PartSkeptic’s Thread for Predictions and Other Matters of Interest

[PartSkeptic]

Can you show the science that shows cell phone radiation is capable of actually creating Reactive oxygen species? Because physics, chemistry and biology all show that the energy is not sufficient to do so.

And how do you know that your god actually talks to your rather than it being your own conformation bias? Because your track record for predictions is extremely poor. The whole 'I predicted a pandemic' is, as has been pointed out, en par with predicting earthquakes, tornadoes etc.

The mechanism is that calcium channels in the cellular membrane are affected and incorrectly unbalance the ions. This has a chain reaction to over-produce reactive oxygen species.

God has only "spoken" to me once. And it was like me talking to myself but different enough to think it was not coming from my subconscious without an outside agency.

The fact that it was "confirmed" by my learning of Swine Flu a day later and then having my travel plans changed by unusual weather so that I was forced to fly out of an airport where ten students had Swine Flu and that I flew back to an area where other students had arrived with Swine Flu tells me I was not imagining the message. A week later at the height of the Swine Flu pandemic I "knew" it was not the big one. I was correct. I could have jumped on that "band-wagon" but did not.

This happened in New Zealand. I had gone there from South Africa partly because a clairvoyant told me it was important that I go to a particular area in the South Island. New Zealand is not normally a "hot spot" for pandemics so the importation of Swine Flu was unusual to say the least.

I have not said that any other outbreaks were the start. This current outbreak is pretty much on time and so far am right. And I have also said that this will be very bad in terms of death and social disruption so that a new world order comes about. How many others have predicted that?

As for my "record" you are referring to a distorted version which has been generated to discredit me.

To say to me that I had to give details such as time, date and place and numbers so as to be credible is silly. It is denialism. Should I have to give names of victims in the sequence they died?

 

[RedStapler]

God has only "spoken" to me once. And it was like me talking to myself but different enough to think it was not coming from my subconscious without an outside agency.

Sounds more like you need to talk to a doctor about this

 

[Pixel42]

As for my "record" you are referring to a distorted version which has been generated to discredit me.

Here is the post I made on 12th August 2017 in which I first listed your predictions in order to assess your hit rate:

1. Trump will be chosen as Republican candidate. Status: Hit
2. Trump will win the Presidential election. Status: Hit
3. Trump will be sworn in as President. Status: Hit
4. There will be a very surprising event between 2 and 3. Status: Miss
5. A serious global health problem will be apparent by the end of 2017. Status: Pending
6. Trump will serve a full term. Status: Pending
7. Trump will do well. Status: Pending
8. 5 will be the start of a pandemic that will kill 50% of the population by 2027. Status: Pending
9. The USA will make a nuclear attack on North Korea in September 2017. Status: Pending
10. 9 will not escalate to WW3/war with China. Status: Pending

Current score: 3 hits, 1 miss, 6 pending. Hit rate 75%

Anyone can go back through the thread and verify that you made those predictions, fill in the subsequent hits and misses, and decide for themselves how impressive your hit rate is.

To say to me that I had to give details such as time, date and place and numbers so as to be credible is silly. It is denialism. Should I have to give names of victims in the sequence they died?

To be credible, your prediction only has to be more accurate than would be expected by chance. The more details you give and get right, the less likely it is that you are correct by pure chance.

Here is a typical prediction you made on 1st July 2017:

When the great pandemic occurs later this year, humankind will have a chance to reassess what is important for spiritual growth - and will evolve further. Many human souls (the bad and the useless) will cease to exist rather than be reincarnated.

The only detail you actually give, the date, is wrong. So why would anyone be impressed by it?

 

[Cosmic Yak]

Surely you have figured that "rule" out by now by yourself.

Well, my understanding is that it is a rule you have simply invented, in order to excuse your inability to present any evidence for the existence of this god of yours.

If you do not like it, you can complain to God, but I do not think he will make an allowance for you.

Strange, because he made an allowance for you:

God has only "spoken" to me once. And it was like me talking to myself but different enough to think it was not coming from my subconscious without an outside agency.

Given that your god has these rules that supposedly prevent him from revealing himself, perhaps you could clarify why he chose you, out of all humanity through the whole of recorded history, to break that rule?

Moreover, you claim to know what your god will or will not do. How is this possible? Especially as you said this:

I only get some information, and in a very indirect and weak manner. I cannot be sure. And some information is distorted by my own ego and personality. It is sometimes hard to tell the difference. There is enough to be able to act upon.

Perhaps he would give you personal proof and then have you deal with the frustration of dealing with others who want better proof.

The only proof your god will deign to give me is proof he knows is inadequate. OK.

But God is not petty and vengeful for no good reason.

What good reason is there to be petty and vengeful?

 

[PartSkeptic]

How about this reading from the cards done on 31 January 2020.

Will the current outbreak in China become a deadly global outbreak?

1. Ace of swords up - Yes. With global discord and panic
2. Ace of cups down - This is saying that the virus will be beaten and die down.
3. Ace of pentacles up - This saying it will mutate and come back for another round.

 

[PartSkeptic]

Can you show actual peer reviewed papers?

Yes. Plenty of them. Will do so later. Look up Martin Pall in the mean time. Also Biointiative and Environmental Health Trust.

 

[Pixel42]

How about this reading from the cards done on 31 January 2020.

Will the current outbreak in China become a deadly global outbreak?

1. Ace of swords up - Yes. With global discord and panic
2. Ace of cups down - This is saying that the virus will be beaten and die down.
3. Ace of pentacles up - This saying it will mutate and come back for another round.

If you'd asked me on Jan 31st, those would have been my best guesses too.

 

[gabeygoat]

Fertility rate due to education is not only too slow, it has no effect on the poor countries. By the time climate change slows the birth rate it is already too late.

Sperm counts are decreasing (probably due in large part to electrosmog) but once more too slow.

If there is a God, what would he do to limit the population growth more quickly than current limiting factors but much more quickly? A series of bad pandemics, many resulting from electrosmog. Economic collapse will assist. Only a serious collapse will result in drastic societal change similar to the societal changes brought about by the Black Plague.

If there were a god, he/she could just say, “now there’s just 1 billion people, “ and not have slowly reduce population with pandemics and economic policy

 

[PartSkeptic]

Here is the actual post:

[Post 147]
Author : PartSkeptic
Date : 2nd April 2016 07:34 PM

Predictions as to whether Trump will be President.

Here is what the Tarot cards say: (for fun)

1. Will Trump win the nomination?
Trump has a strong interest in success, and he will win it in a business-like manner. There will be renewed ideas and possible social unrest with labor support for him.

2. Will Trump win the Presidential election?
Trump will pander to the masses, and to the mainstream religions. He will win an emotional victory. But he will face opposition from forces that will not want to recognize him. However, he will bull his way through with determination and achieve cooperation and balance.

3. Repeat. Will he win the election?
It is going to be a tough nasty fight. But yes. There will be fresh opportunities that will open up.

4. Repeat. Will he be sworn in as President?
Trump is going to cause disruption to the old ways. The establishment will be defeated. But yes he will be sworn in.

5. Will Trump stay the full first term?
Yes. He will do the right things. The outcome for the country will be very good.

It just shows what happens when I am someone puts up their own post rather than the actual prediction. I will have a look for those other "predictions". I suspect they are personal opinions - and I make mistakes just as other people do.

That is 4 out of 4 on this very specific one in which the cards and not my cold-readings and guesses are doing the predictions. Number five is pending and I am not sure what constitutes "good for the country". I think he has some basics right - like bringing manufacturing back to the US but I do not like his climate change views, nor his pressure put on Middle East countries that he dislikes.

 

[PartSkeptic]

If you'd asked me on Jan 31st, those would have been my best guesses too.

Mine personal assessment as well.

Except these are "dumb" cards that are doing the predictions. Why are they showing intelligence?

 

[Dr.Sid]

Here is the actual post:

[Post 147]
Author : PartSkeptic
Date : 2nd April 2016 07:34 PM

Predictions as to whether Trump will be President.

Here is what the Tarot cards say: (for fun)

1. Will Trump win the nomination?
Trump has a strong interest in success, and he will win it in a business-like manner. There will be renewed ideas and possible social unrest with labor support for him.

2. Will Trump win the Presidential election?
Trump will pander to the masses, and to the mainstream religions. He will win an emotional victory. But he will face opposition from forces that will not want to recognize him. However, he will bull his way through with determination and achieve cooperation and balance.

3. Repeat. Will he win the election?
It is going to be a tough nasty fight. But yes. There will be fresh opportunities that will open up.

4. Repeat. Will he be sworn in as President?
Trump is going to cause disruption to the old ways. The establishment will be defeated. But yes he will be sworn in.

5. Will Trump stay the full first term?
Yes. He will do the right things. The outcome for the country will be very good.

It just shows what happens when I am someone puts up their own post rather than the actual prediction. I will have a look for those other "predictions". I suspect they are personal opinions - and I make mistakes just as other people do.

That is 4 out of 4 on this very specific one in which the cards and not my cold-readings and guesses are doing the predictions. Number five is pending and I am not sure what constitutes "good for the country". I think he has some basics right - like bringing manufacturing back to the US but I do not like his climate change views, nor his pressure put on Middle East countries that he dislikes.

Dude, who cares ?

 

[PartSkeptic]

So, how do you know it is not a combination of coincidence and confirmation bias?

It could be, if I did not have a history of psychic events. The thread of the events tell a story which makes logical sense.

 

[Pixel42]

Here is the actual post:

Are you suggesting that the list of Hit/Miss statements which I derived from it was incorrect? It looks fine to me. If you were unhappy with it you could have changed/clarified it at the time.

 

[Pixel42]

Mine personal assessment as well.

Except these are "dumb" cards that are doing the predictions. Why are they showing intelligence?

The cards are not showing intelligence, they are drawn randomly and are then being subjectively interpreted by you.

As always, you fail to take into account your own cognitive biases.

 

[PartSkeptic]

The cards are not showing intelligence, they are drawn randomly and are then being subjectively interpreted by you.

As always, you fail to take into account your own cognitive biases.

You show your ignorance of different layouts of Tarot cards.

I used a method in which there is NO interpretation for the basic answers. An Ace up is a Yes and an Ace down is a no. The type of Ace or the types of card in the three card layout give information which is subject to interpretation. One cannot interpret a "bad" card to be a "good" card. One cannot interpret a business or legal card to be a spiritual card.

When I do other layouts for general readings, they are indeed somewhat subject to interpretation - but one cannot get a "good" story from a "bad" story. When the cards clearly seem to be dealing with a husband and anger, one does not interpret them to be about business or legal problems.

By asking a series of questions that all required a YES for Trump I was bucking the odds of getting 3 of postives and 2 negatives. For Trump I was clearly bucking the trend at the time. No-one could have seen what I spelled out.

As for hit ratio you discount ALL my stories of personal readings for myself and others, which over the years has a very high hit rate (greater than 95%). Also I pretty much knew when I was getting a "wrong" answer, and would disregard such layout as not wanting to influence me.

 

[PartSkeptic]

Dude, who cares ?

People who are knowledgeable and like to see the direction society is taking and why. It helps them plan and possibly avoid their own personal disaster. The message from God is that the destruction will not stop until there is change in society.

Resistance (or a lack of concern) results in further destruction. Rather futile to resist God, would you not think?

 

[Pixel42]

You show your ignorance of different layouts of Tarot cards.

An ignorance of which I am proud.

I used a method in which there is NO interpretation for the basic answers. An Ace up is a Yes and an Ace down is a no. The type of Ace or the types of card in the three card layout give information which is subject to interpretation. One cannot interpret a "bad" card to be a "good" card. One cannot interpret a business or legal card to be a spiritual card.

It's impossible for there to be no interpretation going on. Your brain is hardwired to do it.

By asking a series of questions that all required a YES for Trump I was bucking the odds of getting 3 of postives and 2 negatives. For Trump I was clearly bucking the trend at the time. No-one could have seen what I spelled out.

Funny, I seem to recall quite a few people predicting Trump would win, without benefit of Tarot card readings. But it was certainly the minority view, yes, probably because most people just could not believe the American electorate would be that stupid.

As for hit ratio you discount ALL my stories of personal readings for myself and others, which over the years has a very high hit rate (greater than 95%).

I discounted your anecdotal evidence because it was subject to confirmation bias and subjective validation, which are the reasons the scientific method had to be invented. By compiling my list in advance I could eliminate them. Note that I did, in fact, credit you with Hits for the predictions you are now bragging about, because you did indeed make them before the events in question and they were sufficiently closed to interpretation to be clear Hits.

Did you do as you said you were going to, and check back to see where the rest of my list came from? Several came from this post:

Since none of you are any good at Tarot cards, I thought I would use them to ask questions.

1. Will there be significant conflict between the US and NK in the next six months? - Yes.

2. Will it escalate to include China? - No.

3. Will a nuke be used? - Yes.

4. In which month? - September 2017

5. Who will use the nuke first? - USA.

Okay that is what the cards say. No interpretation needed. Definite answers.

Why aren't you bragging about the accuracy of that Tarot card reading?

Your "95% accuracy" perception is what always happens when people rely on anecdotal evidence, because they remember the hits and forget the misses. I repeat: it's the reason it was necessary to invent the scientific method.

Also I pretty much knew when I was getting a "wrong" answer, and would disregard such layout as not wanting to influence me.

And here you openly admit the interpretation you just flatly denied, whilst flatly denying it again.

 

[PartSkeptic]

The full post. You can see I was not very confident in the answers - but I do think it was a scenario that was seriously under consideration because I gave my own opinion afterwards, although I did give a nuclear strike a high probability. And yes, it was wrong.

I wonder how much time you have spent on trying to find where I have gone wrong. It is convenient for me to claim that I was pushing the envelope with regard to public testing to prove a point. I recognize that - which is why I am very reluctant to do public testing.

Congratulations - you have lowered my credibility a little. God may have thought I was getting too arrogant and took me down a peg or two.

Since none of you are any good at Tarot cards, I thought I would use them to ask questions.
1. Will there be significant conflict between the US and NK in the next six months? - Yes.
2. Will it escalate to include China? - No.
3. Will a nuke be used? - Yes.
4. In which month? - September 2017
5. Who will use the nuke first? - USA.
Okay that is what the cards say. No interpretation needed. Definite answers.

My take - Just using my logic and not anything else.
A. NK is a threat that has grown quicker than expected.
B. Ignoring it will not make it go away.
C. Conventional war is in NK's favor.
D. Trump does not believe in going in small.
E. A nuclear strike will tell NK and the world that the US means business.
F. China says it will not tolerate a first US strike, but it will not risk war with Trump.
G. If NK does not surrender, more nukes may be threatened/used.
Some other thoughts.
China is okay with NK taking on the US. It may drain the USA and get rid of the NK & SK problem. They may refuse to strike the US in return for a withdrawal of US forces from the region. The US gains and so does China. Trump looks good. The problem is solved for both China and the US. Trump can reduce military spending while looking strong.

 

[PartSkeptic]

I’m wondering whether 5G might be to blame for my diet not working?
I’ve definitely been eating more Mars bars since they put a new mast up nearby

When it comes to diets, any excuse will do for failure.

However, there might be a touch of truth in this one, since stomach discomfort and diarrhea were some of the symptoms I got. I tended to comfort eat to compensate.

Of course, if you were tricky, you would claim that there was no tower. The Telcos in our area used that trick to claim a woman's legal claim for damages was unfounded because the tower had been off for the two weeks that she claimed it had been powered up. I learned who the woman was through the network of anti-tower people, and also learned that she had proof the tower was powered up. They settled her claim and insisted on a gagging order for her but still used the anecdote.

I got the tower next to us powered down for a few months while in the courts. Just before I was due to file an important affidavit they surreptitiously powered up. I had seen a worker at noon and had checked with my meter that the tower was off. I came home that evening and my wife complained of a "tower headache" and asked me to measure. It was indeed on. I got sick because they kept it on for 36 hours, and they used my one day late filing to throw out my interdict. One day - when some delays of months to years are condoned.

The Telcos put forward doctored evidence that the tower was never on, to counter my affidavit and meter reading that I video taped to proof it. I could not believe the judge could accept the doctored evidence. His reasoning was that the company providing the energy usage was a large company and would not lie. I am considering a claim for damages due to perjury because I subsequently analyzed the perjury in detail. The metering company could not alter the City Power invoices showing that power had been used for 36 hours at full power.

ETA: Why would they risk contempt of court to power up? Because my case was so solid, and they had to give the judge an excuse. They knew it would sicken me and probably make me late. The judge hit me with a cost bill that was about 20 times what was typical. I fought it and won because they intervened and did not get leave to join the case. So they got zero costs. In the Taxing court, the attorneys arrived with a trolley of ten large lever arch files. It was a S.L.A.P.P. suit and the Constitutional Court declined to hear the matter. Telco influence goes all the way to the top.

 

[Pixel42]

The full post. You can see I was not very confident in the answers

No, I can't see that at all.

I wonder how much time you have spent on trying to find where I have gone wrong.

Probably 2 or 3 hours in 2017 compiling and posting about the list, maybe another hour or so in the last two days, most of which was spent searching the old thread for the relevant posts (fortunately I remembered the title of the thread).

It was no trouble at all, honest. My pleasure, in fact.

Congratulations - you have lowered my credibility a little.

I doubt that's possible, given how low it was here already.

God may have thought I was getting too arrogant and took me down a peg or two.

No, I'm fairly sure it was The High Pixel of Pixelism who thought and did that.