New telepathy test, the sequel.

Michel H said:
I no longer think the fact that post 1137 and post 1138 have (rather curiously) the same posting times should be considered as serious evidence for my telepathy hypothesis, Reality Check. On this specific point (though not on many others, in my opinion), I think that Loss Leader and Pixel42 have given convincing arguments and explanations. Some kind of rare coincidence may have happened.
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No, it's not rare.

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=12072803#post12072803
http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=12072804#post12072804

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=11894610#post11894610
http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=11894613#post11894613

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=11894893#post11894893
http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=11894895#post11894895

and from this thread

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=11487682#post11487682
http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=11487683#post11487683

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=11493312#post11493312
http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=11493316#post11493316
 
Little 10 Toes said:
No, it's not rare.

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=12072803#post12072803
http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=12072804#post12072804

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=11894610#post11894610
http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=11894613#post11894613

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=11894893#post11894893
http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=11894895#post11894895

and from this thread

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=11487682#post11487682
http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=11487683#post11487683

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=11493312#post11493312
http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?postid=11493316#post11493316
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What makes post 1137 and post 1138 so curious is the fact that the second one is a reply to the first one, and yet they have the same (first) posting times.
 
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Michel H said:
What makes post 1137 and post 1138 so curious is the fact that the second one is a reply to the first one, and yet they have the same posting times.
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No, they don't. My original post had the same time as yours. But my edited post had a several minute difference. For that matter, the timing of my post was anything but random. It was 1:43 p.m. I usually get my kids to school and then visit the forum around 8:00 a.m. I take a nap every day and usually wake up at 12:00 p.m. I then visit the forum until I have to get the kids at 2:00 p.m. I get another chance to post in the evening between 5:00 and 8:00 pm. Then I take a last look just before bed at, like this post, about midnight.

This is borne out by my posting times in this thread. Going backwards from right now, they are:

11:59 am - right after my nap
12:01 am - around midnight
7:32 pm - evening after kids' homework
6:09 pm - evening after kids' homework
1:43 pm - after my nap
12:18 am - around midnight
8:26 pm - evening after kids' homework
7:04 pm - evening after kids' homework
6:55 pm - evening after kids' homework
5:59 pm - evening after kids' homework
2:32 pm - Saturday (no school for the kids) after my nap
5:21 pm - Friday after school (no homework)
4:09 pm - Friday after school ( no homework)

So, the times that I post are anything but random. Thus, it is an error to consider any one post a random trial. There are actually far fewer probable times for me to post than total minutes in a day.
 
Michel H said:
It seems to be a special feature of this forum to always try to distort meanings which are obvious to anybody else.
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Says the only person who disagrees about the meaning of said posts.

Those shares I bought in 'Irony Detector Detector Repairs R Us' are gonna buy me a yacht!
 
Michel H said:
I no longer think the fact that .. should be considered as serious evidence for my telepathy hypothesis, Reality Check. On this specific point (though not on many others, in my opinion), I think that Loss Leader and Pixel42 have given convincing arguments and explanations.
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This is pretty rare and deserves a nod: well done Michel for changing your mind on the matter.
:thumbsup:
 
Results of a new extra-sensory test

I recently conducted a new ESP (extra-sensory perception) or telepathy test on Yahoo Answers. I believe the test was a moderate success.

My question was:
A little extra-sensory test: which text did I write?

I recently wrote and circled one of the following four texts:

(1) human progress

(2) solar, wind and safe nuclear power plants

(3) no nuclear weapon

(4) less military spending

I ask you to say which one I wrote. If you do, you might get the best answer for this question.
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(link: https://answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20191223165542AAdfnoP).

Although five people answered, only two actually participated in the test.

First, Satyrette of Liberty (a member with 7% of best answers on the Yahoo website) replied:
My guess is the first one.
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Then John (22% of best answers) gave the correct answer:
I don't have psychic powers that I know of, but I'm going with (2).
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After I gave him the best answer, he commented:
Woo-hoo! I rescind my previous statement, I am now a proven psychic!
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Of course, some people might point out that, although John did say:
I am now a proven psychic
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,
his comment sounded perhaps a little ironic. The last comment by ioerr is of interest too.

Note that a novelty of this test, compared to some tests I did on this forum years ago, is that it tried to have, let us say, a "social orientation", trying to be kind of a "guiding light" for humanity at a time (in Trump's age) when it may need some guidance. You shouldn't be too surprised if some events reported recently in the news (not necessarily good news) are somehow (in my opinion, at least) related to this modest test.

All comments helpful to improve these kinds of test, or their analyses, are welcome. Please remain polite.
 
I suggest this be merged with your other threads about the exact same "four choice" non-tests where you've been proven wrong and the symptoms of schizophrenia are discussed.
 
RoboTimbo said:
I suggest this be merged with your other threads about the exact same "four choice" non-tests where you've been proven wrong
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I don't remember that anyone proved me wrong (which doesn't mean I cannot make mistakes from time to time). You are welcome to explain what a "real test" would look like (in your opinion). However, I don't think ruling out forced-choice tests (which are pretty standard in parapsychology, see e.g. https://www.ics.uci.edu/~jutts/7-W13/Lecture16RemoteViewing.pdf) would be a good idea.
RoboTimbo said:
... and the symptoms of schizophrenia are discussed.
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Thank for not saying "the symptoms of your schizophrenia". I first misread you.
 
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Michel H said:
I don't remember that anyone proved me wrong (which doesn't mean I cannot make mistakes from time to time).
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You have been demonstrated to be wrong every time. The exact reasons your idiotic test has been proven wrong have been handed to you every time. You are still wrong.

Michel H said:
You are welcome to explain what a "real test" would look like (in your opinion).
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We did that already. Over and over and over.

Michel H said:
However, I don't think ruling out forced-choice tests (which are pretty standard in parapsychology, see e.g. https://www.ics.uci.edu/~jutts/7-W13/Lecture16RemoteViewing.pdf) would be a good idea.
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Remote viewing? Really? Grow up.

Michel H said:
Thank for not saying "the symptoms of your schizophrenia". I first misread you.
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No wait a moment. You claimed that you are para-schiz. You cannot blame anyone for raising that issue when it was YOU who raised it in the first place. Years ago.
 
Michel H said:
I don't remember that anyone proved me wrong (which doesn't mean I cannot make mistakes from time to time). You are welcome to explain what a "real test" would look like (in your opinion). However, I don't think ruling out forced-choice tests (which are pretty standard in parapsychology, see e.g. https://www.ics.uci.edu/~jutts/7-W13/Lecture16RemoteViewing.pdf) would be a good idea.
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Go back and reread your other threads on the exact same topic and you will find many ideas for fair and impartial tests.

Thank for not saying "the symptoms of your schizophrenia". I first misread you.
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I'll leave that for you to say.
 
abaddon said:
No wait a moment. You claimed that you are para-schiz. You cannot blame anyone for raising that issue when it was YOU who raised it in the first place. Years ago.
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No, I never said I was a schizophrenia sufferer, though I think it is better to keep all possibilities a little open, otherwise there is no discussion. I remember for example that Loss Leader once gave the link of an online schizophrenia test, that I took. The result was (if I remember correctly) "no schizophrenia", and an error in the test.
 
Michel H said:
You are welcome to explain what a "real test" would look like (in your opinion).
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A genuine example of a person with extra-sensory perception wouldn't require controlled lab experiments to show it. Their ability would be obvious to anyone around them as they would be unlike any other known human. They always know what's been secretly placed inside a cardboard box because they can see inside the box. They don't have to go inside a store to see if they have the correct size of Levi's 501 jeans because they can see the stock without going inside. They can do this kind of thing for anyone and can do it all day long every day including holidays.

This kind of person would quickly become a worldwide celebrity because they are categorically different than every other person on the planet. Yeah, you can run some controlled tests but at that point it would just be a formality.

If it requires a special test to reveal extra-sensory perception then it isn't really genuine ESP going on.
 
Michel H said:
No, I never said I was a schizophrenia sufferer, though I think it is better to keep all possibilities a little open, otherwise there is no discussion. I remember for example that Loss Leader once gave the link of an online schizophrenia test, that I took. The result was (if I remember correctly) "no schizophrenia", and an error in the test.
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What are the symptoms of schizophrenia?
 
Michel H said:
I recently conducted a new ESP (extra-sensory perception) or telepathy test on Yahoo Answers. I believe the test was a moderate success.
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A moderate success would be a hit rate which just exceeded the level needed to be statistically significant. Your test does not remotely qualify.
 
RoboTimbo said:
What are the symptoms of schizophrenia?
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One aspect of this disease is "delusions" (see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Schizophrenia). Wikipedia writes:
Grandiose delusions are characterized by fantastical beliefs that one is famous, omnipotent or otherwise very powerful. The delusions are generally fantastic, often with a supernatural, science-fictional, or religious bent. In colloquial usage, one who overestimates one's own abilities, talents, stature or situation is sometimes said to have "delusions of grandeur". This is generally due to excessive pride, rather than any actual delusions. Grandiose delusions or delusions of grandeur can also be associated with megalomania.
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(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delusion).

However, I don't think I am famous, omnipotent or very powerful. I simply think I do have (or I may have) some good ideas, which may be useful to others, for human progress on this planet. One of these good ideas (in my opinion) is, for example (it is very simple, but worth perhaps more than a trillion dollars if well implemented):
Ban all nuclear weapons, build (smart) nuclear power plants instead, to help stop climate change.
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Nuclear energy should be used to help people, to provide affordable energy, radio-isotopes for use in Medicine, and so on, not nuclear weapons to kill and threaten people. An effective ban on nuclear weapons would make easier for example to use fast neutron plutonium reactors without any proliferation concern. It would also allow to lift nuclear-related sanctions on North Korea and Iran, and greatly improve lives of millions.

I have a certain sensitivity to the well-being of other people.

I also think that I have (probably because of some genetic factor) a curious tendency to involuntarily communicate my thoughts to others, even when they are geographically far away. I don't view this as a superpower (and here I try to answer William Parcher in post #1196) because this is something I cannot control.
 
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