Hawking says there are no gods

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I have no "intuitions" about QM. I know that both QM and Relativity will have to yield to a superior model once one comes along since both are incomplete.

That "wrong in some aspects" is often the catalyst for a complete rethink about physics.
I certainly agree about that. The problem is that we don't know what form the new model (or the underlying reality that we don't have access to) will take. I just don't think that you have good reason to think that it won't include randomness.


I'm not sure that Everett's "many worlds" interpretation does away with random forces but you seem to know what you are talking about so I won't argue the point.

It's actually a point that I personally don't understand very well. I watched a lecture by Sean Carroll recently where he goes on for a long time about how one can derive the Born Rule from the many worlds interpretation. I was able to follow why it's actually difficult to do so, but not so much how he resolved the problem, so I'm sort of taking him at his word. He repeats that assertion (without going into it) in a lay talk that I was watching this morning before making that post.

I mean, in some sense it's easy to understand how Everett leads to probabilities: a system is in a superposition, and you become entangled with that system, so now you are in a superposition as well. One version of you sees Up, the other sees Down. So it's pretty straightforward that before the observation, not knowing which version you will be*, you've got a 50% chance of seeing up and a 50% chance of seeing down.

That seems pretty straightfoward, but the problem is that you can't just count up the different worlds and do the probability in that manner. The Born rule gives a different probability distribution than the one I would perhaps naively expect from the Everett interpretation, but at least it's easy to see how a probability distribution is derived from the deterministic evolution of the Schrodenger equation here.

Carroll does try to show how the Born Rule giving the proper probability distribution can be derived from this, but as I said I didn't quite follow that part. And unfortunately my VPN isn't working well lately so I'm stuck behind China's firewall and can't go searching for that lecture at the moment.

*Really, "you" will be both, but independently.
 
The problem is that we don't know what form the new model (or the underlying reality that we don't have access to) will take. I just don't think that you have good reason to think that it won't include randomness.
Randomness just covers the gaps in our knowledge (just like the God of the gaps did). I don't know if we will ever come up with a model that eliminates randomness thus it may never be determined if randomness exists in its own right.

The Born rule gives a different probability distribution than the one I would perhaps naively expect from the Everett interpretation, but at least it's easy to see how a probability distribution is derived from the deterministic evolution of the Schrodenger equation here.
Are you saying that the Schrodenger equation (an equation about randomness) could be replaced by a "many worlds" equation that doesn't include randomness?
 
... If I agree God is special and different and has to be discussed differently I've already admitted you're right. There's no point in having the discussion under the terms you're demanding.

Again this is literally why the concept of "Special Pleading" exists. ...


All right! Ding! I finally, finally, finally get exactly where you’re coming from, Joe.

And I’m afraid that you’re wholly mistaken about what the special pleading fallacy actually is.



“Special pleading” is a fallacy when you treat two things differently for no good reason. It is a fallacy when your reasons for treating two issues differently are not good enough for others, when others do not agree that these are good reasons for treating the two issues differently. Simply the fact that you’re treating two separate things differently does not, in itself, constitute a fallacy!

To put it differently, the “special pleading fallacy” implicitly assumes that your reasons for this “special pleading” are not justified. “Special pleading”, in and of itself, is not a fallacy; it is a fallacy only when this “special pleading” is done for no good reason, that is, for reasons that others will not agree with.



I’m saying that there are very good reasons to accord greater precision when it comes to the God question, than many other questions. Now you may disagree with me, and you may put forward your arguments in support of your disagreement, and you may try to show that my reasons are spurious; but no, that is not what you’re doing here at all! You’re simply saying (or at least implying), very clearly, that no reasons I provide can ever be good enough for you to accept that the God question deserves greater precision than some other specific questions.

I’ve already discussed the reasons I’ve put forward in support of this, and I’m ready to do it again, but I won’t do it in this post, so as not to shift focus from this single point I wish to make here. And that point is: if I have good reasons for treating two issues differently, reasons that others also find reasonable, then treating two issues differently does NOT constitute a fallacy at all.



Towards this end, I’ve already put forward the example of court cases. The difference between “not guilty” and “innocent” is vast; but this difference comes into focus only when we’re being precise. Seen with a low resolution lens, that difference may amount to hair-splitting. And in everyday matters we generally don’t go in for this kind of finely focused precision.

Absolutely, this can be thought of as “special pleading”, or as “double standards”. And yet this is not a fallacy, because we’re not slipping this in on the quiet, we are doing this openly, and because we have good reasons for doing this. And those reasons are: first, the huge stakes that are often involved for the person who is being tried; and two, our general inter-subjective agreement that it is better to have a guilty person go free than to have an innocent person wrongly punished.



You say here: “If I agree God is special and different and has to be discussed differently I’ve already admitted you’re right. There’s no point in having the discussion under the terms you’re demanding.” Do you not see how ridiculously warped that POV is? That is exactly like a theist saying that they will not have a discussion that treats it as even possible that God may not exist!

Yes, in as much as you say that God does not deserve according greater precision than some other issue, to that extent I will indeed “win”, and you will indeed “lose” -- if you insist on seeing this discussion in terms of a contest -- if we have this discussion, and if in the course of this discussion I end up showing you that my reasons are sound. But that does not mean that you can refuse to have that discussion. (That is, obviously you can refuse to have that discussion, no one will compel you. But your refusal would be the exact opposite of rational discourse. And you certainly cannot claim that you are refusing this discussion with me because what I am doing is “special pleading”!)

God no! That isn’t what the special pleading fallacy is, at all!



Look, Joe, I now realize that this is the reason why we seem to have been speaking past each other all this while. Not just in this thread, I remember you saying this very same thing, again and again, in that other thread of Thor2’s, about the correct definition of the word ‘agnostic’. I hadn’t realized, until just now, that this endless speaking-past of ours stems from your simply not understanding what the “special pleading fallacy” actually is!

We must have wasted at least 10 to 15 posts each, in both these threads combined, by talking past each other, simply because of this misunderstanding on your part. Let’s not do this any more, please. Let’s just settle this now, once and for all. Don’t take my word for this. Seek out someone else whom you respect, someone who you’re sure isn’t in cahoots with me in an attempt to fill you up with Woo, someone whose knowledge and reasoning you believe you can trust. Someone like JayUtah, perhaps? Or anyone else, who you think best fits the bill. PM them, ask them to read this particular post of mine, as well as your post #1687, that I’m replying to. Ask them if what I’m saying here is correct. Ask them if I’m right when I say to you that you’re simply mistaken about this very basic thing.



Once we’ve established to your satisfaction that my according greater precision to the God idea than some other idea is not a fallacy provided my reasons for doing that are sound, *then* we can go back to my stating my reasons and your evaluating them. But that latter discussion must wait until you first realize the error in your POV as expressed in this quoted post of yours (and many other posts, in that other thread, where you’ve expressed exactly this view).

Go on, PM JayUtah, or whomever else you trust and are on friendly terms with, have them see this post, have a chat them either in public or in private after that. And after that let’s resume this discussion of ours. Fair?
 
... My POV, there is no positive so why any need to prove the negative? ...


And I agree with your POV, I mean the portion that you've highlighted and that I've quoted above.

To which perfectly reasonable POV, I add the following: Since you can’t (or haven’t) proved the negative, why claim it?

Any claim carries the burden of proof/evidence. If you do not wish to take on that burden, you must not make that claim. If you make that claim, then you automatically take on that burden; and if, having made that claim you are unable to furnish your evidence, your claim isn’t reasonable/rational (albeit you are still free to make that claim in the teeth of reason, that goes without saying).



So, to re-visit your question, “Why any need to prove the negative?” The glaringly obvious answer is, “Because you have made that claim”. (Not you personally, I’m speaking of the hard atheist’s negative claim.)

Any effing thing you claim, you need to back up. If you can’t back it up, or if you won’t back it up, then you mustn’t make the claim in the first place, not if you care about being reasonable. That is why the soft atheist does not make this claim, that he does not care to back up.



Soft atheism makes no claim, it merely refuses to accept another’s claim in the absence of evidence; and, as such, the soft atheist carries no burden of having to present evidence.

Hard atheism does make a claim, and therefore the hard atheist does carry the burden of backing up that claim. In as much as the hard atheist can produce that evidence -- and sometimes s/he actually can -- to that extent s/he is reasonable and rational. In as much as the hard atheist is unable to produce that evidence -- and there are instances when this is simply not feasible -- to that extent their position is untenable.
 
Kant, the world and “das Ding an sich”

I'm new here, but wondering exactly what you mean by this? Have you completely rejected Kant? On Hegelian grounds or some other?

Kant probably knew full well that the noumena were subject to his categories. They are a projection based on the fact that we experience only phenomena, but there was some clear relation to the world.

Darwin had much to say about this. As do the Darwin awards every year.

This is going to be long and I will link it to the OP as for this part:
"I think the universe was spontaneously created out of nothing, according to the laws of science,"

So here is TL;DR The world can't be described and explained using only one methodology, which gives correct answers/explanations for all aspects of the universe.

The rest is the reasoning for this:
No, I don't reject "das Ding an sich", but let us take a closer look. We will start with metaphysics and how it is that metaphysics and ontology is not knowledge of what the world actually is, but rather a form of psychology.
So what is "das Ding an sich"? It is a form of knowledge, but it also a form of tautology and vacuous.
E.g. 2+2=4 or A is A (Ayn Rand) are true with reason, but empty for the rest of the world. "Das Ding an sich" works in the same manner, noumena is independent of human sense and/or perception, but empty/vacuous for what it is other than independent of human sense and/or perception, expect for causation. Note causation is also sort of a belief/psychology; i.e. David Hume.
The noumena causes human sense and/or perception. Solipsism is not correct, because it gets the causation wrong. More about that if you want that.

Now for what the world is, I believe that the world is fair(no gods, Boltzmann Brain, The Matrix and what not) and it is in general as independent of me also as it appears to me. That is all you can say about metaphysics, you state what you believe in. Now ontology is a catalog of how thinking works and existence is empty in itself, because it always human sense and/or perception.

Now we, you and I, are in the world with all the rest. Let us start with logic and the 3 classical laws of thought. I will concentrate on the law of non-contradiction and how to use it in an over-reductive sense. I am I (a sense) and since you are not me, you are false. The problem is you and I are in different parts of time/space and senses.
So for all cases of the world is X and not something else, it is over-reductive. You just have to answer non-X.
The world is not physical, it is also, but not physical and that connects to chemistry, biology, humans, culture /sociology/psychology/religion/philosophy and so on.

As for epistemology you integrate all four aspects in a limited sense for each of them individually: Rationalism, empiricism, foundationalism and skepticism. You also include Agrippa's Trilemma and Protagoras: “Man is the measure of all things: of the things that are, that they are, of the things that are not, that they are not.”
The world is not reason, observation, certainty or uncertainty individually, it is a combination.

As for all cases of positives and negatives they are all in part cognitive and a form of qualia. You understand them, because of they make sense, but that sense is a quale, an unfamiliar term for something that could not be more familiar to each of us. E.g. you know what meaningless is, right?!!
But you can't obverse it, you know it otherwise.
Now what positives and negatives are about, can vary depending if it is objective, inter-subjective or subjective or where these 3 categories interconnect.

So some positives and negatives are about the brain independent world, e.g. gravity; some are about the commonly shared; e.g. 2+2=4, 2+2=11 and 2+2=5 and some about what ends as individual; e.g. good/bad and right/wrong.

Then there is the aesthetics of the beautiful and ugly. Even the ugly can be aesthetic and to me true and false are both beautiful, even if false is also sort of ugly.

So everything is not the Darwin awards and just because if you and I can't agree on what the world is for all cases, because of the subjective part of “Man is the measure of all things: of the things that are, that they are, of the things that are not, that they are not”, doesn't mean that neither you nor I are a potential candidate for the Darwin awards.

I am not a westerner anymore in the common sense, because I don't believe in reality as some humans in western culture do. And that is not particular for reality, it also relates to a lot of cognitive words like reason, logic, evidence, real, knowledge, wrong, better and so on. I am in some sense my own sub-culture outside science versus religion.

So the world is not that simple, but it is simple one you understand that it is always a lot of interconnected categories, which can't be reduced down to one category. And that includes science, philosophy and religion. It is some form of combination, when you look closer and it always involves the quale of making sense. That is always in some sense subjective.
 
“Special pleading” is a fallacy when you treat two things differently for no good reason.

Yes and you are treating "God" and "The Invisible Garage Dragon" differently for no good reason. It's not just special pleading, it's textbook special pleading. I couldn't strawman a better example of special pleading.

The 40,000 paragraph stream of consciousness that followed were just you special pleading away the special pleading, special pleading that's already been addressed.

Your argument can't be that special pleading God isn't really special pleading because of more special pleading. And when told that your argument can't then be that the special pleading you're special pleading the original special pleading away with isn't special pleading because of yet more special pleading.

Special pleading will never add up to anything but special pleading.
 
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One either one believes in a god or gods or one doesn't. There is no "soft" or "hard" to that.


Yes, I understand that you believe that.

I've tried to explain, earlier in this thread, why I think this subcategorization of atheism is relevant. Would you like to discuss why you believe this subcategorization is not relevant?
 
Yes and you are treating "God" and "The Invisible Garage Dragon" differently for no good reason. It's not just special pleading, it's textbook special pleading. I couldn't strawman a better example of special pleading.

The 40,000 paragraph stream of consciousness that followed were just you special pleading away the special pleading, special pleading that's already been addressed.

Your argument can't be that special pleading God isn't really special pleading because of more special pleading. And when told that your argument can't then be that the special pleading you're special pleading the original special pleading away with isn't special pleading because of yet more special pleading.

Special pleading will never add up to anything but special pleading.


Have you checked my post #1763 with someone whose judgment you trust, like I'd suggested?
 
Have you checked my post #1763 with someone whose judgment you trust, like I'd suggested?

I trust my own judgement just fine, thank you.

And besides it's not like I'm the only one recognizing your attempt to basically go "No you see this special pleading is different because of reasons..."

You're still demanding that we seriously discuss the possibility that an invisible dragon exists in my garage.
 
Yes and you are treating "God" and "The Invisible Garage Dragon" differently for no good reason. It's not just special pleading, it's textbook special pleading. I couldn't strawman a better example of special pleading.

...

At least one version of God is outside knowledge where as The Invisible Garage Dragon is inside knowledge.
That you treat the 2 as the same, is what you can do. I just don't do that.
And there is no way you can ground that in objectively intellectual, because both are biases, just different one. And now cue - better and wrong. You don't get that you are biased, you only get that I am. I get that we both are biased.

Everything is not the same even as biases, because biases can be different.
 
I trust my own judgement just fine, thank you.


I see.

You are unable to understand your error, even when I very clearly point this out to you.

Nor are you willing to consult even someone of your own choosing, who might point out to you how eggregious your error is -- and who may, if I am wrong, point that out to me.

I guess that impasse is impassable, then, right?

Let's agree to disagree, then.



And besides it's not like I'm the only one recognizing your attempt to basically go "No you see this special pleading is different because of reasons..."

You're still demanding that we seriously discuss the possibility that an invisible dragon exists in my garage.


You're being disingenous now. My post #1763, that I suggested you consult someone else about, is about something I have not discussed with anyone other than you. That is a focused post, and focuses on your eggregiously wrong idea of what constitutes a special pleading fallacy.



No issues. Let's agree to disagree, and leave it at that.



But perhaps you could introspect a bit, why exactly it is you are unwilling to have my #1763 examined, like I suggested, even by someone of your own choosing, someone whom you yourself trust and are on friendly terms with.

What do you stand to lose, after all?
 
I see.

You are unable to understand your error, even when I very clearly point this out to you.

Multiple people have pointed out your errors to you clearly as well. I wonder why your standards to me don't seem to apply to you.

I guess that impasse is impassable, then, right?

As long as you think you can put special exceptions on to "God" yes, we are at an impasse.

You're being disingenous now. My post #1763, that I suggested you consult someone else about, is about something I have not discussed with anyone other than you. That is a focused post, and focuses on your eggregiously wrong idea of what constitutes a special pleading fallacy.

Okay you might be... misconstruing a lot here.

This is a discussion board. Plenty of people are going to be along to address your points.

I'm under no obligation to go find you people to support your position nor disagree with mine.
 
Deleted, with apologies for having struck an inappropriately personal note.
 
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Thought experiment: Read our exchanges on this page, and just look at it from a third-person perspective. Does the inescapable conclusion, that you are desperately trying to keep yourself from recognizing your own error, not occur to you?

No. No more then you are desperately trying to keep yourself from recognizing your own error in the existence of a Garage Dragon.

The only difference is you are starting from the assumption that God exists and working backwards and we're both working from the assumption (or default if you want to use a less loaded term) that the invisible garage dragon doesn't.

Again you can't treat the fact that all of this is based on you assuming without reason or evidence that God is different as some minor side detail. It's the core problem.

You understand everything I'm telling you about standards of evidence, burden of proof, not proving a negative, and all that jazz when I apply to anything but God. You get the Garage Dragon Parable Problem. You just understand why it applies to God.
 
Whether or not you take the idea seriously is irrelevant. The conclusion still stands; garage dragons do not exist by definition.


And do you see the circularity inherent in that kind of reasoning?

You’re picking up something that, as you say, does not exist by definition; then you’re implicitly likening this non-existent thing to something whose existence is under discussion; and you’re concluding, by means of this spurious analogy, that that other something, whose existence is under discussion, also does not exist.

That’s just a sleight of hand, that’s simply begging the issue!

The flaw in this argument is the implicit equivalence drawn between this non-existent dragon, and whatever it is whose existence we’re discussing. That equivalence is something you’re taking for granted, and that is why I say you’re begging the issue.

I’m not claiming Gods exist, not for a minute. I’m merely pointing out that that implicit argument is flawed.


Except that a lack of evidence where evidence would be expected is, indeed, evidence of absence - which leads to hard atheism.


Oh? And what evidence do you expect of this dragon, that you lack?

Since you’re the one claiming that this dragon does not exist -- not you personally, I’m speaking of the stance of the hard atheist -- then surely it is on you that the burden lies to provide the necessary proof? (In as much, that is, as science can actually “prove” anything, that goes without saying.)

And that burden of proof includes the burden of devising adequate experiments (whether of the white-lab-coat variety, or of the plain-observation kind, or even simply a thought-experiment) for proving this.

If you cannot prove that your dragon does not exist -- either because you cannot devise the necessary experiments, or for whatever other reasons -- then you must not make that claim in the first place (if, that is, you care to be reasonable).

So no, a “hard atheist” position about Sagan’s dragon is flawed.



But no one splits hairs in this way over the dragon. Why not? Simply because this is a ridiculous figure of fun, which no one in their right mind takes remotely seriously. We’re not splitting hairs, because we don’t care for precision here. We don’t care for precision here, because no one is taking this object seriously. No one is taking this object seriously, because it is, as you say, non-existent simply by definition.

Thus, the equivalence of this dragon with gods is predicated not so much on any logical principle (like not proving a negative, or whatever else) but simply on the fact that this ridiculous construct does not ‘deserve’ the effort that precision requires. That, compounded with the absurdity of this dragon, which absurdity we’re actually seeking to implicitly supplant on this god idea that we’re discussing, without taking the effort to clearly explain why the latter idea is ridiculous.

All the arguments here are implicit. We’re pretending to put forward a logical argument, when in fact our actual arguments are simply rhetorical. A sleight of hand, even.

I’m not saying the dragon analogy is worthless, obviously. I haven’t researched Carl Sagan’s actual context for saying this, but I recognize that this analogy pushes us to examine beliefs that we tend to take for granted. But I don’t think this analogy was designed to act as a blanket argument that is impervious to nuance. (Or if it is -- someone who has seen all of those old shows of his, or someone who may have actually researched Carl Sagan, can probably tell us that with authority -- then I’m afraid it fails.) Nuance dictates the necessity for precision at some times, even as that precision is unnecessary at other times.

As for why it is that I’m saying that gods “deserve” the effort that precision entails, whereas figures of fun like this dragon don’t, that is a legitimate question. I have already put forward my reasons, more than once, but not to you personally; so if you wish to discuss those reasons, and do not care to troll thought my past posts here to uncover them, then please ask, and I’ll be happy to state them again for you.


All gods fall into either one of two categories: they are either garage dragons, such as the undetectable "unmoved first mover", or they are not.


Okay.


In the case of them being garage dragons, they do not exist by definition;


I don’t agree. That is something you need to show. That is exactly the very thing we’re discussing, whether certain ideas might exist. You can’t “discuss” it by directly assuming, right off the bat, that they don’t exist. That’s textbook begging the question.

Sure, you may choose not to engage with this discussion. That is a separate matter, and speaks to your personal choice, which you’re obviously free to make.

The dragon does not exist by definition. It is clearly fiction, thought up by Carl Sagan. To say that the same applies to gods also, that is simply taking an unsupported, ipse dixit view.

If we are to give to the dragon the same precision that we accord to Gods -- or at least, that we *may* accord to Gods if we so wish -- then a hard atheist position would be untenable for this dragon as well.

As for why Gods deserve this precision that the poor dragon doesn’t, that takes me back to what I’ve already said: I’ve discussed this already, and you could, if you wish, check my earlier posts. Or else you could, if you prefer, ask me, and I’ll be happy to state them again for you.


in the case of the latter, any argument for their existence is, at best, bare assertion, and is therefore discarded.


In other words, not accepted for want of evidence. I agree. That is the soft atheist’s position.


Gods don't get special treatment in this regard.


Actually they do. That is clearly fact. That can be easily ascertained by seeing what kind of “treatment” people give to Gods, vis-a-vis dragons. What you’re probably trying to say, is that Gods *shouldn’t*, in your view, get this special treatement.

I disagree. I think they should. And we can further discuss my reasons for thinking this if such a discussion would interest you.


Bare assertion isn't enough to force us to admit the possibility of Santa Claus. It certainly isn't enough to force us to admit the possibility of gods.


No one is “forcing” anyone to admit anything. Anyone can think and believe whatever they like, irrespective of whether that is reasonable. But I take your point. And I’m afraid I disagree with your underlying implicit argument. I disagree with the implicit equivalence you’re slipping in here with Santa Claus (as well as Sagan’s pet dragon) on the one hand, and gods on the other hand. And I’m happy to discuss my disagreement further with you if you wish.


The garage dragon's existence is every bit as consequential as the existence of any undetectable gods. That is the point.


If Sagan had actually did believe in the dragon, and if we were inclined to humor him by seriously discussing this with him, then yes, it would be. In that case the dragon’s existence would be in the same category of importance as that of God’s.

And yes, when I say “importance”, I’m referring to the importance of this subject to us, that is, whether the subject is important enough that we are willing to put in the effort necessary for that kind of precision, and therefore the kind of hair-splitting that that kind of precision entails.

*This* is the real point, whether it is important enough (to *us*, we who are discussing this) to warrant this kind of precision, and therefore this kind of hairsplitting.
 
Nonpareil said:
Whether or not you take the idea seriously is irrelevant. The conclusion still stands; garage dragons do not exist by definition.

And do you see the circularity inherent in that kind of reasoning?

That isn't circular. It's a definition.

You’re picking up something that, as you say, does not exist by definition; then you’re implicitly likening this non-existent thing to something whose existence is under discussion; and you’re concluding, by means of this spurious analogy, that that other something, whose existence is under discussion, also does not exist.

That is not what is happening.

It has been made very clear throughout this discussion that there are two types of god claims: those that fall under the garage dragon category and those that do not. I point this out in the very post that you are quoting: "All gods fall into either one of two categories: they are either garage dragons, such as the undetectable "unmoved first mover", or they are not."

The analogy is not spurious. It very clearly and exclusively applies to gods which are defined as garage dragons.

Please do not attempt to break my posts up if you aren't going to read them all the way through first.

The flaw in this argument is the implicit equivalence drawn between this non-existent dragon, and whatever it is whose existence we’re discussing. That equivalence is something you’re taking for granted

No, it isn't.

A garage dragon is defined as an undetectable entity.

Gods such as the "unmoved first mover" are defined as undetectable, and are therefore garage dragons.

I have taken nothing for granted. This is an extremely simple concept.

Nonpareil said:
Except that a lack of evidence where evidence would be expected is, indeed, evidence of absence - which leads to hard atheism.

Oh? And what evidence do you expect of this dragon, that you lack?

You miss the point once again. I am not speaking of the garage dragon category here. I am speaking of the other - that which is theoretically detectable.

And that burden of proof includes the burden of devising adequate experiments (whether of the white-lab-coat variety, or of the plain-observation kind, or even simply a thought-experiment) for proving this.

Again, you do not understand the position being put forth.

There are no experiments that can detect a garage dragon. Garage dragons are defined as undetectable.

But no one splits hairs in this way over the dragon. Why not? Simply because this is a ridiculous figure of fun, which no one in their right mind takes remotely seriously.

I am entirely serious. You failing to take it seriously is your problem, not mine.

Nonpareil said:
In the case of them being garage dragons, they do not exist by definition;

I don’t agree. That is something you need to show.

It has been shown. It is the entire point of the garage dragon scenario.

Garage dragons are defined as undetectable. Therefore, garage dragons are indistinguishable from entities that do not exist. Therefore, they do not exist.

This is extremely simple and straightforward. If you disagree, then you must be able to show some way in which a universe that contains a garage dragon is quantifiably different from one which does not - which you can't do without making it detectable, in which case it is no longer a garage dragon.

The dragon does not exist by definition. It is clearly fiction, thought up by Carl Sagan. To say that the same applies to gods also, that is simply taking an unsupported, ipse dixit view.

I have only ever applied the garage dragon concept to undetectable entities, which is exactly what it is for.

Actually they do. That is clearly fact.

It is also fallacious to do so. So no. Here, where we actually care about things like logic, they don't get special treatment.

I disagree. I think they should.

Which is special pleading.

*This* is the real point, whether it is important enough (to *us*, we who are discussing this) to warrant this kind of precision, and therefore this kind of hairsplitting.

No, that isn't the point. That's you trying to justify special pleading.
 
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<SNIP>

Absolutely, this can be thought of as “special pleading”, or as “double standards”. And yet this is not a fallacy, because we’re not slipping this in on the quiet, we are doing this openly, and because we have good reasons for doing this. And those reasons are: first, the huge stakes that are often involved for the person who is being tried; and two, our general inter-subjective agreement that it is better to have a guilty person go free than to have an innocent person wrongly punished.
<SNIP>

Those are not good reasons.

There are no huge stakes relative to the existence of god. The only stakes involved are just more inventions of the same claimants who invented the gods in the first place. There are only stakes if your default position is that god must exist.

And the idea that it is better to have a guilty person go free than to have an an innocent person wrongly punished is not indicative at all of special pleading and not a reason to accept special pleading with respect to the question of god's existence - its wholly consistent with the foundational principals of logic, critical thinking, the scientific method, every scientific discipline, journalism, the legal system, etc. A claimant must provide evidence for the claim or the claim is rejected. It's that simple. A prosecutor must provide evidence for the claim that the defendant committed the crime, or the claim is rejected. A philosopher must provide evidence for the claim of god or it's rejected.

Your reasons to invoke special pleading are rejected.
 
All right, Nonpareil, let me try to lay out my reasoning clearly, and you tell me on which points you believe I'm mistaken.

1. The hard atheist claims that, in the context of the dragon, that it does not exist.

2. The dragon, as defined, cannot be either proved or disproved.

3. Therefore, since it cannot be disproved, the hard atheist's stance re. the dragon is flawed.

4. No one takes dragons seriously, but if they did, then hard a-dragonist would be an insupportable position.


OK so far, or have I got any of those steps wrong in your view?
 
GStan, thanks for reviewing that post of mine. Sure, if the error is mine, then it is I who will gain from a dissection of that argument.

Let me clarify: I used the example of court cases in that post to show how special pleading, in terms of greater than usual precision in some cases than in others, is warranted, given adequate reasons. That is, exceptionalism is a fallacy only if it is unwarranted; if there are good reasons for exceptionalism, then it is not a fallacy. That is all I was trying to show there. An obvious point, I know, but I wanted to show it clearly.

I wasn't trying to draw a direct equivalence with the God question at all, not in that post. That aspect I hadn't touched on at all in that post. I clearly said as much there, in that post, in so many words.

In light of this clarification, would you like to revisit that post of mine?

That post isn't about God at all, only about exceptionalism, and when that isn't fallacious.
 
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