Hawking says there are no gods

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Jesus Christ people just say "I believe in God without reason because I have faith" and stop pissing on science and logic and reason trying to split a hair fine enough to pretend that's not what you are doing.

This is like watching an alcoholic talk about how much he just "really likes the taste of cheap gin" and you know they're stuck between trying to convince the room and convince themselves.

I can do that - "I believe in God without reason because I have faith" I believe with faith in a natural universe, which is fair; a human concept ; and thus a deistic god and where we are not Boltzmann Brains, in the Matrix and there is no Theistic God, souls, heaven, hell, reincarnation and what not.
 
... The name "garage dragon" comes from Sagan's "The Dragon In My Garage", in which the undetectable entity is supposedly a dragon. ...



Thanks very much for supplying that link! I’d only ever known of this Dragon at second hand, by others’ references to it. Reading Carl Sagan directly speak of this in his own words was nice.

What I’d said, in my previous post addressed to you, about taking this dragon seriously for the space of this discussion, that hadn’t been an oblique put-down directed at Carl Sagan (unlike what you seem to have inferred). Please don’t get defensive (like you did last time when I said this) when I again ask, now, that we take Carl Sagan’s description of the dragon in his article at face value, in all seriousness, and think about it as if this question were very important to both you and me.

I’d ask Carl Sagan, “Well, how do you know it is a dragon? How do you know of this creature at all? What else do you know of this creature other than that it exists?”

If Carl Sagan has no answers to offer, then this ends right there. I become an a-dragonist. Simply an a-dragonist, with no scope for either hard a-dragonism or soft a-dragonism.

But what if Carl Sagan were to say, “This dragon appears to me in visions. It tells me things my subconscious couldn’t possibly have supplied me with. It helps me in ways my subconscious couldn’t possibly have done. And here are the specific ways -- albeit ways not immediately testable or ascertainable -- whole myriad ways in which the dragon does affect the entire universe.” Or something like that. After all, he must have some reason for thinking this is a dragon, mustn't he?

At that point I might tell the man, “You, Carl Sagan, are a dishonest liar; either that, or else you are plain crazy”, and simply walk away from there. Sure, that is a perfectly valid option.

On the other hand, if there is something about his dragon itself, and/or about his whole dragon thesis, and/ar about Carl Sagan himself, that might hint that he is both honest and sane, if perhaps deluded -- and always provided that this dragon is of subjectively real interest and subjectively real importance to me -- then I might continue to engage with him about this dragon of his. And engaging with him would amount to taking what he is saying seriously, that is, seeing if I cannot find out further why exactly he is saying what he is saying.

If in the course of "engaging" with him and this pet obsession of his, I can see that in the woods outside his house there is this huge tree that, in the dark, looks a bit like a dragon, and on stormy windy lightning nights might be mistaken for the shadow of a dragon that swishes its tail and moves around and breathes fire, then that would make it that much clearer to me that Carl Sagan is honest and sane, but mistaken. Alternatively: If I find Carl Sagan is given to weirdly eccentric doings and sayings in other ways also, then I might tilt towards his generally not being quite sane. And finally: if I find Carl Sagan trying to cadge money off me, then I might tilt towards him being a fraud after all. In all of these three instances, I’d have found my proof-of-sorts against the dragon; and so I become, with justification, a hard a-dragonist.

If, on the other hand, I continue to find Carl Sagan generally sane, if I continue to find him scrupulously honest, and if I can find no explanation at all for this dragon-delusion of his, then the only logically and rationally sound position for me, in respect of this dragon, would be soft a-dragonism. (Repeat: Provided the dragon-question is important to me, and to you who are discussing this with me. Otherwise I'm not going around taking every madman's delusion seriously. That's why I'm clarifying, repeatedly, my assumption that this dragon is somehow very important for you and for me.) Having found no evidence to support it, I would not accept it. I would, for all practical purposes, lead my life as if it did not exist at all. But on the other hand, having found no evidence against it, nor would I reject it outright (and there is a difference between not accepting it, and actually rejecting it).

And here’s the thing: If in the course of my discussions on this with Carl Sagan, I find that there are many others like him who claim to know of the dragon in the exact same ways that Carl Sagan himself does, and about whom I end up having these same conclusions that I drew about Carl Sagan himself in my paragraph immediately preceding: then my “soft a-dragonism” becomes that much more embedded. Not for a minute do I accept it, unlike more gullible folks; and, while I lead my life as if it does not exist, nevertheless, I cannot reject it outright either, unlike some others who are less given to nuance as far as this issue . So “soft a-dragonist” I stay.



Seriously, Nonpareil: I don’t see how one can be a hard a-dragonist. Soft a-dragonist, yes, absolutely. But not hard a-dragonist.

And clearly there is a difference between soft and hard. And yes, how I lead my life won’t be affected by this, so you could say this is a distinction without a difference; and you would be right, generally speaking; but in as much as this subject is important to me and you, and of interest to me and you, to that extent we will vest it with greater precision; and that finer-resolution focus clearly brings forth this difference, and keeps it alive. Sure, if that interest wanes, if it ceases being important, then that precision will no longer be warranted. Therefore my repeated qualification: Let us assume this is important to both you and to me.



Incidentally: Far as I could see, Carl Sagan does not really push for hard atheism per se.

Here's what Carl Sagan himself says, in that article of his that you linked: "you don't outright reject the notion that there's a fire-breathing dragon in my garage. You merely put it on hold. Present evidence is strongly against it, but if a new body of data emerge you're prepared to examine it and see if it convinces you."

He further says, "the only sensible approach is tentatively to reject the dragon hypothesis, to be open to future physical data, and to wonder what the cause might be that so many apparently sane and sober people share the same strange delusion."

That's soft atheism, not hard atheism.
 
Incidentally: Far as I could see, Carl Sagan does not really push for hard atheism per se.

Here's what Carl Sagan himself says, in that article of his that you linked: "you don't outright reject the notion that there's a fire-breathing dragon in my garage. You merely put it on hold. Present evidence is strongly against it, but if a new body of data emerge you're prepared to examine it and see if it convinces you."

He further says, "the only sensible approach is tentatively to reject the dragon hypothesis, to be open to future physical data, and to wonder what the cause might be that so many apparently sane and sober people share the same strange delusion."

That's soft atheism, not hard atheism.

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Incidentally: Far as I could see, Carl Sagan does not really push for hard atheism per se.

Here's what Carl Sagan himself says, in that article of his that you linked: "you don't outright reject the notion that there's a fire-breathing dragon in my garage. You merely put it on hold. Present evidence is strongly against it, but if a new body of data emerge you're prepared to examine it and see if it convinces you."

He further says, "the only sensible approach is tentatively to reject the dragon hypothesis, to be open to future physical data, and to wonder what the cause might be that so many apparently sane and sober people share the same strange delusion."

That's soft atheism, not hard atheism.

I used to find the distinction between hard and soft atheism meaningful and useful, but I haven't for quite a while now.

I just have a spectrum of credulity that's universally applied regardless of topic. It maxes out at 99.9% or so.
 
Also:
 

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Because some things are too outlandish to require any burden of proof to claim non-existence. "So unlikely as to be virtually certain to not exist."

All claims of deities thus far fall into this category, along with invisible dragons, gnomes, vampires, werewolves, Sasquatch, etc and so on.


Hm. But isn’t this establishing a false equivalence, isn’t this kind of begging the question?

Invisible dragons and gnomes and vampires and werewolves and sasquatches are outlandish and outré and ridiculous, therefore (or at least, if not quite “therefore”, then “in the same way”) deity-gods also are ridiculous. Isn’t that what the argument might look like, if framed in words?

But the one does not follow from the other! That bit, where you actually say in so many words that “all claims of deities thus far fall into this category” -- while I personally agree with what you say -- we can’t simply assume that a priori, can we?

Yes, I believe we can, indeed, clearly show that deity-gods are non-existent and therefore ridiculous. But that takes a bit of work, that is something that needs to be actually done. I don’t know that we’d want to hand-wave away the necessity of that proof-of-sorts by taking for granted the equivalence you’re laying out in your post?

Yes, AFTER that work has been done, AFTER we’ve already proved to our satisfaction that deity-gods are ridiculous, then we can certainly lump them together with werevolves, etc, sure, absolutely. Once the burden of proof has already been met, then we can sit together and laugh together at that whole host of ridiculous non-existent creatures, including deity-gods. But you’re clearly suggesting that somehow that burden of proof itself stands obviated, a priori as it were, by the simple act of arbitrarily lumping deity-gods with werewolves and dragons in our mind. I’m afraid that doesn’t seem quite right.



In fact, what the heck, I'll go further. Werewolves and vampires and yetis and bigfoots don't interest me, personally, in the least, while the God question does. But if we look at that initial statement of yours, "Because some things are too outlandish to require any burden of proof to claim non-existence", then I'm afraid that doesn't sound quite right either! Not even when it comes to these fantastic beasts, these bigfoots and sasquatches.

I don't think hard atheism (or at least, not hard atheism but hard rejection) of bigfoot is valid either. Soft atheism, or soft rejection, absolutely. And what is more, that is enough to deal with the issue. And yes, if you study individual bigfoot claims and show them to be spurious, then yes, then you can be a hard a-bigfootist as well.


The word "god" refers to deities in a vast majority of the world.


Agreed. Thanks for pointing out, in that earlier post of yours, that this might well be a translation issue, at least in part.

Keeping that possibility in mind does help us better understand (some of) the disagreements around this issue. Like I'd said in my post addressed to you.


It really seems like you're redefining certain types of ontology as "god ideas".


No, not "redifining", merely reflecting the definition that the actual believers in those ideas happen to use.

And absolutely, what you'd said in that earlier post of yours, understanding the possible translation issue, that helps us understand these disagreements better. What you're saying here now, I tried to spell out my views on that in more detail in that earlier post of mine addressed to you.


Is that a rhetorical question? :)


Absolutely. Nor woud they need to literally "ask" at all!


I can think of a lot of reasons to not grant "justifiable special pleading" status to gods.


Perhaps you've misunderstood my meaning. That "special pleading" is not so much to loosen up our standards for evaluating God, but for added precision in how we look at this, that's all.

And nor is this necessarily about God either. In general most people would not worry about bigfoot. But if for whateve reason you found yourself actually engaging with the bigfoot question, actually researching it, then surely that same precision you'd have to give to that question as well, in order to be reasonable?

No, no "special pleading" for saying there may be Gods. Only "special pleading" -- with good reasons -- for exercising greater precision. As to where that extra precision might lead, that is a separate issue.



But sure, you personally, or I personally, may not even give the god question, or any other question, even this added precision, for any number of reasons. Absolutely, that is up to us, individually. I was only going for the generic "I" and generic "you".


But at the end of the day, the primary one is that I'm kind of over that, and just don't want to.


I understand. That's a very valid stance, at the personal level.


It's usually pointless. People dead set on using "faith-based reasoning" usually cannot be reasoned with about this topic, so it's all an exercise in futility, anyway.


I'm not sure about this, myself, but you may be right.

It sounds counter-intuitive to me, that otherwise reasonable people wouldn't agree to reasonably think about this. I've seen theists sometimes speak very rationally about their faith, even recognizing that their faith is a subjective and personal belief and no more. When they recognize that, I'd say they are being reasonable, despite remaining theists.

But like I said, my interactions with actual theists on this, while not quite zero, hasn't really been very extensive either. So if your experience says it often does not work, then I will grant you that.
 
The more people hairsplit more and more versions of God the more my point is proved.

Much like Kellyb said I'm over Weaponized Incredulity being a valid argumentative.

The only difference between God and the Garage Dragon is how much people want each one to be real effecting the level of mental gymnastics they'll put into making excuses for it.

And yes excuses, not reasons. Nobody has even made a token attempt at pretending they are going to put forth any actual positive evidence for anything (you know like people do when they actually arrive at a position intellectually) and have just dug themselves a trench in the "You can't technically disprove an undefined variable" no man's land and are building up the special pleading wall around their trenches higher and higher.

This isn't logic or reason. Hell it's not even argumentatives. It's procedural nitpicking.

There's a God in the same way "There's nothing in the rulebook that says a Golden Retriever can't play basketball..."
 
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Lesson 1:

P ==> Q means P implies Q or IF P THEN Q.
P =/=> Q means that P does not imply Q.

I am actually surprised that this doesn't come up on a google search. Like =/=, it is a necessary method when there is no readily available ascii symbol for the mathematical symbol.
 
Lesson 1:

P ==> Q means P implies Q or IF P THEN Q.
P =/=> Q means that P does not imply Q.

I am actually surprised that this doesn't come up on a google search. Like =/=, it is a necessary method when there is no readily available ascii symbol for the mathematical symbol.

//Slight hijack//

Google' search algorithm probably ignores those symbols when used by themselves because it uses them for Boolean search functions.
 
I don't think hard atheism (or at least, not hard atheism but hard rejection) of bigfoot is valid either. Soft atheism, or soft rejection, absolutely. And what is more, that is enough to deal with the issue. And yes, if you study individual bigfoot claims and show them to be spurious, then yes, then you can be a hard a-bigfootist as well.

It completely lacks plausibility that there's a large species of ape on this continent that lives in the woods and has never left behind a single bone or trace of DNA that's been found. The idea completely lacks plausibility. :)

You do not have to meticulously evaluate each bigfoot "sighting" case to skip right onto hard rejection of the claim.
 
The more people hairsplit . . . .
This is not hairsplitting. If you want to argue that there are no gods on philosophical grounds then I can't disagree with you.

BUT

If you want to argue the same on scientific or logical grounds then you must follow the rules of these disciplines precisely or you are just telling porkies.
 
//Slight hijack//

Google' search algorithm probably ignores those symbols when used by themselves because it uses them for Boolean search functions.

It doesn't show up in scholar either, FWIW.
 

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No. No no no no.

Again this is the "You have to agree I'm right before we start the discussion" tactic Chanakya played and Jabba spent 12,473 threads across 37 centuries doing.

I do not accept the stipulation people keep demanding on this argument that "God" is different from the Garage Dragon, the Invisible Pink Unicorn, Russel's Teapot, or the price of tea in China.

God either exists or he doesn't. If he exists he either has an effect on the universe (which means science gets a say in his existence) or he has no affect on this universe which... means he doesn't exist.

You can't just rope off an argument you can't or won't defend and go "Yeah that whole method we actually have and and use to determine the validity of statements? Yeah you aren't allowed to use that here."

"The question of God is philosophical instead of scientific because I say so" is the specialist of special pleading.
 
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