I'm in the process of trying out a bunch of different podcasts at the moment to see what sticks. As such I've got a bunch of random episodes from random podcasts just waiting to be listened to. Well, yesterday I listened to one from January entitled "How worried should we be about Coronavirus?" That was an odd trip back in time to take. At the time of the podcast "only a handful" of cases had happened outside of China, and a lot of the talk was about whether or not it would be likely to spread more globally.
Most of the experts they had on were bang on the money. Some of the things they were saying about what we were likely to find out about the virus have been borne out, but a lot of answers from them were, quite rightly, saying that it's too early to make any predictions about what will happen.
But the thing that stood out like a sore thumb to me was from a brief interview with Fauci. Again, almost everything he said was along the same lines as above, but he was asked whether if there was an outbreak in New York (a place seemingly picked at random, rather than because it was considered particularly likely to occur there) whether it could go into lockdown. Fauci was extremely sceptical of the idea. He didn't think it at all likely that anywhere like that (he also mentioned San Fransisco and Los Angeles) could go into lockdown.
That didn't age quite as well as the rest of the podcast.