I understand it well enough to confidently predict that the forecast is rubbish.
There will not be an extra third of a million new jobs created filling in paperwork. If there were, it would be impossible for the receiving agency to process it all. They would have to just burn it or dump it without looking at more than a tiny sample. The people producing the paperwork would know that, so could shortcut the hand drawn pictures part and just post blank pieces of paper instead - this would, of course, mean that they could do the job with many fewer people.
Sensible heads would prevail and the whole system would be scrapped as unwieldy and useless. Any records that did need to be supplied would, in the vast majority of cases, be generated by computers and supplied to other computers without any paper being involved.
The Project Fear prediction, will be revealed, like all the others, to be a ludicrously inflated over estimate of the true costs - which may end up being 1% or so of the threatened "up to" £20 billion.
Of course, when the true costs turn out to be say, £10 million, then the overpaid idiot that produced the forecast will be able to claim that his forecast was correct as £10 million is indeed encompassed by a forecast of "up to £20 billion". As I hinted in an earlier post he might just as well have said "up to twenty thousand trillion pounds per day" - that would be an equally accurate estimate.
