan to the Swedish strategy. I wonder why he is so fond of it.

And of course, I live on an island and it's managing to make Scandinavia look good. When it gets the data correct.
 
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